Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B44—Children of Retired Workers With Benefits In Force and as a Percent of
Male Retired Workers In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period |
Minor children |
Disabled children |
Student children |
Total children |
|
Percent of male retired workers
|
|
|
Percent of male retired workers
|
|
|
Percent of male retired workers
|
|
|
Percent of male retired workers
|
|
404.8 |
4.214 |
... |
122.1 |
1.271 |
... |
144.1 |
1.500 |
... |
671.1 |
6.985 |
|
398.6 |
4.057 |
... |
126.1 |
1.284 |
... |
154.0 |
1.568 |
... |
678.7 |
6.909 |
|
411.2 |
4.072 |
... |
130.7 |
1.294 |
... |
161.3 |
1.597 |
... |
703.2 |
6.963 |
|
392.4 |
3.812 |
... |
137.5 |
1.336 |
... |
166.1 |
1.614 |
... |
696.0 |
6.762 |
|
378.2 |
3.578 |
... |
141.4 |
1.338 |
... |
164.9 |
1.560 |
... |
684.5 |
6.476 |
|
366.0 |
3.380 |
... |
145.1 |
1.340 |
... |
171.6 |
1.585 |
... |
682.7 |
6.304 |
|
350.7 |
3.160 |
... |
148.2 |
1.335 |
... |
177.1 |
1.595 |
... |
676.0 |
6.090 |
|
337.4 |
2.968 |
... |
153.0 |
1.346 |
... |
113.7 |
1.001 |
... |
604.0 |
5.315 |
|
326.3 |
2.802 |
... |
160.2 |
1.375 |
... |
66.2 |
.569 |
... |
552.7 |
4.746 |
|
312.1 |
2.630 |
... |
166.7 |
1.404 |
... |
37.7 |
.317 |
... |
516.5 |
4.352 |
|
301.2 |
2.486 |
... |
175.1 |
1.445 |
... |
18.1 |
.149 |
... |
494.4 |
4.081 |
|
294.1 |
2.374 |
... |
184.6 |
1.490 |
... |
17.1 |
.138 |
... |
495.8 |
4.002 |
|
283.7 |
2.247 |
... |
193.8 |
1.535 |
... |
16.4 |
.130 |
... |
494.0 |
3.913 |
|
272.1 |
2.123 |
... |
201.5 |
1.573 |
... |
18.2 |
.142 |
... |
491.7 |
3.838 |
|
262.2 |
2.012 |
... |
207.6 |
1.593 |
... |
17.1 |
.131 |
... |
486.8 |
3.736 |
|
259.3 |
1.957 |
... |
214.8 |
1.621 |
... |
16.8 |
.127 |
... |
490.9 |
3.705 |
|
257.9 |
1.913 |
... |
222.7 |
1.652 |
... |
16.4 |
.122 |
... |
497.0 |
3.687 |
|
261.0 |
1.903 |
... |
231.9 |
1.691 |
... |
16.5 |
.120 |
... |
509.4 |
3.714 |
|
262.8 |
1.892 |
... |
240.1 |
1.729 |
... |
16.7 |
.120 |
... |
519.7 |
3.741 |
|
264.6 |
1.885 |
... |
246.6 |
1.757 |
... |
16.7 |
.119 |
... |
527.8 |
3.761 |
|
265.8 |
1.877 |
... |
252.2 |
1.780 |
... |
16.6 |
.117 |
... |
534.6 |
3.774 |
|
266.2 |
1.866 |
... |
256.4 |
1.797 |
... |
16.8 |
.117 |
... |
539.4 |
3.781 |
|
264.4 |
1.841 |
... |
259.9 |
1.810 |
... |
17.0 |
.118 |
... |
541.3 |
3.770 |
|
263.5 |
1.825 |
... |
263.1 |
1.822 |
... |
16.9 |
.117 |
... |
543.5 |
3.764 |
|
266.4 |
1.830 |
... |
266.0 |
1.827 |
... |
16.2 |
.112 |
... |
548.6 |
3.769 |
|
279.5 |
1.883 |
... |
269.6 |
1.816 |
... |
17.3 |
.117 |
... |
566.4 |
3.815 |
|
285.8 |
1.918 |
0.012 |
270.3 |
1.814 |
-0.001 |
19.4 |
.130 |
0.134 |
575.5 |
3.863 |
|
285.4 |
1.910 |
... |
271.6 |
1.817 |
... |
16.9 |
.113 |
... |
573.9 |
3.840 |
|
291.4 |
1.939 |
.012 |
272.0 |
1.810 |
-.001 |
19.2 |
.128 |
.134 |
582.6 |
3.877 |
|
290.5 |
1.925 |
... |
272.9 |
1.808 |
... |
17.0 |
.113 |
... |
580.4 |
3.846 |
|
296.2 |
1.952 |
.012 |
273.1 |
1.799 |
-.001 |
19.4 |
.128 |
.134 |
588.7 |
3.879 |
|
295.0 |
1.935 |
... |
273.7 |
1.795 |
... |
17.2 |
.113 |
... |
585.9 |
3.843 |
|
300.4 |
1.955 |
.012 |
273.6 |
1.781 |
-.001 |
19.6 |
.127 |
.134 |
593.6 |
3.864 |
|
298.7 |
1.933 |
... |
274.0 |
1.773 |
... |
17.3 |
.112 |
... |
590.1 |
3.818 |
|
303.9 |
1.950 |
.012 |
273.7 |
1.756 |
-.001 |
19.7 |
.126 |
.134 |
597.3 |
3.832 |
|
302.0 |
1.924 |
... |
273.9 |
1.745 |
... |
17.4 |
.111 |
... |
593.3 |
3.780 |
|
306.6 |
1.936 |
.012 |
273.4 |
1.726 |
-.001 |
19.9 |
.126 |
.134 |
599.9 |
3.788 |
|
304.0 |
1.906 |
... |
273.4 |
1.714 |
... |
17.7 |
.111 |
... |
595.1 |
3.731 |
|
307.8 |
1.912 |
.012 |
272.7 |
1.694 |
-.001 |
20.4 |
.126 |
.134 |
600.9 |
3.732 |
|
304.5 |
1.876 |
... |
272.5 |
1.680 |
... |
18.2 |
.112 |
... |
595.1 |
3.668 |
|
307.4 |
1.871 |
.012 |
271.7 |
1.654 |
-.001 |
20.8 |
.127 |
.134 |
600.0 |
3.652 |
|
303.2 |
1.827 |
... |
271.4 |
1.636 |
... |
18.5 |
.112 |
... |
593.2 |
3.575 |
|
306.1 |
1.814 |
.012 |
270.6 |
1.604 |
-.001 |
21.1 |
.125 |
.134 |
597.7 |
3.543 |
|
301.8 |
1.765 |
... |
270.2 |
1.580 |
... |
18.6 |
.109 |
... |
590.6 |
3.454 |
|
304.6 |
1.753 |
.012 |
269.3 |
1.550 |
-.001 |
21.1 |
.121 |
.134 |
595.1 |
3.425 |
|
300.4 |
1.706 |
... |
268.9 |
1.528 |
... |
18.5 |
.105 |
... |
587.9 |
3.339 |
Sources:
· End of year number of children shown earlier.
· Historical excess of June 30th number over average of December 31st numbers calculated using June 30th data from 1-A Table In Force Supplement.
· Future excess of June 30th number over average of December 31st numbers are projected to remain at the last known rate.
· Future June 30th numbers are projected from December 31st numbers and excess June 30th ratios.
· Children of retired workers as a percent of male retired workers are calculated using numbers of children and numbers of male retired workers shown earlier.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001