Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B5—Retired and Disabled Workers and Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits In Force,
Age 60 or Older
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
218.1
1,225.0
3,298.0
2,413.2
1,569.5
927.3
396.7
110.9
19.0
10,177.8
1980
241.9
1,424.0
3,649.4
2,751.2
1,776.1
992.6
471.0
146.2
30.0
11,482.4
1985
223.0
1,689.6
3,836.4
3,066.5
2,047.7
1,138.7
511.3
177.0
42.2
12,732.4
1990
205.4
1,713.6
4,123.9
3,299.3
2,316.6
1,331.5
594.9
192.8
51.6
13,829.7
1991
210.7
1,721.6
4,116.1
3,410.8
2,364.4
1,371.9
619.3
196.6
53.3
14,064.7
1992
217.8
1,733.7
4,146.5
3,486.3
2,404.9
1,418.5
645.3
206.6
54.5
14,314.0
1993
221.3
1,731.4
4,151.0
3,541.7
2,455.2
1,458.1
668.0
214.5
55.2
14,496.3
1994
226.4
1,741.3
4,115.7
3,622.2
2,479.8
1,506.6
688.4
221.6
55.3
14,657.3
1995
238.6
1,713.8
4,111.1
3,638.1
2,556.0
1,548.9
709.3
228.8
57.3
14,802.0
1996
241.4
1,703.0
4,080.9
3,628.0
2,654.0
1,585.1
732.2
236.6
58.1
14,919.3
1997
243.3
1,687.3
4,035.9
3,650.9
2,720.3
1,618.1
757.8
245.4
60.1
15,019.1
1998
250.9
1,703.0
3,976.4
3,655.8
2,772.4
1,660.2
782.2
253.5
61.8
15,116.2
1999
257.4
1,722.5
3,974.0
3,634.2
2,841.1
1,682.5
809.7
260.3
63.0
15,244.8
2000
263.4
1,763.3
4,099.4
3,650.6
2,861.9
1,744.9
833.8
267.3
64.3
15,548.8
2001
275.9
1,811.0
4,078.8
3,633.9
2,861.7
1,818.9
854.3
276.3
64.3
15,675.1
2002
295.7
1,860.7
4,116.7
3,606.7
2,886.3
1,867.0
874.4
287.1
65.9
15,860.6
2003
316.6
1,920.1
4,211.7
3,563.2
2,897.9
1,907.1
900.2
297.0
67.5
16,081.3
2004
320.8
2,031.1
4,294.8
3,568.2
2,887.0
1,957.1
914.9
308.6
69.1
16,351.5
2005
316.5
2,162.0
4,394.1
3,570.5
2,901.7
1,973.1
951.0
317.8
70.7
16,657.5
2006
341.3
2,253.2
4,538.2
3,596.0
2,893.8
1,977.8
994.0
325.2
72.5
16,992.1
2007
391.0
2,265.5
4,751.8
3,649.6
2,877.9
1,998.8
1,020.7
332.9
75.1
17,363.3
2008
410.3
2,349.2
4,982.2
3,755.3
2,848.0
2,010.3
1,043.1
342.9
77.3
17,818.6
2009
409.3
2,568.7
5,191.4
3,848.9
2,857.5
2,005.9
1,070.0
348.3
79.8
18,379.8
2010
417.1
2,805.1
5,362.1
3,955.5
2,866.1
2,020.0
1,079.4
362.8
81.6
18,949.5
Female
1975
194.5
1,225.1
2,614.9
1,971.5
1,378.6
834.6
355.4
91.3
14.4
8,680.2
1980
239.7
1,470.3
3,034.6
2,445.8
1,697.9
1,063.1
537.4
172.0
32.2
10,693.0
1985
235.1
1,664.4
3,358.6
2,822.1
2,111.1
1,325.2
696.9
266.9
63.3
12,543.5
1990
213.5
1,639.6
3,665.9
3,099.8
2,436.9
1,642.6
877.8
340.1
98.9
14,015.0
1991
213.1
1,614.6
3,654.8
3,206.5
2,493.5
1,700.2
925.2
354.7
107.1
14,269.7
1992
217.9
1,616.7
3,682.3
3,281.6
2,541.4
1,758.6
979.0
383.6
114.4
14,575.6
1993
228.3
1,601.8
3,682.3
3,334.6
2,607.5
1,804.7
1,026.5
406.5
120.2
14,812.5
1994
234.2
1,616.5
3,640.7
3,414.9
2,626.4
1,868.1
1,069.4
429.4
125.1
15,024.7
1995
245.3
1,606.6
3,622.4
3,454.6
2,691.1
1,920.7
1,104.9
451.9
132.7
15,230.3
1996
250.9
1,613.7
3,595.1
3,443.3
2,790.0
1,965.1
1,139.1
474.0
137.5
15,408.8
1997
259.2
1,623.3
3,585.3
3,489.0
2,873.2
2,017.7
1,181.3
497.1
145.5
15,671.7
1998
268.8
1,661.5
3,555.9
3,500.0
2,926.9
2,075.2
1,214.5
518.2
151.9
15,872.9
1999
280.7
1,698.9
3,576.9
3,467.9
3,000.5
2,093.4
1,253.2
534.4
157.0
16,063.0
2000
291.3
1,760.0
3,654.6
3,457.6
3,034.7
2,148.7
1,284.7
546.3
164.2
16,342.2
2001
305.7
1,823.3
3,695.6
3,430.4
3,025.0
2,226.3
1,314.2
563.9
170.9
16,555.3
2002
329.2
1,884.8
3,755.0
3,413.4
3,037.0
2,272.1
1,343.0
582.9
179.6
16,797.1
2003
353.3
1,952.6
3,857.0
3,378.8
3,040.6
2,308.9
1,380.2
600.6
186.9
17,058.9
2004
359.3
2,072.2
3,948.4
3,398.1
3,008.7
2,365.5
1,395.0
624.3
194.1
17,365.5
2005
355.2
2,214.8
4,043.2
3,430.5
2,992.1
2,392.0
1,434.3
642.1
200.8
17,705.0
2006
383.2
2,320.5
4,185.4
3,477.7
2,970.1
2,387.3
1,489.8
656.7
206.9
18,077.5
2007
442.4
2,352.6
4,397.2
3,536.6
2,957.3
2,398.3
1,521.7
671.6
214.5
18,492.3
2008
469.7
2,463.7
4,634.8
3,641.7
2,928.8
2,402.7
1,547.9
691.0
220.8
19,001.1
2009
473.5
2,714.5
4,850.7
3,735.7
2,946.9
2,378.9
1,586.2
698.5
229.0
19,613.9
2010
487.4
2,980.8
5,036.7
3,833.7
2,977.1
2,368.0
1,605.1
719.6
234.6
20,243.0
Total
1975
412.6
2,450.2
5,912.8
4,384.7
2,948.2
1,761.9
752.0
202.2
33.3
18,858.0
1980
481.6
2,894.3
6,684.0
5,196.9
3,474.1
2,055.7
1,008.3
318.2
62.2
22,175.4
1985
458.1
3,354.0
7,195.0
5,888.6
4,158.8
2,463.9
1,208.2
443.9
105.5
25,276.0
1990
418.9
3,353.2
7,789.9
6,399.1
4,753.5
2,974.1
1,472.7
532.9
150.4
27,844.7
1991
423.8
3,336.2
7,770.9
6,617.3
4,857.9
3,072.1
1,544.6
551.3
160.4
28,334.4
1992
435.7
3,350.4
7,828.8
6,767.9
4,946.3
3,177.2
1,624.2
590.2
168.9
28,889.6
1993
449.7
3,333.1
7,833.4
6,876.3
5,062.7
3,262.7
1,694.5
621.0
175.4
29,308.9
1994
460.6
3,357.8
7,756.4
7,037.1
5,106.2
3,374.7
1,757.8
651.0
180.3
29,681.9
1995
483.9
3,320.5
7,733.5
7,092.7
5,247.1
3,469.6
1,814.2
680.7
190.0
30,032.3
1996
492.3
3,316.7
7,676.0
7,071.3
5,444.0
3,550.2
1,871.4
710.6
195.6
30,328.0
1997
502.4
3,310.7
7,621.2
7,139.9
5,593.6
3,635.8
1,939.2
742.5
205.6
30,690.8
1998
519.7
3,364.5
7,532.3
7,155.8
5,699.3
3,735.3
1,996.7
771.7
213.7
30,989.0
1999
538.2
3,421.4
7,550.9
7,102.1
5,841.6
3,775.8
2,063.0
794.8
220.0
31,307.7
2000
554.6
3,523.2
7,754.1
7,108.2
5,896.6
3,893.6
2,118.5
813.6
228.5
31,891.0
2001
581.6
3,634.3
7,774.4
7,064.3
5,886.8
4,045.2
2,168.5
840.2
235.2
32,230.4
2002
625.0
3,745.5
7,871.7
7,020.1
5,923.3
4,139.1
2,217.4
870.0
245.6
32,657.7
2003
669.9
3,872.7
8,068.7
6,942.0
5,938.5
4,215.9
2,280.3
897.6
254.4
33,140.2
2004
680.0
4,103.3
8,243.2
6,966.3
5,895.7
4,322.6
2,309.8
932.8
263.2
33,717.0
2005
671.7
4,376.7
8,437.3
7,001.0
5,893.8
4,365.2
2,385.4
959.9
271.5
34,362.5
2006
724.5
4,573.8
8,723.6
7,073.7
5,863.9
4,365.1
2,483.8
981.9
279.4
35,069.6
2007
833.4
4,618.1
9,148.9
7,186.2
5,835.2
4,397.1
2,542.4
1,004.5
289.6
35,855.5
2008
880.0
4,812.9
9,617.0
7,397.1
5,776.8
4,413.0
2,591.0
1,033.9
298.1
36,819.8
2009
882.8
5,283.2
10,042.2
7,584.6
5,804.5
4,384.8
2,656.2
1,046.8
308.8
37,993.7
2010
904.5
5,785.9
10,398.8
7,789.2
5,843.2
4,387.9
2,684.4
1,082.4
316.3
39,192.6

Source: Numbers of retired and disabled workers and insured widows and widowers in force shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001