Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B55—Awards to Young Widow(er)s of Deceased Workers, Per 1,000 Awards to
Eligible Children of Deceased Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years, 1975-2010)
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Widow |
|
2.900 |
20.340 |
36.250 |
43.870 |
55.990 |
70.820 |
82.140 |
72.010 |
38.650 |
11.520 |
0.900 |
435.410 |
|
2.530 |
18.980 |
34.500 |
45.880 |
57.830 |
72.780 |
82.430 |
74.510 |
43.030 |
12.930 |
1.060 |
446.460 |
|
2.630 |
20.870 |
38.060 |
50.030 |
64.290 |
77.000 |
84.630 |
77.340 |
44.090 |
13.650 |
1.160 |
473.750 |
|
2.790 |
20.470 |
36.450 |
50.070 |
64.170 |
73.910 |
79.510 |
72.060 |
43.720 |
13.340 |
1.150 |
457.620 |
|
2.590 |
21.820 |
38.810 |
53.790 |
66.910 |
74.500 |
78.200 |
70.750 |
43.160 |
13.460 |
1.110 |
465.090 |
|
2.690 |
22.170 |
40.020 |
57.070 |
70.520 |
75.670 |
76.230 |
69.990 |
44.180 |
14.340 |
1.170 |
474.050 |
|
2.280 |
21.440 |
41.330 |
58.080 |
72.760 |
77.240 |
75.670 |
66.310 |
42.180 |
14.800 |
1.230 |
473.330 |
|
2.160 |
19.550 |
41.780 |
58.800 |
71.800 |
70.010 |
60.330 |
50.690 |
32.850 |
12.690 |
1.170 |
421.830 |
|
2.050 |
20.820 |
41.390 |
57.150 |
71.210 |
71.650 |
59.080 |
47.330 |
32.140 |
13.260 |
1.340 |
417.410 |
|
1.800 |
18.470 |
40.230 |
55.380 |
69.890 |
66.700 |
52.570 |
39.450 |
22.140 |
10.320 |
1.500 |
378.450 |
|
1.590 |
17.390 |
39.750 |
57.680 |
70.960 |
64.640 |
49.810 |
35.750 |
20.380 |
9.270 |
1.480 |
368.720 |
|
1.470 |
17.000 |
41.260 |
58.470 |
69.750 |
63.990 |
47.080 |
33.040 |
19.000 |
9.290 |
1.170 |
361.530 |
|
1.450 |
15.130 |
37.820 |
57.660 |
67.070 |
63.070 |
44.520 |
30.610 |
17.030 |
8.660 |
1.420 |
344.440 |
|
1.450 |
14.560 |
36.540 |
56.510 |
65.200 |
60.580 |
42.780 |
26.700 |
16.120 |
8.050 |
1.320 |
329.810 |
|
1.230 |
13.290 |
33.880 |
54.900 |
62.860 |
59.210 |
39.860 |
24.460 |
13.810 |
7.390 |
1.630 |
312.510 |
|
1.270 |
12.310 |
32.090 |
52.950 |
62.240 |
57.320 |
37.010 |
22.790 |
12.090 |
6.820 |
1.560 |
298.470 |
|
1.160 |
12.230 |
30.260 |
51.250 |
61.400 |
55.600 |
38.470 |
21.350 |
11.880 |
6.680 |
1.680 |
291.980 |
|
1.060 |
10.910 |
26.440 |
47.700 |
58.610 |
54.700 |
38.650 |
21.300 |
10.970 |
5.760 |
1.600 |
277.700 |
|
.900 |
10.650 |
24.780 |
45.700 |
59.230 |
53.050 |
37.420 |
20.530 |
11.020 |
5.660 |
1.430 |
270.370 |
|
.950 |
9.540 |
22.640 |
43.890 |
57.250 |
52.540 |
37.230 |
19.930 |
10.190 |
5.230 |
1.410 |
260.810 |
|
.900 |
9.010 |
21.500 |
40.240 |
55.110 |
52.430 |
36.300 |
18.140 |
9.140 |
5.220 |
1.500 |
249.500 |
|
.790 |
7.730 |
19.770 |
36.710 |
54.210 |
51.960 |
35.760 |
19.000 |
9.140 |
4.880 |
1.410 |
241.360 |
|
.720 |
7.290 |
17.940 |
32.540 |
49.220 |
49.720 |
35.370 |
19.370 |
8.920 |
5.160 |
1.500 |
227.760 |
|
.710 |
7.320 |
17.430 |
29.660 |
46.740 |
49.970 |
35.620 |
19.770 |
8.920 |
4.910 |
1.530 |
222.590 |
|
.600 |
6.810 |
15.760 |
28.420 |
45.290 |
49.680 |
36.430 |
20.350 |
9.050 |
4.480 |
1.510 |
218.370 |
|
.500 |
6.330 |
14.940 |
25.820 |
41.700 |
47.270 |
35.430 |
19.010 |
8.240 |
4.150 |
3.210 |
206.590 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
1.560 |
212.380 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
1.560 |
212.380 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
1.560 |
212.380 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
1.820 |
212.640 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
2.080 |
212.900 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
2.340 |
213.160 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
2.600 |
213.420 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
2.860 |
213.680 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
3.120 |
213.940 |
|
.570 |
6.650 |
15.630 |
27.330 |
43.730 |
48.520 |
35.790 |
19.580 |
8.620 |
4.390 |
3.120 |
213.940 |
Widower |
|
.130 |
.890 |
1.580 |
1.910 |
2.440 |
3.080 |
3.580 |
3.140 |
1.680 |
.500 |
.040 |
18.960 |
|
.150 |
1.090 |
1.980 |
2.640 |
3.330 |
4.190 |
4.750 |
4.280 |
2.480 |
.750 |
.060 |
25.710 |
|
.170 |
1.370 |
2.510 |
3.290 |
4.240 |
5.080 |
5.580 |
5.100 |
2.910 |
.900 |
.080 |
31.230 |
|
.180 |
1.310 |
2.330 |
3.200 |
4.110 |
4.730 |
5.100 |
4.620 |
2.800 |
.850 |
.080 |
29.310 |
|
.170 |
1.390 |
2.470 |
3.430 |
4.270 |
4.750 |
4.990 |
4.510 |
2.750 |
.860 |
.070 |
29.660 |
|
.210 |
1.750 |
3.150 |
4.500 |
5.560 |
5.970 |
6.020 |
5.530 |
3.490 |
1.130 |
.090 |
37.420 |
|
.180 |
1.750 |
3.370 |
4.730 |
5.930 |
6.300 |
6.170 |
5.400 |
3.450 |
1.210 |
.100 |
38.610 |
|
.180 |
1.610 |
3.430 |
4.830 |
5.900 |
5.750 |
4.960 |
4.170 |
2.700 |
1.040 |
.090 |
34.660 |
|
.020 |
.710 |
3.040 |
5.000 |
6.120 |
6.230 |
5.160 |
3.950 |
2.500 |
1.160 |
.020 |
33.890 |
|
.030 |
.620 |
2.780 |
4.420 |
6.080 |
5.810 |
4.770 |
3.350 |
2.350 |
.970 |
.080 |
31.260 |
|
.010 |
.570 |
2.420 |
4.270 |
5.840 |
5.200 |
4.620 |
3.000 |
1.850 |
1.070 |
.040 |
28.900 |
|
.020 |
.610 |
2.510 |
4.690 |
5.740 |
5.780 |
4.310 |
2.830 |
1.910 |
.850 |
.040 |
29.270 |
|
.040 |
.570 |
2.600 |
4.640 |
6.170 |
5.870 |
4.350 |
2.730 |
1.750 |
.790 |
.050 |
29.550 |
|
.010 |
.480 |
2.310 |
4.300 |
5.580 |
5.370 |
4.130 |
2.530 |
1.480 |
.820 |
.030 |
27.040 |
|
.020 |
.500 |
2.190 |
4.240 |
5.590 |
5.350 |
3.850 |
2.110 |
1.390 |
.630 |
.060 |
25.920 |
|
.030 |
.470 |
1.990 |
4.310 |
5.340 |
5.730 |
3.870 |
2.200 |
1.350 |
.640 |
.040 |
25.960 |
|
.010 |
.470 |
1.880 |
4.050 |
5.950 |
6.090 |
4.340 |
2.640 |
1.300 |
.620 |
.050 |
27.410 |
|
.020 |
.460 |
1.860 |
4.230 |
5.950 |
6.190 |
4.580 |
2.530 |
1.160 |
.590 |
.050 |
27.620 |
|
.020 |
.420 |
1.600 |
3.790 |
5.600 |
5.850 |
4.720 |
2.580 |
1.190 |
.560 |
.040 |
26.360 |
|
.010 |
.450 |
1.540 |
3.560 |
5.340 |
5.660 |
4.410 |
2.720 |
1.260 |
.550 |
.040 |
25.540 |
|
.030 |
.320 |
1.400 |
3.150 |
5.360 |
5.660 |
5.040 |
2.390 |
1.260 |
.560 |
.040 |
25.200 |
|
.020 |
.340 |
1.260 |
3.030 |
4.510 |
5.040 |
4.580 |
2.560 |
1.150 |
.470 |
.010 |
22.960 |
|
.010 |
.300 |
1.280 |
2.290 |
3.730 |
4.940 |
4.160 |
2.460 |
1.320 |
.460 |
.010 |
20.960 |
|
.040 |
.230 |
1.210 |
2.540 |
4.120 |
5.200 |
4.340 |
2.550 |
1.280 |
.480 |
.060 |
22.050 |
|
.010 |
.260 |
1.090 |
2.300 |
3.600 |
5.370 |
4.670 |
2.790 |
1.130 |
.530 |
.060 |
21.810 |
|
.000 |
.320 |
1.200 |
2.280 |
3.810 |
4.970 |
4.490 |
3.000 |
1.260 |
.620 |
.060 |
22.000 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.050 |
21.930 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.050 |
21.930 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.050 |
21.930 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.050 |
21.940 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.060 |
21.950 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.070 |
21.950 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.080 |
21.960 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.080 |
21.970 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.090 |
21.980 |
|
.010 |
.290 |
1.170 |
2.330 |
3.790 |
5.150 |
4.520 |
2.850 |
1.220 |
.560 |
.090 |
21.980 |
Sources:
· Historical figures computed by dividing the number of awards by the number of awards to eligible children of deceased workers and multiplying by 1,000. Eligible children of deceased workers are minor child beneficiaries under age 16 and disabled child beneficiaries.
· Future figures projected based on historical trend and judgment.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001