Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B56—Awards to Young Widow(er)s of Deceased Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Widow |
|
0.7 |
5.2 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
14.3 |
18.1 |
21.0 |
18.4 |
9.9 |
2.9 |
0.2 |
111.4 |
|
.6 |
4.7 |
8.4 |
12.0 |
14.9 |
15.9 |
16.1 |
14.8 |
9.3 |
3.0 |
.2 |
99.9 |
|
.3 |
3.2 |
7.2 |
10.5 |
12.9 |
11.7 |
9.1 |
6.5 |
3.7 |
1.7 |
.3 |
67.0 |
|
.2 |
2.2 |
5.7 |
9.3 |
11.0 |
10.1 |
6.5 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
.3 |
52.6 |
|
.2 |
2.2 |
5.4 |
9.2 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
6.9 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
.3 |
52.5 |
|
.2 |
2.0 |
4.9 |
8.8 |
10.8 |
10.0 |
7.1 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
.3 |
51.0 |
|
.2 |
2.0 |
4.7 |
8.6 |
11.2 |
10.0 |
7.1 |
3.9 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
.3 |
51.0 |
|
.2 |
1.8 |
4.3 |
8.3 |
10.9 |
10.0 |
7.1 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
.3 |
49.5 |
|
.2 |
1.7 |
4.0 |
7.5 |
10.3 |
9.8 |
6.8 |
3.4 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
.3 |
46.6 |
|
.1 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
6.6 |
9.8 |
9.4 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
.9 |
.3 |
43.5 |
|
.1 |
1.3 |
3.1 |
5.6 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
.9 |
.3 |
39.3 |
|
.1 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
8.0 |
8.6 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
.8 |
.3 |
38.1 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
.8 |
.3 |
37.5 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
3.3 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.6 |
36.2 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
7.5 |
8.3 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
.8 |
.3 |
36.4 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
.7 |
.3 |
36.0 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
6.0 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
.7 |
.3 |
35.7 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
3.3 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.3 |
35.4 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
5.9 |
3.2 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.3 |
35.0 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
4.4 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
5.8 |
3.2 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.4 |
34.5 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
5.7 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.4 |
34.0 |
|
.1 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
5.6 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
.7 |
.5 |
33.6 |
|
.1 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
.7 |
.5 |
33.2 |
|
.1 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
5.5 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
.7 |
.5 |
32.8 |
Widower |
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.5 |
.6 |
.8 |
.9 |
.8 |
.4 |
.1 |
|
4.9 |
|
|
.4 |
.7 |
.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
.7 |
.2 |
|
7.9 |
|
|
.1 |
.4 |
.8 |
1.1 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.3 |
.2 |
|
5.3 |
|
|
.1 |
.4 |
.8 |
.9 |
1.0 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
4.6 |
|
|
.1 |
.3 |
.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
4.9 |
|
|
.1 |
.3 |
.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
5.1 |
|
|
.1 |
.3 |
.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
.9 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
5.0 |
|
|
.1 |
.3 |
.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
4.8 |
|
|
.1 |
.3 |
.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
.9 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
4.7 |
|
|
.1 |
.2 |
.5 |
.8 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
4.1 |
|
|
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.6 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.7 |
.9 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.8 |
|
|
.1 |
.2 |
.4 |
.7 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.9 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.7 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.7 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.9 |
.8 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.6 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.6 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.6 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.5 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.5 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
.2 |
.4 |
.6 |
.8 |
.7 |
.4 |
.2 |
.1 |
|
3.4 |
Total |
|
.8 |
5.4 |
9.7 |
11.7 |
14.9 |
18.9 |
21.9 |
19.2 |
10.3 |
3.1 |
.2 |
116.2 |
|
.6 |
5.0 |
9.1 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
17.2 |
17.3 |
15.9 |
10.0 |
3.3 |
.3 |
107.8 |
|
.3 |
3.3 |
7.7 |
11.3 |
14.0 |
12.7 |
9.9 |
7.0 |
4.0 |
1.9 |
.3 |
72.2 |
|
.2 |
2.3 |
6.0 |
10.1 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
7.2 |
4.4 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
.3 |
57.2 |
|
.2 |
2.3 |
5.8 |
9.9 |
12.1 |
11.1 |
7.7 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
.3 |
57.4 |
|
.2 |
2.1 |
5.2 |
9.5 |
11.8 |
11.2 |
7.9 |
4.4 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
.3 |
56.0 |
|
.2 |
2.1 |
5.0 |
9.3 |
12.2 |
11.1 |
8.0 |
4.4 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
.3 |
56.0 |
|
.2 |
1.9 |
4.6 |
9.0 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
7.9 |
4.3 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
.3 |
54.4 |
|
.2 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
8.1 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
7.7 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
.3 |
51.3 |
|
.1 |
1.5 |
3.8 |
7.2 |
10.6 |
10.3 |
7.3 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
.3 |
47.7 |
|
.1 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
6.0 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
6.8 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
.3 |
42.9 |
|
.1 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
5.5 |
8.7 |
9.4 |
6.8 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
.9 |
.3 |
41.9 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
5.3 |
8.4 |
9.5 |
7.1 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
.9 |
.3 |
41.3 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
8.0 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
3.9 |
1.7 |
.8 |
.6 |
40.0 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
8.1 |
9.2 |
6.9 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
.8 |
.3 |
40.1 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
6.8 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
.8 |
.3 |
39.7 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
6.8 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
.8 |
.3 |
39.4 |
|
.1 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
7.9 |
8.9 |
6.7 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
.8 |
.3 |
39.0 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
7.8 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
.8 |
.4 |
38.6 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
6.5 |
3.6 |
1.6 |
.8 |
.4 |
38.0 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
6.4 |
3.6 |
1.6 |
.8 |
.4 |
37.5 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.7 |
7.5 |
8.4 |
6.3 |
3.5 |
1.5 |
.8 |
.5 |
37.1 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
6.3 |
3.5 |
1.5 |
.8 |
.5 |
36.6 |
|
.1 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
6.2 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
.8 |
.5 |
36.2 |
Sources:
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Future figures computed by applying award rate to the number of awards to eligible children of deceased workers. Eligible children of deceased workers are minor child beneficiaries under age 16 and disabled child beneficiaries.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001