Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B57—Young Widow(er)s of Deceased Workers With Benefits Withheld,
as a Percentage of Young Widow(er)s In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  17-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-66
  Total
Widow
1975
5.132
6.009
8.117
8.119
8.345
9.743
11.720
12.112
12.112
9.514
9.064
10.368
1976
4.959
5.905
7.986
7.989
8.214
9.620
11.603
11.989
11.991
9.348
9.116
10.217
1977
5.077
5.840
7.945
7.948
8.169
9.572
11.561
11.950
11.949
9.319
9.040
10.144
1978
5.042
5.843
7.876
8.314
8.185
9.690
11.345
12.173
12.016
9.495
9.041
10.174
1979
4.554
5.698
7.612
8.039
8.112
9.554
11.171
11.776
11.423
8.893
8.543
9.854
1980
4.675
6.380
7.483
8.118
8.056
9.456
14.371
11.489
11.212
8.610
9.091
10.314
1981
3.256
5.826
7.120
8.106
8.431
10.084
13.427
11.896
11.502
8.078
9.317
10.265
1982
4.138
7.157
8.619
9.932
10.582
12.559
14.188
14.314
13.730
9.385
10.920
12.074
1983
3.704
7.048
8.510
9.949
10.390
12.300
14.213
14.353
14.975
9.827
9.117
11.743
1984
5.133
7.281
9.215
10.643
11.452
13.443
15.363
15.290
15.643
9.966
8.458
12.603
1985
5.896
7.112
9.242
10.151
11.240
13.569
15.295
15.386
15.650
9.830
7.771
12.465
1986
6.868
7.812
9.718
10.797
12.067
14.395
15.965
15.631
16.123
10.462
8.160
13.078
1987
5.714
8.379
10.931
12.585
13.880
16.297
17.998
17.281
17.073
10.959
9.130
14.705
1988
8.625
9.359
11.226
12.601
14.226
16.463
18.239
17.587
17.531
10.985
8.971
14.933
1989
7.022
8.787
10.939
12.210
13.765
16.482
17.768
17.587
17.492
10.538
7.242
14.648
1990
-44.957
-11.647
.904
8.021
15.215
19.618
21.418
21.772
20.377
17.496
42.784
15.144
1991
6.304
7.754
10.633
12.390
14.236
17.127
18.359
18.195
17.126
11.061
6.934
15.040
1992
5.686
8.566
9.947
11.070
13.433
16.813
19.288
19.135
17.195
10.712
6.431
14.794
1993
5.747
8.497
9.853
10.985
13.370
16.722
19.211
19.056
17.098
10.588
6.114
14.762
1994
5.861
7.576
10.291
11.480
13.213
15.875
18.110
17.752
17.217
10.459
5.983
14.413
1995
6.615
7.484
10.457
12.175
13.681
16.456
18.744
18.192
17.766
10.792
6.695
14.979
1996
11.211
9.745
14.730
18.177
21.652
25.501
26.367
22.088
19.137
11.345
7.143
21.575
1997
14.500
10.191
15.416
19.073
22.206
25.592
26.806
22.480
18.646
12.062
7.760
22.080
1998
11.050
11.943
16.648
20.487
22.863
25.816
26.701
23.088
18.472
11.897
7.883
22.624
1999
9.877
12.803
17.173
20.992
23.225
25.738
26.458
23.598
19.023
11.881
8.814
22.887
2000
12.081
13.181
17.738
21.893
23.603
25.741
26.555
24.278
19.442
12.050
18.658
23.369
2001
11.899
13.163
17.722
21.891
23.613
25.743
26.544
24.285
19.465
12.022
18.658
23.388
2002
12.142
13.162
17.709
21.900
23.618
25.745
26.551
24.315
19.512
12.055
18.658
23.399
2003
12.161
13.139
17.704
21.909
23.617
25.747
26.544
24.322
19.511
12.058
16.615
23.382
2004
12.159
13.160
17.709
21.909
23.614
25.750
26.546
24.328
19.486
12.026
15.473
23.358
2005
12.157
13.164
17.700
21.902
23.604
25.752
26.541
24.317
19.468
12.047
14.639
23.328
2006
12.155
13.164
17.710
21.897
23.604
25.755
26.542
24.317
19.473
12.058
14.113
23.294
2007
12.155
13.162
17.702
21.895
23.605
25.756
26.540
24.311
19.488
12.072
13.592
23.254
2008
12.156
13.161
17.702
21.892
23.609
25.755
26.541
24.306
19.490
12.064
13.257
23.219
2009
12.157
13.161
17.703
21.895
23.609
25.753
26.539
24.301
19.492
12.060
13.284
23.202
2010
12.157
13.161
17.704
21.893
23.608
25.750
26.539
24.298
19.487
12.053
13.223
23.185
Widower
1975
38.462
39.716
31.579
19.059
9.430
9.302
19.043
22.609
22.852
22.485
33.333
19.364
1976
43.478
43.165
35.000
23.248
13.770
13.863
23.181
26.637
26.635
26.496
20.000
23.410
1977
48.571
45.305
37.948
26.797
17.591
17.669
26.758
29.895
29.939
30.056
25.000
26.838
1978
27.273
45.813
40.137
30.390
22.808
21.945
28.868
33.485
35.262
31.030
16.129
29.494
1979
14.286
51.121
42.434
32.246
24.042
23.980
29.446
34.616
36.981
35.447
14.286
31.016
1980
16.667
43.265
39.457
32.736
22.355
24.899
28.808
35.769
36.286
36.564
18.182
30.800
1981
27.273
45.420
39.685
33.451
26.092
27.087
31.385
37.563
39.537
37.612
25.714
32.799
1982
37.500
47.037
40.593
34.437
29.066
28.916
33.903
39.561
42.901
39.077
28.571
34.765
1983
28.571
45.185
39.509
34.943
29.160
28.350
33.358
38.130
39.481
38.472
40.625
33.518
1984
33.333
44.167
43.804
37.689
32.020
31.645
37.291
41.027
40.492
41.873
37.931
36.368
1985
50.000
45.946
42.696
37.862
33.989
32.340
38.380
41.399
42.895
41.069
33.333
37.108
1986
75.000
45.161
45.075
41.421
37.433
36.650
40.611
44.204
44.334
41.029
33.333
40.117
1987
.000
42.105
46.457
43.245
40.813
38.877
42.591
47.989
46.751
43.692
38.235
42.513
1988
.000
42.187
44.242
43.206
40.724
38.273
42.111
48.601
46.039
44.240
48.718
42.149
1989
.000
45.294
40.906
42.473
39.443
38.652
40.527
45.801
46.741
44.681
46.809
41.110
1990
.000
24.845
32.884
37.660
39.598
41.541
44.410
48.151
49.038
53.420
52.941
41.714
1991
33.333
37.500
42.810
41.125
38.892
39.130
39.611
43.826
43.417
41.611
48.718
40.292
1992
.000
37.063
37.132
37.125
37.134
37.119
37.127
37.102
42.833
42.802
43.860
37.515
1993
-16.667
34.932
35.010
34.946
34.930
34.944
34.943
34.954
40.854
40.598
41.379
35.333
1994
33.333
31.944
37.143
33.018
33.757
33.734
34.635
38.308
37.280
40.000
55.882
34.774
1995
50.000
34.127
32.653
35.799
33.595
34.326
36.540
36.864
37.118
42.045
50.000
35.327
1996
.000
45.614
50.401
51.803
52.078
54.158
54.392
49.464
44.333
42.248
59.524
52.026
1997
25.000
40.708
50.693
52.427
54.184
53.733
53.103
48.501
43.475
44.603
67.442
51.997
1998
66.667
32.558
51.655
52.947
54.207
54.424
53.138
49.436
44.479
41.903
72.973
52.298
1999
50.000
42.857
48.068
54.413
54.677
54.894
51.478
49.374
43.361
41.837
73.913
52.118
2000
100.000
38.835
52.412
53.656
55.198
53.958
52.404
48.472
44.801
40.449
69.231
52.016
2001
37.546
38.892
52.034
53.666
55.139
54.000
52.392
48.417
44.834
40.658
69.231
51.927
2002
37.546
38.523
51.967
53.748
55.150
53.984
52.388
48.440
44.854
40.932
69.231
51.869
2003
37.546
38.594
51.908
53.671
55.148
53.931
52.384
48.456
44.823
40.860
65.668
51.792
2004
37.546
38.429
51.916
53.715
55.152
53.920
52.380
48.435
44.750
40.762
63.149
51.734
2005
37.546
38.588
51.911
53.624
55.171
53.939
52.387
48.435
44.783
40.743
61.309
51.702
2006
37.546
38.551
51.930
53.675
55.149
53.926
52.389
48.457
44.770
40.595
60.285
51.666
2007
37.546
38.550
51.986
53.670
55.166
53.906
52.375
48.434
44.789
40.514
59.225
51.631
2008
37.546
38.549
51.947
53.661
55.157
53.931
52.375
48.450
44.781
40.597
58.525
51.623
2009
37.546
38.549
51.966
53.670
55.154
53.946
52.382
48.448
44.785
40.715
58.797
51.620
2010
37.546
38.549
51.950
53.675
55.159
53.955
52.378
48.436
44.778
40.763
58.718
51.613

Sources:

· Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.

· Future percentages projected based on historical trends.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001