Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Calendar period |
In force |
Withheld |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 |
2,433.2 |
0.190 |
4.6 |
... |
19.364 |
0.9 |
3.7 |
... |
2,397.4 |
.389 |
9.3 |
... |
23.410 |
2.2 |
7.1 |
... |
|
2,362.3 |
.609 |
14.4 |
... |
26.838 |
3.9 |
10.5 |
... |
|
2,291.5 |
.777 |
17.8 |
... |
29.494 |
5.3 |
12.6 |
... |
|
2,233.4 |
.939 |
21.0 |
... |
31.016 |
6.5 |
14.5 |
... |
|
2,170.2 |
1.062 |
23.1 |
... |
30.800 |
7.1 |
16.0 |
... |
|
2,103.4 |
1.237 |
26.0 |
... |
32.799 |
8.5 |
17.5 |
... |
|
2,042.3 |
1.380 |
28.2 |
... |
34.765 |
9.8 |
18.4 |
... |
|
1,501.0 |
1.742 |
26.1 |
... |
33.518 |
8.8 |
17.4 |
... |
|
1,475.7 |
1.842 |
27.2 |
... |
36.368 |
9.9 |
17.3 |
... |
|
1,454.2 |
1.909 |
27.8 |
... |
37.108 |
10.3 |
17.5 |
... |
|
1,429.7 |
1.826 |
26.1 |
... |
40.117 |
10.5 |
15.6 |
... |
|
1,410.1 |
1.853 |
26.1 |
... |
42.513 |
11.1 |
15.0 |
... |
|
1,407.1 |
1.842 |
25.9 |
... |
42.149 |
10.9 |
15.0 |
... |
|
1,419.7 |
1.857 |
26.4 |
... |
41.110 |
10.8 |
15.5 |
... |
|
1,435.6 |
1.851 |
26.6 |
... |
41.714 |
11.1 |
15.5 |
... |
|
1,456.6 |
1.873 |
27.3 |
... |
40.292 |
11.0 |
16.3 |
... |
|
1,483.5 |
1.697 |
25.2 |
... |
37.515 |
9.4 |
15.7 |
... |
|
1,510.3 |
1.615 |
24.4 |
... |
35.333 |
8.6 |
15.8 |
... |
|
1,537.4 |
1.534 |
23.6 |
... |
34.774 |
8.2 |
15.4 |
... |
|
1,556.5 |
1.507 |
23.5 |
... |
35.327 |
8.3 |
15.2 |
... |
|
1,566.6 |
1.441 |
22.6 |
... |
52.026 |
11.7 |
10.8 |
... |
|
1,568.6 |
1.368 |
21.5 |
... |
51.997 |
11.2 |
10.3 |
... |
|
1,570.7 |
1.337 |
21.0 |
... |
52.298 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
... |
|
1,573.8 |
1.314 |
20.7 |
... |
52.118 |
10.8 |
9.9 |
... |
|
1,578.8 |
1.296 |
20.5 |
... |
52.016 |
10.6 |
9.8 |
... |
|
1,586.3 |
1.285 |
20.4 |
0.004 |
54.872 |
11.2 |
9.2 |
-0.057 |
|
1,578.0 |
1.277 |
20.1 |
... |
51.929 |
10.5 |
9.7 |
... |
|
1,585.2 |
1.266 |
20.1 |
.004 |
54.802 |
11.0 |
9.1 |
-.057 |
|
1,576.7 |
1.258 |
19.8 |
... |
51.866 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
... |
|
1,582.6 |
1.249 |
19.8 |
.004 |
54.737 |
10.8 |
8.9 |
-.057 |
|
1,572.8 |
1.242 |
19.5 |
... |
51.792 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
... |
|
1,576.8 |
1.234 |
19.5 |
.004 |
54.676 |
10.6 |
8.8 |
-.057 |
|
1,565.1 |
1.230 |
19.2 |
... |
51.736 |
10.0 |
9.3 |
... |
|
1,566.4 |
1.224 |
19.2 |
.004 |
54.634 |
10.5 |
8.7 |
-.057 |
|
1,552.1 |
1.221 |
19.0 |
... |
51.702 |
9.8 |
9.2 |
... |
|
1,551.4 |
1.217 |
18.9 |
.004 |
54.602 |
10.3 |
8.6 |
-.057 |
|
1,535.3 |
1.215 |
18.7 |
... |
51.667 |
9.6 |
9.0 |
... |
|
1,534.6 |
1.211 |
18.6 |
.004 |
54.567 |
10.1 |
8.4 |
-.057 |
|
1,518.7 |
1.209 |
18.4 |
... |
51.628 |
9.5 |
8.9 |
... |
|
1,518.8 |
1.204 |
18.3 |
.004 |
54.545 |
10.0 |
8.3 |
-.057 |
|
1,503.8 |
1.202 |
18.1 |
... |
51.621 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
... |
|
1,504.9 |
1.197 |
18.0 |
.004 |
54.542 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
-.057 |
|
1,491.1 |
1.194 |
17.8 |
... |
51.621 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
... |
|
1,493.3 |
1.188 |
17.7 |
.004 |
54.538 |
9.7 |
8.1 |
-.057 |
|
1,480.6 |
1.184 |
17.5 |
... |
51.614 |
9.1 |
8.5 |
... |
1 This benefit was not payable until March 19, 1975. 2 1982 and earlier includes all minor and disabled children of deceased workers; 1983 and later includes minor children under age 16 and all disabled children of deceased workers. |
· Numbers of minor and disabled children of deceased workers shown earlier.
· Ratios of number in force to number of minor and disabled children computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers in force from In Force Table; future end of December figures computed by applying single year of age award rates (awards per minor survivor child under age 16 and disabled survivor child awards) and termination rates; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
· Historical ratios of number withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future end of December ratios projected to remain at last known rate by single year of age; future end of June ratios computed by dividing corresponding numbers.
· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force; future end of December figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force; future June figures computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force.
· Historical numbers in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future end of December figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force; future end of June figures interpolated using last historical ratio of June figure to average of December figures (excess).
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001