Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B72—Aged Wives of Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age, end of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
Withheld
Percent of aged wife beneficiaries in force
  62-64
  65 or older
  Total
  62-64
  65 or older
  Total
1975
21.6
60.4
82.0
4.862
2.623
2.984
1976
9.8
63.2
72.9
2.223
2.714
2.636
1977
10.7
53.5
64.2
2.382
2.279
2.296
1978
8.6
57.8
66.4
1.966
2.438
2.365
1979
9.8
67.3
77.1
2.268
2.804
2.722
1980
8.8
64.4
73.2
2.020
2.662
2.564
1981
11.1
59.1
70.2
2.510
2.428
2.441
1982
9.5
60.1
69.6
2.103
2.457
2.401
1983
9.6
46.3
55.9
2.040
1.879
1.905
1984
9.6
45.7
55.3
1.965
1.849
1.868
1985
11.9
44.5
56.4
2.440
1.782
1.890
1986
12.9
48.8
61.7
2.673
1.929
2.048
1987
15.9
55.7
71.5
3.322
2.180
2.359
1988
15.4
60.5
75.9
3.293
2.354
2.499
1989
14.1
63.6
77.7
3.100
2.451
2.548
1990
14.7
64.7
79.3
3.292
2.472
2.591
1991
15.1
67.1
82.2
3.428
2.550
2.676
1992
15.9
71.3
87.2
3.660
2.688
2.825
1993
16.2
79.3
95.5
3.823
2.988
3.103
1994
15.8
87.6
103.4
3.850
3.304
3.377
1995
15.3
97.9
113.1
3.988
3.692
3.729
1996
14.5
106.5
121.0
4.030
4.040
4.039
1997
14.7
114.7
129.4
4.306
4.381
4.372
1998
14.9
123.5
138.4
4.520
4.778
4.749
1999
15.6
132.6
148.2
4.872
5.193
5.157
2000
12.0
123.6
135.5
3.766
4.888
4.762
2001-II
12.2
123.3
135.5
3.833
4.903
4.783
2001-IV
12.5
123.3
135.8
3.901
4.918
4.803
2002-II
12.8
123.1
135.9
3.968
4.934
4.823
2002-IV
13.1
123.2
136.3
4.035
4.949
4.844
2003-II
13.4
123.1
136.5
4.102
4.965
4.864
2003-IV
13.8
123.2
136.9
4.170
4.980
4.885
2004-II
14.0
123.1
137.1
4.237
4.995
4.906
2004-IV
14.2
123.2
137.4
4.304
5.011
4.927
2005-II
14.4
123.1
137.5
4.372
5.026
4.949
2005-IV
14.6
123.2
137.7
4.439
5.042
4.970
2006-II
14.9
123.1
138.0
4.506
5.057
4.991
2006-IV
15.2
123.3
138.5
4.574
5.073
5.013
2007-II
15.5
123.4
139.0
4.641
5.088
5.034
2007-IV
15.8
123.8
139.6
4.708
5.103
5.055
2008-II
16.0
123.9
140.0
4.775
5.119
5.077
2008-IV
16.2
124.3
140.5
4.843
5.134
5.099
2009-II
16.4
124.2
140.6
4.910
5.150
5.120
2009-IV
16.6
124.3
140.9
4.977
5.165
5.142
2010-II
16.8
124.2
141.0
5.045
5.180
5.164
2010-IV
17.0
124.2
141.2
5.112
5.196
5.186

Sources:

· Historical numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed as number in force minus number in current-payment status; future numbers of beneficiaries withheld computed by applying applicable percentage to number of beneficiaries in force.

· Historical percentages of aged wives computed by dividing number withheld by number in force; future percentages for each age group projected to increase to ultimate rate based on historical pattern and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001