Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B76—Aged Husbands of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widowers of Deceased
Workers, Under Age 65, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period |
Uninsured male population age 60-64 |
Aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries under age 65 |
Aged husband beneficiaries under age 65 |
Aged uninsured widower beneficiaries under age 65 |
Percent of uninsured male population age 60-64 |
Number |
Percent of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries under age 65 |
Number |
|
292.2 |
0.089 |
0.3 |
85.441 |
0.2 |
|
|
342.3 |
.076 |
.3 |
84.942 |
.2 |
|
|
326.5 |
1.133 |
3.7 |
93.348 |
3.5 |
0.2 |
|
381.1 |
1.151 |
4.4 |
89.922 |
3.9 |
.4 |
|
343.7 |
1.246 |
4.3 |
84.447 |
3.6 |
.7 |
|
365.5 |
1.102 |
4.0 |
80.507 |
3.2 |
.8 |
|
378.3 |
1.185 |
4.5 |
79.389 |
3.6 |
.9 |
|
428.1 |
1.155 |
4.9 |
78.463 |
3.9 |
1.1 |
|
344.0 |
1.652 |
5.7 |
77.455 |
4.4 |
1.3 |
|
437.0 |
1.438 |
6.3 |
77.543 |
4.9 |
1.4 |
|
387.4 |
1.661 |
6.4 |
77.754 |
5.0 |
1.4 |
|
398.6 |
1.792 |
7.1 |
69.919 |
5.0 |
2.1 |
|
389.7 |
1.814 |
7.1 |
68.492 |
4.8 |
2.2 |
|
425.8 |
1.480 |
6.3 |
71.882 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
|
409.8 |
1.497 |
6.1 |
62.983 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
|
367.5 |
1.604 |
5.9 |
60.180 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
|
377.7 |
1.367 |
5.2 |
60.786 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
|
396.9 |
1.224 |
4.9 |
59.671 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
|
357.7 |
1.393 |
5.0 |
59.049 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
|
402.8 |
1.104 |
4.4 |
66.059 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
|
329.8 |
1.310 |
4.3 |
64.676 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
|
362.0 |
1.133 |
4.1 |
60.054 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
|
311.9 |
1.265 |
3.9 |
57.740 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
|
376.1 |
1.039 |
3.9 |
56.536 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
|
351.7 |
1.139 |
4.0 |
58.887 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
373.1 |
1.146 |
4.3 |
59.055 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
|
367.0 |
1.148 |
4.2 |
60.000 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
|
360.7 |
1.150 |
4.1 |
60.000 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
|
356.1 |
1.152 |
4.1 |
60.000 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
|
351.0 |
1.154 |
4.1 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
345.5 |
1.156 |
4.0 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
339.5 |
1.158 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
339.4 |
1.161 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
339.2 |
1.163 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
335.4 |
1.165 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
|
331.5 |
1.167 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
|
336.6 |
1.169 |
3.9 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
341.6 |
1.171 |
4.0 |
60.000 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
349.6 |
1.173 |
4.1 |
60.000 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
|
357.5 |
1.176 |
4.2 |
60.000 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
|
362.9 |
1.178 |
4.3 |
60.000 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
|
368.4 |
1.180 |
4.3 |
60.000 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
|
373.4 |
1.182 |
4.4 |
60.000 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
|
378.4 |
1.184 |
4.5 |
60.000 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
|
387.5 |
1.186 |
4.6 |
60.000 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
|
396.6 |
1.189 |
4.7 |
60.000 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
Sources:
· Uninsured male population age 60-64 computed by subtracting insured male population age 60-64 (shown earlier) from population age 60-64 (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).
· Historical ratio to uninsured male population computed by dividing sum of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force under age 65 by uninsured male population age 60-64; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.
· Historical numbers of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured male population.
· Historical ratio of aged husband beneficiaries to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.
· Future numbers of aged husband beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.
· Future numbers of aged uninsured widower beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged husband beneficiaries from aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001