Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B8—Awards to Retired Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year |
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
|
441.0 |
342.2 |
8.7 |
110.5 |
902.4 |
|
487.5 |
312.5 |
6.4 |
135.7 |
942.1 |
|
563.8 |
287.0 |
7.8 |
124.0 |
982.6 |
|
566.6 |
272.5 |
12.9 |
115.1 |
967.0 |
|
577.5 |
286.2 |
14.4 |
113.9 |
991.9 |
|
586.4 |
282.2 |
15.0 |
115.6 |
999.2 |
|
571.1 |
269.1 |
14.9 |
114.4 |
969.5 |
|
562.7 |
249.9 |
14.3 |
112.3 |
939.2 |
|
546.2 |
245.3 |
14.9 |
117.5 |
923.9 |
|
536.4 |
235.1 |
13.7 |
116.8 |
902.0 |
|
530.4 |
229.0 |
15.9 |
120.4 |
895.7 |
|
531.2 |
230.6 |
15.5 |
117.5 |
894.9 |
|
554.1 |
245.1 |
17.1 |
124.0 |
940.4 |
|
574.7 |
394.4 |
21.8 |
125.6 |
1,116.5 |
|
580.3 |
232.6 |
13.0 |
125.5 |
951.5 |
|
593.4 |
267.9 |
10.8 |
129.3 |
1,001.4 |
|
614.4 |
279.3 |
9.4 |
113.2 |
1,016.4 |
|
662.6 |
288.7 |
8.6 |
116.2 |
1,076.2 |
|
694.0 |
298.0 |
8.5 |
120.5 |
1,121.0 |
|
693.1 |
309.6 |
8.6 |
126.0 |
1,137.2 |
|
689.5 |
334.6 |
8.7 |
133.4 |
1,166.2 |
|
766.1 |
354.2 |
8.4 |
143.9 |
1,272.6 |
|
857.7 |
374.1 |
8.0 |
181.9 |
1,421.7 |
|
875.8 |
372.4 |
8.1 |
178.2 |
1,434.6 |
Female |
|
375.9 |
170.1 |
9.6 |
47.8 |
603.4 |
|
429.2 |
166.1 |
7.4 |
67.8 |
670.6 |
|
471.6 |
153.8 |
9.1 |
65.3 |
699.8 |
|
458.7 |
157.1 |
9.0 |
62.3 |
687.1 |
|
454.2 |
163.1 |
10.0 |
61.1 |
688.4 |
|
461.9 |
166.0 |
10.5 |
62.9 |
701.3 |
|
451.4 |
162.4 |
10.8 |
63.2 |
687.8 |
|
455.6 |
154.1 |
10.7 |
64.1 |
684.5 |
|
448.0 |
155.4 |
12.7 |
68.1 |
684.2 |
|
448.5 |
149.7 |
10.6 |
69.7 |
678.5 |
|
454.9 |
165.4 |
128.0 |
73.8 |
822.1 |
|
462.3 |
158.2 |
41.1 |
74.2 |
735.9 |
|
479.0 |
165.5 |
23.2 |
81.0 |
748.8 |
|
507.8 |
227.1 |
23.4 |
84.5 |
842.8 |
|
519.0 |
163.3 |
20.3 |
87.6 |
790.2 |
|
532.0 |
169.0 |
18.8 |
93.6 |
813.4 |
|
555.1 |
168.2 |
16.6 |
84.2 |
824.1 |
|
603.0 |
172.5 |
14.7 |
87.5 |
877.7 |
|
638.4 |
178.9 |
13.9 |
92.2 |
923.5 |
|
642.4 |
189.2 |
12.6 |
97.7 |
942.0 |
|
647.0 |
208.0 |
12.3 |
104.6 |
971.8 |
|
729.2 |
224.8 |
12.7 |
114.8 |
1,081.4 |
|
823.6 |
235.8 |
13.0 |
147.2 |
1,219.6 |
|
844.2 |
236.7 |
13.3 |
146.2 |
1,240.3 |
Total |
|
816.8 |
512.3 |
18.3 |
158.3 |
1,505.8 |
|
916.8 |
478.6 |
13.9 |
203.5 |
1,612.7 |
|
1,035.4 |
440.8 |
16.9 |
189.3 |
1,682.4 |
|
1,025.3 |
429.6 |
21.9 |
177.3 |
1,654.1 |
|
1,031.6 |
449.3 |
24.3 |
175.0 |
1,680.2 |
|
1,048.3 |
448.2 |
25.5 |
178.5 |
1,700.5 |
|
1,022.5 |
431.5 |
25.7 |
177.6 |
1,657.3 |
|
1,018.3 |
404.0 |
25.0 |
176.4 |
1,623.8 |
|
994.2 |
400.7 |
27.6 |
185.6 |
1,608.1 |
|
984.9 |
384.8 |
24.3 |
186.4 |
1,580.4 |
|
985.3 |
394.4 |
143.9 |
194.2 |
1,717.8 |
|
993.5 |
388.9 |
56.7 |
191.7 |
1,630.7 |
|
1,033.1 |
410.6 |
40.3 |
205.1 |
1,689.2 |
|
1,082.6 |
621.5 |
45.2 |
210.1 |
1,959.4 |
|
1,099.3 |
395.9 |
33.3 |
213.1 |
1,741.6 |
|
1,125.4 |
436.9 |
29.6 |
223.0 |
1,814.8 |
|
1,169.6 |
447.5 |
26.0 |
197.4 |
1,840.5 |
|
1,265.6 |
461.2 |
23.3 |
203.7 |
1,953.9 |
|
1,332.4 |
477.0 |
22.4 |
212.8 |
2,044.5 |
|
1,335.5 |
498.8 |
21.2 |
223.7 |
2,079.2 |
|
1,336.4 |
542.6 |
21.0 |
237.9 |
2,138.0 |
|
1,495.3 |
579.1 |
21.1 |
258.6 |
2,354.1 |
|
1,681.3 |
609.9 |
21.0 |
329.1 |
2,641.3 |
|
1,720.0 |
609.0 |
21.4 |
324.4 |
2,674.9 |
Sources:
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Future figures computed by applying award rate to number of eligible nonretired workers (with adjustments at certain ages to account for discrepancies in underlying data).
· DI conversions shown in table III.A14.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001