Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B81—Aged Widowers of Deceased Workers With Benefits
In Current-Payment Status
(By age, end of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[In thousands]
Calendar period
60-64
65 or older
Total
  Insured
  Uninsured
  Total
  Insured
  Uninsured
  Total
  Insured
  Uninsured
  Total
1975
0.3
0.4
1.2
1.5
2.7
1.5
1.6
3.1
1976
.3
.4
1.2
1.5
2.7
1.5
1.6
3.1
1977
3.3
0.2
3.5
3.9
4.4
8.3
7.2
4.6
11.7
1978
4.5
.4
4.9
4.6
5.8
10.4
9.1
6.2
15.3
1979
5.5
.6
6.1
4.9
6.9
11.8
10.5
7.5
17.9
1980
6.5
.5
7.0
4.9
8.4
13.3
11.4
8.9
20.4
1981
7.7
.4
8.1
5.3
9.2
14.5
13.0
9.6
22.6
1982
8.9
.7
9.6
5.8
9.6
15.4
14.7
10.3
25.0
1983
10.8
.8
11.6
6.0
10.2
16.2
16.8
11.0
27.8
1984
11.6
.9
12.5
6.2
10.5
16.7
17.8
11.4
29.2
1985
11.9
.9
12.8
6.5
10.8
17.4
18.4
11.7
30.2
1986
12.4
1.6
14.0
6.7
11.4
18.1
19.0
13.0
32.1
1987
12.4
1.6
14.0
6.8
11.7
18.5
19.2
13.3
32.5
1988
12.3
1.7
14.0
6.8
12.0
18.9
19.1
13.7
32.9
1989
12.3
1.7
14.0
7.1
12.2
19.3
19.4
13.9
33.3
1990
12.5
1.7
14.3
7.3
12.5
19.8
19.8
14.2
34.1
1991
13.5
1.4
14.9
7.4
12.8
20.2
20.9
14.2
35.1
1992
14.2
1.7
15.9
7.7
12.9
20.6
21.9
14.5
36.5
1993
14.8
1.7
16.5
7.8
13.1
20.9
22.6
14.8
37.4
1994
15.1
1.3
16.4
9.1
12.0
21.1
24.2
13.3
37.5
1995
15.0
1.4
16.3
9.1
12.1
21.2
24.1
13.4
37.5
1996
15.0
1.5
16.5
10.8
10.6
21.3
25.8
12.0
37.8
1997
15.2
1.5
16.6
9.6
9.8
19.4
24.8
11.2
36.0
1998
15.2
1.5
16.7
9.5
9.7
19.1
24.7
11.2
35.8
1999
15.1
1.5
16.6
8.8
10.6
19.4
23.9
12.1
36.0
2000
15.5
1.4
16.9
8.8
11.1
19.9
24.3
12.5
36.8
2001-II
15.9
1.4
17.3
8.7
10.9
19.6
24.6
12.3
36.9
2001-IV
16.2
1.3
17.5
8.7
10.8
19.5
24.9
12.1
37.0
2002-II
16.7
1.4
18.1
8.7
10.8
19.4
25.4
12.2
37.5
2002-IV
17.1
1.3
18.4
8.7
10.8
19.5
25.8
12.1
37.9
2003-II
17.7
1.3
19.0
8.7
10.7
19.5
26.4
12.1
38.5
2003-IV
18.1
1.3
19.4
8.8
10.7
19.5
26.9
12.0
38.9
2004-II
18.6
1.3
19.9
8.8
10.7
19.5
27.4
12.0
39.4
2004-IV
19.0
1.3
20.2
8.9
10.6
19.5
27.8
11.9
39.7
2005-II
19.3
1.3
20.6
8.9
10.6
19.5
28.2
11.9
40.1
2005-IV
19.6
1.2
20.8
9.0
10.6
19.5
28.5
11.8
40.3
2006-II
20.1
1.3
21.4
9.0
10.5
19.5
29.1
11.8
41.0
2006-IV
20.5
1.3
21.8
9.1
10.5
19.6
29.7
11.8
41.4
2007-II
21.4
1.4
22.7
9.2
10.5
19.7
30.6
11.8
42.4
2007-IV
22.0
1.3
23.4
9.4
10.4
19.8
31.4
11.8
43.2
2008-II
22.8
1.4
24.2
9.5
10.4
19.9
32.3
11.9
44.1
2008-IV
23.3
1.4
24.7
9.7
10.4
20.1
33.0
11.8
44.8
2009-II
24.1
1.5
25.5
9.8
10.4
20.2
33.8
11.9
45.7
2009-IV
24.6
1.4
26.0
10.0
10.3
20.3
34.6
11.8
46.3
2010-II
25.4
1.5
26.9
10.0
10.3
20.4
35.4
11.9
47.3
2010-IV
26.0
1.5
27.5
10.2
10.3
20.5
36.2
11.8
48.0

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical total figures from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement.

· Historical split between insured and uninsured based on SSA administrative records.

· Future uninsured figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force.

· Future insured figures at end of calendar year shown earlier; future insured figures at end of June interpolated from year-end figures based on historical relationship.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001