Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B83—Special Age-72 Beneficiaries In Force, Withheld, and
In Current-Payment Status
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period
In force
Withheld
Number in
current-payment
status
Percent of
number from
6 months earlier
Number
Percent of
number
in force
Number
1975
93.997
374.9
40.327
151.2
223.7
1976
93.813
325.7
42.258
137.6
188.1
1977
93.237
279.5
42.941
120.0
159.5
1978
92.811
239.9
44.247
106.1
133.7
1979
93.212
207.2
45.886
95.1
112.1
1980
92.995
177.0
47.596
84.2
92.8
1981
93.034
150.8
49.381
74.5
76.3
1982
91.611
127.1
50.737
64.5
62.6
1983
91.542
103.1
50.661
52.2
50.8
1984
92.109
85.8
52.911
45.4
40.4
1985
92.138
71.4
55.645
39.7
31.7
1986
91.318
56.7
56.288
31.9
24.8
1987
88.555
45.2
57.930
26.2
19.0
1988
90.904
35.2
59.862
21.1
14.1
1989
91.575
28.8
64.210
18.5
10.3
1990
92.221
23.8
68.808
16.4
7.4
1991
92.724
20.1
73.599
14.8
5.3
1992
93.221
17.1
78.527
13.5
3.7
1993
94.244
14.9
83.529
12.5
2.5
1994
95.479
13.3
87.825
11.7
1.6
1995
96.071
12.1
91.533
11.1
1.0
1996
97.005
11.3
94.223
10.7
.7
1997
97.202
10.4
96.208
10.0
.4
1998
98.214
10.0
97.740
9.7
.2
1999
99.143
9.7
98.529
9.6
.1
2000
99.293
9.6
99.069
9.5
.1
2001-II
96.394
9.2
99.390
9.2
.1
2001-IV
97.521
9.0
99.656
9.0
(1)
2002-II
97.209
8.7
99.899
8.7
(1)
2002-IV
97.677
8.5
100.000
8.5
(1)
2003-II
97.384
8.3
100.000
8.3
(1)
2003-IV
97.824
8.1
100.000
8.1
(1)
2004-II
97.548
7.9
100.000
7.9
(1)
2004-IV
97.961
7.8
100.000
7.8
(1)
2005-II
97.703
7.6
100.000
7.6
(1)
2005-IV
98.090
7.4
100.000
7.4
(1)
2006-II
97.848
7.3
100.000
7.3
(1)
2006-IV
98.211
7.2
100.000
7.2
(1)
2007-II
97.984
7.0
100.000
7.0
(1)
2007-IV
98.325
6.9
100.000
6.9
(1)
2008-II
98.111
6.8
100.000
6.8
(1)
2008-IV
98.431
6.7
100.000
6.7
(1)
2009-II
98.231
6.5
100.000
6.5
(1)
2009-IV
98.531
6.4
100.000
6.4
(1)
2010-II
98.344
6.3
100.000
6.3
(1)
2010-IV
98.625
6.2
100.000
6.2
(1)

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical numbers of special age-72 beneficiaries in force from In Force Table; future numbers of special age-72 beneficiaries in force computed by applying ratio to number from 6 months earlier.

· Historical ratio of number of special age-72 beneficiaries to number from 6 months earlier computed by dividing corresponding numbers. Future ratios for special age-72 beneficiaries projected by exponential regression on time and quarterly dummy variables.

· Historical ratio of number of special age-72 beneficiaries withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected by regression.

· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in current-payment status from number in force; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force.

· Historical numbers in current-payment status from 1-A Table Current-Payment Supplement; future figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001