Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Year |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male |
|||||
0.1 |
0.2 |
||||
4.9 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
6.1 |
||
3.9 |
5.8 |
1.5 |
.1 |
11.4 |
|
4.4 |
5.6 |
1.5 |
.1 |
11.6 |
|
3.8 |
1.8 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.0 |
|
4.2 |
1.8 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.3 |
|
4.5 |
1.8 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.6 |
|
4.3 |
1.7 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.3 |
|
4.4 |
1.6 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.2 |
|
4.3 |
1.5 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.1 |
|
4.2 |
1.6 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.1 |
|
4.2 |
1.6 |
.2 |
.1 |
6.2 |
|
4.3 |
1.7 |
.3 |
.1 |
6.4 |
|
4.2 |
1.7 |
.3 |
.1 |
6.4 |
|
4.6 |
1.7 |
.1 |
.1 |
6.5 |
|
5.0 |
1.7 |
.2 |
.1 |
7.0 |
|
5.4 |
1.8 |
.2 |
7.4 |
||
5.4 |
1.9 |
.2 |
7.5 |
||
5.3 |
2.0 |
.2 |
7.6 |
||
5.9 |
2.0 |
.2 |
8.3 |
||
6.8 |
2.0 |
.3 |
9.1 |
||
6.9 |
2.2 |
.3 |
9.4 |
||
6.9 |
2.4 |
.3 |
9.7 |
||
7.1 |
2.6 |
.3 |
10.0 |
||
Female |
|||||
64.0 |
45.7 |
15.6 |
6.8 |
132.1 |
|
69.7 |
48.8 |
28.8 |
8.0 |
155.2 |
|
75.9 |
52.2 |
33.5 |
8.8 |
170.3 |
|
65.3 |
47.8 |
28.7 |
7.9 |
149.7 |
|
64.3 |
39.5 |
9.5 |
3.6 |
116.9 |
|
62.8 |
39.8 |
9.5 |
3.6 |
115.7 |
|
63.7 |
39.7 |
9.2 |
3.8 |
116.4 |
|
62.9 |
37.7 |
9.0 |
3.8 |
113.4 |
|
61.6 |
34.8 |
8.6 |
3.7 |
108.6 |
|
61.4 |
34.0 |
8.6 |
3.7 |
107.7 |
|
61.1 |
34.0 |
8.6 |
3.8 |
107.5 |
|
61.5 |
33.9 |
8.6 |
3.8 |
107.8 |
|
60.1 |
34.4 |
9.2 |
4.2 |
107.9 |
|
59.5 |
34.4 |
10.7 |
4.7 |
109.2 |
|
60.5 |
35.2 |
6.2 |
4.1 |
106.0 |
|
62.5 |
35.9 |
6.5 |
3.8 |
108.7 |
|
62.7 |
37.1 |
6.6 |
3.3 |
109.8 |
|
61.2 |
39.7 |
7.2 |
2.9 |
111.0 |
|
59.1 |
42.2 |
7.7 |
2.8 |
111.8 |
|
64.8 |
43.2 |
8.4 |
2.5 |
118.9 |
|
74.0 |
43.8 |
9.4 |
2.5 |
129.7 |
|
75.3 |
47.6 |
10.6 |
2.5 |
136.0 |
|
76.4 |
53.3 |
11.5 |
2.6 |
143.8 |
|
78.5 |
56.5 |
11.6 |
2.7 |
149.2 |
|
Total |
|||||
64.0 |
45.8 |
15.6 |
6.8 |
132.2 |
|
69.7 |
53.7 |
29.9 |
8.1 |
161.3 |
|
79.9 |
58.0 |
35.0 |
8.9 |
181.7 |
|
69.7 |
53.4 |
30.1 |
8.0 |
161.2 |
|
68.2 |
41.3 |
9.7 |
3.7 |
122.9 |
|
67.0 |
41.6 |
9.7 |
3.7 |
122.0 |
|
68.2 |
41.5 |
9.4 |
3.8 |
122.9 |
|
67.3 |
39.4 |
9.2 |
3.8 |
119.7 |
|
65.9 |
36.3 |
8.8 |
3.8 |
114.8 |
|
65.7 |
35.6 |
8.8 |
3.7 |
113.8 |
|
65.3 |
35.6 |
8.9 |
3.8 |
113.6 |
|
65.8 |
35.5 |
8.9 |
3.8 |
114.0 |
|
64.5 |
36.1 |
9.4 |
4.2 |
114.3 |
|
63.7 |
36.1 |
11.0 |
4.8 |
115.6 |
|
65.1 |
36.9 |
6.4 |
4.1 |
112.5 |
|
67.5 |
37.6 |
6.7 |
3.8 |
115.6 |
|
68.1 |
38.9 |
6.8 |
3.4 |
117.2 |
|
66.5 |
41.6 |
7.4 |
3.0 |
118.5 |
|
64.4 |
44.2 |
7.9 |
2.8 |
119.4 |
|
70.7 |
45.3 |
8.6 |
2.6 |
127.2 |
|
80.8 |
45.8 |
9.7 |
2.5 |
138.8 |
|
82.2 |
49.8 |
10.9 |
2.6 |
145.5 |
|
83.3 |
55.7 |
11.8 |
2.6 |
153.5 |
|
85.6 |
59.0 |
11.9 |
2.7 |
159.2 |
1 Fewer than 50. |
· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.
· Future figures computed by applying award rate to number of eligible nonretired workers (with adjustments at certain ages to account for discrepancies in underlying data).
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001