Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
||
Calendar period |
Income |
Disbursements |
Inter- fund borrow- ing trans- fers |
Net increase in fund |
Fund at end of period |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net contri- butions |
Income from tax- ation of bene- fits |
Net interest 3 |
Total |
Admin- istra- tive expenses |
Trans- fers to Rail- road Retire- ment program |
Total |
|||||||
$19,576.1 |
$185.4 |
... |
... |
$28.7 |
$19,789.1 |
$14,407.4 |
$356.6 |
... |
$14,764.0 |
... |
$5,025.1 |
$123,484.4 |
|
21,068.5 |
182.8 |
... |
... |
3,919.8 |
25,170.7 |
14,460.2 |
449.0 |
-$12.4 |
14,896.9 |
... |
10,273.8 |
133,758.2 |
|
17,899.4 |
185.3 |
$75.9 |
... |
25.9 |
18,187.2 |
14,532.5 |
383.1 |
... |
15,046.6 |
... |
3,140.6 |
136,898.8 |
|
17,004.8 |
185.3 |
... |
... |
4,256.7 |
21,447.0 |
14,651.7 |
421.8 |
... |
15,073.5 |
... |
6,373.5 |
143,272.3 |
|
20,695.1 |
194.4 |
... |
... |
27.3 |
20,917.7 |
15,213.2 |
391.9 |
... |
15,605.1 |
... |
5,312.6 |
148,584.9 |
|
22,326.6 |
196.1 |
... |
... |
4,663.4 |
27,185.5 |
15,342.0 |
493.4 |
178.1 |
16,013.6 |
... |
11,172.0 |
159,756.9 |
|
18,908.8 |
197.4 |
46.7 |
... |
22.8 |
19,176.2 |
15,444.0 |
421.0 |
... |
15,865.0 |
... |
3,311.2 |
163,068.1 |
|
17,992.9 |
199.2 |
... |
... |
5,060.9 |
23,254.0 |
15,583.9 |
443.5 |
... |
16,027.4 |
... |
7,226.6 |
170,294.7 |
|
21,792.1 |
209.8 |
... |
... |
9.9 |
22,010.7 |
16,202.6 |
412.1 |
... |
16,614.7 |
... |
5,396.0 |
175,690.7 |
|
23,328.8 |
211.9 |
... |
... |
5,485.8 |
29,025.6 |
16,365.5 |
518.8 |
207.0 |
17,091.3 |
... |
11,934.3 |
187,625.0 |
|
19,786.4 |
213.6 |
43.9 |
... |
17.0 |
20,060.7 |
16,498.8 |
442.7 |
... |
16,941.5 |
... |
3,119.2 |
190,744.2 |
|
18,999.9 |
215.9 |
... |
... |
5,829.6 |
25,045.4 |
16,671.9 |
467.3 |
... |
17,139.2 |
... |
7,906.3 |
198,650.4 |
|
22,602.9 |
224.0 |
... |
... |
15.1 |
22,842.1 |
17,302.2 |
434.2 |
... |
17,736.4 |
... |
5,105.7 |
203,756.1 |
|
24,420.5 |
226.3 |
... |
... |
6,241.8 |
30,889.1 |
17,478.0 |
546.7 |
242.0 |
18,266.6 |
... |
12,622.6 |
216,378.7 |
|
20,726.9 |
228.2 |
42.1 |
... |
12.8 |
21,010.0 |
17,621.8 |
466.4 |
... |
18,088.2 |
... |
2,921.8 |
219,300.5 |
|
20,303.3 |
230.6 |
... |
... |
6,650.4 |
27,184.8 |
17,807.3 |
492.3 |
... |
18,299.5 |
... |
8,885.3 |
228,185.8 |
|
23,742.7 |
238.8 |
... |
... |
11.3 |
23,993.2 |
18,500.9 |
457.4 |
... |
18,958.2 |
... |
5,034.9 |
233,220.7 |
|
25,765.3 |
241.4 |
... |
... |
7,096.3 |
33,102.6 |
18,695.6 |
575.8 |
279.5 |
19,551.0 |
... |
13,551.6 |
246,772.4 |
|
22,129.2 |
243.4 |
42.6 |
... |
9.1 |
22,424.5 |
18,856.8 |
491.3 |
... |
19,348.1 |
... |
3,076.4 |
249,848.7 |
|
20,820.8 |
246.0 |
... |
... |
7,516.6 |
28,583.7 |
19,063.2 |
518.6 |
... |
19,581.8 |
... |
9,001.9 |
258,850.6 |
|
25,105.7 |
261.5 |
... |
... |
7.6 |
25,375.1 |
19,800.7 |
481.9 |
... |
20,282.5 |
... |
5,092.6 |
263,943.2 |
|
27,022.1 |
264.2 |
... |
... |
7,974.5 |
35,260.7 |
20,011.0 |
606.7 |
295.4 |
20,913.0 |
... |
14,347.7 |
278,290.9 |
|
22,941.6 |
266.4 |
42.9 |
... |
7.2 |
23,258.7 |
20,182.9 |
517.7 |
... |
20,700.5 |
... |
2,558.1 |
280,849.0 |
|
21,807.1 |
269.3 |
... |
... |
8,404.7 |
30,481.1 |
20,402.8 |
545.7 |
... |
20,948.4 |
... |
9,532.6 |
290,381.6 |
|
26,393.9 |
286.0 |
... |
... |
5.2 |
26,684.2 |
21,176.2 |
507.0 |
... |
21,683.1 |
... |
5,001.1 |
295,382.7 |
|
28,317.0 |
288.9 |
... |
... |
8,875.6 |
37,481.6 |
21,395.4 |
638.4 |
360.0 |
22,393.7 |
... |
15,087.8 |
310,470.5 |
|
24,058.1 |
291.3 |
43.3 |
... |
7.0 |
24,399.3 |
21,573.3 |
544.7 |
... |
22,118.0 |
... |
2,281.4 |
312,751.9 |
|
22,836.4 |
294.4 |
... |
... |
9,318.8 |
32,450.1 |
21,802.6 |
573.6 |
... |
22,376.1 |
... |
10,074.0 |
322,825.9 |
|
27,568.3 |
312.2 |
... |
... |
5.3 |
27,886.5 |
22,601.1 |
532.9 |
... |
23,134.1 |
... |
4,752.4 |
327,578.3 |
|
29,580.1 |
315.2 |
... |
... |
9,798.4 |
39,693.7 |
22,818.9 |
671.0 |
401.6 |
23,891.4 |
... |
15,802.4 |
343,380.7 |
|
25,067.8 |
317.6 |
43.7 |
... |
8.9 |
25,438.6 |
22,992.7 |
572.5 |
... |
23,565.2 |
... |
1,873.4 |
345,254.1 |
|
24,056.9 |
320.7 |
... |
... |
10,253.2 |
34,631.9 |
23,221.5 |
603.2 |
... |
23,824.7 |
... |
10,807.2 |
356,061.3 |
|
28,752.0 |
340.1 |
... |
... |
6.6 |
29,099.6 |
24,043.7 |
560.4 |
... |
24,604.1 |
... |
4,495.6 |
360,556.9 |
|
30,832.3 |
342.6 |
... |
... |
10,758.6 |
41,933.2 |
24,222.3 |
705.6 |
446.8 |
25,374.6 |
... |
16,558.5 |
377,115.4 |
|
26,089.7 |
344.4 |
44.2 |
... |
10.7 |
26,489.1 |
24,356.4 |
602.0 |
... |
24,958.5 |
... |
1,530.6 |
378,646.0 |
|
25,546.2 |
347.1 |
... |
... |
11,244.1 |
37,137.3 |
24,551.1 |
634.1 |
... |
25,185.2 |
... |
11,952.1 |
390,598.1 |
|
29,681.8 |
368.8 |
... |
... |
9.7 |
30,060.4 |
25,410.7 |
589.2 |
... |
25,999.9 |
... |
4,060.5 |
394,658.6 |
|
32,411.6 |
371.7 |
... |
... |
11,772.0 |
44,555.7 |
25,614.1 |
741.8 |
485.5 |
26,841.5 |
... |
17,714.2 |
412,372.8 |
|
27,679.8 |
374.0 |
44.6 |
... |
9.2 |
28,107.3 |
25,768.7 |
633.0 |
... |
26,401.7 |
... |
1,705.6 |
414,078.4 |
|
26,554.3 |
377.2 |
... |
... |
12,292.0 |
39,223.2 |
25,985.2 |
666.7 |
... |
26,652.0 |
... |
12,571.2 |
426,649.6 |
1 Paid from the general fund of the Treasury. Includes payments for costs of noncontributory wage credits for military service performed after 1956. 2 Paid from the general fund of the Treasury. Includes costs of benefits to certain uninsured persons who attained age 72 before 1968. 3 Net interest includes net profits or losses on marketable investments. Administrative expenses are charged currently to the trust fund on an estimated basis, with a final adjustment, including interest, made in the following fiscal year. The amounts of these interest adjustments are included in net interest. 4 Includes payments for vocational rehabilitation services furnished to disabled persons receiving benefits because of their disabilities. Relatively small reductions are made for the amount of reimbursement for unnegotiated benefit checks. |
Source: All columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.
Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report low-cost set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001