Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

V. ESTIMATES BASED ON ALTERNATIVE ASSUMPTIONS

A. LOW-COST ASSUMPTIONS

Table V.A8—Summary of OASDI Benefit Payments
(Low-cost alternative, calendar quarters 2001-10)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Lump-
sum
pay-
ments
Total
Retired
workers
Depend-
ents
Total
Chil-
dren
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and
aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Depend-
ents
2001-I
$106,688.0
$72,049.4
$66,577.7
$5,471.7
$20,187.7
$3,247.9
$362.5
$16,234.1
$343.3
$14,390.5
$13,078.1
$1,312.5
$0.1
$60.4
2001-II
107,237.6
72,398.7
66,914.3
5,484.4
20,338.2
3,289.8
355.2
16,342.7
350.4
14,443.9
13,124.2
1,319.7
(1)
56.7
2001-III
107,480.4
72,571.8
67,081.7
5,490.1
20,349.8
3,217.1
359.8
16,420.6
352.3
14,505.3
13,215.7
1,289.6
(1)
53.5
2001-IV
108,164.3
73,060.1
67,547.9
5,512.2
20,418.4
3,235.0
365.0
16,468.3
350.1
14,636.6
13,339.3
1,297.3
(1)
49.1

2002-I
111,538.7
75,236.1
69,591.7
5,644.4
21,042.7
3,374.1
366.7
16,937.2
364.7
15,199.0
13,848.4
1,350.6
(1)
61.0
2002-II
112,245.2
75,656.4
69,995.0
5,661.4
21,203.0
3,417.8
359.6
17,053.7
371.9
15,328.3
13,959.7
1,368.7
(1)
57.4
2002-III
112,582.1
75,878.4
70,206.6
5,671.8
21,219.1
3,341.0
364.5
17,140.0
373.7
15,430.4
14,087.5
1,343.0
(1)
54.1
2002-IV
113,309.9
76,392.4
70,693.2
5,699.2
21,297.2
3,359.3
369.9
17,196.7
371.3
15,570.6
14,219.2
1,351.4
(1)
49.7

2003-I
116,651.9
78,498.0
72,670.6
5,827.4
21,902.4
3,493.5
370.9
17,652.9
385.1
16,189.8
14,778.0
1,411.7
(1)
61.8
2003-II
117,412.7
78,939.5
73,091.5
5,847.9
22,062.4
3,538.3
364.2
17,767.3
392.6
16,352.8
14,920.6
1,432.2
(1)
58.1
2003-III
117,802.4
79,187.3
73,325.4
5,861.9
22,074.4
3,456.6
369.5
17,853.6
394.7
16,486.0
15,080.0
1,406.0
(1)
54.7
2003-IV
118,586.7
79,724.1
73,830.5
5,893.7
22,153.2
3,474.7
375.5
17,910.4
392.6
16,659.2
15,243.1
1,416.1
(1)
50.3

2004-I
121,784.4
81,711.3
75,699.9
6,011.3
22,720.8
3,605.1
376.0
18,333.2
406.5
17,289.8
15,812.5
1,477.3
(1)
62.5
2004-II
122,666.9
82,247.7
76,216.5
6,031.2
22,895.2
3,652.8
369.5
18,458.1
414.8
17,465.2
15,964.7
1,500.4
(1)
58.8
2004-III
123,149.8
82,569.4
76,525.3
6,044.2
22,916.7
3,567.5
375.2
18,556.3
417.7
17,608.4
16,134.5
1,473.8
(1)
55.4
2004-IV
124,007.0
83,151.9
77,076.0
6,075.9
23,010.6
3,587.0
381.8
18,625.3
416.4
17,793.7
16,308.0
1,485.7
(1)
50.9

2005-I
127,443.4
85,282.7
79,085.2
6,197.5
23,610.1
3,724.6
382.8
19,070.7
432.1
18,487.3
16,932.7
1,554.6
(1)
63.3
2005-II
128,433.3
85,907.5
79,689.5
6,218.0
23,785.7
3,774.7
376.5
19,193.7
440.8
18,680.6
17,099.2
1,581.5
(1)
59.5
2005-III
128,988.6
86,291.8
80,061.0
6,230.8
23,801.7
3,685.1
382.6
19,290.0
443.9
18,839.1
17,284.4
1,554.7
(1)
56.1
2005-IV
129,927.6
86,938.2
80,674.6
6,263.5
23,895.3
3,705.4
389.6
19,357.4
442.8
19,042.6
17,473.6
1,569.0
(1)
51.5

2006-I
133,561.4
89,196.6
82,807.5
6,389.2
24,522.7
3,851.3
391.1
19,820.3
460.0
19,778.1
18,135.7
1,642.4
(1)
64.0
2006-II
134,607.6
89,851.2
83,437.9
6,413.4
24,710.4
3,903.5
385.0
19,952.8
469.0
19,985.8
18,313.2
1,672.5
(1)
60.2
2006-III
135,207.3
90,267.5
83,838.5
6,429.0
24,728.2
3,807.7
391.5
20,056.7
472.3
20,154.9
18,510.3
1,644.6
(1)
56.7
2006-IV
136,243.1
90,990.3
84,525.0
6,465.4
24,828.8
3,828.2
398.8
20,130.8
471.1
20,371.9
18,711.0
1,660.9
(1)
52.1

2007-I
140,107.7
93,405.2
86,806.5
6,598.6
25,494.8
3,981.8
400.7
20,623.0
489.3
21,142.9
19,405.1
1,737.8
(1)
64.8
2007-II
141,225.2
94,095.1
87,466.8
6,628.3
25,710.1
4,035.7
394.9
20,781.6
497.9
21,359.1
19,588.6
1,770.5
(1)
60.9
2007-III
141,889.1
94,555.8
87,907.8
6,647.9
25,742.0
3,931.3
401.8
20,908.5
500.3
21,534.0
19,792.9
1,741.1
(1)
57.4
2007-IV
143,075.5
95,399.7
88,710.2
6,689.5
25,863.1
3,950.9
409.2
21,005.2
497.9
21,759.9
20,001.1
1,758.8
(1)
52.7

2008-I
147,280.8
98,086.7
91,254.6
6,832.1
26,572.9
4,108.4
411.2
21,537.4
516.0
22,555.7
20,717.8
1,837.9
(1)
65.5
2008-II
148,588.9
98,941.8
92,078.1
6,863.6
26,815.2
4,164.2
405.5
21,720.6
524.9
22,770.3
20,897.9
1,872.4
(1)
61.6
2008-III
149,396.1
99,534.3
92,651.0
6,883.3
26,862.3
4,050.6
412.8
21,871.6
527.3
22,941.4
21,100.4
1,841.0
(1)
58.1
2008-IV
150,792.5
100,563.4
93,636.4
6,927.0
27,008.6
4,069.5
420.5
21,994.1
524.6
23,167.1
21,307.5
1,859.6
(1)
53.4

2009-I
155,435.9
103,613.7
96,537.2
7,076.5
27,769.4
4,231.8
422.6
22,571.8
543.2
23,986.6
22,043.4
1,943.2
(1)
66.3
2009-II
156,961.3
104,695.1
97,584.0
7,111.1
28,041.5
4,290.6
416.9
22,781.8
552.2
24,162.4
22,182.9
1,979.5
(1)
62.3
2009-III
157,936.0
105,472.8
98,341.0
7,131.8
28,110.0
4,170.7
424.4
22,960.5
554.4
24,294.5
22,348.4
1,946.2
(1)
58.7
2009-IV
159,588.3
106,760.5
99,581.5
7,178.9
28,287.8
4,190.5
432.2
23,113.9
551.2
24,486.0
22,520.3
1,965.8
(1)
54.0

2010-I
164,573.8
110,067.8
102,737.2
7,330.6
29,095.8
4,356.0
434.3
23,735.8
569.8
25,343.1
23,286.6
2,056.5
(1)
67.1
2010-II
166,055.0
111,066.9
103,703.0
7,363.8
29,379.7
4,418.1
428.6
23,954.1
578.9
25,545.3
23,449.7
2,095.7
(1)
63.1
2010-III
167,053.3
111,838.8
104,456.3
7,382.5
29,454.6
4,295.1
436.6
24,141.9
581.1
25,700.5
23,639.6
2,061.0
(1)
59.4
2010-IV
168,936.2
113,319.8
105,891.1
7,428.7
29,643.8
4,317.0
444.8
24,304.3
577.8
25,918.0
23,835.8
2,082.3
(1)
54.6

1 Less than $50,000.

Sources:

· All detail columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.

· Totals and subtotals computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report low-cost set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001