Recovery Experience
by Select Age and Duration
(1996-2000)
Table 14A.Male Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
0.002049
|
0.012231
|
0.022996
|
0.042919
|
0.123602
|
0.145633
|
0.115262
|
0.090150
|
0.075567
|
0.072779
|
0.063559
|
26
|
17
|
0.004263
|
0.012391
|
0.022986
|
0.044999
|
0.120442
|
0.127367
|
0.104349
|
0.082855
|
0.070331
|
0.061961
|
0.053158
|
27
|
18
|
0.006230
|
0.014361
|
0.022694
|
0.048308
|
0.112467
|
0.105983
|
0.089452
|
0.073303
|
0.063537
|
0.050742
|
0.043541
|
28
|
19
|
0.007580
|
0.018340
|
0.024340
|
0.046744
|
0.100894
|
0.087094
|
0.074756
|
0.063549
|
0.053898
|
0.040491
|
0.036485
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
0.008204
|
0.021325
|
0.023862
|
0.047509
|
0.087673
|
0.074851
|
0.067848
|
0.054210
|
0.043456
|
0.034226
|
0.029138
|
30
|
21
|
0.008531
|
0.022320
|
0.026994
|
0.042818
|
0.075039
|
0.068726
|
0.055117
|
0.047689
|
0.037671
|
0.029692
|
0.024691
|
31
|
22
|
0.010492
|
0.021472
|
0.028348
|
0.041343
|
0.070691
|
0.062413
|
0.050407
|
0.040404
|
0.033280
|
0.027095
|
0.022833
|
32
|
23
|
0.010950
|
0.021719
|
0.028161
|
0.041455
|
0.067415
|
0.058973
|
0.046253
|
0.039223
|
0.032496
|
0.026538
|
0.018797
|
33
|
24
|
0.011307
|
0.025357
|
0.027561
|
0.040051
|
0.064179
|
0.056541
|
0.046403
|
0.040817
|
0.030573
|
0.024611
|
0.015785
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
0.011222
|
0.029626
|
0.028435
|
0.040511
|
0.061917
|
0.056915
|
0.046372
|
0.037346
|
0.029658
|
0.025776
|
0.016491
|
35
|
26
|
0.012643
|
0.028854
|
0.028006
|
0.040327
|
0.060960
|
0.056460
|
0.044276
|
0.035650
|
0.030799
|
0.025901
|
0.014286
|
36
|
27
|
0.012493
|
0.029363
|
0.028948
|
0.039103
|
0.058881
|
0.052092
|
0.040027
|
0.034217
|
0.028324
|
0.023954
|
0.012868
|
37
|
28
|
0.013172
|
0.030927
|
0.029449
|
0.037993
|
0.056754
|
0.049332
|
0.040923
|
0.031785
|
0.028860
|
0.024206
|
0.012230
|
38
|
29
|
0.012028
|
0.032447
|
0.028460
|
0.036583
|
0.052972
|
0.050516
|
0.039767
|
0.030267
|
0.025929
|
0.021633
|
0.012040
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
0.012536
|
0.032819
|
0.025256
|
0.035350
|
0.051521
|
0.046637
|
0.038230
|
0.027841
|
0.025000
|
0.019714
|
0.010640
|
40
|
31
|
0.013360
|
0.030781
|
0.023948
|
0.034538
|
0.047231
|
0.043978
|
0.037571
|
0.026681
|
0.024574
|
0.019085
|
0.010017
|
41
|
32
|
0.012538
|
0.028885
|
0.025611
|
0.031793
|
0.044902
|
0.042232
|
0.032694
|
0.028645
|
0.022286
|
0.019837
|
0.008999
|
42
|
33
|
0.012349
|
0.030124
|
0.025558
|
0.030379
|
0.041275
|
0.037648
|
0.032608
|
0.027986
|
0.020883
|
0.019596
|
0.008739
|
43
|
34
|
0.013083
|
0.030952
|
0.024206
|
0.029416
|
0.041381
|
0.037309
|
0.031326
|
0.024931
|
0.021222
|
0.018103
|
0.008153
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
0.012183
|
0.030844
|
0.024918
|
0.028616
|
0.040028
|
0.035151
|
0.027678
|
0.023397
|
0.019900
|
0.016551
|
0.007548
|
45
|
36
|
0.011953
|
0.030403
|
0.023571
|
0.027281
|
0.037051
|
0.033228
|
0.026197
|
0.021099
|
0.018051
|
0.016422
|
0.007179
|
46
|
37
|
0.012522
|
0.028177
|
0.022195
|
0.026022
|
0.033436
|
0.031573
|
0.025783
|
0.019893
|
0.016503
|
0.014363
|
0.006578
|
47
|
38
|
0.012692
|
0.027451
|
0.021024
|
0.023692
|
0.033157
|
0.029684
|
0.023339
|
0.018121
|
0.015814
|
0.011956
|
0.005970
|
48
|
39
|
0.011639
|
0.026657
|
0.020941
|
0.022533
|
0.031257
|
0.028861
|
0.022811
|
0.017715
|
0.014158
|
0.011305
|
0.004947
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
0.010866
|
0.025315
|
0.019642
|
0.021547
|
0.028419
|
0.026833
|
0.020075
|
0.016673
|
0.012558
|
0.009468
|
0.004162
|
50
|
41
|
0.010379
|
0.022761
|
0.017416
|
0.019990
|
0.026300
|
0.023957
|
0.018552
|
0.013985
|
0.010923
|
0.008440
|
0.003934
|
51
|
42
|
0.009443
|
0.022551
|
0.015691
|
0.018980
|
0.025075
|
0.021093
|
0.015517
|
0.011459
|
0.008905
|
0.007478
|
0.003497
|
52
|
43
|
0.009234
|
0.021345
|
0.014302
|
0.016928
|
0.022616
|
0.018722
|
0.013468
|
0.009214
|
0.007928
|
0.006364
|
0.003128
|
53
|
44
|
0.008825
|
0.018750
|
0.013820
|
0.015888
|
0.019148
|
0.015849
|
0.010993
|
0.008992
|
0.006939
|
0.005876
|
0.002491
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
0.008081
|
0.016712
|
0.011924
|
0.014441
|
0.017035
|
0.013273
|
0.011095
|
0.008619
|
0.006322
|
0.004634
|
0.001995
|
55
|
46
|
0.007875
|
0.016083
|
0.011145
|
0.011957
|
0.014874
|
0.011221
|
0.009776
|
0.006888
|
0.005007
|
0.003027
|
0.001867
|
56
|
47
|
0.007042
|
0.014116
|
0.008761
|
0.010121
|
0.013533
|
0.010984
|
0.008643
|
0.005399
|
0.003489
|
0.002362
|
0.001628
|
57
|
48
|
0.006550
|
0.011569
|
0.007839
|
0.009090
|
0.012656
|
0.010135
|
0.006799
|
0.004231
|
0.003311
|
0.002702
|
0.001361
|
58
|
49
|
0.004606
|
0.009658
|
0.006105
|
0.007579
|
0.010385
|
0.007425
|
0.005501
|
0.003596
|
0.003461
|
0.002575
|
0.001378
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
0.003540
|
0.007272
|
0.004727
|
0.006531
|
0.007955
|
0.005453
|
0.004268
|
0.002985
|
0.002476
|
0.001633
|
0.001080
|
60
|
51
|
0.003666
|
0.006841
|
0.004151
|
0.005404
|
0.007079
|
0.005364
|
0.003914
|
0.002647
|
0.002127
|
0.001638
|
0.000839
|
61
|
52
|
0.004035
|
0.006556
|
0.003660
|
0.004177
|
0.006382
|
0.004267
|
0.003173
|
0.002479
|
0.001881
|
0.001454
|
0.000512
|
62
|
53
|
0.003043
|
0.004315
|
0.002695
|
0.003408
|
0.005159
|
0.004252
|
0.002636
|
0.002473
|
0.001784
|
0.000676
|
0.000421
|
63
|
54
|
0.002034
|
0.002766
|
0.001742
|
0.003182
|
0.005368
|
0.004048
|
0.002373
|
0.002110
|
0.001197
|
0.000664
|
0.000335
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
0.001336
|
0.002204
|
0.001511
|
0.002510
|
0.004682
|
0.003100
|
0.001861
|
0.001065
|
0.000698
|
0.000439
|
|
65
|
56
|
0.001500
|
0.002145
|
0.001297
|
0.002244
|
0.004123
|
0.002441
|
0.001334
|
0.000769
|
0.000491
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
0.001003
|
0.001690
|
0.001297
|
0.001915
|
0.003078
|
0.001606
|
0.001016
|
0.000457
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
0.000750
|
0.001360
|
0.000772
|
0.001523
|
0.001904
|
0.001069
|
0.000795
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
0.000881
|
0.001290
|
0.000575
|
0.000989
|
0.001467
|
0.000601
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.000689
|
0.000837
|
0.000346
|
0.000765
|
0.000882
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
0.000517
|
0.000399
|
0.000206
|
0.000510
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
0.000183
|
0.000261
|
0.000275
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
0.000490
|
0.000497
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
0.000182
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rollsin a multiple-decrement environmentduring the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.
Table 14B.Female Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
0.001153
|
0.004351
|
0.020794
|
0.047806
|
0.086185
|
0.113463
|
0.100048
|
0.086024
|
0.059846
|
0.070452
|
0.050316
|
26
|
17
|
0.003275
|
0.010272
|
0.019726
|
0.047377
|
0.082067
|
0.095780
|
0.084487
|
0.075583
|
0.056148
|
0.061694
|
0.043022
|
27
|
18
|
0.005198
|
0.016147
|
0.020692
|
0.046989
|
0.080583
|
0.081254
|
0.069766
|
0.063989
|
0.051705
|
0.052005
|
0.036147
|
28
|
19
|
0.006729
|
0.018725
|
0.021151
|
0.046916
|
0.078405
|
0.069457
|
0.057905
|
0.052108
|
0.048207
|
0.041086
|
0.030350
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
0.006181
|
0.017954
|
0.020825
|
0.042682
|
0.072175
|
0.062053
|
0.048440
|
0.041733
|
0.040610
|
0.032184
|
0.025047
|
30
|
21
|
0.006755
|
0.016363
|
0.019203
|
0.037665
|
0.062783
|
0.057636
|
0.044028
|
0.038078
|
0.032355
|
0.027693
|
0.022239
|
31
|
22
|
0.007370
|
0.015957
|
0.019673
|
0.034107
|
0.056094
|
0.050696
|
0.039953
|
0.034214
|
0.026917
|
0.025636
|
0.019185
|
32
|
23
|
0.007167
|
0.017395
|
0.020134
|
0.033493
|
0.053051
|
0.047562
|
0.036200
|
0.028778
|
0.025577
|
0.023014
|
0.016466
|
33
|
24
|
0.007400
|
0.018361
|
0.019888
|
0.032878
|
0.050765
|
0.046124
|
0.035613
|
0.027349
|
0.025523
|
0.021065
|
0.016454
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
0.007191
|
0.019340
|
0.019288
|
0.030751
|
0.048213
|
0.043389
|
0.035537
|
0.029104
|
0.024765
|
0.020414
|
0.014938
|
35
|
26
|
0.007547
|
0.021423
|
0.019162
|
0.029840
|
0.047540
|
0.041023
|
0.034474
|
0.029099
|
0.025738
|
0.021374
|
0.014368
|
36
|
27
|
0.007664
|
0.021534
|
0.019385
|
0.028205
|
0.044088
|
0.038906
|
0.034265
|
0.027927
|
0.025742
|
0.020417
|
0.013000
|
37
|
28
|
0.008255
|
0.020724
|
0.019070
|
0.025998
|
0.040583
|
0.035868
|
0.029786
|
0.026196
|
0.023320
|
0.020206
|
0.011845
|
38
|
29
|
0.007836
|
0.019551
|
0.018291
|
0.027536
|
0.038264
|
0.035872
|
0.026693
|
0.023951
|
0.023156
|
0.020150
|
0.011635
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
0.008209
|
0.020145
|
0.017459
|
0.024474
|
0.035494
|
0.034055
|
0.027527
|
0.022654
|
0.024873
|
0.019258
|
0.010633
|
40
|
31
|
0.007217
|
0.020310
|
0.016832
|
0.022067
|
0.036788
|
0.033272
|
0.027979
|
0.024387
|
0.023069
|
0.018817
|
0.010203
|
41
|
32
|
0.008281
|
0.021386
|
0.016211
|
0.021293
|
0.033875
|
0.031342
|
0.026265
|
0.023097
|
0.020793
|
0.017639
|
0.010242
|
42
|
33
|
0.008124
|
0.020977
|
0.015352
|
0.020961
|
0.031087
|
0.028853
|
0.025718
|
0.021558
|
0.019561
|
0.016063
|
0.010035
|
43
|
34
|
0.008236
|
0.019283
|
0.014710
|
0.018690
|
0.029580
|
0.028475
|
0.024460
|
0.020295
|
0.018247
|
0.016939
|
0.009265
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
0.008158
|
0.019097
|
0.014458
|
0.019285
|
0.026547
|
0.026946
|
0.023759
|
0.020938
|
0.016383
|
0.015039
|
0.008490
|
45
|
36
|
0.007862
|
0.017457
|
0.013321
|
0.017923
|
0.026888
|
0.025574
|
0.022143
|
0.020114
|
0.017206
|
0.013776
|
0.007882
|
46
|
37
|
0.007562
|
0.017801
|
0.012871
|
0.014855
|
0.025557
|
0.022798
|
0.022782
|
0.019306
|
0.015844
|
0.013264
|
0.007388
|
47
|
38
|
0.007399
|
0.016047
|
0.012740
|
0.015448
|
0.024689
|
0.021429
|
0.020234
|
0.017043
|
0.015787
|
0.013167
|
0.006382
|
48
|
39
|
0.007366
|
0.016135
|
0.011825
|
0.015271
|
0.023334
|
0.020822
|
0.019009
|
0.016114
|
0.013122
|
0.011460
|
0.006460
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
0.006798
|
0.015330
|
0.011181
|
0.013145
|
0.020872
|
0.020651
|
0.018727
|
0.014238
|
0.010999
|
0.010728
|
0.005194
|
50
|
41
|
0.006574
|
0.015070
|
0.010243
|
0.012515
|
0.019839
|
0.019795
|
0.016775
|
0.013939
|
0.010637
|
0.008468
|
0.004800
|
51
|
42
|
0.005974
|
0.013878
|
0.008957
|
0.011111
|
0.018051
|
0.016508
|
0.014466
|
0.012732
|
0.008647
|
0.007890
|
0.004337
|
52
|
43
|
0.006077
|
0.013456
|
0.009119
|
0.011022
|
0.017124
|
0.014999
|
0.013533
|
0.008764
|
0.007014
|
0.006651
|
0.003320
|
53
|
44
|
0.005796
|
0.012359
|
0.007374
|
0.011672
|
0.015959
|
0.014618
|
0.010632
|
0.008329
|
0.006863
|
0.005803
|
0.003082
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
0.006175
|
0.011882
|
0.007400
|
0.009788
|
0.014437
|
0.012066
|
0.009138
|
0.007637
|
0.005402
|
0.004545
|
0.002257
|
55
|
46
|
0.005384
|
0.011161
|
0.007281
|
0.007937
|
0.012390
|
0.009767
|
0.008333
|
0.006889
|
0.005043
|
0.003273
|
0.002085
|
56
|
47
|
0.005445
|
0.010798
|
0.005963
|
0.007603
|
0.011653
|
0.009009
|
0.006298
|
0.005956
|
0.004456
|
0.003124
|
0.001842
|
57
|
48
|
0.004500
|
0.009428
|
0.004768
|
0.006286
|
0.010587
|
0.007995
|
0.005783
|
0.004363
|
0.003457
|
0.002855
|
0.001521
|
58
|
49
|
0.003921
|
0.007325
|
0.004764
|
0.006114
|
0.009334
|
0.005746
|
0.004611
|
0.003341
|
0.002727
|
0.002278
|
0.001220
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
0.003347
|
0.005804
|
0.003425
|
0.004595
|
0.006655
|
0.004803
|
0.003880
|
0.003017
|
0.002127
|
0.001730
|
0.001216
|
60
|
51
|
0.002796
|
0.005302
|
0.002866
|
0.003788
|
0.005925
|
0.004006
|
0.003598
|
0.002486
|
0.002616
|
0.001408
|
0.000850
|
61
|
52
|
0.002629
|
0.005152
|
0.002452
|
0.003328
|
0.005398
|
0.004090
|
0.002642
|
0.002459
|
0.002038
|
0.000893
|
0.000484
|
62
|
53
|
0.002242
|
0.003455
|
0.002085
|
0.002357
|
0.005471
|
0.003629
|
0.002331
|
0.002090
|
0.001331
|
0.000727
|
0.000375
|
63
|
54
|
0.001781
|
0.002860
|
0.001635
|
0.002371
|
0.004237
|
0.003044
|
0.001898
|
0.001623
|
0.000966
|
0.000425
|
0.000333
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
0.001352
|
0.001837
|
0.001220
|
0.002042
|
0.003757
|
0.002441
|
0.001815
|
0.000963
|
0.000766
|
0.000536
|
|
65
|
56
|
0.001373
|
0.002017
|
0.000991
|
0.002001
|
0.003354
|
0.002254
|
0.001300
|
0.000509
|
0.000505
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
0.001104
|
0.001570
|
0.000858
|
0.001705
|
0.002821
|
0.001113
|
0.000766
|
0.000084
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
0.001223
|
0.001578
|
0.000544
|
0.001387
|
0.002346
|
0.000964
|
0.000323
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
0.000967
|
0.001173
|
0.000383
|
0.000761
|
0.001152
|
0.000722
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.000824
|
0.000737
|
0.000077
|
0.000444
|
0.000608
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
0.000371
|
0.000276
|
0.000228
|
0.000079
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
0.000296
|
0.000237
|
0.000252
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
0.000539
|
0.000462
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
0.000453
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rollsin a multiple-decrement environmentduring the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.
Table 15A.Male Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
100,000
|
99,795
|
98,574
|
96,307
|
92,174
|
80,781
|
69,017
|
61,062
|
55,557
|
51,359
|
47,621
|
26
|
17
|
88,393
|
88,016
|
86,925
|
84,927
|
81,105
|
71,337
|
62,251
|
55,755
|
51,135
|
47,539
|
44,594
|
27
|
18
|
77,870
|
77,385
|
76,274
|
74,543
|
70,942
|
62,963
|
56,290
|
51,255
|
47,498
|
44,480
|
42,223
|
28
|
19
|
69,038
|
68,515
|
67,258
|
65,621
|
62,554
|
56,243
|
51,345
|
47,507
|
44,488
|
42,090
|
40,385
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
62,723
|
62,208
|
60,881
|
59,428
|
56,605
|
51,642
|
47,777
|
44,535
|
42,121
|
40,291
|
38,912
|
30
|
21
|
57,818
|
57,325
|
56,046
|
54,533
|
52,198
|
48,281
|
44,963
|
42,485
|
40,459
|
38,935
|
37,778
|
31
|
22
|
54,707
|
54,133
|
52,971
|
51,469
|
49,341
|
45,853
|
42,991
|
40,824
|
39,175
|
37,871
|
36,845
|
32
|
23
|
52,740
|
52,162
|
51,029
|
49,592
|
47,536
|
44,331
|
41,717
|
39,787
|
38,226
|
36,984
|
36,004
|
33
|
24
|
51,430
|
50,848
|
49,559
|
48,193
|
46,263
|
43,294
|
40,846
|
38,951
|
37,361
|
36,219
|
35,327
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
50,631
|
50,063
|
48,580
|
47,199
|
45,287
|
42,483
|
40,065
|
38,207
|
36,780
|
35,689
|
34,769
|
35
|
26
|
49,591
|
48,964
|
47,551
|
46,219
|
44,355
|
41,651
|
39,299
|
37,559
|
36,220
|
35,104
|
34,196
|
36
|
27
|
48,047
|
47,447
|
46,054
|
44,721
|
42,972
|
40,442
|
38,335
|
36,801
|
35,542
|
34,535
|
33,707
|
37
|
28
|
47,226
|
46,604
|
45,163
|
43,833
|
42,168
|
39,775
|
37,813
|
36,266
|
35,113
|
34,100
|
33,273
|
38
|
29
|
46,034
|
45,480
|
44,004
|
42,752
|
41,188
|
39,006
|
37,036
|
35,563
|
34,487
|
33,593
|
32,866
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
44,745
|
44,184
|
42,734
|
41,655
|
40,182
|
38,112
|
36,335
|
34,946
|
33,973
|
33,124
|
32,470
|
40
|
31
|
43,667
|
43,084
|
41,758
|
40,758
|
39,350
|
37,491
|
35,842
|
34,495
|
33,575
|
32,750
|
32,125
|
41
|
32
|
42,679
|
42,144
|
40,927
|
39,879
|
38,611
|
36,877
|
35,320
|
34,165
|
33,186
|
32,446
|
31,803
|
42
|
33
|
41,814
|
41,298
|
40,054
|
39,030
|
37,844
|
36,282
|
34,916
|
33,777
|
32,832
|
32,146
|
31,517
|
43
|
34
|
41,174
|
40,635
|
39,377
|
38,424
|
37,294
|
35,751
|
34,417
|
33,339
|
32,508
|
31,818
|
31,242
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
40,310
|
39,819
|
38,591
|
37,629
|
36,552
|
35,089
|
33,856
|
32,919
|
32,149
|
31,509
|
30,987
|
45
|
36
|
39,433
|
38,962
|
37,777
|
36,887
|
35,881
|
34,552
|
33,404
|
32,529
|
31,843
|
31,268
|
30,753
|
46
|
37
|
38,559
|
38,076
|
37,003
|
36,182
|
35,240
|
34,062
|
32,987
|
32,136
|
31,497
|
30,977
|
30,532
|
47
|
38
|
37,778
|
37,299
|
36,275
|
35,512
|
34,671
|
33,521
|
32,526
|
31,767
|
31,191
|
30,698
|
30,331
|
48
|
39
|
37,207
|
36,774
|
35,794
|
35,044
|
34,254
|
33,183
|
32,225
|
31,490
|
30,932
|
30,494
|
30,150
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
36,404
|
36,008
|
35,096
|
34,407
|
33,666
|
32,709
|
31,831
|
31,192
|
30,672
|
30,287
|
30,001
|
50
|
41
|
35,568
|
35,199
|
34,398
|
33,799
|
33,123
|
32,252
|
31,479
|
30,895
|
30,463
|
30,130
|
29,876
|
51
|
42
|
34,838
|
34,509
|
33,731
|
33,202
|
32,572
|
31,755
|
31,085
|
30,603
|
30,252
|
29,983
|
29,758
|
52
|
43
|
34,153
|
33,838
|
33,116
|
32,642
|
32,089
|
31,363
|
30,776
|
30,362
|
30,082
|
29,844
|
29,654
|
53
|
44
|
33,530
|
33,234
|
32,611
|
32,160
|
31,649
|
31,043
|
30,551
|
30,215
|
29,943
|
29,735
|
29,561
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
33,010
|
32,743
|
32,196
|
31,812
|
31,353
|
30,819
|
30,410
|
30,073
|
29,814
|
29,626
|
29,487
|
55
|
46
|
32,471
|
32,215
|
31,697
|
31,344
|
30,969
|
30,508
|
30,166
|
29,871
|
29,665
|
29,516
|
29,428
|
56
|
47
|
31,975
|
31,750
|
31,302
|
31,028
|
30,714
|
30,298
|
29,965
|
29,706
|
29,546
|
29,443
|
29,373
|
57
|
48
|
31,616
|
31,409
|
31,046
|
30,803
|
30,523
|
30,137
|
29,832
|
29,629
|
29,504
|
29,406
|
29,325
|
58
|
49
|
31,130
|
30,987
|
30,688
|
30,501
|
30,270
|
29,956
|
29,734
|
29,570
|
29,464
|
29,362
|
29,285
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
30,651
|
30,542
|
30,320
|
30,177
|
29,980
|
29,742
|
29,580
|
29,454
|
29,366
|
29,293
|
29,245
|
60
|
51
|
30,495
|
30,383
|
30,175
|
30,050
|
29,888
|
29,676
|
29,517
|
29,401
|
29,323
|
29,261
|
29,213
|
61
|
52
|
30,323
|
30,201
|
30,003
|
29,893
|
29,768
|
29,578
|
29,452
|
29,359
|
29,286
|
29,231
|
29,188
|
62
|
53
|
30,076
|
29,984
|
29,855
|
29,775
|
29,674
|
29,521
|
29,395
|
29,318
|
29,245
|
29,193
|
29,173
|
63
|
54
|
29,915
|
29,854
|
29,771
|
29,719
|
29,624
|
29,465
|
29,346
|
29,276
|
29,214
|
29,179
|
29,161
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
29,723
|
29,683
|
29,618
|
29,573
|
29,499
|
29,361
|
29,270
|
29,216
|
29,185
|
29,165
|
|
65
|
56
|
29,532
|
29,488
|
29,425
|
29,387
|
29,321
|
29,200
|
29,129
|
29,090
|
29,068
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
29,343
|
29,313
|
29,263
|
29,225
|
29,169
|
29,079
|
29,032
|
29,003
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
29,154
|
29,132
|
29,092
|
29,070
|
29,026
|
28,971
|
28,940
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
28,967
|
28,942
|
28,905
|
28,888
|
28,859
|
28,817
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
28,781
|
28,761
|
28,737
|
28,727
|
28,705
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
28,597
|
28,582
|
28,571
|
28,565
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
28,413
|
28,408
|
28,401
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
28,231
|
28,217
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
28,050
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original l[x] who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14A.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 15B.Female Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
100,000
|
99,885
|
99,450
|
97,382
|
92,727
|
84,735
|
75,121
|
67,605
|
61,789
|
58,091
|
53,998
|
26
|
17
|
89,481
|
89,188
|
88,272
|
86,531
|
82,431
|
75,666
|
68,419
|
62,638
|
57,904
|
54,653
|
51,281
|
27
|
18
|
81,254
|
80,832
|
79,527
|
77,881
|
74,221
|
68,240
|
62,695
|
58,321
|
54,589
|
51,766
|
49,075
|
28
|
19
|
74,424
|
73,923
|
72,539
|
71,005
|
67,674
|
62,368
|
58,036
|
54,675
|
51,826
|
49,328
|
47,301
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
68,041
|
67,620
|
66,406
|
65,023
|
62,248
|
57,755
|
54,171
|
51,547
|
49,396
|
47,390
|
45,865
|
30
|
21
|
63,460
|
63,031
|
62,000
|
60,809
|
58,519
|
54,845
|
51,684
|
49,408
|
47,527
|
45,989
|
44,716
|
31
|
22
|
60,009
|
59,567
|
58,616
|
57,463
|
55,503
|
52,390
|
49,734
|
47,747
|
46,113
|
44,872
|
43,722
|
32
|
23
|
57,750
|
57,336
|
56,339
|
55,205
|
53,356
|
50,525
|
48,122
|
46,380
|
45,045
|
43,893
|
42,883
|
33
|
24
|
56,363
|
55,946
|
54,919
|
53,827
|
52,057
|
49,414
|
47,135
|
45,456
|
44,213
|
43,085
|
42,177
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
55,033
|
54,637
|
53,580
|
52,547
|
50,931
|
48,475
|
46,372
|
44,724
|
43,422
|
42,347
|
41,483
|
35
|
26
|
54,162
|
53,753
|
52,601
|
51,593
|
50,053
|
47,673
|
45,717
|
44,141
|
42,857
|
41,754
|
40,863
|
36
|
27
|
52,883
|
52,478
|
51,348
|
50,353
|
48,933
|
46,776
|
44,956
|
43,416
|
42,204
|
41,118
|
40,276
|
37
|
28
|
51,225
|
50,802
|
49,749
|
48,800
|
47,531
|
45,602
|
43,966
|
42,656
|
41,539
|
40,570
|
39,752
|
38
|
29
|
50,167
|
49,774
|
48,801
|
47,908
|
46,589
|
44,806
|
43,199
|
42,046
|
41,039
|
40,089
|
39,281
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
49,219
|
48,815
|
47,832
|
46,997
|
45,847
|
44,220
|
42,714
|
41,538
|
40,597
|
39,587
|
38,824
|
40
|
31
|
48,527
|
48,177
|
47,199
|
46,405
|
45,381
|
43,712
|
42,258
|
41,076
|
40,074
|
39,150
|
38,411
|
41
|
32
|
47,512
|
47,119
|
46,111
|
45,363
|
44,397
|
42,893
|
41,549
|
40,458
|
39,524
|
38,702
|
38,019
|
42
|
33
|
46,454
|
46,077
|
45,110
|
44,417
|
43,486
|
42,134
|
40,918
|
39,866
|
39,007
|
38,244
|
37,630
|
43
|
34
|
45,550
|
45,175
|
44,304
|
43,652
|
42,836
|
41,569
|
40,385
|
39,397
|
38,597
|
37,893
|
37,252
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
44,746
|
44,381
|
43,533
|
42,904
|
42,077
|
40,960
|
39,856
|
38,909
|
38,094
|
37,470
|
36,907
|
45
|
36
|
43,991
|
43,645
|
42,883
|
42,312
|
41,554
|
40,437
|
39,403
|
38,530
|
37,755
|
37,105
|
36,594
|
46
|
37
|
43,219
|
42,892
|
42,128
|
41,586
|
40,968
|
39,921
|
39,011
|
38,122
|
37,386
|
36,794
|
36,306
|
47
|
38
|
42,522
|
42,207
|
41,530
|
41,001
|
40,368
|
39,371
|
38,527
|
37,747
|
37,104
|
36,518
|
36,038
|
48
|
39
|
41,844
|
41,536
|
40,866
|
40,383
|
39,766
|
38,838
|
38,029
|
37,306
|
36,705
|
36,223
|
35,808
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
41,079
|
40,800
|
40,175
|
39,726
|
39,204
|
38,386
|
37,593
|
36,889
|
36,364
|
35,964
|
35,577
|
50
|
41
|
40,502
|
40,236
|
39,630
|
39,224
|
38,733
|
37,965
|
37,213
|
36,589
|
36,079
|
35,695
|
35,392
|
51
|
42
|
39,673
|
39,436
|
38,889
|
38,541
|
38,113
|
37,425
|
36,807
|
36,275
|
35,813
|
35,503
|
35,222
|
52
|
43
|
39,085
|
38,847
|
38,324
|
37,975
|
37,556
|
36,913
|
36,359
|
35,867
|
35,553
|
35,304
|
35,069
|
53
|
44
|
38,628
|
38,404
|
37,929
|
37,649
|
37,210
|
36,616
|
36,081
|
35,697
|
35,400
|
35,157
|
34,953
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
38,085
|
37,850
|
37,400
|
37,123
|
36,760
|
36,229
|
35,792
|
35,465
|
35,194
|
35,004
|
34,845
|
55
|
46
|
37,579
|
37,377
|
36,960
|
36,691
|
36,400
|
35,949
|
35,598
|
35,301
|
35,058
|
34,881
|
34,766
|
56
|
47
|
37,231
|
37,028
|
36,628
|
36,410
|
36,133
|
35,712
|
35,390
|
35,167
|
34,958
|
34,802
|
34,694
|
57
|
48
|
36,780
|
36,614
|
36,269
|
36,096
|
35,869
|
35,489
|
35,205
|
35,001
|
34,848
|
34,728
|
34,630
|
58
|
49
|
36,361
|
36,218
|
35,953
|
35,782
|
35,563
|
35,231
|
35,029
|
34,867
|
34,751
|
34,656
|
34,577
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
35,925
|
35,805
|
35,597
|
35,475
|
35,312
|
35,077
|
34,909
|
34,774
|
34,669
|
34,595
|
34,535
|
60
|
51
|
35,717
|
35,617
|
35,428
|
35,326
|
35,192
|
34,983
|
34,843
|
34,718
|
34,632
|
34,541
|
34,493
|
61
|
52
|
35,554
|
35,461
|
35,278
|
35,191
|
35,074
|
34,885
|
34,742
|
34,650
|
34,565
|
34,495
|
34,464
|
62
|
53
|
35,346
|
35,267
|
35,145
|
35,072
|
34,989
|
34,798
|
34,672
|
34,591
|
34,519
|
34,473
|
34,447
|
63
|
54
|
35,160
|
35,097
|
34,997
|
34,940
|
34,857
|
34,709
|
34,603
|
34,537
|
34,481
|
34,448
|
34,434
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
35,004
|
34,957
|
34,893
|
34,850
|
34,779
|
34,648
|
34,563
|
34,500
|
34,467
|
34,441
|
|
65
|
56
|
34,849
|
34,801
|
34,731
|
34,697
|
34,628
|
34,512
|
34,434
|
34,389
|
34,371
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
34,694
|
34,656
|
34,602
|
34,572
|
34,513
|
34,416
|
34,378
|
34,352
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
34,540
|
34,498
|
34,444
|
34,425
|
34,377
|
34,296
|
34,263
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
34,387
|
34,354
|
34,314
|
34,301
|
34,275
|
34,236
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
34,234
|
34,206
|
34,181
|
34,178
|
34,163
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
34,082
|
34,070
|
34,061
|
34,053
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
33,931
|
33,921
|
33,913
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
33,781
|
33,762
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
33,631
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original l[x] who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14B.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 16A.Male Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
20.51
|
19.55
|
18.79
|
18.22
|
18.02
|
19.49
|
21.72
|
23.49
|
24.76
|
25.75
|
26.73
|
26
|
17
|
21.75
|
20.84
|
20.09
|
19.55
|
19.45
|
21.05
|
23.05
|
24.67
|
25.86
|
26.78
|
27.51
|
27
|
18
|
23.18
|
22.32
|
21.64
|
21.13
|
21.18
|
22.80
|
24.44
|
25.79
|
26.80
|
27.58
|
28.03
|
28
|
19
|
24.66
|
23.84
|
23.28
|
22.85
|
22.94
|
24.46
|
25.75
|
26.79
|
27.57
|
28.11
|
28.28
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
25.81
|
25.02
|
24.55
|
24.14
|
24.32
|
25.61
|
26.64
|
27.54
|
28.09
|
28.34
|
28.33
|
30
|
21
|
26.76
|
25.98
|
25.57
|
25.26
|
25.37
|
26.39
|
27.30
|
27.86
|
28.23
|
28.32
|
28.17
|
31
|
22
|
27.18
|
26.47
|
26.04
|
25.78
|
25.87
|
26.80
|
27.55
|
27.99
|
28.15
|
28.10
|
27.87
|
32
|
23
|
27.23
|
26.53
|
26.10
|
25.85
|
25.94
|
26.78
|
27.43
|
27.73
|
27.85
|
27.76
|
27.51
|
33
|
24
|
27.02
|
26.32
|
25.99
|
25.72
|
25.77
|
26.50
|
27.06
|
27.35
|
27.50
|
27.35
|
27.02
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
26.60
|
25.89
|
25.67
|
25.41
|
25.46
|
26.10
|
26.65
|
26.92
|
26.95
|
26.76
|
26.45
|
35
|
26
|
26.29
|
25.62
|
25.37
|
25.09
|
25.12
|
25.72
|
26.23
|
26.42
|
26.38
|
26.20
|
25.88
|
36
|
27
|
26.20
|
25.53
|
25.28
|
25.02
|
25.02
|
25.55
|
25.93
|
25.99
|
25.90
|
25.64
|
25.25
|
37
|
28
|
25.81
|
25.15
|
24.93
|
24.67
|
24.63
|
25.08
|
25.35
|
25.41
|
25.23
|
24.97
|
24.58
|
38
|
29
|
25.57
|
24.88
|
24.70
|
24.40
|
24.31
|
24.64
|
24.93
|
24.94
|
24.70
|
24.35
|
23.87
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
25.38
|
24.70
|
24.52
|
24.14
|
24.01
|
24.29
|
24.45
|
24.40
|
24.09
|
23.69
|
23.16
|
40
|
31
|
25.11
|
24.45
|
24.21
|
23.79
|
23.62
|
23.77
|
23.84
|
23.75
|
23.39
|
22.97
|
22.40
|
41
|
32
|
24.80
|
24.11
|
23.81
|
23.42
|
23.18
|
23.24
|
23.25
|
23.02
|
22.68
|
22.19
|
21.62
|
42
|
33
|
24.42
|
23.71
|
23.44
|
23.04
|
22.74
|
22.70
|
22.57
|
22.31
|
21.94
|
21.40
|
20.82
|
43
|
34
|
23.91
|
23.22
|
22.95
|
22.50
|
22.17
|
22.10
|
21.94
|
21.64
|
21.18
|
20.62
|
19.99
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
23.50
|
22.78
|
22.49
|
22.06
|
21.69
|
21.57
|
21.34
|
20.94
|
20.42
|
19.83
|
19.16
|
45
|
36
|
23.10
|
22.37
|
22.06
|
21.58
|
21.17
|
20.97
|
20.67
|
20.21
|
19.64
|
18.99
|
18.30
|
46
|
37
|
22.69
|
21.97
|
21.59
|
21.07
|
20.62
|
20.31
|
19.96
|
19.48
|
18.86
|
18.17
|
17.43
|
47
|
38
|
22.21
|
21.49
|
21.08
|
20.53
|
20.01
|
19.68
|
19.27
|
18.72
|
18.05
|
17.33
|
16.54
|
48
|
39
|
21.64
|
20.89
|
20.45
|
19.88
|
19.32
|
18.93
|
18.48
|
17.90
|
17.21
|
16.45
|
15.63
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
21.16
|
20.39
|
19.91
|
19.29
|
18.71
|
18.24
|
17.73
|
17.08
|
16.36
|
15.57
|
14.71
|
50
|
41
|
20.69
|
19.90
|
19.35
|
18.69
|
18.06
|
17.53
|
16.95
|
16.26
|
15.48
|
14.65
|
13.77
|
51
|
42
|
20.14
|
19.32
|
18.76
|
18.05
|
17.39
|
16.82
|
16.18
|
15.42
|
14.60
|
13.72
|
12.82
|
52
|
43
|
19.55
|
18.73
|
18.13
|
17.39
|
16.68
|
16.05
|
15.35
|
14.55
|
13.68
|
12.79
|
11.86
|
53
|
44
|
18.94
|
18.10
|
17.44
|
16.67
|
15.93
|
15.24
|
14.47
|
13.63
|
12.75
|
11.83
|
10.90
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
18.26
|
17.41
|
16.69
|
15.89
|
15.11
|
14.37
|
13.55
|
12.70
|
11.81
|
10.88
|
9.93
|
55
|
46
|
17.56
|
16.69
|
15.96
|
15.13
|
14.31
|
13.52
|
12.67
|
11.79
|
10.87
|
9.92
|
8.95
|
56
|
47
|
16.83
|
15.95
|
15.17
|
14.30
|
13.44
|
12.62
|
11.75
|
10.85
|
9.91
|
8.94
|
7.96
|
57
|
48
|
16.04
|
15.15
|
14.32
|
13.43
|
12.55
|
11.70
|
10.81
|
9.89
|
8.93
|
7.95
|
6.97
|
58
|
49
|
15.29
|
14.36
|
13.49
|
12.57
|
11.66
|
10.78
|
9.86
|
8.91
|
7.94
|
6.97
|
5.98
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
14.50
|
13.55
|
12.64
|
11.70
|
10.77
|
9.86
|
8.91
|
7.94
|
6.96
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
60
|
51
|
13.58
|
12.63
|
11.72
|
10.76
|
9.82
|
8.88
|
7.93
|
6.96
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
61
|
52
|
12.66
|
11.71
|
10.79
|
9.83
|
8.86
|
7.92
|
6.95
|
5.97
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
62
|
53
|
11.77
|
10.80
|
9.85
|
8.87
|
7.90
|
6.94
|
5.97
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
63
|
54
|
10.84
|
9.86
|
8.88
|
7.90
|
6.92
|
5.96
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
9.89
|
8.90
|
7.92
|
6.93
|
5.95
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
65
|
56
|
8.92
|
7.93
|
6.95
|
5.96
|
4.97
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
7.95
|
6.96
|
5.97
|
4.97
|
3.98
|
2.99
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
6.97
|
5.98
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
2.99
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
4.00
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 15A, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 16B.Female Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
23.21
|
22.23
|
21.33
|
20.77
|
20.79
|
21.70
|
23.41
|
24.96
|
26.26
|
26.90
|
27.90
|
26
|
17
|
24.48
|
23.56
|
22.79
|
22.24
|
22.32
|
23.28
|
24.69
|
25.92
|
27.00
|
27.58
|
28.36
|
27
|
18
|
25.56
|
24.70
|
24.09
|
23.59
|
23.73
|
24.77
|
25.91
|
26.82
|
27.62
|
28.10
|
28.61
|
28
|
19
|
26.58
|
25.75
|
25.24
|
24.77
|
24.97
|
26.05
|
26.95
|
27.58
|
28.07
|
28.46
|
28.66
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
27.74
|
26.91
|
26.40
|
25.95
|
26.08
|
27.07
|
27.83
|
28.22
|
28.43
|
28.61
|
28.54
|
30
|
21
|
28.55
|
27.74
|
27.19
|
26.72
|
26.74
|
27.50
|
28.15
|
28.43
|
28.53
|
28.47
|
28.26
|
31
|
22
|
29.05
|
28.27
|
27.72
|
27.26
|
27.21
|
27.80
|
28.25
|
28.41
|
28.40
|
28.17
|
27.90
|
32
|
23
|
29.14
|
28.35
|
27.84
|
27.40
|
27.33
|
27.84
|
28.20
|
28.24
|
28.07
|
27.79
|
27.43
|
33
|
24
|
28.90
|
28.12
|
27.63
|
27.18
|
27.09
|
27.51
|
27.82
|
27.83
|
27.60
|
27.31
|
26.88
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
28.66
|
27.87
|
27.41
|
26.93
|
26.77
|
27.10
|
27.31
|
27.30
|
27.10
|
26.78
|
26.32
|
35
|
26
|
28.22
|
27.43
|
27.02
|
26.54
|
26.34
|
26.63
|
26.75
|
26.69
|
26.47
|
26.16
|
25.72
|
36
|
27
|
27.96
|
27.17
|
26.76
|
26.27
|
26.02
|
26.20
|
26.24
|
26.15
|
25.89
|
25.56
|
25.08
|
37
|
28
|
27.86
|
27.08
|
26.65
|
26.16
|
25.84
|
25.91
|
25.86
|
25.64
|
25.31
|
24.91
|
24.41
|
38
|
29
|
27.50
|
26.72
|
26.24
|
25.72
|
25.43
|
25.42
|
25.35
|
25.03
|
24.63
|
24.21
|
23.69
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
27.10
|
26.32
|
25.85
|
25.30
|
24.92
|
24.82
|
24.68
|
24.36
|
23.92
|
23.52
|
22.97
|
40
|
31
|
26.58
|
25.77
|
25.30
|
24.72
|
24.27
|
24.17
|
23.99
|
23.66
|
23.24
|
22.78
|
22.21
|
41
|
32
|
26.18
|
25.39
|
24.94
|
24.34
|
23.86
|
23.68
|
23.43
|
23.04
|
22.58
|
22.05
|
21.43
|
42
|
33
|
25.80
|
25.00
|
24.53
|
23.90
|
23.40
|
23.14
|
22.81
|
22.40
|
21.88
|
21.31
|
20.65
|
43
|
34
|
25.35
|
24.56
|
24.03
|
23.38
|
22.82
|
22.50
|
22.14
|
21.69
|
21.13
|
20.51
|
19.85
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
24.84
|
24.04
|
23.50
|
22.84
|
22.28
|
21.87
|
21.46
|
20.97
|
20.41
|
19.74
|
19.03
|
45
|
36
|
24.32
|
23.50
|
22.91
|
22.22
|
21.61
|
21.20
|
20.74
|
20.20
|
19.60
|
18.94
|
18.19
|
46
|
37
|
23.78
|
22.96
|
22.37
|
21.65
|
20.97
|
20.51
|
19.98
|
19.43
|
18.80
|
18.10
|
17.33
|
47
|
38
|
23.21
|
22.38
|
21.73
|
21.01
|
20.33
|
19.83
|
19.25
|
18.64
|
17.96
|
17.24
|
16.46
|
48
|
39
|
22.60
|
21.76
|
21.11
|
20.36
|
19.67
|
19.13
|
18.52
|
17.87
|
17.16
|
16.38
|
15.56
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
22.03
|
21.18
|
20.50
|
19.72
|
18.98
|
18.37
|
17.75
|
17.08
|
16.32
|
15.50
|
14.66
|
50
|
41
|
21.37
|
20.50
|
19.81
|
19.01
|
18.24
|
17.60
|
16.95
|
16.23
|
15.45
|
14.61
|
13.73
|
51
|
42
|
20.79
|
19.92
|
19.19
|
18.36
|
17.56
|
16.87
|
16.15
|
15.38
|
14.57
|
13.69
|
12.80
|
52
|
43
|
20.09
|
19.21
|
18.47
|
17.63
|
16.83
|
16.11
|
15.35
|
14.55
|
13.68
|
12.77
|
11.85
|
53
|
44
|
19.35
|
18.46
|
17.69
|
16.81
|
16.01
|
15.26
|
14.48
|
13.63
|
12.74
|
11.82
|
10.89
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
18.62
|
17.73
|
16.93
|
16.06
|
15.21
|
14.43
|
13.60
|
12.72
|
11.81
|
10.87
|
9.92
|
55
|
46
|
17.86
|
16.96
|
16.14
|
15.26
|
14.37
|
13.55
|
12.68
|
11.78
|
10.86
|
9.91
|
8.94
|
56
|
47
|
17.04
|
16.13
|
15.30
|
14.39
|
13.49
|
12.65
|
11.76
|
10.83
|
9.89
|
8.93
|
7.96
|
57
|
48
|
16.24
|
15.31
|
14.45
|
13.52
|
12.60
|
11.73
|
10.82
|
9.88
|
8.92
|
7.95
|
6.97
|
58
|
49
|
15.41
|
14.47
|
13.57
|
12.64
|
11.71
|
10.82
|
9.88
|
8.92
|
7.95
|
6.97
|
5.98
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
14.58
|
13.63
|
12.70
|
11.75
|
10.80
|
9.87
|
8.91
|
7.94
|
6.97
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
60
|
51
|
13.67
|
12.71
|
11.77
|
10.80
|
9.84
|
8.90
|
7.93
|
6.96
|
5.97
|
4.99
|
4.00
|
61
|
52
|
12.73
|
11.76
|
10.82
|
9.85
|
8.88
|
7.92
|
6.96
|
5.97
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
62
|
53
|
11.81
|
10.83
|
9.87
|
8.89
|
7.91
|
6.95
|
5.97
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
63
|
54
|
10.86
|
9.88
|
8.91
|
7.92
|
6.94
|
5.97
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
9.91
|
8.92
|
7.94
|
6.95
|
5.96
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
65
|
56
|
8.93
|
7.94
|
6.96
|
5.96
|
4.97
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
7.96
|
6.96
|
5.97
|
4.98
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
6.97
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
2.99
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
5.98
|
4.99
|
3.99
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
4.99
|
4.00
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
4.00
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
3.00
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
2.00
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 15B, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 17A.Male Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
2.054
|
12.290
|
23.073
|
43.063
|
124.115
|
146.196
|
115.529
|
90.462
|
75.845
|
73.084
|
63.858
|
26
|
17
|
4.285
|
12.470
|
23.088
|
45.178
|
120.816
|
127.846
|
104.652
|
83.107
|
70.592
|
62.199
|
53.379
|
27
|
18
|
6.280
|
14.467
|
22.814
|
48.518
|
112.772
|
106.378
|
89.748
|
73.542
|
63.754
|
50.930
|
43.710
|
28
|
19
|
7.657
|
18.486
|
24.468
|
46.973
|
101.194
|
87.418
|
75.017
|
63.797
|
54.060
|
40.642
|
36.648
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
8.292
|
21.513
|
23.983
|
47.760
|
88.019
|
75.154
|
68.052
|
54.423
|
43.600
|
34.344
|
29.259
|
30
|
21
|
8.618
|
22.505
|
27.131
|
43.042
|
75.370
|
69.015
|
55.329
|
47.867
|
37.834
|
29.812
|
24.793
|
31
|
22
|
10.608
|
21.658
|
28.494
|
41.536
|
71.022
|
62.677
|
50.648
|
40.561
|
33.423
|
27.208
|
22.934
|
32
|
23
|
11.097
|
21.940
|
28.333
|
41.662
|
67.770
|
59.211
|
46.471
|
39.381
|
32.650
|
26.652
|
18.886
|
33
|
24
|
11.476
|
25.619
|
27.775
|
40.282
|
64.569
|
56.799
|
46.618
|
40.997
|
30.722
|
24.737
|
15.854
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
11.415
|
29.970
|
28.686
|
40.795
|
62.350
|
57.235
|
46.610
|
37.533
|
29.817
|
25.899
|
16.569
|
35
|
26
|
12.886
|
29.239
|
28.293
|
40.655
|
61.466
|
56.816
|
44.543
|
35.849
|
30.977
|
26.047
|
14.355
|
36
|
27
|
12.742
|
29.812
|
29.284
|
39.480
|
59.383
|
52.444
|
40.279
|
34.409
|
28.485
|
24.103
|
12.935
|
37
|
28
|
13.446
|
31.413
|
29.819
|
38.387
|
57.276
|
49.728
|
41.210
|
32.005
|
29.039
|
24.352
|
12.293
|
38
|
29
|
12.293
|
32.981
|
28.850
|
37.005
|
53.467
|
50.933
|
40.063
|
30.475
|
26.088
|
21.772
|
12.113
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
12.840
|
33.382
|
25.612
|
35.759
|
52.018
|
47.029
|
38.536
|
28.033
|
25.168
|
19.860
|
10.705
|
40
|
31
|
13.713
|
31.325
|
24.293
|
34.939
|
47.699
|
44.360
|
37.867
|
26.881
|
24.760
|
19.229
|
10.081
|
41
|
32
|
12.871
|
29.398
|
25.978
|
32.201
|
45.353
|
42.592
|
32.952
|
28.884
|
22.460
|
19.981
|
9.063
|
42
|
33
|
12.684
|
30.655
|
25.929
|
30.742
|
41.685
|
37.982
|
32.899
|
28.203
|
21.058
|
19.762
|
8.803
|
43
|
34
|
13.448
|
31.497
|
24.553
|
29.761
|
41.815
|
37.647
|
31.619
|
25.130
|
21.402
|
18.254
|
8.217
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
12.529
|
31.408
|
25.291
|
28.961
|
40.485
|
35.483
|
27.927
|
23.622
|
20.081
|
16.694
|
7.611
|
45
|
36
|
12.283
|
30.933
|
23.913
|
27.606
|
37.462
|
33.561
|
26.457
|
21.306
|
18.237
|
16.567
|
7.241
|
46
|
37
|
12.880
|
28.689
|
22.540
|
26.336
|
33.832
|
31.887
|
26.032
|
20.097
|
16.672
|
14.516
|
6.640
|
47
|
38
|
13.082
|
27.945
|
21.338
|
24.020
|
33.523
|
29.987
|
23.575
|
18.309
|
15.965
|
12.086
|
6.028
|
48
|
39
|
12.007
|
27.157
|
21.259
|
22.831
|
31.635
|
29.174
|
23.071
|
17.895
|
14.309
|
11.429
|
4.998
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
11.225
|
25.807
|
19.958
|
21.827
|
28.783
|
27.128
|
20.296
|
16.867
|
12.706
|
9.577
|
4.208
|
50
|
41
|
10.734
|
23.200
|
17.693
|
20.266
|
26.623
|
24.247
|
18.763
|
14.147
|
11.054
|
8.547
|
3.979
|
51
|
42
|
9.793
|
22.998
|
15.933
|
19.235
|
25.413
|
21.341
|
15.713
|
11.586
|
9.016
|
7.579
|
3.541
|
52
|
43
|
9.598
|
21.803
|
14.542
|
17.165
|
22.913
|
18.961
|
13.633
|
9.326
|
8.030
|
6.451
|
3.169
|
53
|
44
|
9.190
|
19.168
|
14.047
|
16.129
|
19.394
|
16.047
|
11.131
|
9.108
|
7.038
|
5.962
|
2.528
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
8.433
|
17.073
|
12.116
|
14.650
|
17.258
|
13.445
|
11.246
|
8.742
|
6.414
|
4.707
|
2.025
|
55
|
46
|
8.233
|
16.438
|
11.338
|
12.128
|
15.083
|
11.377
|
9.920
|
6.990
|
5.085
|
3.079
|
1.897
|
56
|
47
|
7.360
|
14.444
|
8.912
|
10.276
|
13.733
|
11.149
|
8.783
|
5.479
|
3.546
|
2.405
|
1.657
|
57
|
48
|
6.871
|
11.856
|
7.979
|
9.238
|
12.842
|
10.292
|
6.913
|
4.302
|
3.371
|
2.753
|
1.386
|
58
|
49
|
4.826
|
9.891
|
6.214
|
7.700
|
10.540
|
7.543
|
5.591
|
3.659
|
3.525
|
2.625
|
1.405
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
3.684
|
7.425
|
4.802
|
6.633
|
8.077
|
5.538
|
4.339
|
3.040
|
2.524
|
1.665
|
1.103
|
60
|
51
|
3.840
|
7.005
|
4.227
|
5.499
|
7.201
|
5.461
|
3.985
|
2.699
|
2.170
|
1.674
|
0.858
|
61
|
52
|
4.238
|
6.720
|
3.733
|
4.252
|
6.494
|
4.347
|
3.236
|
2.531
|
1.923
|
1.489
|
0.524
|
62
|
53
|
3.201
|
4.432
|
2.750
|
3.472
|
5.255
|
4.338
|
2.689
|
2.528
|
1.826
|
0.693
|
0.432
|
63
|
54
|
2.139
|
2.839
|
1.779
|
3.243
|
5.472
|
4.130
|
2.422
|
2.157
|
1.225
|
0.681
|
0.344
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
1.394
|
2.256
|
1.540
|
2.556
|
4.772
|
3.162
|
1.900
|
1.089
|
0.714
|
0.450
|
|
65
|
56
|
1.574
|
2.202
|
1.324
|
2.290
|
4.209
|
2.495
|
1.365
|
0.788
|
0.504
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
1.054
|
1.736
|
1.325
|
1.955
|
3.145
|
1.643
|
1.041
|
0.469
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
0.789
|
1.398
|
0.790
|
1.559
|
1.949
|
1.095
|
0.816
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
0.928
|
1.327
|
0.589
|
1.013
|
1.502
|
0.617
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.725
|
0.862
|
0.355
|
0.784
|
0.904
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
0.549
|
0.412
|
0.212
|
0.524
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
0.195
|
0.271
|
0.283
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
0.529
|
0.520
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
0.200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q´[x]+t at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7A and recovery probabilities shown in table 14A. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 17B.Female Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Duration of disability
|
Attained age
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 or more
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
1.155
|
4.358
|
20.841
|
47.957
|
86.425
|
113.650
|
100.183
|
86.558
|
60.011
|
70.602
|
50.473
|
26
|
17
|
3.287
|
10.310
|
19.801
|
47.526
|
82.303
|
95.991
|
84.664
|
75.946
|
56.305
|
61.857
|
43.177
|
27
|
18
|
5.229
|
16.248
|
20.800
|
47.128
|
80.851
|
81.469
|
69.972
|
64.241
|
51.854
|
52.166
|
36.291
|
28
|
19
|
6.781
|
18.872
|
21.272
|
47.086
|
78.694
|
69.652
|
58.087
|
52.267
|
48.358
|
41.219
|
30.471
|
29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
6.233
|
18.106
|
20.930
|
42.858
|
72.463
|
62.243
|
48.598
|
41.859
|
40.768
|
32.290
|
25.152
|
30
|
21
|
6.815
|
16.484
|
19.296
|
37.825
|
63.007
|
57.795
|
44.166
|
38.206
|
32.476
|
27.774
|
22.325
|
31
|
22
|
7.439
|
16.070
|
19.780
|
34.241
|
56.280
|
50.864
|
40.072
|
34.333
|
27.001
|
25.711
|
19.268
|
32
|
23
|
7.241
|
17.526
|
20.240
|
33.635
|
53.239
|
47.748
|
36.315
|
28.876
|
25.670
|
23.094
|
16.538
|
33
|
24
|
7.492
|
18.513
|
19.994
|
33.029
|
50.957
|
46.291
|
35.762
|
27.472
|
25.636
|
21.151
|
16.526
|
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
7.292
|
19.497
|
19.412
|
30.898
|
48.420
|
43.581
|
35.684
|
29.236
|
24.881
|
20.510
|
15.002
|
35
|
26
|
7.650
|
21.620
|
19.302
|
30.008
|
47.752
|
41.201
|
34.624
|
29.225
|
25.855
|
21.471
|
14.428
|
36
|
27
|
7.781
|
21.733
|
19.531
|
28.357
|
44.306
|
39.073
|
34.413
|
28.050
|
25.860
|
20.502
|
13.060
|
37
|
28
|
8.381
|
20.908
|
19.196
|
26.138
|
40.776
|
36.028
|
29.919
|
26.307
|
23.424
|
20.298
|
11.898
|
38
|
29
|
7.960
|
19.742
|
18.410
|
27.704
|
38.423
|
36.032
|
26.807
|
24.066
|
23.268
|
20.255
|
11.691
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
8.345
|
20.365
|
17.568
|
24.600
|
35.654
|
34.212
|
27.652
|
22.763
|
24.996
|
19.374
|
10.694
|
40
|
31
|
7.345
|
20.525
|
16.941
|
22.178
|
36.966
|
33.419
|
28.117
|
24.511
|
23.193
|
18.924
|
10.259
|
41
|
32
|
8.429
|
21.617
|
16.324
|
21.405
|
34.047
|
31.488
|
26.390
|
23.210
|
20.901
|
17.734
|
10.300
|
42
|
33
|
8.274
|
21.206
|
15.465
|
21.086
|
31.260
|
28.991
|
25.833
|
21.675
|
19.668
|
16.160
|
10.094
|
43
|
34
|
8.397
|
19.497
|
14.817
|
18.802
|
29.744
|
28.611
|
24.587
|
20.402
|
18.347
|
17.037
|
9.323
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
8.319
|
19.327
|
14.574
|
19.407
|
26.704
|
27.091
|
23.893
|
21.052
|
16.479
|
15.130
|
8.547
|
45
|
36
|
8.028
|
17.655
|
13.424
|
18.031
|
27.061
|
25.712
|
22.266
|
20.227
|
17.324
|
13.856
|
7.934
|
46
|
37
|
7.735
|
18.026
|
12.972
|
14.953
|
25.708
|
22.924
|
22.926
|
19.436
|
15.957
|
13.351
|
7.441
|
47
|
38
|
7.571
|
16.257
|
12.844
|
15.559
|
24.849
|
21.560
|
20.363
|
17.155
|
15.901
|
13.259
|
6.427
|
48
|
39
|
7.537
|
16.341
|
11.927
|
15.392
|
23.485
|
20.949
|
19.128
|
16.218
|
13.210
|
11.536
|
6.510
|
49
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
6.970
|
15.532
|
11.279
|
13.248
|
21.003
|
20.782
|
18.850
|
14.335
|
11.079
|
10.808
|
5.237
|
50
|
41
|
6.754
|
15.277
|
10.338
|
12.609
|
19.980
|
19.934
|
16.894
|
14.037
|
10.721
|
8.533
|
4.844
|
51
|
42
|
6.138
|
14.092
|
9.047
|
11.197
|
18.186
|
16.634
|
14.567
|
12.831
|
8.717
|
7.950
|
4.378
|
52
|
43
|
6.249
|
13.665
|
9.217
|
11.110
|
17.252
|
15.111
|
13.642
|
8.830
|
7.068
|
6.710
|
3.353
|
53
|
44
|
5.967
|
12.553
|
7.451
|
11.778
|
16.091
|
14.731
|
10.720
|
8.398
|
6.924
|
5.858
|
3.113
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
6.364
|
12.075
|
7.482
|
9.878
|
14.565
|
12.167
|
9.215
|
7.707
|
5.452
|
4.593
|
2.281
|
55
|
46
|
5.558
|
11.353
|
7.368
|
8.015
|
12.507
|
9.856
|
8.404
|
6.955
|
5.094
|
3.309
|
2.109
|
56
|
47
|
5.629
|
10.996
|
6.041
|
7.681
|
11.760
|
9.091
|
6.360
|
6.018
|
4.503
|
3.158
|
1.864
|
57
|
48
|
4.657
|
9.612
|
4.828
|
6.355
|
10.689
|
8.075
|
5.841
|
4.410
|
3.497
|
2.890
|
1.540
|
58
|
49
|
4.057
|
7.465
|
4.827
|
6.183
|
9.432
|
5.801
|
4.659
|
3.378
|
2.758
|
2.308
|
1.236
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
3.447
|
5.899
|
3.466
|
4.644
|
6.722
|
4.851
|
3.921
|
3.050
|
2.151
|
1.750
|
1.234
|
60
|
51
|
2.893
|
5.402
|
2.904
|
3.832
|
5.989
|
4.051
|
3.640
|
2.516
|
2.648
|
1.427
|
0.863
|
61
|
52
|
2.722
|
5.259
|
2.485
|
3.368
|
5.456
|
4.139
|
2.675
|
2.488
|
2.065
|
0.906
|
0.492
|
62
|
53
|
2.325
|
3.526
|
2.116
|
2.387
|
5.536
|
3.676
|
2.361
|
2.120
|
1.350
|
0.738
|
0.382
|
63
|
54
|
1.848
|
2.918
|
1.660
|
2.403
|
4.291
|
3.084
|
1.924
|
1.647
|
0.980
|
0.432
|
0.339
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
1.398
|
1.873
|
1.237
|
2.069
|
3.803
|
2.474
|
1.841
|
0.977
|
0.778
|
0.545
|
|
65
|
56
|
1.424
|
2.060
|
1.007
|
2.029
|
3.402
|
2.289
|
1.320
|
0.517
|
0.514
|
|
|
66
|
57
|
1.146
|
1.605
|
0.873
|
1.731
|
2.863
|
1.131
|
0.779
|
0.085
|
|
|
|
67
|
58
|
1.271
|
1.615
|
0.554
|
1.409
|
2.384
|
0.980
|
0.329
|
|
|
|
|
68
|
59
|
1.007
|
1.203
|
0.390
|
0.774
|
1.172
|
0.735
|
|
|
|
|
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.858
|
0.756
|
0.079
|
0.452
|
0.619
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
61
|
0.389
|
0.284
|
0.233
|
0.081
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71
|
62
|
0.311
|
0.244
|
0.258
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72
|
63
|
0.573
|
0.479
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73
|
64
|
0.487
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value q´[x]+t at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7B and recovery probabilities shown in table 14B. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
Table 18.Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Select Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select age
|
Male
|
Female
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
0.041142
|
23.16
|
0.047084
|
24.15
|
17
|
0.042225
|
23.55
|
0.037443
|
24.71
|
18
|
0.035683
|
24.07
|
0.033605
|
25.21
|
19
|
0.030177
|
24.48
|
0.030879
|
25.63
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
0.027060
|
24.64
|
0.025742
|
25.89
|
21
|
0.023669
|
24.50
|
0.023615
|
25.87
|
22
|
0.022586
|
24.38
|
0.021051
|
25.69
|
23
|
0.021699
|
24.00
|
0.019884
|
25.28
|
24
|
0.021584
|
23.55
|
0.019979
|
24.88
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
0.021727
|
22.98
|
0.019829
|
24.45
|
26
|
0.022162
|
22.52
|
0.020222
|
23.93
|
27
|
0.021661
|
22.20
|
0.019504
|
23.50
|
28
|
0.022064
|
21.73
|
0.018443
|
23.18
|
29
|
0.021750
|
21.33
|
0.018382
|
22.75
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
0.021057
|
20.94
|
0.017774
|
22.28
|
31
|
0.020827
|
20.54
|
0.017974
|
21.82
|
32
|
0.020229
|
20.09
|
0.017326
|
21.32
|
33
|
0.019775
|
19.57
|
0.016621
|
20.91
|
34
|
0.019439
|
19.03
|
0.015976
|
20.42
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
0.018583
|
18.45
|
0.015419
|
19.83
|
36
|
0.017887
|
17.98
|
0.014512
|
19.25
|
37
|
0.016764
|
17.40
|
0.013825
|
18.65
|
38
|
0.015950
|
16.87
|
0.013139
|
18.06
|
39
|
0.015355
|
16.28
|
0.012599
|
17.43
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
0.014353
|
15.75
|
0.011490
|
16.81
|
41
|
0.013108
|
15.21
|
0.010890
|
16.18
|
42
|
0.012145
|
14.67
|
0.009680
|
15.57
|
43
|
0.011075
|
14.07
|
0.009055
|
14.97
|
44
|
0.010041
|
13.53
|
0.008461
|
14.29
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
0.009219
|
12.88
|
0.007685
|
13.64
|
46
|
0.008277
|
12.27
|
0.006855
|
12.93
|
47
|
0.007205
|
11.62
|
0.006320
|
12.20
|
48
|
0.006601
|
10.93
|
0.005447
|
11.47
|
49
|
0.005385
|
10.23
|
0.004642
|
10.69
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
0.004259
|
9.65
|
0.003705
|
10.05
|
51
|
0.004006
|
8.88
|
0.003272
|
9.23
|
52
|
0.003674
|
8.16
|
0.003064
|
8.48
|
53
|
0.003000
|
7.51
|
0.002560
|
7.75
|
54
|
0.002619
|
6.82
|
0.002171
|
7.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
0.002084
|
6.25
|
0.001782
|
6.41
|
56
|
0.001958
|
5.58
|
0.001729
|
5.71
|
57
|
0.001590
|
4.98
|
0.001336
|
5.08
|
58
|
0.001174
|
4.41
|
0.001295
|
4.48
|
59
|
0.001009
|
3.86
|
0.000865
|
3.92
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.000681
|
3.33
|
0.000555
|
3.37
|
61
|
0.000401
|
2.80
|
0.000264
|
2.82
|
62
|
0.000212
|
2.25
|
0.000255
|
2.25
|
63
|
0.000492
|
1.70
|
0.000515
|
1.70
|
64
|
0.000182
|
1.00
|
0.000453
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits.
2. Probability of recovery at select age [x] represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits at that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at select age [x] represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at that particular age who have not recovered. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.
Table 19.Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Attained Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Attained age
|
Male
|
Female
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
0.002049
|
20.51
|
0.001153
|
23.21
|
17
|
0.005830
|
21.56
|
0.002568
|
24.31
|
18
|
0.007703
|
22.62
|
0.005902
|
25.10
|
19
|
0.010993
|
23.55
|
0.011232
|
25.67
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
0.014972
|
24.26
|
0.014570
|
26.34
|
21
|
0.024076
|
24.81
|
0.018499
|
26.82
|
22
|
0.031246
|
25.18
|
0.024761
|
27.16
|
23
|
0.039284
|
25.48
|
0.028793
|
27.39
|
24
|
0.042007
|
25.76
|
0.032102
|
27.55
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
0.042681
|
25.98
|
0.032406
|
27.67
|
26
|
0.045716
|
26.16
|
0.032454
|
27.69
|
27
|
0.042214
|
26.34
|
0.031652
|
27.66
|
28
|
0.040626
|
26.36
|
0.030422
|
27.58
|
29
|
0.038096
|
26.29
|
0.028408
|
27.41
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
0.037042
|
26.13
|
0.026820
|
27.15
|
31
|
0.036250
|
25.93
|
0.025383
|
26.80
|
32
|
0.033566
|
25.69
|
0.024981
|
26.41
|
33
|
0.030548
|
25.38
|
0.023394
|
26.00
|
34
|
0.030712
|
24.99
|
0.022285
|
25.55
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
0.028765
|
24.58
|
0.021257
|
25.06
|
36
|
0.027050
|
24.14
|
0.020340
|
24.53
|
37
|
0.025769
|
23.66
|
0.018932
|
23.98
|
38
|
0.023837
|
23.14
|
0.018568
|
23.39
|
39
|
0.023224
|
22.56
|
0.017420
|
22.78
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
0.021577
|
21.97
|
0.016439
|
22.14
|
41
|
0.019943
|
21.35
|
0.015756
|
21.47
|
42
|
0.018733
|
20.70
|
0.015024
|
20.80
|
43
|
0.017680
|
20.02
|
0.014303
|
20.10
|
44
|
0.016319
|
19.31
|
0.013307
|
19.37
|
|
|
|
|
|
45
|
0.015093
|
18.58
|
0.012512
|
18.61
|
46
|
0.013942
|
17.82
|
0.011779
|
17.84
|
47
|
0.012635
|
17.03
|
0.010960
|
17.04
|
48
|
0.011206
|
16.22
|
0.009797
|
16.22
|
49
|
0.009266
|
15.38
|
0.009105
|
15.38
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
0.007685
|
14.51
|
0.007150
|
14.52
|
51
|
0.006971
|
13.61
|
0.006378
|
13.63
|
52
|
0.006314
|
12.70
|
0.005762
|
12.71
|
53
|
0.005604
|
11.77
|
0.004868
|
11.78
|
54
|
0.004326
|
10.83
|
0.003960
|
10.84
|
|
|
|
|
|
55
|
0.003247
|
9.88
|
0.003198
|
9.88
|
56
|
0.002871
|
8.91
|
0.002639
|
8.92
|
57
|
0.002485
|
7.94
|
0.002507
|
7.94
|
58
|
0.002197
|
6.96
|
0.002032
|
6.96
|
59
|
0.002049
|
5.97
|
0.001889
|
5.97
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
0.001710
|
4.98
|
0.001573
|
4.99
|
61
|
0.001361
|
3.99
|
0.001237
|
3.99
|
62
|
0.000817
|
3.00
|
0.000776
|
3.00
|
63
|
0.000679
|
2.00
|
0.000561
|
2.00
|
64
|
0.000455
|
1.00
|
0.000371
|
1.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration.
2. Probability of recovery at attained age x represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at attained age x represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered, and have attained that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.
Table 20.Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Duration
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Duration
|
Male
|
Female
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
Probability of recovery
|
Time on DI rolls
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
0.005539
|
14.37
|
0.004070
|
15.42
|
1
|
0.012645
|
13.91
|
0.009018
|
14.83
|
2
|
0.010419
|
13.62
|
0.006770
|
14.41
|
3
|
0.014106
|
13.50
|
0.009840
|
14.09
|
4
|
0.021874
|
13.61
|
0.016395
|
13.95
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
0.020425
|
13.87
|
0.015257
|
13.94
|
6
|
0.017252
|
14.09
|
0.013408
|
13.92
|
7
|
0.014467
|
14.22
|
0.011758
|
13.85
|
8
|
0.012539
|
14.27
|
0.010564
|
13.70
|
9
|
0.010836
|
14.30
|
0.009317
|
13.58
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
0.009711
|
14.35
|
0.008013
|
13.44
|
11
|
0.008218
|
14.28
|
0.007106
|
13.28
|
12
|
0.007198
|
14.26
|
0.006541
|
13.20
|
13
|
0.006256
|
14.26
|
0.005747
|
13.18
|
14
|
0.005441
|
14.26
|
0.005178
|
13.17
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
0.004732
|
14.18
|
0.004994
|
13.12
|
16
|
0.004214
|
13.94
|
0.004557
|
12.93
|
17
|
0.003551
|
13.62
|
0.003742
|
12.68
|
18
|
0.003005
|
13.23
|
0.003215
|
12.39
|
19
|
0.002690
|
12.81
|
0.002837
|
12.03
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
0.002289
|
12.42
|
0.002503
|
11.69
|
21
|
0.001964
|
12.10
|
0.002152
|
11.43
|
22
|
0.001819
|
11.79
|
0.002243
|
11.14
|
23
|
0.001557
|
11.44
|
0.002158
|
10.80
|
24
|
0.001471
|
10.98
|
0.001764
|
10.38
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
0.001286
|
10.52
|
0.001490
|
9.91
|
26
|
0.001209
|
10.17
|
0.001469
|
9.50
|
27
|
0.001671
|
9.86
|
0.001139
|
9.11
|
28
|
0.001248
|
9.49
|
0.001166
|
8.62
|
29
|
0.000622
|
9.00
|
0.001187
|
8.08
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
0.000933
|
8.36
|
0.000571
|
7.46
|
31
|
0.000738
|
7.40
|
0.000428
|
6.63
|
32
|
0.000322
|
6.21
|
0.000315
|
5.64
|
33
|
0.000194
|
4.69
|
0.000692
|
4.34
|
34
|
0.000571
|
4.23
|
0.000179
|
3.92
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
|
0.000425
|
3.67
|
|
3.34
|
36
|
0.000050
|
3.29
|
|
3.02
|
37
|
|
2.95
|
|
2.73
|
38
|
|
2.55
|
|
2.39
|
39
|
|
2.19
|
|
2.00
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
1.74
|
|
1.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
1. Duration measured in years since selection.
2. Probability of recovery at duration t represents the average probability of recovery during the (t+1) year of entitlement to benefits. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all select ages. Results have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at duration t represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered after t years. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all ages from Tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.
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