Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Year
|
Awards to
disabled workers |
Awards to young spouses
|
Awards to aged spouses
|
Awards to
total spouses
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio to minor children
awards (per 100) |
Number
|
Ratio to disabled worker
awards (per 100) |
Number
|
|||
Male workers
|
||||||
1980
|
291.2
|
32.15
|
74.9
|
11.20
|
32.6
|
107.5
|
1985
|
281.1
|
25.74
|
48.5
|
11.53
|
32.4
|
80.9
|
1990
|
303.6
|
19.35
|
41.8
|
8.29
|
25.2
|
67.0
|
1995
|
378.5
|
12.05
|
37.9
|
6.03
|
22.8
|
60.7
|
1996
|
355.5
|
10.63
|
33.0
|
6.12
|
21.7
|
54.7
|
1997
|
326.8
|
9.20
|
25.5
|
7.13
|
23.3
|
48.8
|
1998
|
333.0
|
8.25
|
23.0
|
6.81
|
22.7
|
45.7
|
1999
|
337.5
|
7.71
|
21.8
|
6.68
|
22.5
|
44.4
|
2000
|
338.8
|
7.25
|
19.7
|
6.59
|
22.3
|
42.0
|
2001
|
374.4
|
6.70
|
18.9
|
5.84
|
21.9
|
40.8
|
2002
|
406.3
|
6.46
|
20.5
|
5.60
|
22.8
|
43.2
|
2003
|
421.6
|
6.25
|
20.4
|
5.74
|
24.2
|
44.6
|
2004
|
428.7
|
5.85
|
18.8
|
6.06
|
26.0
|
44.8
|
2005
|
422.6
|
6.20
|
19.5
|
6.50
|
27.5
|
47.0
|
2006
|
415.7
|
6.25
|
19.0
|
7.00
|
29.1
|
48.1
|
2007
|
419.2
|
6.25
|
19.2
|
7.50
|
31.4
|
50.6
|
2008
|
434.3
|
6.25
|
19.4
|
8.00
|
34.7
|
54.2
|
2009
|
455.8
|
6.25
|
20.4
|
8.50
|
38.7
|
59.1
|
2010
|
457.3
|
6.25
|
20.0
|
8.50
|
38.9
|
58.8
|
2011
|
452.0
|
6.25
|
19.8
|
8.50
|
38.4
|
58.2
|
2012
|
458.8
|
6.25
|
20.2
|
8.50
|
39.0
|
59.1
|
2013
|
464.8
|
6.25
|
20.2
|
8.50
|
39.5
|
59.7
|
2014
|
470.9
|
6.25
|
20.5
|
8.50
|
40.0
|
60.5
|
Female workers
|
||||||
1980
|
129.1
|
1/
|
2/
|
.75
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
1985
|
135.0
|
.90
|
1.7
|
.66
|
.9
|
2.6
|
1990
|
168.5
|
.68
|
1.5
|
.42
|
.7
|
2.2
|
1995
|
267.1
|
.48
|
1.5
|
.29
|
.8
|
2.3
|
1996
|
268.8
|
.43
|
1.3
|
.28
|
.8
|
2.1
|
1997
|
260.9
|
.35
|
1.0
|
.28
|
.7
|
1.7
|
1998
|
275.4
|
.33
|
.9
|
.27
|
.8
|
1.7
|
1999
|
283.0
|
.29
|
.8
|
.29
|
.8
|
1.7
|
2000
|
282.5
|
.30
|
.8
|
.33
|
.9
|
1.7
|
2001
|
316.1
|
.31
|
.9
|
.31
|
1.0
|
1.9
|
2002
|
343.7
|
.37
|
1.2
|
.35
|
1.2
|
2.4
|
2003
|
355.9
|
.42
|
1.4
|
.35
|
1.2
|
2.6
|
2004
|
367.1
|
.42
|
1.3
|
.40
|
1.5
|
2.8
|
2005
|
365.7
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.40
|
1.5
|
2.9
|
2006
|
362.4
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.45
|
1.6
|
3.0
|
2007
|
368.3
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.50
|
1.8
|
3.2
|
2008
|
383.3
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.55
|
2.1
|
3.5
|
2009
|
403.1
|
.45
|
1.5
|
.60
|
2.4
|
3.9
|
2010
|
406.1
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.60
|
2.4
|
3.9
|
2011
|
403.7
|
.45
|
1.4
|
.60
|
2.4
|
3.8
|
2012
|
412.6
|
.45
|
1.5
|
.60
|
2.5
|
3.9
|
2013
|
420.7
|
.45
|
1.5
|
.60
|
2.5
|
4.0
|
2014
|
428.6
|
.45
|
1.5
|
.60
|
2.6
|
4.0
|
Total
|
||||||
1980
|
420.3
|
32.15
|
74.9
|
7.99
|
33.6
|
108.5
|
1985
|
416.1
|
26.64
|
50.2
|
8.00
|
33.3
|
83.5
|
1990
|
472.1
|
20.03
|
43.3
|
5.48
|
25.9
|
69.2
|
1995
|
645.6
|
12.53
|
39.4
|
3.65
|
23.6
|
63.0
|
1996
|
624.3
|
11.06
|
34.3
|
3.61
|
22.5
|
56.8
|
1997
|
587.7
|
9.55
|
26.5
|
4.09
|
24.0
|
50.5
|
1998
|
608.4
|
8.58
|
23.9
|
3.85
|
23.4
|
47.4
|
1999
|
620.6
|
8.01
|
22.7
|
3.76
|
23.4
|
46.0
|
2000
|
621.3
|
7.55
|
20.5
|
3.74
|
23.3
|
43.7
|
2001
|
690.5
|
7.01
|
19.8
|
3.31
|
22.9
|
42.7
|
2002
|
750.0
|
6.83
|
21.6
|
3.20
|
24.0
|
45.6
|
2003
|
777.5
|
6.67
|
21.8
|
3.27
|
25.4
|
47.2
|
2004
|
795.8
|
6.27
|
20.1
|
3.45
|
27.5
|
47.6
|
2005
|
788.2
|
6.65
|
21.0
|
3.67
|
28.9
|
49.9
|
2006
|
778.1
|
6.70
|
20.3
|
3.95
|
30.7
|
51.1
|
2007
|
787.5
|
6.70
|
20.6
|
4.23
|
33.3
|
53.9
|
2008
|
817.6
|
6.70
|
20.8
|
4.51
|
36.9
|
57.7
|
2009
|
858.9
|
6.70
|
21.9
|
4.79
|
41.2
|
63.0
|
2010
|
863.5
|
6.70
|
21.4
|
4.78
|
41.3
|
62.7
|
2011
|
855.8
|
6.70
|
21.2
|
4.77
|
40.8
|
62.1
|
2012
|
871.4
|
6.70
|
21.6
|
4.76
|
41.5
|
63.1
|
2013
|
885.4
|
6.70
|
21.7
|
4.75
|
42.0
|
63.7
|
2014
|
899.5
|
6.70
|
22.0
|
4.74
|
42.6
|
64.6
|
1This benefit became available on October 17, 1980, but was not paid in significant numbers until November 1983. 2Fewer than 50. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.