Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A31.—DI Minor Children of Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force,
Awarded, Terminated, Withheld, and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
In force
beginning
of period
Awards
during period
Gross terminations
In force
end of period
Benefits withheld end of period
In current-payment
status
end of period
Rate
(per 1,000)
Number
Per 1,000 in force
end of period
Number
1980
1,254.9
233.1
209.55
287.4
1,200.6
12.45
14.9
1,185.6
1981
1,200.6
202.2
233.87
304.4
1,098.4
25.84
28.4
1,070.0
1982
1,098.4
151.8
267.85
314.5
935.7
43.98
41.1
894.5
1983
935.7
153.3
182.90
185.2
903.8
53.37
48.2
855.6
1984
903.8
172.9
168.49
166.8
909.9
56.74
51.6
858.2
1985
909.9
188.5
148.96
149.6
948.8
62.26
59.1
889.7
1986
948.8
196.5
157.41
164.8
980.5
71.51
70.1
910.4
1987
980.5
191.6
167.96
180.8
991.3
79.63
78.9
912.4
1988
991.3
195.6
183.05
199.4
987.6
86.26
85.2
902.4
1989
987.6
196.8
174.94
190.0
994.4
93.53
93.0
901.4
1990
994.4
216.2
164.74
181.6
1,029.0
98.62
101.5
927.5
1991
1,029.0
249.5
156.70
180.8
1,097.7
101.75
111.7
986.0
1992
1,097.7
305.4
152.58
190.8
1,212.3
105.81
128.3
1,084.0
1993
1,212.3
316.3
147.65
202.3
1,326.2
109.71
145.5
1,180.7
1994
1,326.2
325.8
147.66
219.9
1,432.2
112.74
161.5
1,270.7
1995
1,432.2
314.3
153.87
244.6
1,502.0
115.41
173.3
1,328.6
1996
1,502.0
310.2
152.58
252.8
1,559.3
116.87
182.2
1,377.1
1997
1,559.3
277.3
177.13
300.8
1,535.9
118.62
182.2
1,353.7
1998
1,535.9
279.1
156.31
261.9
1,553.1
123.79
192.3
1,360.8
1999
1,553.1
283.0
155.85
264.1
1,572.0
125.16
196.8
1,375.2
2000
1,572.0
271.0
158.65
270.9
1,572.1
125.74
197.7
1,374.4
2001
1,572.1
282.5
155.74
266.8
1,587.8
127.48
202.4
1,385.4
2002
1,587.8
316.9
157.46
275.0
1,629.7
127.29
207.4
1,422.3
2003
1,629.7
326.2
154.05
276.2
1,679.8
129.86
218.1
1,461.6
2004
1,679.8
320.9
155.15
285.5
1,715.2
132.87
227.9
1,487.3
2005-I
1,715.2
80.1
42.50
74.6
1,720.7
132.41
227.8
1,492.8
2005-II
1,720.7
80.1
42.50
74.8
1,725.9
131.95
227.7
1,498.2
2005-III
1,725.9
80.1
42.50
75.1
1,731.0
131.49
227.6
1,503.4
2005-IV
1,731.0
75.0
42.50
75.2
1,730.8
131.02
226.8
1,504.1
2006-I
1,730.8
77.1
42.50
75.2
1,732.7
130.56
226.2
1,506.5
2006-II
1,732.7
77.1
42.50
75.3
1,734.5
130.10
225.7
1,508.9
2006-III
1,734.5
77.1
42.50
75.4
1,736.3
129.63
225.1
1,511.2
2006-IV
1,736.3
72.2
42.50
75.3
1,733.2
129.17
223.9
1,509.3
2007-I
1,733.2
78.0
42.50
75.3
1,735.8
128.71
223.4
1,512.4
2007-II
1,735.8
78.0
42.50
75.4
1,738.4
128.24
222.9
1,515.5
2007-III
1,738.4
78.0
42.50
75.5
1,740.9
127.78
222.5
1,518.4
2007-IV
1,740.9
73.1
42.50
75.5
1,738.4
127.32
221.3
1,517.1
2008-I
1,738.4
78.9
42.50
75.6
1,741.8
126.85
221.0
1,520.8
2008-II
1,741.8
78.9
42.50
75.7
1,745.0
126.39
220.6
1,524.5
2008-III
1,745.0
78.9
42.50
75.8
1,748.1
125.93
220.1
1,528.0
2008-IV
1,748.1
73.9
42.50
75.9
1,746.2
125.47
219.1
1,527.1
2009-I
1,746.2
82.9
42.50
76.0
1,753.1
125.00
219.1
1,533.9
2009-II
1,753.1
82.9
42.50
76.3
1,759.7
124.54
219.2
1,540.6
2009-III
1,759.7
82.9
42.50
76.6
1,766.1
124.08
219.1
1,546.9
2009-IV
1,766.1
77.7
42.50
76.7
1,767.0
123.61
218.4
1,548.6
2010-I
1,767.0
81.1
42.50
76.8
1,771.4
123.15
218.1
1,553.2
2010-II
1,771.4
81.1
42.50
77.0
1,775.5
122.69
217.8
1,557.7
2010-III
1,775.5
81.1
42.50
77.2
1,779.5
122.22
217.5
1,562.0
2010-IV
1,779.5
76.0
42.50
77.2
1,778.3
121.76
216.5
1,561.7
2011-I
1,778.3
80.4
42.50
77.3
1,781.4
121.30
216.1
1,565.3
2011-II
1,781.4
80.4
42.50
77.4
1,784.4
120.84
215.6
1,568.8
2011-III
1,784.4
80.4
42.50
77.5
1,787.3
120.37
215.1
1,572.1
2011-IV
1,787.3
75.4
42.50
77.6
1,785.1
119.91
214.0
1,571.0
2012-I
1,785.1
81.9
42.50
77.6
1,789.4
119.45
213.7
1,575.6
2012-II
1,789.4
81.9
42.50
77.8
1,793.5
118.98
213.4
1,580.1
2012-III
1,793.5
81.9
42.50
78.0
1,797.4
118.52
213.0
1,584.4
2012-IV
1,797.4
76.7
42.50
78.0
1,796.1
118.06
212.0
1,584.1
2013-I
1,796.1
82.1
42.50
78.1
1,800.1
117.59
211.7
1,588.4
2013-II
1,800.1
82.1
42.50
78.3
1,804.0
117.13
211.3
1,592.7
2013-III
1,804.0
82.1
42.50
78.4
1,807.6
116.67
210.9
1,596.8
2013-IV
1,807.6
76.9
42.50
78.5
1,806.1
116.20
209.9
1,596.2
2014-I
1,806.1
83.4
42.50
78.5
1,811.0
115.74
209.6
1,601.4
2014-II
1,811.0
83.4
42.50
78.7
1,815.6
115.28
209.3
1,606.3
2014-III
1,815.6
83.4
42.50
78.9
1,820.1
114.82
209.0
1,611.1
2014-IV
1,820.1
78.1
42.50
79.0
1,819.2
114.35
208.0
1,611.2

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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