Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
|
Year
|
15-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
30-34
|
35-39
|
40-44
|
45-49
|
50-54
|
55-59
|
60-64
|
65-NRA 1
|
Total
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Male
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
1.1
|
21.9
|
58.5
|
89.4
|
96.9
|
116.1
|
172.4
|
277.6
|
463.9
|
637.1
|
...
|
1,934.9
|
|
1985
|
.5
|
20.2
|
63.7
|
98.5
|
126.1
|
133.4
|
155.7
|
231.9
|
385.1
|
587.4
|
...
|
1,802.4
|
|
1990
|
.9
|
20.0
|
71.9
|
132.5
|
174.0
|
207.4
|
214.2
|
255.0
|
376.5
|
545.5
|
...
|
1,997.9
|
|
1995
|
.8
|
24.3
|
83.9
|
165.7
|
250.8
|
304.9
|
352.2
|
376.0
|
465.6
|
592.8
|
...
|
2,617.1
|
|
1996
|
.8
|
21.3
|
81.1
|
160.5
|
254.7
|
319.0
|
372.5
|
403.1
|
487.3
|
604.0
|
...
|
2,704.2
|
|
1997
|
.7
|
19.5
|
74.7
|
148.4
|
245.0
|
320.1
|
372.0
|
424.5
|
509.3
|
611.3
|
...
|
2,725.6
|
|
1998
|
.8
|
19.2
|
70.1
|
141.5
|
243.1
|
330.3
|
384.8
|
448.8
|
536.0
|
627.0
|
...
|
2,801.6
|
|
1999
|
.8
|
20.1
|
65.7
|
133.3
|
239.6
|
337.0
|
397.9
|
476.5
|
558.6
|
637.9
|
...
|
2,867.5
|
|
2000
|
.9
|
22.0
|
61.8
|
126.8
|
230.2
|
339.4
|
409.8
|
504.0
|
576.9
|
651.9
|
...
|
2,923.7
|
|
2001
|
1.1
|
26.6
|
63.0
|
124.3
|
223.0
|
343.0
|
424.8
|
525.9
|
611.2
|
678.2
|
...
|
3,021.1
|
|
2002
|
1.2
|
32.0
|
67.0
|
122.6
|
216.5
|
344.9
|
443.1
|
540.2
|
655.9
|
717.7
|
...
|
3,141.0
|
|
2003
|
1.1
|
34.0
|
73.1
|
122.3
|
211.6
|
347.9
|
460.9
|
562.2
|
696.9
|
762.0
|
21.8
|
3,293.8
|
|
2004
|
.9
|
33.9
|
79.7
|
122.4
|
206.0
|
348.9
|
475.9
|
584.6
|
746.7
|
802.5
|
46.7
|
3,448.2
|
|
2005
|
1.2
|
34.1
|
86.2
|
121.8
|
205.3
|
343.8
|
486.2
|
605.8
|
792.9
|
834.5
|
71.7
|
3,583.5
|
|
2006
|
1.2
|
33.0
|
90.5
|
121.9
|
203.7
|
334.0
|
490.4
|
624.9
|
818.3
|
880.3
|
102.0
|
3,700.2
|
|
2007
|
1.2
|
31.8
|
93.2
|
124.4
|
201.4
|
323.0
|
489.4
|
643.0
|
828.5
|
931.3
|
139.7
|
3,806.9
|
|
2008
|
1.3
|
31.5
|
94.4
|
129.1
|
198.4
|
312.8
|
487.0
|
657.6
|
845.9
|
976.4
|
175.6
|
3,910.2
|
|
2009
|
1.7
|
32.7
|
94.9
|
135.7
|
195.6
|
305.2
|
484.1
|
670.3
|
869.5
|
1,031.0
|
174.7
|
3,995.5
|
|
2010
|
1.6
|
33.5
|
93.7
|
141.4
|
191.2
|
301.7
|
474.8
|
679.4
|
895.3
|
1,084.2
|
178.6
|
4,075.3
|
|
2011
|
1.3
|
33.3
|
91.1
|
145.3
|
188.4
|
299.1
|
462.0
|
685.7
|
924.1
|
1,118.0
|
203.3
|
4,151.5
|
|
2012
|
1.1
|
33.2
|
89.0
|
147.7
|
189.2
|
296.0
|
448.5
|
687.6
|
952.4
|
1,138.7
|
223.1
|
4,206.5
|
|
2013
|
1.1
|
33.2
|
87.9
|
148.1
|
193.0
|
291.4
|
436.0
|
687.8
|
976.5
|
1,168.2
|
224.6
|
4,247.9
|
|
2014
|
1.1
|
33.0
|
88.0
|
146.6
|
198.3
|
285.0
|
425.9
|
684.7
|
996.1
|
1,204.8
|
230.8
|
4,294.3
|
|
Female
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
.4
|
7.9
|
24.2
|
36.2
|
40.5
|
49.4
|
76.7
|
134.4
|
237.3
|
326.3
|
...
|
933.4
|
|
1985
|
.2
|
8.0
|
25.9
|
43.8
|
55.4
|
60.9
|
72.8
|
113.0
|
195.9
|
302.2
|
...
|
877.9
|
|
1990
|
.4
|
9.3
|
33.7
|
62.7
|
86.9
|
105.2
|
117.1
|
142.7
|
207.9
|
290.7
|
...
|
1,056.5
|
|
1995
|
.5
|
14.2
|
48.3
|
95.5
|
146.6
|
188.0
|
224.4
|
255.2
|
306.0
|
357.8
|
...
|
1,636.3
|
|
1996
|
.5
|
12.8
|
49.0
|
97.0
|
155.6
|
205.5
|
246.3
|
284.4
|
334.3
|
377.7
|
...
|
1,763.0
|
|
1997
|
.5
|
12.0
|
47.7
|
95.6
|
158.9
|
217.3
|
260.8
|
311.7
|
364.3
|
396.9
|
...
|
1,865.7
|
|
1998
|
.5
|
12.2
|
46.8
|
94.9
|
164.6
|
230.9
|
279.7
|
338.3
|
397.9
|
422.4
|
...
|
1,988.0
|
|
1999
|
.5
|
13.1
|
45.9
|
93.0
|
168.8
|
243.3
|
299.7
|
366.9
|
429.8
|
445.3
|
...
|
2,106.3
|
|
2000
|
.6
|
14.8
|
44.8
|
92.4
|
169.0
|
251.8
|
317.5
|
395.8
|
455.0
|
470.8
|
...
|
2,212.7
|
|
2001
|
.7
|
17.8
|
47.4
|
95.3
|
170.0
|
261.9
|
337.9
|
421.6
|
493.6
|
504.4
|
...
|
2,350.6
|
|
2002
|
.7
|
21.4
|
52.2
|
98.2
|
171.6
|
271.9
|
359.1
|
443.8
|
535.8
|
548.7
|
...
|
2,503.5
|
|
2003
|
.7
|
23.1
|
57.4
|
102.2
|
173.1
|
282.7
|
380.6
|
470.0
|
574.7
|
596.2
|
16.6
|
2,677.3
|
|
2004
|
.6
|
23.4
|
63.0
|
106.1
|
173.1
|
291.8
|
400.1
|
499.9
|
621.0
|
641.1
|
35.6
|
2,855.7
|
|
2005
|
.9
|
23.9
|
68.3
|
108.2
|
177.5
|
295.1
|
416.1
|
527.2
|
667.5
|
677.9
|
57.0
|
3,019.6
|
|
2006
|
.9
|
23.4
|
71.7
|
109.9
|
181.4
|
293.1
|
427.1
|
551.3
|
699.5
|
726.5
|
82.8
|
3,167.6
|
|
2007
|
.9
|
23.0
|
73.8
|
113.6
|
183.9
|
289.9
|
434.3
|
572.2
|
721.7
|
778.6
|
116.1
|
3,307.8
|
|
2008
|
1.0
|
23.3
|
75.1
|
118.2
|
185.7
|
286.1
|
440.9
|
590.9
|
748.4
|
825.9
|
149.0
|
3,444.3
|
|
2009
|
1.3
|
24.7
|
76.0
|
124.6
|
186.9
|
283.7
|
446.0
|
609.1
|
780.7
|
881.2
|
149.2
|
3,563.5
|
|
2010
|
1.2
|
25.4
|
75.5
|
130.1
|
185.6
|
286.0
|
444.3
|
625.0
|
813.3
|
937.3
|
153.6
|
3,677.3
|
|
2011
|
.9
|
25.1
|
74.0
|
133.8
|
185.0
|
289.7
|
438.1
|
638.3
|
846.7
|
979.6
|
177.2
|
3,788.4
|
|
2012
|
.8
|
24.9
|
73.1
|
136.0
|
187.6
|
292.1
|
431.4
|
647.5
|
878.0
|
1,012.9
|
196.5
|
3,880.8
|
|
2013
|
.8
|
24.7
|
73.1
|
136.9
|
192.1
|
292.6
|
424.8
|
655.9
|
906.4
|
1,052.9
|
200.5
|
3,960.6
|
|
2014
|
.7
|
24.5
|
73.6
|
136.2
|
198.2
|
290.6
|
420.2
|
660.4
|
932.6
|
1,098.9
|
207.2
|
4,043.0
|
|
Total
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
1.5
|
29.8
|
82.6
|
125.6
|
137.5
|
165.6
|
249.2
|
411.9
|
701.3
|
963.4
|
...
|
2,868.3
|
|
1985
|
.7
|
28.2
|
89.6
|
142.3
|
181.5
|
194.2
|
228.4
|
344.9
|
580.9
|
889.5
|
...
|
2,680.3
|
|
1990
|
1.3
|
29.4
|
105.6
|
195.2
|
260.9
|
312.6
|
331.2
|
397.7
|
584.4
|
836.2
|
...
|
3,054.5
|
|
1995
|
1.3
|
38.5
|
132.2
|
261.2
|
397.4
|
492.9
|
576.6
|
631.2
|
771.6
|
950.6
|
...
|
4,253.5
|
|
1996
|
1.3
|
34.1
|
130.0
|
257.5
|
410.4
|
524.5
|
618.8
|
687.4
|
821.6
|
981.7
|
...
|
4,467.3
|
|
1997
|
1.2
|
31.5
|
122.4
|
243.9
|
403.9
|
537.4
|
632.8
|
736.2
|
873.6
|
1,008.3
|
...
|
4,591.3
|
|
1998
|
1.2
|
31.4
|
116.9
|
236.4
|
407.6
|
561.2
|
664.4
|
787.1
|
933.9
|
1,049.4
|
...
|
4,789.6
|
|
1999
|
1.3
|
33.1
|
111.6
|
226.2
|
408.4
|
580.4
|
697.6
|
843.5
|
988.4
|
1,083.1
|
...
|
4,973.8
|
|
2000
|
1.5
|
36.8
|
106.6
|
219.2
|
399.2
|
591.2
|
727.3
|
899.8
|
1,031.9
|
1,122.8
|
...
|
5,136.4
|
|
2001
|
1.8
|
44.4
|
110.4
|
219.6
|
393.1
|
604.9
|
762.7
|
947.4
|
1,104.8
|
1,182.6
|
...
|
5,371.7
|
|
2002
|
2.0
|
53.4
|
119.2
|
220.8
|
388.1
|
616.8
|
802.2
|
984.0
|
1,191.7
|
1,266.4
|
...
|
5,644.4
|
|
2003
|
1.8
|
57.1
|
130.5
|
224.5
|
384.7
|
630.6
|
841.6
|
1,032.2
|
1,271.5
|
1,358.2
|
38.4
|
5,971.1
|
|
2004
|
1.5
|
57.3
|
142.7
|
228.5
|
379.1
|
640.6
|
875.9
|
1,084.6
|
1,367.7
|
1,443.7
|
82.2
|
6,303.9
|
|
2005
|
2.1
|
58.0
|
154.5
|
230.0
|
382.8
|
639.0
|
902.3
|
1,132.9
|
1,460.4
|
1,512.4
|
128.8
|
6,603.1
|
|
2006
|
2.1
|
56.4
|
162.3
|
231.7
|
385.2
|
627.0
|
917.6
|
1,176.2
|
1,517.7
|
1,606.8
|
184.8
|
6,867.9
|
|
2007
|
2.1
|
54.7
|
167.0
|
237.9
|
385.3
|
612.9
|
923.7
|
1,215.2
|
1,550.2
|
1,709.8
|
255.7
|
7,114.7
|
|
2008
|
2.4
|
54.8
|
169.5
|
247.3
|
384.1
|
599.0
|
927.9
|
1,248.5
|
1,594.2
|
1,802.3
|
324.6
|
7,354.5
|
|
2009
|
2.9
|
57.4
|
171.0
|
260.3
|
382.5
|
588.9
|
930.1
|
1,279.4
|
1,650.2
|
1,912.2
|
323.9
|
7,558.9
|
|
2010
|
2.8
|
58.8
|
169.2
|
271.5
|
376.8
|
587.7
|
919.1
|
1,304.4
|
1,708.6
|
2,021.6
|
332.2
|
7,752.7
|
|
2011
|
2.2
|
58.4
|
165.1
|
279.1
|
373.4
|
588.8
|
900.1
|
1,324.0
|
1,770.8
|
2,097.6
|
380.5
|
7,939.9
|
|
2012
|
1.9
|
58.1
|
162.0
|
283.7
|
376.8
|
588.1
|
879.9
|
1,335.1
|
1,830.4
|
2,151.6
|
419.6
|
8,087.2
|
|
2013
|
1.9
|
57.9
|
161.0
|
285.0
|
385.0
|
584.0
|
860.8
|
1,343.7
|
1,882.9
|
2,221.1
|
425.2
|
8,208.5
|
|
2014
|
1.8
|
57.5
|
161.6
|
282.8
|
396.4
|
575.6
|
846.0
|
1,345.0
|
1,928.7
|
2,303.7
|
438.0
|
8,337.3
|
| 1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA." |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.