Social Security
Disability Insurance Program
Worker Experience

Contents Previous Next List of Tables List of Figures
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 118
by Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.

Combined Experience
by Select Age and Duration
(1996-2000)


Table 21A.—Male Disabled Workers
Probability of Death or Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
0.006800
0.021736
0.029592
0.049501
0.131505
0.152937
0.119696
0.096828
0.082709
0.080907
0.072714
26
17
0.014295
0.024953
0.031721
0.052806
0.126378
0.134525
0.109930
0.088747
0.077527
0.069429
0.061267
27
18
0.022057
0.028936
0.033158
0.056824
0.117669
0.113135
0.095842
0.079629
0.070177
0.057971
0.051131
28
19
0.027657
0.034003
0.034702
0.056309
0.106619
0.094280
0.081534
0.071145
0.059764
0.047821
0.045249
29
                         
20
0.029353
0.038622
0.033861
0.057829
0.095299
0.082704
0.073710
0.061876
0.049971
0.041013
0.037332
30
21
0.028637
0.038553
0.036967
0.053080
0.083588
0.076900
0.062645
0.054983
0.046180
0.037652
0.032861
31
22
0.032154
0.038449
0.038486
0.050494
0.079770
0.070645
0.059731
0.048034
0.041711
0.035295
0.031585
32
23
0.037298
0.041614
0.040163
0.051223
0.077643
0.066826
0.055463
0.047143
0.041798
0.035041
0.028140
33
24
0.040464
0.045574
0.042756
0.051332
0.075966
0.065447
0.055467
0.049447
0.040181
0.034666
0.024482
34
                         
25
0.044737
0.052259
0.045684
0.054190
0.075488
0.067874
0.056392
0.047190
0.040202
0.035197
0.025857
35
26
0.050033
0.054811
0.048021
0.056207
0.077036
0.068711
0.056077
0.046624
0.042127
0.037002
0.023890
36
27
0.051148
0.059024
0.051593
0.057871
0.075415
0.065260
0.052332
0.045247
0.039468
0.036197
0.023214
37
28
0.053428
0.061396
0.053944
0.058185
0.074587
0.064970
0.054648
0.045382
0.041047
0.036070
0.022494
38
29
0.054607
0.064314
0.055093
0.059005
0.071094
0.066577
0.054330
0.043767
0.038024
0.034275
0.024008
39
                         
30
0.059280
0.065990
0.052692
0.057882
0.070238
0.062995
0.053840
0.041366
0.038243
0.034253
0.022673
40
31
0.064234
0.064940
0.052010
0.057129
0.066466
0.060913
0.052954
0.041362
0.039410
0.033915
0.022715
41
32
0.063543
0.063249
0.053485
0.056732
0.064415
0.058828
0.048140
0.044964
0.037595
0.034161
0.022954
42
33
0.064552
0.064206
0.053763
0.053682
0.060591
0.054961
0.050039
0.043196
0.037384
0.036248
0.023154
43
34
0.066654
0.065012
0.052093
0.052272
0.061784
0.054997
0.049584
0.040589
0.037860
0.034536
0.023675
44
                         
35
0.066720
0.066157
0.054004
0.052085
0.062229
0.053606
0.045265
0.042203
0.037754
0.033562
0.024102
45
36
0.064975
0.064111
0.051788
0.050536
0.058619
0.052812
0.045598
0.040362
0.038260
0.033733
0.024349
46
37
0.067330
0.063288
0.052414
0.049539
0.056502
0.050989
0.044680
0.040024
0.036649
0.035246
0.025238
47
38
0.071440
0.062292
0.050070
0.050622
0.054644
0.049642
0.043156
0.038476
0.034603
0.033280
0.025023
48
39
0.072090
0.062888
0.050531
0.048364
0.054821
0.050007
0.045090
0.037670
0.035083
0.032919
0.025332
49
                         
40
0.073895
0.062907
0.050890
0.046904
0.053378
0.048298
0.041639
0.039505
0.035600
0.032142
0.025755
50
41
0.075520
0.060086
0.048379
0.046930
0.050227
0.047560
0.040776
0.036719
0.034392
0.033344
0.026591
51
42
0.079817
0.060896
0.045699
0.045204
0.051321
0.044082
0.040249
0.033289
0.033285
0.033831
0.028112
52
43
0.083894
0.062764
0.046916
0.044295
0.048243
0.043640
0.037529
0.033092
0.033141
0.033013
0.029049
53
44
0.086967
0.061780
0.045774
0.045486
0.044292
0.040322
0.035584
0.034226
0.034909
0.034377
0.031219
54
                         
45
0.090238
0.058422
0.043262
0.042691
0.042622
0.038694
0.037790
0.036593
0.034785
0.035443
0.031824
55
46
0.093354
0.058709
0.044861
0.039984
0.042379
0.038437
0.038501
0.035854
0.035518
0.036735
0.033686
56
47
0.092033
0.058951
0.042333
0.039959
0.042443
0.040391
0.040197
0.034496
0.035207
0.037906
0.036203
57
48
0.098266
0.059440
0.042534
0.040963
0.041379
0.040368
0.039387
0.037011
0.038754
0.039349
0.037788
58
49
0.094264
0.056180
0.040915
0.038709
0.039615
0.038573
0.037619
0.037856
0.039284
0.040689
0.039854
59
                         
50
0.080620
0.048182
0.035777
0.037051
0.037873
0.036103
0.036735
0.038954
0.039896
0.040057
0.042782
60
51
0.092676
0.053137
0.039863
0.039632
0.040654
0.040672
0.039465
0.040762
0.041309
0.044663
0.044217
61
52
0.098259
0.054859
0.042426
0.038971
0.040486
0.040621
0.041963
0.043439
0.045175
0.048243
0.047643
62
53
0.099880
0.056477
0.042564
0.040230
0.041336
0.043556
0.041416
0.045636
0.047357
0.049771
0.051113
63
54
0.098568
0.053395
0.042944
0.040440
0.043068
0.043238
0.042834
0.045637
0.047053
0.049308
0.053460
64
                         
55
0.082858
0.047839
0.039264
0.038295
0.042079
0.041787
0.042748
0.044781
0.045958
0.050465
0.054777
65
56
0.094471
0.053413
0.042183
0.042218
0.044480
0.045230
0.046312
0.048307
0.052551
0.052081
0.057774
66
57
0.096296
0.054726
0.043610
0.042835
0.045436
0.046156
0.048273
0.049937
0.055423
0.056657
0.062100
67
58
0.098875
0.054714
0.045081
0.046834
0.047905
0.047410
0.050803
0.052293
0.056237
0.059155
0.065285
68
59
0.101386
0.057222
0.047806
0.047807
0.048131
0.050597
0.050933
0.055687
0.060122
0.061806
0.069004
69
                         
60
0.098855
0.059266
0.048083
0.047987
0.050167
0.050211
0.055069
0.058298
0.064000
0.067735
0.072880
70
61
0.113309
0.063732
0.053836
0.051678
0.053052
0.055392
0.059745
0.064390
0.068640
0.073066
0.076247
71
62
0.120910
0.072691
0.058922
0.055873
0.058214
0.060126
0.063928
0.064604
0.071400
0.073929
0.080794
72
63
0.143623
0.085961
0.069318
0.064893
0.065659
0.069826
0.072622
0.074729
0.080484
0.082617
0.084717
73
64
0.178225
0.094032
0.074872
0.071714
0.076611
0.076377
0.081416
0.087496
0.090302
0.099653
0.090031
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of death or recovery from disability during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Values are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7A and recovery probabilities shown in table 14A.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 7C for death probabilities beyond attained age 74.

Table 21B.—Female Disabled Workers
Probability of Death or Recovery
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
0.004082
0.007573
0.025309
0.054000
0.091574
0.116628
0.102655
0.097976
0.065236
0.074605
0.056443
26
17
0.010657
0.017620
0.027197
0.053531
0.087636
0.100036
0.088551
0.084872
0.061631
0.066844
0.050076
27
18
0.016857
0.028486
0.030940
0.052781
0.087035
0.086378
0.075506
0.071651
0.057343
0.058049
0.043988
28
19
0.021865
0.034172
0.032429
0.054015
0.085551
0.074923
0.064058
0.058077
0.054364
0.047437
0.038199
29
                         
20
0.022724
0.034633
0.030811
0.050763
0.079906
0.068016
0.054840
0.047651
0.048225
0.038664
0.033311
30
21
0.024207
0.030944
0.028751
0.045984
0.069742
0.063026
0.050199
0.044700
0.039711
0.033453
0.029863
31
22
0.025913
0.029869
0.030442
0.041837
0.062559
0.057167
0.045817
0.041040
0.033076
0.031435
0.027716
32
23
0.027558
0.032274
0.030553
0.041833
0.059968
0.055229
0.042468
0.035465
0.032733
0.029889
0.025066
33
24
0.031805
0.034587
0.030390
0.041900
0.058155
0.053217
0.043836
0.036174
0.034266
0.029146
0.025156
34
                         
25
0.034794
0.035292
0.031913
0.040130
0.056604
0.052048
0.043644
0.038017
0.033991
0.029656
0.023364
35
26
0.034265
0.039460
0.033571
0.040925
0.056274
0.049510
0.043050
0.037626
0.034691
0.030344
0.022567
36
27
0.037510
0.039693
0.034186
0.038789
0.053745
0.047337
0.042734
0.036627
0.034764
0.028680
0.022077
37
28
0.038142
0.038134
0.032105
0.036580
0.049884
0.044628
0.038547
0.034574
0.032100
0.029237
0.020785
38
29
0.038689
0.038711
0.031120
0.039551
0.046412
0.044608
0.035082
0.033389
0.032728
0.030389
0.021234
39
                         
30
0.040477
0.041491
0.029818
0.034627
0.044375
0.043139
0.036504
0.032176
0.034636
0.031135
0.022041
40
31
0.041666
0.041016
0.029578
0.031951
0.046268
0.041936
0.037715
0.034440
0.033628
0.030045
0.021152
41
32
0.043185
0.042514
0.029950
0.031705
0.043834
0.040532
0.035614
0.032731
0.031017
0.028225
0.021450
42
33
0.044145
0.042388
0.029918
0.032751
0.042012
0.038292
0.034544
0.032274
0.030313
0.028008
0.021687
43
34
0.046329
0.041022
0.029054
0.030513
0.040469
0.037902
0.034708
0.030716
0.029011
0.028379
0.021707
44
                         
35
0.046476
0.042644
0.030313
0.031778
0.038175
0.037508
0.034888
0.031647
0.027987
0.026957
0.021728
45
36
0.048855
0.039686
0.028630
0.029825
0.039519
0.036219
0.033099
0.031152
0.030714
0.025313
0.020999
46
37
0.051818
0.042534
0.028271
0.027858
0.037186
0.033720
0.035219
0.032529
0.029900
0.026247
0.021634
47
38
0.052303
0.041615
0.028895
0.029641
0.037465
0.033502
0.032752
0.029993
0.030025
0.026921
0.020448
48
39
0.052197
0.041109
0.028765
0.030808
0.036045
0.032883
0.031301
0.028788
0.026303
0.024482
0.021683
49
                         
40
0.055711
0.041044
0.028362
0.028538
0.033248
0.033188
0.031708
0.027666
0.025399
0.025369
0.021394
50
41
0.059323
0.041925
0.028567
0.027343
0.033782
0.033609
0.030701
0.027827
0.026148
0.023509
0.022772
51
42
0.058913
0.043910
0.028721
0.026293
0.032816
0.031513
0.028259
0.028122
0.024624
0.022925
0.022795
52
43
0.060353
0.043729
0.030167
0.026770
0.031889
0.029670
0.029357
0.023687
0.022232
0.024132
0.023111
53
44
0.062447
0.043009
0.027792
0.029512
0.032199
0.029779
0.026884
0.024666
0.024428
0.024357
0.023091
54
                         
45
0.064885
0.043526
0.029128
0.027925
0.031843
0.028520
0.025839
0.025613
0.023684
0.025481
0.023553
55
46
0.067302
0.044723
0.030656
0.027254
0.030927
0.027703
0.025176
0.025738
0.024944
0.024704
0.024827
56
47
0.070147
0.046532
0.031632
0.027687
0.029750
0.026903
0.025622
0.026319
0.025021
0.024556
0.025295
57
48
0.071160
0.047280
0.029578
0.027727
0.029595
0.027723
0.025687
0.025574
0.026264
0.026737
0.026495
58
49
0.069983
0.044503
0.030732
0.028203
0.029885
0.024655
0.025318
0.024927
0.025084
0.028297
0.027502
59
                         
50
0.060990
0.037887
0.027238
0.025510
0.026390
0.024506
0.024606
0.024329
0.024337
0.024933
0.029504
60
51
0.069141
0.041966
0.029105
0.026579
0.027118
0.025967
0.026441
0.025993
0.026869
0.027660
0.031025
61
52
0.070158
0.045482
0.028700
0.027115
0.026688
0.027503
0.026852
0.025796
0.028439
0.029101
0.031726
62
53
0.072612
0.043318
0.030819
0.027725
0.028668
0.028925
0.027764
0.030122
0.029745
0.031197
0.034536
63
54
0.073495
0.042447
0.031582
0.028774
0.029336
0.028819
0.028444
0.030567
0.030251
0.033807
0.035863
64
                         
55
0.065744
0.039534
0.027978
0.028014
0.027584
0.029118
0.029619
0.028991
0.032248
0.033443
0.037903
65
56
0.071547
0.043660
0.032400
0.029769
0.031327
0.032443
0.032004
0.031803
0.034635
0.035525
0.039309
66
57
0.073945
0.045303
0.033950
0.031484
0.031855
0.033138
0.034451
0.034092
0.037709
0.037645
0.042060
67
58
0.076212
0.046979
0.035827
0.032183
0.033737
0.032650
0.035143
0.037648
0.039851
0.040946
0.044530
68
59
0.079646
0.050669
0.037255
0.034437
0.034591
0.037168
0.036491
0.039039
0.041091
0.043806
0.046495
69
                         
60
0.078915
0.051154
0.038588
0.036030
0.036853
0.039152
0.039503
0.039788
0.044903
0.046938
0.047968
70
61
0.091644
0.054641
0.044108
0.041098
0.041983
0.041260
0.042008
0.044416
0.049716
0.051735
0.051261
71
62
0.096110
0.059379
0.048360
0.046165
0.046747
0.044740
0.047084
0.048113
0.053676
0.056389
0.055454
72
63
0.115359
0.070561
0.054783
0.051386
0.051899
0.050128
0.053133
0.057673
0.057954
0.060521
0.057252
73
64
0.136358
0.076873
0.061761
0.054324
0.054038
0.057279
0.061154
0.060437
0.060716
0.070448
0.061155
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value q[x]+t at duration t represents the probability of death or recovery from disability during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Values are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7B and recovery probabilities shown in table 14B.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 7C for death probabilities beyond attained age 74.

Table 22A.—Male Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
100,000
99,320
97,161
94,286
89,619
77,834
65,930
58,038
52,418
48,083
44,193
26
17
88,311
87,049
84,877
82,185
77,845
68,007
58,858
52,388
47,739
44,038
40,980
27
18
77,883
76,165
73,961
71,509
67,446
59,510
52,777
47,719
43,919
40,837
38,469
28
19
69,029
67,120
64,838
62,588
59,064
52,767
47,792
43,895
40,772
38,335
36,502
29
                         
20
62,446
60,613
58,272
56,299
53,043
47,988
44,019
40,774
38,251
36,340
34,850
30
21
57,271
55,631
53,486
51,509
48,775
44,698
41,261
38,676
36,549
34,861
33,549
31
22
53,963
52,228
50,220
48,287
45,849
42,192
39,211
36,869
35,098
33,634
32,447
32
23
52,211
50,264
48,172
46,237
43,869
40,463
37,759
35,665
33,984
32,564
31,422
33
24
51,115
49,047
46,812
44,811
42,511
39,282
36,711
34,675
32,960
31,636
30,538
34
                         
25
50,811
48,538
46,001
43,899
41,520
38,386
35,781
33,763
32,170
30,877
29,790
35
26
50,415
47,893
45,268
43,094
40,672
37,539
34,960
33,000
31,461
30,136
29,020
36
27
49,049
46,540
43,793
41,534
39,130
36,179
33,818
32,048
30,598
29,390
28,327
37
28
48,423
45,836
43,022
40,701
38,333
35,474
33,169
31,356
29,933
28,704
27,669
38
29
47,209
44,631
41,761
39,460
37,132
34,492
32,196
30,447
29,114
28,007
27,047
39
                         
30
45,867
43,148
40,301
38,177
35,967
33,441
31,334
29,647
28,421
27,334
26,398
40
31
44,661
41,792
39,078
37,046
34,930
32,608
30,622
29,000
27,801
26,705
25,799
41
32
43,266
40,517
37,954
35,924
33,886
31,703
29,838
28,402
27,125
26,105
25,213
42
33
41,980
39,270
36,749
34,773
32,906
30,912
29,213
27,751
26,552
25,559
24,634
43
34
40,873
38,149
35,669
33,811
32,044
30,064
28,411
27,002
25,906
24,925
24,064
44
                         
35
39,832
37,174
34,715
32,840
31,130
29,193
27,628
26,377
25,264
24,310
23,494
45
36
38,348
35,856
33,557
31,819
30,211
28,440
26,938
25,710
24,672
23,728
22,928
46
37
37,253
34,745
32,546
30,840
29,312
27,656
26,246
25,073
24,069
23,187
22,370
47
38
35,996
33,424
31,342
29,773
28,266
26,721
25,395
24,299
23,364
22,556
21,805
48
39
35,141
32,608
30,557
29,013
27,610
26,096
24,791
23,673
22,781
21,982
21,259
49
                         
40
34,098
31,578
29,592
28,086
26,769
25,340
24,116
23,112
22,199
21,409
20,720
50
41
32,830
30,351
28,527
27,147
25,873
24,573
23,404
22,450
21,626
20,882
20,186
51
42
31,755
29,220
27,441
26,187
25,003
23,720
22,674
21,761
21,037
20,337
19,649
52
43
30,833
28,246
26,473
25,231
24,113
22,950
21,948
21,124
20,425
19,748
19,097
53
44
29,851
27,255
25,571
24,401
23,291
22,259
21,361
20,601
19,896
19,201
18,542
54
                         
45
28,825
26,224
24,692
23,624
22,615
21,651
20,813
20,026
19,293
18,622
17,963
55
46
28,023
25,407
23,915
22,842
21,929
21,000
20,193
19,416
18,720
18,055
17,391
56
47
27,065
24,574
23,125
22,146
21,261
20,359
19,537
18,752
18,105
17,468
16,805
57
48
26,466
23,865
22,446
21,491
20,611
19,758
18,960
18,213
17,539
16,859
16,197
58
49
25,096
22,730
21,453
20,575
19,779
18,995
18,262
17,575
16,910
16,246
15,585
59
                         
50
23,276
21,399
20,368
19,639
18,911
18,195
17,538
16,894
16,236
15,588
14,964
60
51
23,282
21,124
20,002
19,205
18,444
17,694
16,974
16,304
15,639
14,993
14,324
61
52
22,770
20,533
19,407
18,584
17,860
17,137
16,441
15,751
15,067
14,386
13,691
62
53
22,003
19,805
18,686
17,891
17,171
16,461
15,744
15,092
14,403
13,721
13,039
63
54
20,839
18,785
17,782
17,018
16,330
15,627
14,951
14,311
13,658
13,015
12,373
64
                         
55
19,091
17,509
16,671
16,016
15,403
14,755
14,138
13,534
12,928
12,334
11,712
65
56
18,931
17,143
16,227
15,542
14,886
14,224
13,581
12,952
12,326
11,678
11,070
66
57
18,181
16,430
15,531
14,854
14,218
13,572
12,946
12,321
11,706
11,057
10,430
67
58
17,416
15,694
14,835
14,166
13,503
12,856
12,246
11,624
11,016
10,396
9,782
68
59
16,667
14,977
14,120
13,445
12,802
12,186
11,569
10,980
10,369
9,746
9,143
69
                         
60
15,817
14,253
13,408
12,763
12,151
11,541
10,962
10,358
9,754
9,130
8,512
70
61
15,596
13,829
12,948
12,251
11,618
11,002
10,393
9,772
9,143
8,515
7,892
71
62
15,101
13,275
12,310
11,585
10,938
10,301
9,682
9,063
8,477
7,872
7,290
72
63
15,637
13,391
12,240
11,392
10,653
9,954
9,259
8,587
7,945
7,306
6,701
73
64
16,383
13,463
12,197
11,284
10,475
9,672
8,933
8,206
7,488
6,812
6,133
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives remaining from the original l[x] who have attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 21A.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 22C for attained ages beyond age 74.

Table 22B.—Female Disabled Workers
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
100,000
99,592
98,838
96,337
91,135
82,789
73,133
65,626
59,196
55,334
51,206
26
17
90,032
89,073
87,504
85,124
80,567
73,506
66,153
60,295
55,178
51,777
48,316
27
18
82,357
80,969
78,663
76,229
72,206
65,922
60,228
55,680
51,690
48,726
45,897
28
19
75,537
73,885
71,360
69,046
65,316
59,728
55,253
51,714
48,711
46,063
43,878
29
                         
20
68,848
67,283
64,953
62,952
59,756
54,981
51,241
48,431
46,123
43,899
42,202
30
21
63,430
61,895
59,980
58,256
55,577
51,701
48,442
46,010
43,953
42,208
40,796
31
22
59,522
57,980
56,248
54,536
52,254
48,985
46,185
44,069
42,260
40,862
39,578
32
23
57,195
55,619
53,824
52,180
49,997
46,999
44,403
42,517
41,009
39,667
38,481
33
24
56,074
54,291
52,413
50,820
48,691
45,859
43,419
41,516
40,014
38,643
37,516
34
                         
25
54,806
52,899
51,032
49,403
47,420
44,736
42,408
40,557
39,015
37,689
36,572
35
26
53,726
51,885
49,838
48,165
46,194
43,594
41,436
39,652
38,160
36,836
35,718
36
27
52,202
50,244
48,250
46,601
44,793
42,386
40,380
38,654
37,238
35,943
34,912
37
28
49,988
48,081
46,247
44,762
43,125
40,974
39,145
37,636
36,335
35,169
34,141
38
29
48,782
46,895
45,080
43,677
41,950
40,003
38,219
36,878
35,647
34,480
33,431
39
                         
30
47,631
45,703
43,807
42,501
41,029
39,208
37,517
36,147
34,984
33,772
32,721
40
31
46,576
44,635
42,804
41,538
40,211
38,351
36,743
35,357
34,139
32,991
32,000
41
32
45,171
43,220
41,383
40,144
38,871
37,167
35,661
34,391
33,265
32,233
31,323
42
33
43,988
42,046
40,264
39,059
37,780
36,193
34,807
33,605
32,520
31,534
30,651
43
34
42,744
40,764
39,092
37,956
36,798
35,309
33,971
32,792
31,785
30,863
29,986
44
                         
35
41,828
39,884
38,183
37,026
35,849
34,480
33,187
32,029
31,015
30,147
29,335
45
36
40,694
38,706
37,170
36,106
35,029
33,645
32,426
31,353
30,376
29,443
28,698
46
37
39,936
37,867
36,256
35,231
34,250
32,976
31,864
30,742
29,742
28,853
28,095
47
38
38,983
36,944
35,407
34,384
33,365
32,115
31,039
30,022
29,122
28,248
27,487
48
39
37,778
35,806
34,334
33,346
32,319
31,154
30,130
29,187
28,347
27,601
26,925
49
                         
40
36,868
34,814
33,385
32,438
31,512
30,464
29,453
28,519
27,730
27,026
26,341
50
41
36,177
34,031
32,604
31,673
30,807
29,766
28,766
27,883
27,107
26,398
25,777
51
42
35,113
33,044
31,593
30,686
29,879
28,898
27,987
27,196
26,431
25,780
25,190
52
43
34,170
32,108
30,704
29,778
28,981
28,057
27,225
26,426
25,800
25,226
24,616
53
44
33,488
31,397
30,047
29,212
28,350
27,437
26,620
25,904
25,265
24,648
24,047
54
                         
45
32,764
30,638
29,304
28,450
27,656
26,775
26,011
25,339
24,690
24,105
23,492
55
46
32,085
29,926
28,588
27,712
26,957
26,123
25,399
24,760
24,123
23,521
22,939
56
47
31,456
29,249
27,888
27,006
26,258
25,477
24,792
24,157
23,521
22,932
22,369
57
48
30,761
28,572
27,221
26,416
25,684
24,924
24,233
23,611
23,007
22,403
21,803
58
49
29,766
27,683
26,451
25,638
24,915
24,170
23,574
22,977
22,404
21,842
21,225
59
                         
50
28,030
26,320
25,323
24,633
24,005
23,372
22,799
22,238
21,697
21,169
20,641
60
51
27,954
26,021
24,929
24,203
23,560
22,921
22,326
21,736
21,171
20,602
20,032
61
52
27,342
25,424
24,268
23,572
22,933
22,321
21,707
21,124
20,579
19,994
19,411
62
53
26,890
24,937
23,857
23,122
22,481
21,837
21,205
20,616
19,995
19,400
18,795
63
54
26,140
24,219
23,191
22,459
21,813
21,173
20,563
19,978
19,367
18,781
18,146
64
                         
55
24,800
23,170
22,254
21,631
21,025
20,445
19,850
19,262
18,704
18,101
17,495
65
56
24,690
22,924
21,923
21,213
20,582
19,937
19,290
18,673
18,079
17,453
16,832
66
57
24,179
22,391
21,377
20,651
20,001
19,364
18,722
18,077
17,461
16,803
16,170
67
58
23,592
21,794
20,770
20,026
19,382
18,728
18,117
17,480
16,822
16,152
15,490
68
59
23,091
21,252
20,175
19,423
18,754
18,105
17,432
16,796
16,140
15,477
14,800
69
                         
60
22,425
20,655
19,598
18,842
18,163
17,494
16,809
16,145
15,503
14,807
14,112
70
61
22,528
20,463
19,345
18,492
17,732
16,988
16,287
15,603
14,910
14,169
13,435
71
62
22,392
20,240
19,038
18,117
17,281
16,473
15,736
14,995
14,274
13,508
12,746
72
63
22,962
20,313
18,880
17,846
16,929
16,050
15,245
14,435
13,602
12,814
12,039
73
64
23,361
20,176
18,625
17,475
16,526
15,633
14,738
13,837
13,001
12,212
11,350
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value l[x] at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value l[x]+t at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives remaining from the original l[x] who have attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 21B.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 22C for attained ages beyond age 74.

Table 22C.—Disabled Workers Age 75 and Older
Survival Table
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Attained
age
 
Male
 
Female
         
75
 
5,581
 
10,656
76
 
5,054
 
9,976
77
 
4,550
 
9,315
78
 
4,071
 
8,650
79
 
3,617
 
7,995
         
80
 
3,188
 
7,358
81
 
2,788
 
6,720
82
 
2,419
 
6,104
83
 
2,074
 
5,488
84
 
1,751
 
4,899
         
85
 
1,467
 
4,336
86
 
1,212
 
3,789
87
 
990
 
3,276
88
 
800
 
2,801
89
 
639
 
2,362
         
90
 
504
 
1,961
91
 
392
 
1,608
92
 
301
 
1,301
93
 
227
 
1,038
94
 
169
 
815
         
95
 
123
 
630
96
 
88
 
478
97
 
62
 
356
98
 
43
 
260
99
 
29
 
185
         
100
 
19
 
129
101
 
12
 
87
102
 
7
 
57
103
 
4
 
36
104
 
2
 
22
         
105
 
1
 
13
106
 
1
 
7
107
 
1
 
4
108
 
0
 
2
109
 
 
1
         
110
 
 
0
         

Notes:
1. The value at attained age x represents the number of lives remaining from those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age.
2. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 7C. Values are an extension of the ultimate column of tables 21A and 21B.

Table 23A.—Male Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the OASDI Rolls
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
18.17
17.29
16.66
16.16
15.97
17.31
19.35
20.91
22.10
23.05
24.03
26
17
19.10
18.37
17.83
17.40
17.34
18.78
20.62
22.10
23.21
24.11
24.88
27
18
20.18
19.62
19.19
18.84
18.94
20.40
21.94
23.21
24.18
24.96
25.47
28
19
21.33
20.92
20.64
20.36
20.55
21.94
23.17
24.18
25.00
25.56
25.81
29
                         
20
22.27
21.93
21.79
21.54
21.83
23.08
24.11
24.99
25.61
25.93
26.01
30
21
23.10
22.77
22.66
22.51
22.75
23.78
24.72
25.34
25.78
26.01
26.00
31
22
23.46
23.23
23.14
23.04
23.24
24.21
25.01
25.57
25.84
25.94
25.87
32
23
23.33
23.22
23.20
23.15
23.38
24.30
25.01
25.45
25.68
25.78
25.70
33
24
23.00
22.95
23.02
23.03
23.25
24.12
24.77
25.20
25.48
25.53
25.43
34
                         
25
22.39
22.41
22.62
22.68
22.95
23.78
24.48
24.91
25.12
25.15
25.05
35
26
21.83
21.95
22.20
22.29
22.59
23.44
24.13
24.53
24.71
24.77
24.70
36
27
21.61
21.75
22.08
22.25
22.59
23.39
23.99
24.29
24.42
24.40
24.30
37
28
21.16
21.33
21.69
21.90
22.22
22.97
23.54
23.87
23.98
23.98
23.86
38
29
20.91
21.09
21.51
21.73
22.06
22.71
23.30
23.61
23.66
23.58
23.40
39
                         
30
20.71
20.99
21.43
21.60
21.90
22.51
22.99
23.27
23.25
23.16
22.96
40
31
20.48
20.86
21.27
21.41
21.68
22.18
22.59
22.83
22.79
22.70
22.48
41
32
20.34
20.69
21.05
21.22
21.46
21.91
22.24
22.34
22.37
22.23
21.99
42
33
20.17
20.52
20.90
21.06
21.22
21.56
21.78
21.91
21.87
21.70
21.50
43
34
19.91
20.29
20.67
20.78
20.90
21.24
21.45
21.54
21.43
21.25
21.00
44
                         
35
19.63
19.99
20.38
20.51
20.61
20.94
21.10
21.08
20.99
20.79
20.49
45
36
19.55
19.88
20.21
20.28
20.33
20.57
20.69
20.65
20.50
20.30
19.99
46
37
19.30
19.66
19.96
20.03
20.05
20.22
20.28
20.21
20.03
19.77
19.47
47
38
19.10
19.53
19.80
19.81
19.84
19.96
19.98
19.86
19.63
19.32
18.97
48
39
18.76
19.18
19.43
19.44
19.40
19.50
19.50
19.40
19.14
18.82
18.44
49
                         
40
18.49
18.93
19.17
19.17
19.09
19.14
19.08
18.89
18.64
18.31
17.91
50
41
18.33
18.79
18.96
18.90
18.80
18.77
18.69
18.46
18.14
17.77
17.37
51
42
18.07
18.59
18.76
18.64
18.50
18.47
18.30
18.05
17.65
17.24
16.83
52
43
17.72
18.30
18.49
18.38
18.21
18.11
17.91
17.59
17.17
16.75
16.30
53
44
17.44
18.05
18.21
18.05
17.89
17.70
17.42
17.04
16.63
16.21
15.77
54
                         
45
17.18
17.83
17.91
17.69
17.46
17.22
16.89
16.53
16.14
15.71
15.26
55
46
16.80
17.48
17.53
17.33
17.04
16.77
16.42
16.05
15.63
15.19
14.75
56
47
16.50
17.13
17.17
16.91
16.59
16.30
15.97
15.61
15.15
14.69
14.25
57
48
16.02
16.71
16.74
16.46
16.14
15.82
15.46
15.07
14.63
14.20
13.76
58
49
15.93
16.54
16.50
16.18
15.81
15.44
15.04
14.61
14.16
13.72
13.28
59
                         
50
16.14
16.51
16.32
15.91
15.50
15.09
14.64
14.18
13.73
13.28
12.81
60
51
15.30
15.82
15.68
15.30
14.92
14.53
14.12
13.68
13.24
12.79
12.36
61
52
14.78
15.33
15.19
14.85
14.43
14.01
13.59
13.16
12.73
12.31
11.91
62
53
14.37
14.91
14.78
14.41
13.99
13.57
13.17
12.72
12.30
11.89
11.48
63
54
14.16
14.66
14.45
14.08
13.65
13.24
12.82
12.37
11.94
11.50
11.08
64
                         
55
14.34
14.59
14.29
13.86
13.39
12.96
12.50
12.03
11.58
11.11
10.67
65
56
13.58
13.95
13.71
13.29
12.85
12.43
11.99
11.55
11.11
10.70
10.26
66
57
13.19
13.54
13.30
12.88
12.43
12.00
11.56
11.12
10.68
10.27
9.86
67
58
12.79
13.13
12.87
12.45
12.04
11.62
11.17
10.74
10.31
9.89
9.48
68
59
12.38
12.72
12.47
12.07
11.65
11.21
10.78
10.33
9.91
9.51
9.11
69
                         
60
12.07
12.34
12.09
11.67
11.24
10.80
10.35
9.92
9.50
9.12
8.75
70
61
11.38
11.77
11.54
11.16
10.74
10.32
9.89
9.49
9.11
8.74
8.39
71
62
10.82
11.24
11.08
10.74
10.35
9.95
9.56
9.18
8.78
8.41
8.05
72
63
9.82
10.38
10.31
10.04
9.71
9.35
9.02
8.68
8.34
8.03
7.71
73
64
8.85
9.66
9.62
9.35
9.04
8.75
8.43
8.13
7.86
7.59
7.38
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of combined DI and OASI entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have not died or recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from tables 22A and 22C, and reflect automatic conversion to old-age benefits upon attaining normal retirement age.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 9C for expected future lifetimes beyond attained age 74.

Table 23B.—Female Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the OASDI Rolls
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
22.14
21.23
20.39
19.90
20.01
20.98
22.68
24.22
25.79
26.56
27.66
26
17
23.16
22.40
21.79
21.39
21.57
22.59
24.05
25.34
26.64
27.36
28.28
27
18
23.97
23.37
23.04
22.76
23.00
24.14
25.38
26.41
27.41
28.05
28.75
28
19
24.83
24.37
24.21
24.01
24.35
25.58
26.62
27.40
28.06
28.65
29.05
29
                         
20
25.95
25.54
25.44
25.23
25.56
26.73
27.65
28.22
28.61
29.03
29.18
30
21
26.96
26.62
26.45
26.22
26.46
27.40
28.21
28.68
29.00
29.18
29.17
31
22
27.60
27.32
27.15
26.98
27.14
27.92
28.58
28.93
29.14
29.12
29.05
32
23
27.71
27.48
27.38
27.23
27.39
28.11
28.72
28.98
29.02
28.99
28.87
33
24
27.38
27.26
27.22
27.06
27.22
27.87
28.41
28.69
28.74
28.75
28.59
34
                         
25
27.12
27.08
27.06
26.93
27.04
27.63
28.12
28.38
28.48
28.47
28.32
35
26
26.80
26.74
26.81
26.73
26.85
27.42
27.82
28.05
28.13
28.12
27.99
36
27
26.67
26.69
26.77
26.70
26.76
27.25
27.58
27.79
27.83
27.81
27.62
37
28
26.87
26.92
26.97
26.84
26.84
27.23
27.48
27.56
27.53
27.42
27.23
38
29
26.65
26.70
26.75
26.60
26.67
26.95
27.18
27.15
27.07
26.97
26.80
39
                         
30
26.41
26.50
26.62
26.43
26.36
26.56
26.73
26.73
26.60
26.53
26.37
40
31
26.12
26.23
26.33
26.12
25.97
26.20
26.33
26.34
26.26
26.16
25.95
41
32
25.98
26.13
26.27
26.06
25.90
26.06
26.14
26.09
25.95
25.77
25.50
42
33
25.76
25.92
26.05
25.84
25.69
25.80
25.81
25.71
25.55
25.34
25.05
43
34
25.58
25.79
25.88
25.64
25.43
25.48
25.46
25.36
25.15
24.88
24.60
44
                         
35
25.23
25.43
25.54
25.33
25.14
25.12
25.08
24.97
24.77
24.47
24.13
45
36
25.01
25.27
25.29
25.02
24.78
24.78
24.69
24.52
24.29
24.04
23.66
46
37
24.60
24.91
25.00
24.71
24.40
24.33
24.16
24.02
23.81
23.53
23.15
47
38
24.28
24.59
24.64
24.36
24.09
24.00
23.82
23.61
23.32
23.03
22.65
48
39
24.09
24.39
24.41
24.12
23.87
23.75
23.54
23.28
22.96
22.56
22.12
49
                         
40
23.75
24.13
24.14
23.83
23.51
23.31
23.09
22.83
22.46
22.04
21.60
50
41
23.30
23.73
23.75
23.43
23.08
22.87
22.65
22.35
21.97
21.55
21.06
51
42
23.04
23.45
23.50
23.18
22.80
22.55
22.27
21.90
21.52
21.05
20.54
52
43
22.71
23.14
23.17
22.88
22.49
22.22
21.88
21.53
21.04
20.51
20.00
53
44
22.27
22.72
22.72
22.35
22.02
21.73
21.38
20.96
20.48
19.98
19.46
54
                         
45
21.83
22.31
22.31
21.96
21.58
21.27
20.88
20.42
19.95
19.42
18.91
55
46
21.37
21.88
21.88
21.55
21.14
20.80
20.38
19.89
19.41
18.89
18.36
56
47
20.87
21.41
21.43
21.12
20.70
20.32
19.87
19.38
18.89
18.36
17.81
57
48
20.44
20.97
20.98
20.61
20.18
19.78
19.33
18.82
18.31
17.79
17.26
58
49
20.16
20.64
20.57
20.21
19.78
19.38
18.85
18.33
17.79
17.23
16.72
59
                         
50
20.33
20.62
20.41
19.97
19.47
18.99
18.45
17.91
17.34
16.76
16.18
60
51
19.50
19.91
19.76
19.34
18.85
18.36
17.84
17.31
16.76
16.21
15.65
61
52
18.99
19.38
19.28
18.84
18.35
17.84
17.33
16.79
16.22
15.68
15.14
62
53
18.41
18.81
18.64
18.22
17.72
17.23
16.73
16.19
15.68
15.15
14.62
63
54
17.98
18.36
18.16
17.73
17.24
16.75
16.23
15.69
15.17
14.63
14.12
64
                         
55
17.90
18.13
17.85
17.35
16.84
16.30
15.78
15.24
14.68
14.16
13.63
65
56
17.10
17.37
17.15
16.70
16.20
15.71
15.22
14.70
14.17
13.66
13.15
66
57
16.53
16.82
16.59
16.15
15.66
15.16
14.67
14.17
13.65
13.17
12.67
67
58
16.01
16.29
16.07
15.65
15.15
14.66
14.14
13.64
13.15
12.68
12.20
68
59
15.43
15.72
15.53
15.12
14.64
14.14
13.67
13.17
12.69
12.21
11.74
69
                         
60
14.97
15.21
15.00
14.58
14.11
13.63
13.16
12.68
12.19
11.74
11.29
70
61
14.10
14.47
14.27
13.91
13.49
13.06
12.60
12.13
11.67
11.25
10.84
71
62
13.38
13.75
13.59
13.26
12.88
12.48
12.04
11.61
11.18
10.78
10.40
72
63
12.36
12.90
12.84
12.56
12.21
11.85
11.45
11.07
10.71
10.34
9.98
73
64
11.47
12.20
12.18
11.95
11.60
11.24
10.89
10.57
10.22
9.84
9.55
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of combined DI and OASI entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have not died or recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from tables 22B and 22C, and reflect automatic conversion to old-age benefits upon attaining normal retirement age.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection. See table 9C for expected future lifetimes beyond attained age 74.

Table 24A.—Male Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
16.92
16.03
15.38
14.83
14.58
15.71
17.45
18.76
19.72
20.45
21.20
26
17
17.69
16.94
16.36
15.88
15.74
16.94
18.49
19.72
20.59
21.28
21.83
27
18
18.58
17.98
17.50
17.09
17.09
18.30
19.57
20.59
21.33
21.90
22.22
28
19
19.52
19.06
18.71
18.36
18.43
19.57
20.56
21.34
21.93
22.29
22.39
29
                         
20
20.27
19.87
19.65
19.32
19.47
20.47
21.27
21.93
22.34
22.49
22.43
30
21
20.92
20.52
20.33
20.09
20.19
20.98
21.69
22.10
22.36
22.42
22.28
31
22
21.15
20.83
20.65
20.45
20.51
21.25
21.83
22.18
22.27
22.22
22.02
32
23
20.94
20.73
20.61
20.45
20.53
21.21
21.70
21.94
22.00
21.94
21.72
33
24
20.56
20.40
20.35
20.24
20.31
20.93
21.37
21.59
21.69
21.58
21.33
34
                         
25
19.93
19.84
19.90
19.83
19.94
20.53
20.99
21.21
21.24
21.10
20.86
35
26
19.35
19.34
19.44
19.39
19.52
20.11
20.55
20.74
20.73
20.62
20.40
36
27
19.06
19.06
19.23
19.24
19.40
19.94
20.29
20.39
20.33
20.15
19.88
37
28
18.58
18.60
18.79
18.83
18.96
19.45
19.77
19.88
19.80
19.63
19.34
38
29
18.26
18.29
18.51
18.56
18.70
19.09
19.41
19.50
19.37
19.12
18.78
39
                         
30
17.99
18.09
18.33
18.32
18.42
18.77
19.00
19.06
18.86
18.59
18.23
40
31
17.69
17.87
18.07
18.04
18.10
18.35
18.51
18.52
18.29
18.02
17.64
41
32
17.46
17.61
17.76
17.74
17.77
17.96
18.05
17.94
17.76
17.44
17.04
42
33
17.19
17.34
17.50
17.46
17.42
17.52
17.51
17.40
17.17
16.81
16.43
43
34
16.85
17.02
17.17
17.08
17.00
17.08
17.05
16.91
16.61
16.24
15.80
44
                         
35
16.49
16.63
16.77
16.70
16.59
16.66
16.58
16.34
16.04
15.65
15.17
45
36
16.29
16.39
16.48
16.35
16.20
16.17
16.05
15.79
15.43
15.03
14.54
46
37
15.95
16.06
16.11
15.98
15.79
15.70
15.52
15.22
14.83
14.38
13.89
47
38
15.63
15.79
15.81
15.62
15.42
15.28
15.06
14.71
14.28
13.78
13.23
48
39
15.21
15.35
15.34
15.13
14.88
14.71
14.46
14.12
13.65
13.13
12.56
49
                         
40
14.83
14.97
14.94
14.72
14.42
14.20
13.90
13.48
13.01
12.48
11.87
50
41
14.53
14.67
14.58
14.29
13.97
13.69
13.34
12.89
12.36
11.79
11.17
51
42
14.13
14.31
14.21
13.87
13.50
13.20
12.79
12.30
11.71
11.10
10.47
52
43
13.67
13.88
13.77
13.43
13.03
12.66
12.22
11.67
11.05
10.42
9.75
53
44
13.25
13.46
13.32
12.93
12.52
12.08
11.57
10.98
10.35
9.70
9.03
54
                         
45
12.84
13.07
12.85
12.40
11.93
11.44
10.88
10.29
9.66
8.99
8.31
55
46
12.34
12.56
12.31
11.86
11.34
10.81
10.23
9.62
8.96
8.27
7.56
56
47
11.89
12.04
11.76
11.26
10.71
10.16
9.57
8.95
8.25
7.53
6.81
57
48
11.30
11.47
11.17
10.64
10.08
9.49
8.87
8.21
7.51
6.79
6.05
58
49
10.95
11.04
10.67
10.10
9.49
8.86
8.20
7.50
6.77
6.03
5.26
59
                         
50
10.77
10.67
10.18
9.54
8.89
8.22
7.51
6.78
6.03
5.26
4.46
60
51
9.93
9.90
9.43
8.80
8.14
7.46
6.76
6.01
5.25
4.45
3.64
61
52
9.29
9.25
8.75
8.12
7.43
6.72
5.98
5.22
4.44
3.63
2.78
62
53
8.69
8.60
8.09
7.42
6.71
5.98
5.23
4.44
3.62
2.78
1.90
63
54
8.16
8.00
7.42
6.74
6.00
5.25
4.46
3.64
2.79
1.90
0.97
64
                         
55
7.79
7.45
6.80
6.05
5.27
4.48
3.66
2.80
1.91
0.97
65
56
6.98
6.66
6.01
5.25
4.46
3.64
2.79
1.90
0.97
66
57
6.32
5.93
5.25
4.47
3.64
2.79
1.90
0.98
67
58
5.62
5.18
4.45
3.64
2.79
1.90
0.97
68
59
4.90
4.40
3.63
2.79
1.90
0.97
69
                         
60
4.19
3.59
2.79
1.90
0.97
70
61
3.37
2.74
1.89
0.97
71
62
2.58
1.86
0.97
72
63
1.75
0.96
73
64
0.91
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not died or recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 22A. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 24B.—Female Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Duration of disability
Attained
age
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 or
more
                         
16
19.75
18.83
17.97
17.43
17.39
18.10
19.42
20.58
21.76
22.25
23.00
26
17
20.51
19.72
19.07
18.59
18.61
19.35
20.45
21.38
22.32
22.75
23.35
27
18
21.07
20.42
20.01
19.63
19.70
20.53
21.42
22.13
22.80
23.16
23.55
28
19
21.67
21.14
20.87
20.56
20.70
21.59
22.30
22.79
23.17
23.47
23.61
29
                         
20
22.49
22.00
21.77
21.45
21.57
22.40
22.99
23.30
23.44
23.60
23.53
30
21
23.20
22.76
22.48
22.13
22.17
22.79
23.29
23.50
23.57
23.53
23.32
31
22
23.59
23.21
22.91
22.61
22.57
23.05
23.42
23.52
23.50
23.29
23.03
32
23
23.54
23.19
22.95
22.66
22.62
23.04
23.35
23.37
23.21
22.98
22.67
33
24
23.13
22.87
22.67
22.37
22.32
22.67
22.92
22.94
22.79
22.58
22.24
34
                         
25
22.77
22.58
22.38
22.11
22.01
22.30
22.50
22.50
22.37
22.14
21.80
35
26
22.37
22.14
22.03
21.78
21.69
21.95
22.07
22.04
21.88
21.65
21.31
36
27
22.10
21.95
21.83
21.59
21.44
21.63
21.68
21.62
21.43
21.18
20.79
37
28
22.10
21.96
21.81
21.52
21.31
21.41
21.38
21.22
20.96
20.64
20.25
38
29
21.76
21.61
21.46
21.14
20.99
20.98
20.94
20.68
20.38
20.05
19.67
39
                         
30
21.40
21.28
21.18
20.82
20.54
20.48
20.38
20.13
19.78
19.47
19.08
40
31
21.00
20.89
20.76
20.38
20.04
19.99
19.84
19.60
19.28
18.93
18.50
41
32
20.70
20.61
20.50
20.12
19.76
19.65
19.46
19.16
18.79
18.37
17.89
42
33
20.34
20.25
20.13
19.73
19.38
19.21
18.96
18.62
18.22
17.77
17.27
43
34
20.00
19.95
19.78
19.35
18.95
18.73
18.44
18.09
17.65
17.16
16.64
44
                         
35
19.53
19.46
19.30
18.89
18.49
18.21
17.90
17.52
17.08
16.56
16.00
45
36
19.15
19.11
18.88
18.42
17.97
17.69
17.34
16.91
16.44
15.95
15.35
46
37
18.63
18.62
18.42
17.94
17.44
17.10
16.68
16.27
15.80
15.27
14.67
47
38
18.16
18.14
17.91
17.42
16.94
16.58
16.14
15.67
15.14
14.59
13.98
48
39
17.78
17.73
17.47
16.97
16.49
16.09
15.62
15.11
14.54
13.92
13.26
49
                         
40
17.29
17.28
17.00
16.48
15.95
15.48
14.99
14.47
13.86
13.21
12.54
50
41
16.71
16.73
16.44
15.91
15.34
14.86
14.36
13.80
13.18
12.52
11.81
51
42
16.25
16.23
15.96
15.41
14.82
14.30
13.75
13.14
12.50
11.81
11.07
52
43
15.73
15.71
15.41
14.87
14.27
13.72
13.12
12.51
11.80
11.06
10.32
53
44
15.15
15.12
14.78
14.19
13.60
13.04
12.43
11.76
11.04
10.30
9.55
54
                         
45
14.56
14.53
14.17
13.58
12.96
12.37
11.72
11.01
10.29
9.53
8.76
55
46
13.94
13.91
13.54
12.95
12.30
11.67
10.99
10.26
9.52
8.75
7.96
56
47
13.29
13.26
12.88
12.29
11.62
10.96
10.25
9.51
8.75
7.96
7.15
57
48
12.69
12.62
12.22
11.58
10.89
10.21
9.49
8.73
7.94
7.14
6.32
58
49
12.15
12.02
11.56
10.91
10.21
9.51
8.74
7.95
7.14
6.31
5.48
59
                         
50
11.82
11.56
10.99
10.29
9.54
8.79
7.99
7.18
6.35
5.50
4.62
60
51
10.97
10.74
10.19
9.48
8.73
7.96
7.16
6.34
5.49
4.63
3.75
61
52
10.27
10.00
9.46
8.72
7.95
7.15
6.34
5.50
4.63
3.76
2.85
62
53
9.54
9.25
8.65
7.91
7.12
6.31
5.48
4.63
3.76
2.86
1.93
63
54
8.86
8.52
7.87
7.12
6.31
5.49
4.63
3.76
2.86
1.93
0.98
64
                         
55
8.29
7.84
7.14
6.33
5.50
4.64
3.77
2.86
1.94
0.98
65
56
7.44
6.97
6.27
5.46
4.62
3.75
2.86
1.94
0.98
66
57
6.68
6.17
5.44
4.61
3.74
2.85
1.93
0.98
67
58
5.91
5.35
4.59
3.74
2.85
1.93
0.98
68
59
5.11
4.51
3.72
2.85
1.93
0.98
69
                         
60
4.34
3.66
2.83
1.93
0.98
70
61
3.48
2.78
1.91
0.98
71
62
2.66
1.89
0.98
72
63
1.80
0.96
73
64
0.93
74
                         

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program.
2. The value e[x]+t at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not died or recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 22B. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

Table 25.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Death or Recovery and Expected Time on the Rolls,
by Select Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Select
age
Male
Female
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
             
16
0.050606
21.32
18.49
0.051957
24.29
20.11
17
0.050943
21.72
18.79
0.042696
24.86
20.53
18
0.045243
22.34
19.16
0.041729
25.58
20.88
19
0.040721
22.89
19.44
0.040028
26.26
21.20
             
20
0.037893
23.20
19.54
0.035379
26.76
21.39
21
0.034810
23.25
19.39
0.032805
27.07
21.41
22
0.034250
23.25
19.28
0.031075
27.17
21.29
23
0.034610
23.04
18.95
0.030260
27.02
20.93
24
0.035538
22.74
18.56
0.031266
26.75
20.54
             
25
0.037138
22.33
18.05
0.031842
26.48
20.17
26
0.039098
21.95
17.61
0.033008
26.16
19.74
27
0.039649
21.70
17.31
0.032970
25.93
19.39
28
0.041585
21.29
16.88
0.031788
25.79
19.14
29
0.042503
20.96
16.53
0.032494
25.49
18.77
             
30
0.043088
20.65
16.20
0.032333
25.17
18.38
31
0.044167
20.32
15.85
0.033041
24.86
18.02
32
0.044519
19.98
15.49
0.032881
24.60
17.64
33
0.044943
19.62
15.07
0.032996
24.29
17.28
34
0.045512
19.24
14.66
0.032982
24.01
16.91
             
35
0.046228
18.84
14.19
0.033594
23.60
16.40
36
0.046247
18.48
13.81
0.032923
23.24
15.95
37
0.046474
18.07
13.36
0.033846
22.77
15.42
38
0.046959
17.74
12.97
0.034342
22.34
14.94
39
0.048173
17.30
12.52
0.034386
21.96
14.47
             
40
0.049095
16.90
12.10
0.034316
21.52
13.96
41
0.049304
16.53
11.70
0.035333
21.00
13.43
42
0.050238
16.15
11.31
0.035377
20.56
12.95
43
0.051185
15.75
10.87
0.036304
20.11
12.49
44
0.052249
15.36
10.47
0.036952
19.59
11.95
             
45
0.053108
14.95
10.02
0.037983
19.05
11.41
46
0.054365
14.52
9.56
0.039353
18.49
10.84
47
0.055617
14.08
9.08
0.040340
17.98
10.26
48
0.058264
13.64
8.56
0.041180
17.38
9.66
49
0.058406
13.29
8.09
0.042220
16.85
9.05
             
50
0.054839
13.20
7.74
0.039195
16.76
8.63
51
0.060595
12.55
7.10
0.042999
15.92
7.90
52
0.063019
12.10
6.54
0.044729
15.41
7.28
53
0.065053
11.71
6.04
0.046663
14.78
6.65
54
0.065749
11.41
5.55
0.047295
14.32
6.04
             
55
0.062454
11.35
5.19
0.046392
14.14
5.58
56
0.068704
10.79
4.61
0.050999
13.42
4.93
57
0.070938
10.42
4.12
0.053020
12.94
4.38
58
0.073386
10.10
3.65
0.055581
12.48
3.85
59
0.075998
9.77
3.20
0.058591
12.04
3.35
             
60
0.077111
9.47
2.76
0.060261
11.60
2.87
61
0.084540
9.04
2.31
0.066957
11.04
2.38
62
0.088858
8.68
1.85
0.069875
10.66
1.89
63
0.099576
8.23
1.38
0.077815
10.24
1.41
64
0.110786
7.77
0.91
0.084656
9.74
0.93
             

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits.
2. Probability of death or recovery at select age [x] represents the average probability of total decrement within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits at that particular age. Values are derived from the average death probabilities shown in table 11 and the average recovery probabilities shown in table 18.
3. Time on OASDI rolls at select age [x] represents the average number of future years of combined DI and OASI entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the combined rolls across all durations from tables 23A, 23B and 9C, and reflect automatic conversion to old-age benefits upon attaining normal retirement age.
4. Time on DI rolls at select age [x] represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 24A and 24B. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

Table 26.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Death or Recovery and Expected Time on the Rolls,
by Attained Age
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Attained
age
Male
Female
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
             
16
0.006800
18.17
16.92
0.004082
22.14
19.75
17
0.013363
18.95
17.55
0.009245
23.02
20.39
18
0.022663
19.75
18.18
0.015451
23.60
20.76
19
0.028709
20.50
18.77
0.025292
24.11
21.06
             
20
0.032482
21.14
19.25
0.029585
24.83
21.53
21
0.039963
21.69
19.65
0.033373
25.49
21.96
22
0.045670
22.09
19.91
0.037858
26.05
22.28
23
0.054352
22.39
20.08
0.041156
26.44
22.46
24
0.057193
22.68
20.25
0.045710
26.72
22.56
             
25
0.057758
22.92
20.35
0.046114
26.99
22.63
26
0.061579
23.09
20.40
0.044143
27.18
22.63
27
0.058523
23.26
20.44
0.045248
27.30
22.57
28
0.058102
23.31
20.38
0.043975
27.43
22.52
29
0.056451
23.28
20.24
0.042085
27.47
22.38
             
30
0.056785
23.19
20.05
0.040512
27.43
22.17
31
0.057011
23.09
19.84
0.039890
27.31
21.89
32
0.054919
22.99
19.62
0.039661
27.18
21.59
33
0.052547
22.85
19.37
0.037821
27.02
21.27
34
0.052349
22.67
19.07
0.037363
26.83
20.92
             
35
0.051098
22.47
18.76
0.036310
26.60
20.52
36
0.049098
22.26
18.44
0.036108
26.34
20.10
37
0.047619
22.02
18.07
0.035457
26.05
19.66
38
0.046240
21.74
17.68
0.035452
25.75
19.19
39
0.046885
21.42
17.24
0.034321
25.45
18.72
             
40
0.045267
21.11
16.80
0.034685
25.12
18.22
41
0.044578
20.78
16.35
0.034480
24.76
17.70
42
0.044439
20.43
15.87
0.034205
24.41
17.16
43
0.044011
20.07
15.37
0.034414
24.05
16.62
44
0.044113
19.69
14.86
0.034237
23.67
16.05
             
45
0.043934
19.31
14.34
0.034182
23.27
15.46
46
0.043524
18.92
13.80
0.034100
22.85
14.85
47
0.042960
18.52
13.24
0.034660
22.41
14.22
48
0.043114
18.09
12.66
0.034106
21.96
13.58
49
0.041836
17.66
12.06
0.035029
21.51
12.92
             
50
0.040993
17.24
11.46
0.032931
21.12
12.28
51
0.041785
16.77
10.82
0.033250
20.65
11.59
52
0.042811
16.28
10.15
0.033277
20.16
10.88
53
0.043648
15.80
9.49
0.033947
19.65
10.14
54
0.044955
15.34
8.81
0.033455
19.15
9.40
             
55
0.043909
14.94
8.14
0.033250
18.67
8.65
56
0.045604
14.48
7.43
0.033664
18.14
7.87
57
0.046746
14.04
6.71
0.034270
17.61
7.07
58
0.048335
13.60
5.97
0.035555
17.07
6.25
59
0.049650
13.16
5.21
0.036072
16.54
5.43
             
60
0.051305
12.73
4.42
0.037825
16.01
4.58
61
0.053537
12.30
3.61
0.039002
15.48
3.72
62
0.054096
11.88
2.77
0.038575
14.97
2.83
63
0.055395
11.45
1.89
0.039981
14.46
1.92
64
0.056865
11.04
0.97
0.040471
13.97
0.98
             
65
0.055048
10.67
0.040148
13.54
66
0.057671
10.27
0.040897
13.08
67
0.061315
9.86
0.042527
12.62
68
0.065222
9.47
0.045170
12.15
69
0.068863
9.10
0.047351
11.70
             
70
0.073110
8.74
0.049357
11.26
71
0.076530
8.38
0.052013
10.83
72
0.081069
8.04
0.055712
10.39
73
0.085053
7.71
0.057499
9.98
74
0.090031
7.38
0.061155
9.55
             

Notes:
1. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration.
2. Probability of death or recovery at attained age x represents the average probability of total decrement within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are derived from the average death probabilities shown in table 12 and the average recovery probabilities shown in table 19. See table 7C for death probabilities beyond attained age 74.
3. Time on OASDI rolls at attained age x represents the average number of future years of combined DI and OASI entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the combined rolls across all durations from tables 23A and 23B, and reflect automatic conversion to old-age benefits upon attaining normal retirement age. See table 9C for expected future lifetimes beyond attained age 74.
4. Time on DI rolls at attained age x represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 24A and 24B. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

Table 27.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Death or Recovery and Expected Time on the Rolls,
by Duration
(1996-2000 Social Security DI disability experience)
Duration
Male
Female
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
Probability of
death or recovery
Time on
OASDI rolls
Time on
DI rolls
             
0
0.088209
15.80
10.47
0.065454
20.27
12.28
1
0.058889
16.31
10.58
0.044515
20.68
12.22
2
0.047305
16.36
10.49
0.032263
20.67
12.02
3
0.047900
16.23
10.44
0.031998
20.42
11.78
4
0.054687
16.11
10.51
0.037357
20.15
11.62
             
5
0.053178
16.08
10.77
0.036451
19.97
11.63
6
0.051093
15.98
10.97
0.035272
19.71
11.59
7
0.049515
15.80
11.10
0.034558
19.38
11.52
8
0.049822
15.52
11.15
0.035094
18.95
11.39
9
0.050026
15.19
11.17
0.035311
18.48
11.25
             
10
0.051746
14.83
11.25
0.036398
17.95
11.15
11
0.052372
14.44
11.23
0.037785
17.42
11.03
12
0.053685
14.11
11.21
0.038633
16.95
10.95
13
0.054685
13.84
11.21
0.040264
16.54
10.94
14
0.055979
13.52
11.20
0.041660
16.09
10.91
             
15
0.057909
13.10
11.16
0.043837
15.52
10.88
16
0.061446
12.60
11.00
0.045374
14.84
10.75
17
0.063695
12.06
10.75
0.046843
14.11
10.54
18
0.067417
11.52
10.45
0.049676
13.36
10.29
19
0.070849
11.05
10.12
0.052141
12.66
10.01
             
20
0.073840
10.68
9.83
0.055431
12.08
9.74
21
0.076820
10.38
9.58
0.058430
11.57
9.52
22
0.079658
10.12
9.35
0.061853
11.11
9.29
23
0.081514
9.90
9.09
0.065382
10.71
9.03
24
0.083534
9.75
8.75
0.069716
10.37
8.70
             
25
0.084396
9.65
8.40
0.071945
10.10
8.33
26
0.085673
9.58
8.13
0.075495
9.88
7.99
27
0.085176
9.59
7.91
0.076078
9.76
7.68
28
0.083667
9.71
7.62
0.079573
9.76
7.31
29
0.083909
9.58
7.28
0.081920
9.63
6.89
             
30
0.087302
9.36
6.78
0.083183
9.46
6.38
31
0.090189
9.03
6.04
0.084918
9.26
5.69
32
0.092856
8.58
5.11
0.086684
9.01
4.84
33
0.095810
7.98
3.87
0.088940
8.56
3.73
34
0.099269
7.89
3.50
0.090306
8.49
3.34
             
35
0.102205
7.87
3.02
0.092005
8.67
2.82
36
0.104912
7.69
2.71
0.093884
8.52
2.53
37
0.107945
7.52
2.44
0.095763
8.35
2.29
38
0.111027
7.31
2.11
0.097641
8.17
1.97
39
0.114109
7.07
1.76
0.099520
7.94
1.70
             
40
0.117532
6.64
1.59
0.101510
7.17
1.49
             

Notes:
1. Duration measured in years since selection.
2. Probability of death or recovery at duration t represents the average probability of total decrement during the (t+1) year of entitlement to benefits. Values are derived from the average death probabilities shown in table 13 and the average recovery probabilities shown in table 20.
3. Time on OASDI rolls at duration t represents the average number of future years of combined DI and OASI entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have not died or recovered after t years. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the combined rolls across all ages from tables 23A, 23B and 9C, and reflect automatic conversion to old-age benefits upon attaining normal retirement age.
4. Time on DI rolls at duration t represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits who have not died or recovered after t years. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all ages from tables 24A and 24B. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.


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