Social Security
Disability Insurance Program
Work Experience

ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 122
by Tim Zayatz

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Recovery Experience
by Select Age and Duration

(2001-05)

.

 

Table 14A.—Male Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	0.003964	0.008705	0.004714	0.016258	0.085516	0.099394	0.083111	0.058968	0.056084	0.056069	0.056926	26
17	0.003976	0.008100	0.005783	0.018521	0.078202	0.084474	0.070497	0.055690	0.049203	0.049678	0.047029	27
18	0.004493	0.006716	0.007875	0.022733	0.066461	0.069050	0.058022	0.051337	0.040616	0.042170	0.038334	28
19	0.004544	0.007028	0.010219	0.025772	0.056698	0.056880	0.048367	0.045543	0.034744	0.032523	0.031377	29
20	0.003990	0.008391	0.012156	0.025787	0.050031	0.048756	0.041100	0.040490	0.033849	0.030351	0.024509	30
21	0.004323	0.010287	0.011813	0.025462	0.046941	0.047359	0.037779	0.037474	0.032086	0.028125	0.023262	31
22	0.006240	0.011419	0.011676	0.026331	0.046826	0.043754	0.035534	0.035010	0.030232	0.026534	0.020367	32
23	0.006529	0.013322	0.013398	0.023407	0.047123	0.041164	0.036141	0.033060	0.029405	0.025549	0.018017	33
24	0.007668	0.015328	0.014630	0.024943	0.045566	0.043681	0.036715	0.029538	0.026167	0.024418	0.015801	34
25	0.008364	0.015823	0.016044	0.026602	0.047802	0.042599	0.034530	0.032203	0.026526	0.023840	0.015880	35
26	0.008927	0.016782	0.017290	0.027016	0.045303	0.039397	0.032685	0.031047	0.026898	0.022768	0.015125	36
27	0.008815	0.017324	0.016606	0.027452	0.042447	0.038453	0.031653	0.025209	0.023276	0.022706	0.012928	37
28	0.009934	0.018882	0.015325	0.025046	0.038306	0.035569	0.031087	0.023811	0.023164	0.021392	0.012835	38
29	0.009734	0.021543	0.014945	0.023826	0.038067	0.035886	0.028290	0.026303	0.024092	0.020163	0.012153	39
30	0.010904	0.021991	0.015174	0.023439	0.034687	0.033947	0.025671	0.024318	0.021787	0.019084	0.011181	40
31	0.011670	0.022783	0.014802	0.023229	0.034876	0.030540	0.026470	0.022555	0.020293	0.018665	0.010740	41
32	0.010626	0.020894	0.013861	0.020191	0.032867	0.029730	0.025823	0.020730	0.018753	0.017689	0.009832	42
33	0.011579	0.019667	0.012456	0.017828	0.030278	0.028926	0.024046	0.019322	0.017599	0.016086	0.008747	43
34	0.010631	0.019883	0.012741	0.017891	0.029205	0.025356	0.021802	0.019443	0.017323	0.014134	0.008216	44
35	0.009825	0.020892	0.013073	0.016532	0.028216	0.023980	0.020390	0.019304	0.015702	0.013531	0.007620	45
36	0.009641	0.019089	0.013099	0.015373	0.025386	0.023285	0.019060	0.015817	0.015669	0.013777	0.006983	46
37	0.009384	0.019200	0.011446	0.014728	0.022254	0.021904	0.016204	0.015044	0.014620	0.010883	0.006181	47
38	0.009421	0.018772	0.010518	0.014211	0.020899	0.017626	0.014750	0.014588	0.011410	0.010543	0.005906	48
39	0.008901	0.018736	0.010664	0.013485	0.020555	0.016466	0.012573	0.012638	0.010502	0.010136	0.005178	49
40	0.009221	0.017662	0.010716	0.013273	0.018485	0.015754	0.012827	0.010614	0.009980	0.008736	0.004637	50
41	0.009226	0.017563	0.009746	0.011625	0.017344	0.014248	0.011551	0.009463	0.008743	0.006617	0.004102	51
42	0.009138	0.017451	0.009317	0.011743	0.016426	0.012968	0.011762	0.007970	0.007352	0.006080	0.003796	52
43	0.007996	0.015868	0.008874	0.009705	0.015546	0.011918	0.009644	0.007331	0.006127	0.006070	0.003102	53
44	0.008129	0.014713	0.007382	0.009752	0.014502	0.010603	0.008291	0.006524	0.005895	0.004354	0.002615	54
45	0.007249	0.014325	0.007294	0.009219	0.012115	0.009151	0.007182	0.006452	0.005117	0.004160	0.002192	55
46	0.007060	0.013601	0.006471	0.007634	0.011639	0.008137	0.006352	0.005595	0.004024	0.003733	0.002138	56
47	0.007030	0.012587	0.005798	0.006972	0.009738	0.007121	0.005473	0.004792	0.004010	0.002778	0.001867	57
48	0.006020	0.009606	0.004601	0.005686	0.009411	0.006083	0.004579	0.003901	0.003437	0.002617	0.001782	58
49	0.004908	0.007700	0.004364	0.005396	0.008941	0.005855	0.004313	0.003422	0.002871	0.002226	0.001562	59
50	0.003631	0.005676	0.002930	0.004011	0.006769	0.004636	0.003857	0.003248	0.002752	0.002025	0.001367	60
51	0.003283	0.005350	0.003161	0.003476	0.006198	0.004130	0.003071	0.002668	0.002485	0.001771	0.001260	61
52	0.003093	0.004867	0.002358	0.003028	0.005669	0.004084	0.003039	0.002458	0.002289	0.002155	0.001115	62
53	0.002916	0.003641	0.001511	0.002667	0.005178	0.003511	0.002425	0.002558	0.001875	0.001041	0.000839	63
54	0.001697	0.002405	0.001205	0.002089	0.004828	0.003048	0.002216	0.002038	0.001255	0.000957	0.000571	64
55	0.001173	0.001877	0.000857	0.001784	0.004237	0.002924	0.002183	0.001566	0.001331	0.000734	0.000386	65
56	0.001226	0.001619	0.000746	0.001860	0.004263	0.002690	0.001694	0.001037	0.000799	0.000338	—	66
57	0.000972	0.001448	0.000709	0.001567	0.003293	0.002174	0.001467	0.000681	0.000275	—	—	67
58	0.000817	0.001329	0.000358	0.001072	0.003009	0.001391	0.000991	0.000588	—	—	—	68
59	0.000765	0.001206	0.000302	0.000907	0.002302	0.001311	0.000728	—	—	—	—	69
60	0.000706	0.000743	0.000173	0.000841	0.001675	0.001200	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	0.000475	0.000223	0.000136	0.000742	0.000887	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	0.000195	0.000205	0.000273	0.000247	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	0.000186	0.000758	0.000379	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	0.000817	0.002263	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	0.002419	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rolls—in a multiple-decrement environment—during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.

 

Table 14B.—Female Disabled Workers
Probability of Recovery

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	0.001588	0.012673	0.015768	0.016569	0.050138	0.070592	0.062125	0.059523	0.063534	0.057750	0.045107	26
17	0.002100	0.008648	0.012515	0.018731	0.050170	0.062332	0.056450	0.052222	0.053325	0.045664	0.037658	27
18	0.002533	0.007155	0.010437	0.021353	0.049587	0.053144	0.050941	0.046065	0.044666	0.035644	0.030612	28
19	0.003803	0.007667	0.010897	0.025419	0.048526	0.047570	0.044967	0.040523	0.038494	0.029472	0.025220	29
20	0.003477	0.008681	0.012179	0.023947	0.049180	0.040987	0.039015	0.035211	0.034430	0.026192	0.021944	30
21	0.004740	0.008408	0.011634	0.023282	0.043917	0.041463	0.035668	0.030541	0.031561	0.025261	0.021585	31
22	0.005121	0.009931	0.011484	0.024852	0.038297	0.037744	0.032555	0.027917	0.028678	0.023603	0.018730	32
23	0.004829	0.010631	0.010158	0.022526	0.038137	0.036705	0.032431	0.028337	0.025497	0.023472	0.017001	33
24	0.005257	0.011314	0.011249	0.022628	0.035349	0.034653	0.032346	0.028948	0.024865	0.021725	0.015905	34
25	0.005826	0.012088	0.012577	0.020524	0.035332	0.033681	0.031433	0.029278	0.023889	0.022529	0.015138	35
26	0.005695	0.013423	0.012769	0.020893	0.033169	0.033840	0.030734	0.026156	0.024228	0.021820	0.014458	36
27	0.006133	0.013584	0.013236	0.021041	0.033245	0.030590	0.026624	0.026188	0.023929	0.021106	0.013974	37
28	0.006548	0.013677	0.011559	0.019636	0.032077	0.030141	0.024914	0.023850	0.022665	0.021377	0.013865	38
29	0.005932	0.013204	0.012023	0.019583	0.029031	0.028884	0.023367	0.023233	0.020530	0.020479	0.012730	39
30	0.006271	0.014174	0.011735	0.016621	0.027071	0.026417	0.023536	0.021226	0.021063	0.019343	0.012654	40
31	0.004921	0.012480	0.010791	0.015589	0.025270	0.025038	0.022731	0.021370	0.020173	0.018807	0.011658	41
32	0.005889	0.013173	0.009570	0.016009	0.024487	0.023465	0.020367	0.020000	0.018262	0.017380	0.010867	42
33	0.005850	0.013681	0.010469	0.013552	0.023997	0.021995	0.019895	0.019136	0.016528	0.015649	0.010663	43
34	0.006136	0.014063	0.010271	0.013789	0.022805	0.022591	0.018177	0.017597	0.018049	0.013629	0.009072	44
35	0.006754	0.014633	0.009115	0.012251	0.021735	0.020518	0.018681	0.016147	0.017542	0.014038	0.008797	45
36	0.006069	0.015667	0.009014	0.011185	0.021388	0.018980	0.017200	0.013463	0.015056	0.014014	0.008089	46
37	0.006163	0.013993	0.009230	0.013247	0.020285	0.018342	0.014713	0.013793	0.013528	0.013624	0.007870	47
38	0.006033	0.012018	0.007929	0.010982	0.018929	0.016962	0.014600	0.014162	0.011904	0.012093	0.007340	48
39	0.005658	0.012786	0.007897	0.010192	0.017807	0.015705	0.013980	0.013773	0.010405	0.009864	0.006837	49
40	0.005582	0.013670	0.008583	0.010645	0.017139	0.015271	0.012531	0.011497	0.010283	0.009460	0.005715	50
41	0.006101	0.013612	0.007114	0.009901	0.016143	0.015294	0.011663	0.011299	0.009958	0.008629	0.005187	51
42	0.006207	0.012648	0.005699	0.009255	0.015223	0.013052	0.011467	0.009693	0.009202	0.008019	0.004450	52
43	0.005541	0.012103	0.007078	0.008871	0.013880	0.011820	0.010605	0.008752	0.007279	0.006916	0.004259	53
44	0.005843	0.010502	0.006534	0.008713	0.013168	0.011641	0.009594	0.007849	0.006960	0.005881	0.003835	54
45	0.005214	0.010435	0.006123	0.008124	0.012484	0.009933	0.008516	0.007171	0.006323	0.004354	0.003119	55
46	0.005116	0.010947	0.005477	0.007092	0.011036	0.009192	0.007284	0.005611	0.005496	0.004613	0.002850	56
47	0.004867	0.008956	0.004258	0.005866	0.009456	0.008594	0.006182	0.004804	0.004321	0.004109	0.002330	57
48	0.003947	0.008206	0.003573	0.005537	0.008836	0.007625	0.005079	0.004616	0.003926	0.003254	0.002248	58
49	0.003577	0.006654	0.003819	0.005083	0.009348	0.005787	0.004955	0.004567	0.003593	0.002839	0.001968	59
50	0.002813	0.005543	0.003197	0.004064	0.007444	0.005215	0.003867	0.003048	0.002859	0.002723	0.001564	60
51	0.003022	0.005279	0.002806	0.003436	0.006517	0.004137	0.003366	0.002968	0.002666	0.002379	0.001377	61
52	0.002785	0.004449	0.002210	0.002868	0.006160	0.003895	0.003249	0.002607	0.002510	0.001820	0.001142	62
53	0.002121	0.003468	0.002027	0.002508	0.005613	0.003764	0.002619	0.002284	0.002075	0.001628	0.000858	63
54	0.002023	0.002694	0.001368	0.001930	0.004882	0.003375	0.002364	0.002057	0.001067	0.000958	0.000540	64
55	0.001417	0.001996	0.000870	0.001966	0.004106	0.003254	0.002078	0.001442	0.001169	0.000514	0.000327	65
56	0.001397	0.001666	0.000894	0.001665	0.004002	0.002312	0.001290	0.001335	0.000877	0.000569	—	66
57	0.001224	0.001796	0.000673	0.001546	0.003013	0.001820	0.001351	0.000804	0.001182	—	—	67
58	0.001110	0.001551	0.000477	0.001145	0.002376	0.001650	0.000778	0.001044	—	—	—	68
59	0.000910	0.001138	0.000333	0.000912	0.002031	0.001057	0.000743	—	—	—	—	69
60	0.000732	0.000775	0.000251	0.000816	0.001565	0.001540	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	0.000466	0.000369	0.000128	0.000673	0.000876	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	0.000104	0.000238	0.000272	0.000186	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	0.000590	0.000436	0.000748	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	0.000755	0.000584	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	0.000893	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the probability of recovery while on the DI rolls—in a multiple-decrement environment—during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.
4. Results have been graduated using the Whittaker-Henderson Type B two-dimensional method.

 

Table 15A.—Male Disabled Workers
Survival Table

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	100,000	99,604	98,737	98,272	96,674	88,407	79,620	73,003	68,698	64,845	61,209	26
17	89,461	89,105	88,383	87,872	86,245	79,500	72,784	67,653	63,885	60,742	57,725	27
18	80,399	80,038	79,500	78,874	77,081	71,958	66,989	63,102	59,863	57,432	55,010	28
19	73,549	73,215	72,700	71,957	70,103	66,128	62,367	59,350	56,647	54,679	52,901	29
20	69,213	68,937	68,359	67,528	65,787	62,496	59,449	57,006	54,698	52,847	51,241	30
21	66,587	66,299	65,617	64,842	63,191	60,225	57,373	55,206	53,137	51,432	49,985	31
22	64,487	64,085	63,353	62,613	60,964	58,109	55,566	53,592	51,716	50,153	48,822	32
23	62,879	62,468	61,636	60,810	59,387	56,589	54,260	52,299	50,570	49,083	47,828	33
24	61,713	61,240	60,301	59,419	57,937	55,297	52,882	50,940	49,435	48,141	46,966	34
25	61,092	60,581	59,622	58,665	57,104	54,374	52,058	50,260	48,641	47,351	46,224	35
26	59,730	59,197	58,204	57,198	55,653	53,132	51,039	49,371	47,838	46,551	45,490	36
27	57,972	57,461	56,466	55,528	54,004	51,712	49,724	48,150	46,936	45,844	44,802	37
28	56,549	55,987	54,930	54,088	52,733	50,713	48,909	47,389	46,261	45,189	44,223	38
29	55,841	55,297	54,106	53,297	52,027	50,046	48,250	46,885	45,652	44,552	43,655	39
30	54,492	53,898	52,713	51,913	50,696	48,938	47,277	46,063	44,943	43,964	43,124	40
31	53,599	52,973	51,766	51,000	49,815	48,078	46,610	45,376	44,353	43,453	42,642	41
32	52,231	51,676	50,596	49,895	48,888	47,281	45,875	44,690	43,764	42,943	42,184	42
33	51,014	50,423	49,431	48,815	47,945	46,493	45,148	44,062	43,211	42,451	41,769	43
34	50,086	49,554	48,569	47,950	47,092	45,717	44,558	43,587	42,740	42,000	41,404	44
35	49,323	48,838	47,818	47,193	46,413	45,103	44,021	43,123	42,291	41,627	41,064	45
36	48,388	47,921	47,006	46,390	45,677	44,517	43,480	42,651	41,976	41,318	40,751	46
37	47,344	46,900	46,000	45,473	44,803	43,806	42,846	42,152	41,518	40,911	40,466	47
38	46,437	46,000	45,136	44,661	44,026	43,106	42,346	41,721	41,112	40,643	40,216	48
39	45,786	45,378	44,528	44,053	43,459	42,566	41,865	41,339	40,817	40,388	39,978	49
40	45,208	44,791	44,000	43,528	42,950	42,156	41,492	40,960	40,525	40,121	39,771	50
41	44,495	44,084	43,310	42,888	42,389	41,654	41,061	40,587	40,203	39,852	39,587	51
42	44,048	43,645	42,883	42,483	41,984	41,294	40,758	40,279	39,958	39,664	39,425	52
43	43,390	43,043	42,360	41,984	41,577	40,931	40,443	40,053	39,759	39,515	39,275	53
44	42,866	42,518	41,892	41,583	41,177	40,580	40,150	39,817	39,557	39,324	39,153	54
45	42,416	42,109	41,506	41,203	40,823	40,328	39,959	39,672	39,416	39,214	39,051	55
46	41,982	41,686	41,119	40,853	40,541	40,069	39,743	39,491	39,270	39,112	38,965	56
47	41,558	41,266	40,747	40,511	40,229	39,837	39,553	39,337	39,148	38,991	38,882	57
48	41,049	40,802	40,410	40,224	39,995	39,619	39,378	39,198	39,045	38,911	38,809	58
49	40,732	40,532	40,220	40,044	39,828	39,472	39,241	39,072	38,938	38,826	38,740	59
50	40,242	40,096	39,868	39,751	39,592	39,324	39,142	38,991	38,864	38,757	38,679	60
51	40,028	39,897	39,684	39,559	39,421	39,177	39,015	38,895	38,791	38,695	38,626	61
52	39,875	39,752	39,559	39,466	39,346	39,123	38,963	38,845	38,750	38,661	38,577	62
53	39,603	39,488	39,344	39,285	39,180	38,977	38,840	38,746	38,647	38,575	38,534	63
54	39,349	39,282	39,188	39,141	39,059	38,870	38,752	38,666	38,587	38,539	38,502	64
55	39,206	39,160	39,086	39,053	38,983	38,818	38,704	38,620	38,560	38,509	38,480	65
56	39,097	39,049	38,986	38,957	38,885	38,719	38,615	38,550	38,510	38,479	—	66
57	38,988	38,950	38,894	38,866	38,805	38,677	38,593	38,536	38,510	—	—	67
58	38,880	38,848	38,796	38,782	38,740	38,623	38,569	38,531	—	—	—	68
59	38,772	38,742	38,695	38,683	38,648	38,559	38,508	—	—	—	—	69
60	38,664	38,637	38,608	38,601	38,569	38,504	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	38,557	38,538	38,529	38,524	38,495	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	38,449	38,442	38,434	38,424	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	38,342	38,335	38,306	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	38,236	38,205	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	38,130	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14A.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 15B.—Female Disabled Workers
Survival Table

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	100,000	99,841	98,576	97,022	95,414	90,630	84,232	78,999	74,297	69,577	65,559	26
17	90,758	90,567	89,784	88,660	86,999	82,634	77,483	73,109	69,291	65,596	62,602	27
18	83,689	83,477	82,880	82,015	80,264	76,284	72,230	68,551	65,393	62,472	60,245	28
19	79,089	78,788	78,184	77,332	75,366	71,709	68,298	65,227	62,584	60,175	58,401	29
20	75,187	74,926	74,276	73,371	71,614	68,092	65,301	62,753	60,543	58,459	56,928	30
21	72,263	71,920	71,315	70,485	68,844	65,821	63,092	60,842	58,984	57,122	55,679	31
22	69,514	69,158	68,471	67,685	66,003	63,475	61,079	59,091	57,441	55,794	54,477	32
23	67,692	67,365	66,649	65,972	64,486	62,027	59,750	57,812	56,174	54,742	53,457	33
24	66,237	65,889	65,144	64,411	62,954	60,729	58,625	56,729	55,087	53,717	52,548	34
25	65,101	64,722	63,940	63,136	61,840	59,655	57,646	55,834	54,199	52,904	51,712	35
26	63,821	63,458	62,606	61,807	60,516	58,509	56,529	54,792	53,359	52,066	50,929	36
27	62,442	62,059	61,216	60,406	59,135	57,169	55,420	53,944	52,531	51,274	50,193	37
28	60,991	60,592	59,763	59,072	57,912	56,054	54,364	53,010	51,746	50,573	49,492	38
29	59,521	59,168	58,387	57,685	56,555	54,913	53,327	52,081	50,871	49,827	48,806	39
30	58,235	57,870	57,050	56,381	55,444	53,943	52,518	51,282	50,193	49,136	48,185	40
31	56,899	56,619	55,912	55,309	54,447	53,071	51,742	50,566	49,485	48,487	47,575	41
32	55,744	55,416	54,686	54,163	53,296	51,991	50,771	49,737	48,742	47,852	47,020	42
33	54,699	54,379	53,635	53,073	52,354	51,098	49,974	48,980	48,043	47,249	46,509	43
34	53,915	53,584	52,830	52,287	51,566	50,390	49,252	48,357	47,506	46,649	46,013	44
35	53,117	52,758	51,986	51,512	50,881	49,775	48,754	47,843	47,070	46,244	45,596	45
36	52,151	51,834	51,022	50,562	49,996	48,927	47,998	47,172	46,537	45,836	45,195	46
37	51,459	51,142	50,426	49,961	49,299	48,299	47,413	46,715	46,071	45,448	44,829	47
38	50,472	50,168	49,565	49,172	48,632	47,711	46,902	46,217	45,562	45,020	44,476	48
39	49,721	49,440	48,808	48,423	47,929	47,076	46,337	45,689	45,060	44,591	44,150	49
40	49,210	48,935	48,266	47,852	47,343	46,532	45,821	45,247	44,727	44,267	43,848	50
41	48,684	48,387	47,728	47,388	46,919	46,162	45,456	44,926	44,418	43,976	43,597	51
42	47,981	47,683	47,080	46,812	46,379	45,673	45,077	44,560	44,128	43,722	43,371	52
43	47,401	47,138	46,567	46,237	45,827	45,191	44,657	44,183	43,796	43,477	43,178	53
44	46,906	46,632	46,142	45,841	45,442	44,844	44,322	43,897	43,552	43,249	42,994	54
45	46,351	46,109	45,628	45,349	44,981	44,419	43,978	43,603	43,290	43,016	42,829	55
46	45,889	45,654	45,154	44,907	44,589	44,097	43,692	43,374	43,131	42,894	42,695	56
47	45,279	45,059	44,655	44,465	44,204	43,786	43,410	43,142	42,935	42,749	42,573	57
48	44,865	44,688	44,321	44,163	43,918	43,530	43,198	42,979	42,781	42,613	42,474	58
49	44,568	44,409	44,114	43,946	43,723	43,314	43,063	42,850	42,654	42,501	42,379	59
50	44,060	43,936	43,692	43,552	43,375	43,052	42,827	42,661	42,531	42,409	42,296	60
51	43,806	43,674	43,443	43,321	43,172	42,891	42,714	42,570	42,444	42,331	42,230	61
52	43,570	43,449	43,256	43,160	43,036	42,771	42,604	42,466	42,355	42,249	42,172	62
53	43,327	43,235	43,085	42,998	42,890	42,649	42,488	42,377	42,280	42,192	42,124	63
54	43,056	42,969	42,853	42,794	42,711	42,502	42,359	42,259	42,172	42,127	42,088	64
55	42,865	42,804	42,719	42,682	42,598	42,423	42,285	42,197	42,136	42,087	42,065	65
56	42,730	42,670	42,599	42,561	42,490	42,320	42,222	42,168	42,112	42,075	—	66
57	42,595	42,543	42,467	42,438	42,372	42,244	42,167	42,110	42,076	—	—	67
58	42,461	42,414	42,348	42,328	42,280	42,180	42,110	42,077	—	—	—	68
59	42,328	42,289	42,241	42,227	42,188	42,102	42,057	—	—	—	—	69
60	42,194	42,163	42,130	42,119	42,085	42,019	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	42,061	42,042	42,026	42,021	41,993	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	41,929	41,925	41,915	41,904	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	41,797	41,772	41,754	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	41,665	41,634	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	41,534	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration 0 represents the assumed number of lives originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x]; the value at duration
t > 0 represents the number of lives from the original who have not recovered and remain on the DI rolls as of attained age [x]+t. Lives are decremented using probabilities from table 14B.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 16A.—Male Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	25.70	24.80	24.01	23.12	22.50	23.55	25.10	26.33	26.95	27.52	28.12	26
17	27.18	26.29	25.50	24.64	24.10	25.10	26.37	27.33	27.92	28.34	28.79	27
18	28.71	27.83	27.02	26.23	25.83	26.63	27.57	28.24	28.74	28.93	29.19	28
19	29.94	29.07	28.28	27.56	27.28	27.89	28.54	28.96	29.32	29.36	29.33	29
20	30.58	29.70	28.95	28.30	28.04	28.49	28.92	29.14	29.35	29.36	29.26	30
21	30.70	29.84	29.14	28.48	28.21	28.58	28.97	29.09	29.21	29.16	28.99	31
22	30.65	29.84	29.17	28.51	28.27	28.64	28.92	28.97	29.00	28.89	28.67	32
23	30.43	29.63	29.02	28.41	28.08	28.44	28.64	28.70	28.66	28.52	28.25	33
24	30.04	29.27	28.71	28.13	27.84	28.14	28.41	28.47	28.32	28.07	27.76	34
25	29.46	28.70	28.15	27.60	27.35	27.69	27.90	27.88	27.79	27.54	27.20	35
26	29.17	28.42	27.90	27.38	27.13	27.39	27.50	27.41	27.27	27.01	26.63	36
27	29.04	28.29	27.78	27.24	27.00	27.17	27.24	27.11	26.80	26.43	26.03	37
28	28.79	28.08	27.61	27.03	26.71	26.76	26.72	26.57	26.20	25.81	25.36	38
29	28.25	27.52	27.12	26.52	26.16	26.17	26.13	25.88	25.56	25.18	24.69	39
30	27.96	27.26	26.86	26.27	25.89	25.80	25.69	25.35	24.97	24.52	23.98	40
31	27.48	26.80	26.41	25.80	25.40	25.30	25.09	24.75	24.31	23.81	23.25	41
32	27.22	26.51	26.06	25.42	24.94	24.77	24.51	24.15	23.65	23.09	22.50	42
33	26.88	26.19	25.71	25.03	24.47	24.22	23.93	23.50	22.96	22.36	21.72	43
34	26.41	25.69	25.20	24.52	23.96	23.67	23.27	22.78	22.22	21.60	20.90	44
35	25.87	25.12	24.64	23.96	23.36	23.02	22.58	22.04	21.46	20.79	20.07	45
36	25.40	24.64	24.11	23.42	22.78	22.36	21.88	21.30	20.63	19.95	19.22	46
37	24.95	24.18	23.64	22.91	22.24	21.74	21.21	20.56	19.86	19.15	18.35	47
38	24.43	23.66	23.10	22.34	21.66	21.11	20.48	19.78	19.06	18.28	17.47	48
39	23.80	23.01	22.44	21.67	20.96	20.39	19.72	18.97	18.20	17.39	16.57	49
40	23.12	22.34	21.73	20.96	20.23	19.60	18.91	18.15	17.34	16.51	15.65	50
41	22.49	21.70	21.08	20.28	19.51	18.85	18.11	17.32	16.48	15.62	14.72	51
42	21.75	20.94	20.31	19.49	18.72	18.02	17.25	16.45	15.58	14.69	13.78	52
43	21.08	20.25	19.57	18.74	17.92	17.19	16.39	15.55	14.66	13.75	12.83	53
44	20.35	19.51	18.80	17.93	17.10	16.35	15.52	14.64	13.74	12.81	11.87	54
45	19.58	18.72	17.98	17.11	16.27	15.46	14.60	13.70	12.79	11.85	10.90	55
46	18.79	17.92	17.16	16.27	15.39	14.57	13.68	12.77	11.84	10.88	9.92	56
47	17.99	17.11	16.32	15.41	14.52	13.66	12.75	11.82	10.87	9.91	8.94	57
48	17.21	16.31	15.46	14.53	13.61	12.73	11.81	10.86	9.90	8.93	7.93	58
49	16.35	15.43	14.54	13.60	12.68	11.79	10.85	9.90	8.93	7.92	6.89	59
50	15.53	14.59	13.67	12.71	11.76	10.83	9.88	8.92	7.92	6.89	5.81	60
51	14.62	13.66	12.73	11.77	10.81	9.88	8.92	7.91	6.88	5.81	4.71	61
52	13.69	12.73	11.79	10.81	9.84	8.90	7.90	6.87	5.80	4.70	3.57	62
53	12.77	11.80	10.84	9.86	8.89	7.90	6.88	5.80	4.70	3.57	2.42	63
54	11.84	10.86	9.89	8.90	7.89	6.87	5.80	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	64
55	10.89	9.90	8.92	7.89	6.86	5.79	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	0.17	65
56	9.91	8.92	7.91	6.86	5.78	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	66
57	8.94	7.92	6.88	5.79	4.69	3.57	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	67
58	7.93	6.89	5.81	4.70	3.56	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	68
59	6.90	5.81	4.71	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	69
60	5.82	4.71	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	4.72	3.58	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	3.58	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 16A, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 16B.—Female Disabled Workers
Expected Time on the DI Rolls (Recovery Termination Only)

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	27.73	26.77	26.11	25.52	24.94	25.23	26.11	26.81	27.47	28.30	29.01	26
17	29.07	28.13	27.37	26.71	26.21	26.57	27.31	27.91	28.42	28.99	29.35	27
18	30.13	29.21	28.41	27.71	27.30	27.70	28.23	28.72	29.08	29.41	29.48	28
19	30.64	29.76	28.98	28.30	28.02	28.42	28.82	29.15	29.36	29.52	29.40	29
20	31.05	30.16	29.42	28.77	28.47	28.91	29.13	29.29	29.34	29.37	29.15	30
21	31.21	30.36	29.61	28.95	28.63	28.92	29.15	29.21	29.12	29.05	28.79	31
22	31.33	30.49	29.79	29.13	28.86	28.99	29.11	29.07	28.89	28.73	28.41	32
23	31.16	30.31	29.63	28.93	28.59	28.70	28.77	28.72	28.54	28.28	27.95	33
24	30.85	30.01	29.35	28.68	28.33	28.35	28.35	28.28	28.11	27.81	27.42	34
25	30.43	29.61	28.96	28.32	27.91	27.91	27.87	27.75	27.58	27.24	26.86	35
26	30.06	29.23	28.62	27.98	27.57	27.50	27.44	27.30	27.02	26.68	26.26	36
27	29.73	28.91	28.30	27.67	27.26	27.18	27.02	26.75	26.45	26.09	25.64	37
28	29.44	28.63	28.02	27.34	26.88	26.75	26.57	26.23	25.86	25.45	24.99	38
29	29.15	28.32	27.69	27.02	26.55	26.33	26.10	25.71	25.31	24.83	24.34	39
30	28.79	27.97	27.36	26.68	26.12	25.83	25.52	25.12	24.66	24.18	23.65	40
31	28.46	27.60	26.94	26.23	25.64	25.29	24.93	24.49	24.02	23.50	22.94	41
32	28.03	27.19	26.54	25.80	25.21	24.83	24.41	23.91	23.39	22.81	22.21	42
33	27.55	26.71	26.07	25.34	24.68	24.28	23.81	23.28	22.73	22.10	21.45	43
34	26.96	26.12	25.49	24.75	24.09	23.64	23.17	22.59	21.99	21.38	20.67	44
35	26.39	25.56	24.93	24.16	23.45	22.96	22.43	21.85	21.20	20.57	19.86	45
36	25.86	25.01	24.40	23.62	22.88	22.37	21.80	21.17	20.45	19.76	19.03	46
37	25.22	24.38	23.71	22.93	22.23	21.68	21.08	20.38	19.66	18.93	18.18	47
38	24.70	23.85	23.13	22.31	21.56	20.96	20.32	19.61	18.88	18.10	17.32	48
39	24.06	23.19	22.49	21.66	20.88	20.25	19.57	18.84	18.09	17.28	16.44	49
40	23.32	22.45	21.75	20.94	20.16	19.50	18.79	18.02	17.23	16.40	15.55	50
41	22.59	21.73	21.02	20.17	19.36	18.67	17.95	17.16	16.35	15.51	14.64	51
42	21.92	21.05	20.31	19.43	18.60	17.88	17.11	16.31	15.46	14.60	13.71	52
43	21.18	20.29	19.54	18.67	17.84	17.08	16.28	15.45	14.58	13.68	12.77	53
44	20.41	19.53	18.73	17.85	17.00	16.22	15.41	14.55	13.66	12.75	11.83	54
45	19.64	18.74	17.94	17.04	16.18	15.38	14.53	13.65	12.74	11.82	10.87	55
46	18.84	17.93	17.13	16.22	15.33	14.50	13.63	12.72	11.79	10.85	9.90	56
47	18.08	17.16	16.31	15.38	14.47	13.60	12.71	11.79	10.85	9.89	8.93	57
48	17.24	16.31	15.44	14.49	13.57	12.69	11.78	10.84	9.88	8.92	7.92	58
49	16.36	15.42	14.52	13.57	12.64	11.75	10.82	9.87	8.91	7.91	6.89	59
50	15.53	14.57	13.65	12.69	11.74	10.82	9.88	8.91	7.91	6.88	5.81	60
51	14.61	13.66	12.73	11.76	10.80	9.87	8.91	7.90	6.88	5.80	4.71	61
52	13.69	12.73	11.78	10.81	9.84	8.90	7.90	6.87	5.80	4.70	3.57	62
53	12.77	11.79	10.83	9.85	8.88	7.89	6.87	5.80	4.70	3.57	2.42	63
54	11.83	10.86	9.88	8.90	7.88	6.87	5.80	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	64
55	10.88	9.90	8.92	7.89	6.86	5.79	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	0.17	65
56	9.91	8.93	7.91	6.87	5.79	4.70	3.57	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	66
57	8.94	7.92	6.88	5.80	4.69	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	67
58	7.93	6.89	5.81	4.70	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	68
59	6.90	5.81	4.71	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	69
60	5.82	4.71	3.57	2.41	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	4.71	3.58	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	3.58	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	2.42	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	1.28	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	0.17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the expected number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at select age [x] who have not recovered as of attained age [x]+t. Values are based on survivorship experience from table 15B, which reflects termination due to recovery only.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 17A.—Male Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	3.966	8.729	4.729	16.330	85.812	99.717	83.490	59.136	56.316	56.289	57.191	26
17	3.988	8.133	5.801	18.594	78.405	84.806	70.809	55.885	49.418	49.856	47.207	27
18	4.518	6.748	7.904	22.817	66.614	69.348	58.246	51.547	40.789	42.317	38.450	28
19	4.574	7.062	10.261	25.862	56.853	57.096	48.552	45.718	34.861	32.645	31.479	29
20	4.019	8.435	12.204	25.896	50.173	48.961	41.245	40.625	33.953	30.456	24.603	30
21	4.356	10.344	11.862	25.569	47.097	47.532	37.925	37.617	32.202	28.224	23.355	31
22	6.288	11.489	11.725	26.434	47.031	43.919	35.668	35.163	30.363	26.649	20.444	32
23	6.583	13.409	13.465	23.497	47.336	41.333	36.287	33.238	29.548	25.666	18.087	33
24	7.740	15.437	14.716	25.052	45.754	43.872	36.905	29.697	26.305	24.549	15.872	34
25	8.456	15.948	16.154	26.753	48.036	42.827	34.736	32.381	26.692	23.980	15.956	35
26	9.039	16.932	17.406	27.205	45.560	39.623	32.897	31.257	27.077	22.916	15.207	36
27	8.929	17.485	16.730	27.643	42.717	38.685	31.876	25.390	23.434	22.854	13.000	37
28	10.071	19.053	15.444	25.226	38.588	35.821	31.316	23.981	23.328	21.554	12.907	38
29	9.872	21.749	15.066	24.006	38.351	36.179	28.494	26.515	24.267	20.322	12.226	39
30	11.066	22.213	15.299	23.631	34.961	34.246	25.866	24.503	21.971	19.240	11.252	40
31	11.851	23.017	14.940	23.424	35.169	30.790	26.659	22.754	20.458	18.824	10.814	41
32	10.796	21.114	13.988	20.364	33.138	29.984	26.041	20.917	18.912	17.840	9.903	42
33	11.768	19.895	12.569	17.988	30.544	29.185	24.256	19.508	17.761	16.221	8.810	43
34	10.821	20.126	12.865	18.059	29.468	25.602	21.994	19.631	17.484	14.247	8.281	44
35	10.006	21.149	13.207	16.682	28.475	24.222	20.571	19.497	15.854	13.663	7.682	45
36	9.820	19.320	13.228	15.519	25.619	23.500	19.249	15.968	15.817	13.917	7.045	46
37	9.564	19.446	11.574	14.883	22.470	22.127	16.366	15.188	14.778	11.006	6.239	47
38	9.624	19.033	10.633	14.368	21.119	17.818	14.912	14.744	11.537	10.663	5.964	48
39	9.102	19.013	10.790	13.633	20.766	16.660	12.709	12.785	10.625	10.250	5.233	49
40	9.441	17.928	10.844	13.431	18.679	15.938	12.961	10.737	10.099	8.841	4.687	50
41	9.460	17.854	9.868	11.772	17.547	14.414	11.680	9.578	8.847	6.701	4.150	51
42	9.386	17.741	9.440	11.884	16.621	13.138	11.908	8.068	7.445	6.163	3.842	52
43	8.239	16.145	8.996	9.838	15.756	12.087	9.772	7.425	6.208	6.153	3.140	53
44	8.384	14.988	7.490	9.883	14.705	10.747	8.401	6.615	5.978	4.418	2.650	54
45	7.486	14.615	7.407	9.346	12.291	9.277	7.280	6.542	5.193	4.220	2.223	55
46	7.316	13.885	6.576	7.742	11.813	8.254	6.444	5.679	4.084	3.791	2.169	56
47	7.296	12.856	5.898	7.084	9.885	7.228	5.556	4.863	4.073	2.822	1.896	57
48	6.270	9.823	4.684	5.778	9.560	6.175	4.651	3.962	3.494	2.662	1.812	58
49	5.105	7.878	4.439	5.484	9.089	5.952	4.382	3.478	2.922	2.264	1.591	59
50	3.754	5.792	2.978	4.072	6.871	4.707	3.920	3.303	2.799	2.061	1.393	60
51	3.413	5.465	3.215	3.532	6.297	4.195	3.123	2.719	2.533	1.807	1.286	61
52	3.219	4.974	2.399	3.078	5.765	4.154	3.097	2.506	2.335	2.202	1.140	62
53	3.038	3.725	1.539	2.713	5.268	3.576	2.473	2.611	1.915	1.064	0.859	63
54	1.765	2.461	1.228	2.127	4.915	3.111	2.260	2.082	1.283	0.979	0.584	64
55	1.213	1.915	0.872	1.815	4.314	2.979	2.226	1.598	1.361	0.750	0.396	65
56	1.273	1.657	0.761	1.894	4.347	2.745	1.731	1.060	0.816	0.347	—	66
57	1.011	1.483	0.723	1.598	3.359	2.220	1.500	0.696	0.282	—	—	67
58	0.852	1.362	0.365	1.095	3.073	1.422	1.013	0.603	—	—	—	68
59	0.798	1.237	0.309	0.926	2.354	1.340	0.746	—	—	—	—	69
60	0.736	0.763	0.177	0.860	1.710	1.229	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	0.498	0.229	0.139	0.759	0.908	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	0.201	0.212	0.282	0.255	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	0.195	0.788	0.391	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	0.875	2.364	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	2.639	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7A and recovery probabilities shown in table 14A. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 17B.—Female Disabled Workers
Absolute Recovery Rate Per Thousand Entitled

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Duration of disability											Attained age
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10 or more
16	1.588	12.710	15.811	16.674	50.334	70.727	62.394	59.777	63.616	57.811	45.336	26
17	2.105	8.682	12.546	18.824	50.321	62.465	56.677	52.429	53.450	45.745	37.828	27
18	2.544	7.187	10.464	21.427	49.706	53.270	51.119	46.224	44.818	35.733	30.726	28
19	3.824	7.702	10.932	25.495	48.652	47.715	45.095	40.650	38.654	29.567	25.309	29
20	3.498	8.720	12.228	24.035	49.318	41.136	39.141	35.326	34.586	26.277	22.021	30
21	4.770	8.451	11.683	23.355	44.071	41.602	35.806	30.632	31.697	25.348	21.655	31
22	5.160	9.986	11.529	24.933	38.442	37.872	32.679	27.989	28.778	23.689	18.794	32
23	4.868	10.689	10.196	22.610	38.260	36.858	32.543	28.439	25.577	23.565	17.056	33
24	5.302	11.380	11.301	22.708	35.476	34.799	32.450	29.067	24.956	21.814	15.965	34
25	5.879	12.167	12.642	20.611	35.482	33.820	31.567	29.405	23.973	22.618	15.198	35
26	5.745	13.511	12.840	20.988	33.309	33.987	30.878	26.276	24.323	21.916	14.518	36
27	6.190	13.680	13.307	21.131	33.400	30.716	26.729	26.306	24.035	21.196	14.038	37
28	6.613	13.778	11.622	19.722	32.223	30.270	25.015	23.955	22.778	21.472	13.930	38
29	5.994	13.301	12.094	19.678	29.147	29.004	23.470	23.347	20.631	20.577	12.792	39
30	6.341	14.286	11.809	16.705	27.184	26.534	23.642	21.335	21.171	19.440	12.718	40
31	4.977	12.576	10.863	15.667	25.397	25.155	22.841	21.480	20.269	18.902	11.723	41
32	5.962	13.277	9.631	16.096	24.605	23.571	20.468	20.109	18.358	17.482	10.926	42
33	5.927	13.797	10.534	13.622	24.123	22.117	20.001	19.248	16.617	15.741	10.728	43
34	6.225	14.197	10.343	13.869	22.919	22.719	18.276	17.704	18.159	13.706	9.126	44
35	6.856	14.774	9.178	12.325	21.862	20.620	18.782	16.248	17.647	14.115	8.852	45
36	6.161	15.820	9.084	11.253	21.517	19.080	17.294	13.541	15.137	14.097	8.143	46
37	6.263	14.143	9.304	13.337	20.413	18.460	14.808	13.886	13.615	13.708	7.925	47
38	6.133	12.143	7.993	11.058	19.061	17.076	14.696	14.254	11.974	12.176	7.393	48
39	5.758	12.931	7.965	10.267	17.940	15.807	14.078	13.867	10.475	9.931	6.889	49
40	5.687	13.828	8.659	10.732	17.263	15.378	12.623	11.574	10.357	9.530	5.760	50
41	6.222	13.785	7.182	9.975	16.263	15.403	11.749	11.375	10.037	8.693	5.231	51
42	6.336	12.816	5.756	9.327	15.344	13.147	11.552	9.769	9.280	8.087	4.489	52
43	5.665	12.268	7.148	8.945	13.990	11.909	10.687	8.824	7.341	6.971	4.298	53
44	5.980	10.659	6.602	8.788	13.277	11.742	9.677	7.915	7.022	5.930	3.873	54
45	5.339	10.585	6.189	8.198	12.591	10.019	8.591	7.237	6.377	4.394	3.150	55
46	5.246	11.111	5.537	7.161	11.141	9.272	7.354	5.664	5.549	4.659	2.881	56
47	4.997	9.101	4.310	5.925	9.546	8.675	6.244	4.849	4.365	4.146	2.357	57
48	4.056	8.345	3.616	5.599	8.931	7.701	5.132	4.662	3.964	3.290	2.275	58
49	3.679	6.765	3.869	5.137	9.442	5.845	5.007	4.617	3.632	2.872	1.993	59
50	2.879	5.622	3.233	4.104	7.518	5.265	3.907	3.082	2.891	2.754	1.585	60
51	3.104	5.363	2.842	3.474	6.586	4.179	3.405	3.002	2.699	2.408	1.397	61
52	2.863	4.527	2.238	2.900	6.230	3.941	3.289	2.639	2.542	1.845	1.159	62
53	2.184	3.532	2.054	2.538	5.683	3.810	2.651	2.314	2.103	1.652	0.872	63
54	2.083	2.744	1.387	1.954	4.941	3.419	2.395	2.085	1.082	0.973	0.548	64
55	1.453	2.029	0.881	1.990	4.155	3.295	2.105	1.461	1.186	0.521	0.333	65
56	1.437	1.697	0.907	1.688	4.059	2.344	1.308	1.355	0.890	0.578	—	66
57	1.262	1.832	0.683	1.569	3.057	1.846	1.372	0.816	1.202	—	—	67
58	1.145	1.583	0.485	1.162	2.412	1.676	0.790	1.062	—	—	—	68
59	0.940	1.162	0.338	0.927	2.064	1.074	0.756	—	—	—	—	69
60	0.756	0.792	0.256	0.830	1.588	1.567	—	—	—	—	—	70
61	0.484	0.378	0.131	0.685	0.892	—	—	—	—	—	—	71
62	0.107	0.244	0.279	0.190	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72
63	0.615	0.451	0.768	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73
64	0.798	0.608	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	74
65	0.958	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	75

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits. Duration measured in years since selection. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration. Results do not include auxiliary beneficiaries payable under the DI program. Recovery is not considered beyond normal retirement age.
2. The value at duration t represents the number of recoveries per thousand during the (t+1) year of entitlement for those originally entitled to disability benefits at select age [x] who have attained age [x]+t. Rates are derived from death probabilities shown in table 7B and recovery probabilities shown in table 14B. See appendix for details.
3. Select-and-ultimate table is read across the row for 0-10 years since selection, and down the last (ultimate) column for 10 or more years since selection.

 

Table 18.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Select Age

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Select age	Male		Female
	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls
16	0.025136	24.71	0.031078	26.10
17	0.024359	25.09	0.024245	26.81
18	0.020008	25.35	0.019590	26.99
19	0.016608	25.20	0.018692	26.81
20	0.015197	24.85	0.016875	26.55
21	0.013842	24.22	0.015717	26.07
22	0.013772	23.87	0.014548	25.68
23	0.013355	23.27	0.014270	25.10
24	0.013136	22.72	0.014014	24.57
25	0.013426	22.01	0.014110	24.05
26	0.013360	21.58	0.014289	23.58
27	0.013260	21.28	0.014348	23.18
28	0.012830	20.96	0.014022	22.85
29	0.013289	20.60	0.013693	22.47
30	0.012705	20.31	0.013041	22.10
31	0.013163	20.00	0.012870	21.77
32	0.012377	19.69	0.012440	21.30
33	0.012124	19.34	0.012016	20.91
34	0.011929	19.00	0.011733	20.50
35	0.011672	18.60	0.011542	20.01
36	0.011268	18.29	0.010886	19.55
37	0.010517	17.90	0.010754	19.03
38	0.009826	17.53	0.009862	18.57
39	0.009467	17.06	0.009355	18.03
40	0.009217	16.58	0.009069	17.38
41	0.008509	16.06	0.008662	16.75
42	0.008349	15.45	0.008016	16.06
43	0.007372	14.81	0.007435	15.40
44	0.006951	14.20	0.007036	14.66
45	0.006432	13.53	0.006398	13.97
46	0.005969	12.87	0.005978	13.22
47	0.005566	12.23	0.005123	12.49
48	0.004706	11.53	0.004656	11.77
49	0.004399	10.84	0.004381	11.01
50	0.003496	10.33	0.003603	10.46
51	0.003227	9.63	0.003340	9.71
52	0.003123	9.02	0.003003	9.04
53	0.002623	8.42	0.002689	8.42
54	0.002112	7.80	0.002244	7.80
55	0.001854	7.17	0.001924	7.16
56	0.001769	6.55	0.001730	6.54
57	0.001512	5.92	0.001545	5.90
58	0.001223	5.28	0.001299	5.25
59	0.001060	4.63	0.001017	4.61
60	0.000733	3.97	0.000759	3.96
61	0.000361	3.31	0.000391	3.31
62	0.000220	2.52	0.000171	2.52
63	0.000327	1.97	0.000638	1.98
64	0.001093	1.22	0.000672	1.22
65	0.002419	0.17	0.000893	0.17

Notes:
1. Select age denotes age last birthday at entitlement to disability benefits.
2. Probability of recovery at select age [x] represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits at that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at select age [x] represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those originally entitled to benefits at that particular age who have not recovered. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

 

Table 19.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Attained Age

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Attained age	Male		Female
	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls
16	0.003964	25.70	0.001588	27.73
17	0.004038	26.93	0.005029	28.85
18	0.005955	28.00	0.003681	29.58
19	0.005347	28.75	0.006101	29.81
20	0.006463	29.14	0.006512	29.95
21	0.011309	29.22	0.010228	29.94
22	0.017204	29.19	0.014664	29.91
23	0.020240	29.14	0.016253	29.86
24	0.022975	29.03	0.019770	29.74
25	0.025795	28.85	0.020446	29.56
26	0.026549	28.69	0.020798	29.36
27	0.027441	28.56	0.021938	29.13
28	0.027085	28.43	0.020705	28.89
29	0.027846	28.25	0.020807	28.63
30	0.026792	28.06	0.019938	28.34
31	0.025207	27.81	0.019778	28.02
32	0.023822	27.51	0.019187	27.66
33	0.022760	27.16	0.017393	27.25
34	0.021064	26.76	0.017140	26.77
35	0.019843	26.29	0.016627	26.26
36	0.019247	25.78	0.015976	25.72
37	0.017989	25.24	0.015579	25.14
38	0.017438	24.68	0.014846	24.56
39	0.016175	24.08	0.013991	23.94
40	0.015172	23.44	0.013759	23.28
41	0.014421	22.77	0.013030	22.60
42	0.013739	22.07	0.012648	21.89
43	0.012229	21.34	0.011637	21.17
44	0.011450	20.58	0.010826	20.41
45	0.010752	19.80	0.010398	19.63
46	0.009621	18.99	0.009857	18.83
47	0.008922	18.15	0.009194	18.02
48	0.008377	17.30	0.008392	17.19
49	0.007005	16.44	0.007744	16.34
50	0.005996	15.55	0.006473	15.47
51	0.005181	14.64	0.005932	14.57
52	0.004760	13.71	0.005300	13.66
53	0.004130	12.77	0.004774	12.73
54	0.003385	11.83	0.004020	11.80
55	0.002750	10.87	0.003427	10.85
56	0.002497	9.90	0.003003	9.89
57	0.002153	8.93	0.002465	8.92
58	0.001990	7.92	0.002376	7.91
59	0.001820	6.88	0.002079	6.88
60	0.001651	5.81	0.001823	5.80
61	0.001416	4.71	0.001465	4.71
62	0.001084	3.57	0.001061	3.57
63	0.000926	2.42	0.000992	2.42
64	0.000744	1.28	0.000670	1.28
65	0.000550	0.17	0.000669	0.17

 

 

Notes:
1. Attained age calculated as sum of select age and duration.
2. Probability of recovery at attained age x represents the average probability of recovery within one year for those originally entitled to disability benefits who have attained that particular age. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all durations, and have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at attained age x represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered, and have attained that particular age. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all durations from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.

 

Table 20.—Disabled Workers
Aggregate Probability of Recovery and Expected Time on the DI Rolls,
by Duration

(2001-05 Social Security DI disability experience)

Duration	Male		Female
	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls	Probability of recovery	Time on DI rolls
0	0.004395	15.36	0.003419	16.31
1	0.008323	14.79	0.007018	15.68
2	0.005277	14.29	0.004584	15.07
3	0.008197	14.17	0.007093	14.69
4	0.014495	14.04	0.012566	14.32
5	0.012743	14.04	0.011279	14.07
6	0.010881	14.06	0.009853	13.88
7	0.010130	14.15	0.009348	13.79
8	0.009607	14.31	0.009174	13.78
9	0.009097	14.55	0.008774	13.83
10	0.008518	14.81	0.008165	13.92
11	0.007393	14.79	0.007082	13.82
12	0.006608	14.72	0.006494	13.68
13	0.006136	14.61	0.005826	13.52
14	0.005358	14.52	0.005267	13.40
15	0.004922	14.49	0.005181	13.31
16	0.004484	14.40	0.004803	13.21
17	0.004212	14.31	0.004700	13.14
18	0.003954	14.22	0.004325	13.09
19	0.003783	14.08	0.003875	13.01
20	0.003450	13.89	0.003875	12.90
21	0.003152	13.63	0.003440	12.72
22	0.002720	13.25	0.003256	12.45
23	0.002667	12.79	0.002791	12.11
24	0.002171	12.29	0.002512	11.70
25	0.002212	11.82	0.002146	11.30
26	0.002097	11.39	0.001883	10.92
27	0.001746	10.94	0.001755	10.51
28	0.001741	10.46	0.001978	10.03
29	0.001525	9.97	0.001474	9.52
30	0.001317	9.52	0.001554	9.02
31	0.001381	9.10	0.001057	8.49
32	0.001336	8.70	0.001056	7.98
33	0.001105	8.18	0.000570	7.39
34	0.000798	7.51	0.000508	6.67
35	0.000703	6.75	0.000924	5.93
36	0.000842	5.78	0.000531	5.04
37	0.000772	4.63	1/	4.10
38	1/	3.17	1/	2.92
39	1/	2.65	1/	2.47
40	1/	2.18	1/	2.07

---

1

Negligible probability of recovery.

Notes:
1. Duration measured in years since selection.
2. Probability of recovery at duration t represents the average probability of recovery during the (t+1) year of entitlement to benefits. Values are based on aggregate counts of exposure and recoveries across all select ages. Results have been graduated using Whittaker-Henderson method.
3. Time on DI rolls at duration t represents the average number of future years of DI entitlement for those who have not recovered after t years. Values are exposure-weighted averages of expected time on the DI rolls across all ages from tables 16A and 16B, which reflect termination due to recovery only. Entitlement is not considered after conversion to old-age benefits.