Modeling Income in the Near Term (MINT) Overview

Some of our research uses the MINT microsimulation model to project future retirement income, marital trends, Social Security benefits, income, and poverty. These projections allow researchers and policy analysts to study future retirement conditions and the effects of proposed retirement policy changes.

The following resources detail the history and methodology of the MINT model.

Social Security Administration > Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics

• Projection Methodology (MINT8), August 2021
• A Field Guide to Social Security Distributional Analysis, Research and Statistics Note 2017-02, December 2017
• The Effects of Alternative Demographic and Economic Assumptions on MINT Simulations: A Sensitivity Analysis, Research and Statistics Note 2014-03, April 2014
• Methods in Modeling Income in the Near Term (MINT 1), ORES Working Paper 91, June 2001

Urban Institute

• Modeling Income in the Near Term 8: Final Report, October 21, 2021
• Modeling Income in the Near Term 8 and 2014 Primer, September 5, 2019
• A Primer on Modeling Income in the Near Term, Version 7 (MINT7), October 1, 2013
• Modeling Income in the Near Term 6, January 6, 2012
• Comparisons of MINT 2003 and 2004 Projections with Survey Data, December 1, 2008
• Modeling Income in the Near Term 5, November 5, 2007
• Modeling Income in the Near Term 4, April 19, 2005
• Modeling Income in the Near Term: Revised Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the 1931–1960 Birth Cohorts, June 1, 2002
• Modeling Income in the Near Term—Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the 1931–60 Birth Cohorts, September 1, 1999

RAND

• Near Term Model Development, Part II, August 15, 1999