Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
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Appendix

G. DISABLED WORKER PROJECTION BY SINGLE-YEAR-OF-AGE

The following is a detailed example of the projection of the number of disabled worker beneficiaries by single-year-of-age. Similar projections are made for the short-range period for each gender and age 15-NRA. The illustration is based on the 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Disabled Worker Single-Year-of-Age Projection-Male Age 36 in 2001 (1965 Birth Cohort)

Disability Insured

Awards

Terminations

End-of-year In Force, Suspensions, and Current-Payment Status


1 Projected incidence and termination factors by single-year-of-age are based on discussion found in section III.A.


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December 26, 2001