Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A18.—DI Disabled Worker Withheld Rates
(Withheld per thousand in force, by age and gender, as of December 31, 1980-2014)
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA1
Total
 
Male
1980
18.87
20.96
17.98
11.67
9.25
7.34
5.75
4.26
2.88
1.78
...
4.64
1985
33.71
38.46
35.49
28.43
22.04
17.38
13.26
10.36
7.26
4.19
...
11.47
1990
13.76
45.22
56.88
41.14
31.67
23.33
17.34
12.76
9.18
5.68
...
17.18
1995
17.26
52.45
55.16
47.66
38.66
30.21
20.74
14.36
10.01
6.32
...
20.57
1996
19.16
61.09
67.35
59.36
47.53
36.66
25.06
16.74
10.84
7.07
...
24.31
1997
20.16
59.23
73.54
59.71
47.83
36.37
25.30
17.22
11.16
6.56
...
23.96
1998
32.95
58.85
74.46
64.33
50.92
38.87
27.83
18.40
11.93
6.82
...
25.10
1999
18.07
57.30
76.29
65.17
53.99
39.91
28.73
18.68
12.49
7.47
...
25.57
2000
23.13
54.65
68.76
62.58
51.77
39.69
28.91
18.51
12.23
7.23
...
24.54
2001
19.04
48.10
62.08
60.94
51.64
40.51
29.39
19.25
12.47
7.38
...
24.31
2002
24.75
43.03
56.13
57.27
50.12
39.66
29.43
19.42
12.44
7.54
...
23.50
2003
24.12
45.63
50.51
51.67
46.42
38.02
28.16
18.70
12.21
7.49
4.32
22.00
2004
19.17
46.00
51.00
50.15
45.32
37.35
28.14
19.17
12.58
7.60
6.60
21.62
2005
40.97
46.08
51.02
52.39
47.56
39.48
30.26
19.17
12.51
7.54
5.53
21.95
2006
35.12
46.07
51.03
52.53
47.66
39.54
30.34
19.16
12.48
7.55
5.53
21.56
2007
33.53
45.99
51.05
52.54
47.63
39.50
30.32
19.15
12.50
7.61
5.53
21.15
2008
35.49
45.89
51.07
52.66
47.69
39.61
30.39
19.12
12.51
7.63
5.53
20.80
2009
39.19
45.71
51.07
52.78
47.80
39.81
30.48
19.12
12.53
7.60
5.53
20.61
2010
36.04
45.65
51.07
52.89
47.95
40.00
30.56
19.10
12.53
7.53
5.53
20.35
2011
29.56
45.74
51.07
52.88
47.99
40.00
30.51
19.08
12.52
7.50
5.53
20.03
2012
28.35
45.86
51.06
52.86
48.03
39.92
30.47
19.05
12.51
7.51
5.53
19.80
2013
28.31
45.97
51.05
52.84
48.04
39.84
30.47
19.02
12.49
7.52
5.53
19.62
2014
28.30
46.01
51.04
52.82
48.07
39.84
30.56
19.02
12.49
7.54
5.53
19.45
 
Female
1980
25.29
18.77
14.33
7.74
5.50
5.20
3.88
3.22
2.17
1.29
...
3.14
1985
10.20
32.04
25.32
18.03
13.63
10.37
9.94
7.60
5.12
2.69
...
7.39
1990
14.49
34.89
42.49
27.03
22.13
19.11
14.87
10.44
7.53
4.35
...
12.73
1995
7.84
27.49
32.21
26.22
20.66
17.17
14.40
10.37
7.49
4.23
...
12.46
1996
22.50
33.87
35.92
29.32
22.83
18.84
14.49
10.81
7.23
4.45
...
13.17
1997
23.50
36.58
38.21
30.68
23.91
19.54
15.66
11.14
7.35
4.58
...
13.56
1998
13.30
34.76
41.59
33.65
25.91
20.84
16.69
11.77
7.88
4.57
...
14.27
1999
18.63
32.45
42.74
33.58
26.45
21.08
16.74
11.94
8.30
4.86
...
14.36
2000
8.65
31.44
37.20
29.40
24.54
20.04
15.76
11.05
7.59
4.44
...
13.09
2001
8.32
26.83
34.86
29.28
24.62
20.24
15.89
11.24
7.56
4.43
...
12.97
2002
14.91
24.89
30.60
27.76
23.13
19.38
15.52
11.34
7.64
4.31
...
12.45
2003
17.29
22.34
26.11
23.90
21.00
17.70
13.98
10.31
7.23
4.28
3.14
11.22
2004
11.71
22.75
26.07
21.96
20.11
17.34
13.74
10.22
7.28
4.48
3.46
10.92
2005
10.40
22.75
26.06
24.14
22.28
19.46
15.86
10.21
7.24
4.44
3.29
11.48
2006
10.64
22.77
26.07
24.26
22.39
19.53
15.95
10.20
7.22
4.45
3.29
11.32
2007
10.59
22.73
26.05
24.27
22.38
19.52
15.94
10.20
7.24
4.48
3.29
11.14
2008
10.38
22.69
26.05
24.37
22.46
19.64
16.03
10.19
7.24
4.49
3.29
10.99
2009
10.00
22.64
26.05
24.49
22.55
19.78
16.13
10.19
7.25
4.47
3.29
10.92
2010
10.38
22.61
26.05
24.58
22.67
19.91
16.22
10.19
7.24
4.43
3.29
10.82
2011
11.16
22.64
26.05
24.57
22.68
19.91
16.19
10.18
7.24
4.42
3.29
10.66
2012
11.30
22.68
26.05
24.55
22.70
19.88
16.17
10.17
7.23
4.43
3.29
10.54
2013
11.28
22.73
26.05
24.53
22.70
19.84
16.18
10.15
7.22
4.43
3.29
10.45
2014
11.27
22.77
26.05
24.54
22.71
19.84
16.23
10.15
7.22
4.44
3.29
10.37
 
Total
1980
20.74
20.38
16.91
10.53
8.15
6.70
5.18
3.92
2.64
1.62
...
4.15
1985
27.40
36.64
32.55
25.23
19.47
15.18
12.20
9.46
6.54
3.68
...
10.13
1990
14.00
41.93
52.29
36.61
28.50
21.91
16.47
11.93
8.59
5.22
...
15.64
1995
13.63
43.25
46.78
39.82
32.02
25.24
18.27
12.75
9.01
5.53
...
17.45
1996
20.44
50.88
55.52
48.04
38.16
29.68
20.85
14.28
9.37
6.06
...
19.91
1997
21.45
50.58
59.78
48.33
38.42
29.57
21.33
14.64
9.57
5.78
...
19.73
1998
25.81
49.51
61.30
52.01
40.82
31.45
23.14
15.55
10.21
5.91
...
20.61
1999
18.28
47.50
62.50
52.19
42.60
32.01
23.58
15.75
10.67
6.40
...
20.82
2000
17.50
45.33
55.48
48.60
40.24
31.32
23.17
15.23
10.18
6.06
...
19.61
2001
14.80
39.56
50.39
47.19
39.95
31.74
23.41
15.68
10.28
6.12
...
19.35
2002
21.03
35.75
44.95
44.14
38.19
30.72
23.20
15.78
10.28
6.14
...
18.60
2003
21.45
36.21
39.78
39.03
34.99
28.91
21.75
14.88
9.96
6.08
3.81
17.16
2004
16.16
36.50
39.99
37.07
33.81
28.24
21.56
15.04
10.17
6.21
5.24
16.77
2005
28.02
36.46
39.98
39.11
35.84
30.23
23.62
15.00
10.10
6.15
4.53
17.16
2006
24.81
36.39
40.00
39.12
35.75
30.19
23.64
14.96
10.06
6.15
4.52
16.84
2007
23.86
36.23
40.01
39.05
35.58
30.05
23.56
14.94
10.05
6.19
4.51
16.49
2008
24.78
36.04
39.99
39.14
35.50
30.07
23.57
14.90
10.04
6.19
4.50
16.21
2009
26.42
35.80
39.94
39.24
35.46
30.16
23.60
14.87
10.03
6.15
4.49
16.04
2010
24.89
35.72
39.90
39.33
35.49
30.23
23.63
14.83
10.01
6.10
4.49
15.83
2011
21.86
35.81
39.86
39.31
35.45
30.12
23.54
14.79
9.99
6.06
4.48
15.56
2012
21.38
35.94
39.78
39.29
35.42
29.96
23.45
14.74
9.98
6.06
4.48
15.36
2013
21.39
36.05
39.71
39.24
35.40
29.82
23.42
14.69
9.96
6.06
4.47
15.20
2014
21.38
36.11
39.66
39.20
35.39
29.74
23.44
14.67
9.95
6.06
4.47
15.04

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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