Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.D19.—DI Current-Payment, Non-Current-Payment, and Total Benefits for All Beneficiaries
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Total disabled workers
Total spouses of disabled workers
Total children of disabled workers
Total DI beneficiaries
Current-
payment
Non-
current-
payment
Total
Current-
payment
Non-
current-
payment
Total
Current-
payment
Non-
current-
payment
Total
Current-
payment
Non-
current-
payment
Total
1980
$11,902.5
$914.0
$12,816.5
$581.0
$57.1
$638.1
$1,732.3
$250.6
$1,982.9
$14,215.7
$1,221.7
$15,437.5
1981
13,324.4
1,054.5
14,378.8
625.2
59.2
684.4
1,877.6
258.5
2,136.2
15,827.3
1,372.2
17,199.4
1982
13,831.4
978.8
14,810.2
600.2
52.2
652.4
1,677.1
197.8
1,874.9
16,108.7
1,228.8
17,337.5
1983
13,650.5
1,545.2
15,195.7
531.2
75.4
606.6
1,483.0
244.9
1,727.9
15,664.7
1,865.5
17,530.2
1984
14,070.6
1,552.1
15,622.7
468.1
68.0
536.1
1,500.3
240.9
1,741.2
16,039.1
1,861.0
17,900.1
1985
14,803.7
1,678.9
16,482.6
473.7
71.0
544.7
1,550.8
257.7
1,808.5
16,828.3
2,007.6
18,835.9
1986
15,576.0
1,833.0
17,409.1
477.2
70.3
547.5
1,623.6
266.6
1,890.2
17,676.8
2,170.0
19,846.8
1987
16,109.5
1,944.0
18,053.4
462.0
69.7
531.6
1,650.0
276.4
1,926.4
18,221.4
2,290.1
20,511.5
1988
17,119.3
2,045.4
19,164.7
459.8
69.1
528.9
1,704.0
294.5
1,998.5
19,283.2
2,409.0
21,692.2
1989
18,163.3
2,151.2
20,314.5
457.2
66.0
523.2
1,739.2
296.6
2,035.7
20,359.6
2,513.8
22,873.4
1990
19,643.1
2,470.4
22,113.5
461.5
69.1
530.6
1,829.2
330.0
2,159.2
21,933.8
2,869.4
24,803.3
1991
21,754.8
2,982.9
24,737.7
473.8
76.0
549.7
1,989.2
385.0
2,374.3
24,217.8
3,443.9
27,661.7
1992
24,232.4
3,623.4
27,855.8
489.2
83.3
572.4
2,199.6
463.4
2,663.0
26,921.1
4,170.1
31,091.2
1993
26,900.3
4,012.4
30,912.8
500.6
71.9
572.4
2,449.4
663.1
3,112.5
29,850.3
4,747.4
34,597.7
1994
29,525.5
4,185.0
33,710.5
507.5
71.0
578.5
2,702.4
725.3
3,427.7
32,735.5
4,981.3
37,716.8
1995
32,292.0
4,318.2
36,610.2
512.0
65.3
577.3
2,958.8
752.0
3,710.8
35,762.8
5,135.4
40,898.2
1996
35,035.3
4,590.0
39,625.3
460.9
54.0
514.9
3,238.1
795.7
4,033.8
38,734.3
5,439.7
44,173.9
1997
37,410.3
3,672.5
41,082.8
441.2
37.4
478.7
3,393.3
704.6
4,097.9
41,244.8
4,414.5
45,659.3
1998
39,788.4
3,678.6
43,467.0
423.2
33.8
457.0
3,523.6
725.9
4,249.5
43,735.2
4,438.3
48,173.4
1999
42,092.7
4,366.0
46,458.7
398.6
34.2
432.9
3,668.2
771.3
4,439.5
46,159.5
5,171.5
51,331.0
2000
44,924.0
4,923.5
49,847.5
386.4
34.5
420.9
3,840.0
829.8
4,669.8
49,150.5
5,787.8
54,938.3
2001
48,624.4
5,622.0
54,246.4
383.3
32.3
415.6
4,056.0
861.3
4,917.3
53,063.7
6,515.6
59,579.3
2002
52,891.7
6,994.4
59,886.1
382.3
40.5
422.8
4,310.0
1,026.5
5,336.5
57,584.0
8,061.4
65,645.5
2003
57,439.6
7,371.6
64,811.2
390.2
40.6
430.8
4,577.2
1,086.4
5,663.6
62,407.0
8,498.6
70,905.7
2004
62,642.0
9,043.4
71,685.5
406.3
48.3
454.6
4,857.7
1,204.6
6,062.3
67,905.9
10,296.4
78,202.3
2005-I
16,689.0
2,227.5
18,916.5
106.7
12.9
119.7
1,273.1
345.6
1,618.8
18,068.9
2,586.1
20,654.9
2005-II
16,894.0
2,189.2
19,083.2
108.1
13.2
121.3
1,281.3
360.8
1,642.1
18,283.5
2,563.2
20,846.6
2005-III
17,132.4
2,166.7
19,299.1
109.2
13.2
122.5
1,248.2
366.4
1,614.6
18,489.8
2,546.3
21,036.1
2005-IV
17,365.6
2,163.4
19,529.0
110.1
13.1
123.2
1,259.0
361.6
1,620.6
18,734.6
2,538.2
21,272.8
2006-I
17,922.2
2,191.8
20,114.0
112.6
13.2
125.7
1,303.0
359.5
1,662.4
19,337.8
2,564.5
21,902.2
2006-II
18,118.0
2,191.8
20,309.8
113.3
13.2
126.4
1,319.9
359.5
1,679.4
19,551.1
2,564.5
22,115.6
2006-III
18,339.0
2,191.8
20,530.9
114.5
13.2
127.6
1,285.0
359.5
1,644.5
19,738.5
2,564.5
22,302.9
2006-IV
18,563.8
2,191.8
20,755.6
115.4
13.2
128.5
1,294.6
359.5
1,654.1
19,973.8
2,564.5
22,538.2
2007-I
19,183.8
2,311.4
21,495.1
118.4
13.9
132.2
1,342.3
379.1
1,721.4
20,644.4
2,704.3
23,348.7
2007-II
19,372.5
2,311.4
21,683.8
119.4
13.9
133.3
1,361.3
379.1
1,740.4
20,853.2
2,704.3
23,557.5
2007-III
19,589.2
2,311.4
21,900.5
120.9
13.9
134.8
1,325.2
379.1
1,704.3
21,035.3
2,704.3
23,739.6
2007-IV
19,808.9
2,311.4
22,120.3
122.1
13.9
136.0
1,336.2
379.1
1,715.3
21,267.3
2,704.3
23,971.6
2008-I
20,551.7
2,456.5
23,008.2
126.3
14.7
141.0
1,394.2
402.9
1,797.0
22,072.2
2,874.1
24,946.2
2008-II
20,744.6
2,456.5
23,201.1
127.9
14.7
142.6
1,416.3
402.9
1,819.2
22,288.8
2,874.1
25,162.9
2008-III
20,968.9
2,456.5
23,425.4
129.9
14.7
144.7
1,378.1
402.9
1,780.9
22,476.9
2,874.1
25,351.0
2008-IV
21,195.5
2,456.5
23,652.0
131.6
14.7
146.4
1,391.0
402.9
1,793.9
22,718.2
2,874.1
25,592.3
2009-I
21,993.3
2,968.9
24,962.2
136.7
17.8
154.5
1,456.2
486.9
1,943.1
23,586.2
3,473.7
27,059.8
2009-II
22,169.4
2,968.9
25,138.3
139.0
17.8
156.8
1,484.0
486.9
1,970.9
23,792.4
3,473.7
27,266.1
2009-III
22,381.4
2,968.9
25,350.3
141.8
17.8
159.6
1,444.1
486.9
1,931.0
23,967.3
3,473.7
27,440.9
2009-IV
22,589.7
2,968.9
25,558.6
144.1
17.8
161.9
1,461.0
486.9
1,947.9
24,194.8
3,473.7
27,668.4
2010-I
23,405.7
2,823.5
26,229.2
149.7
16.9
166.6
1,531.5
463.1
1,994.6
25,086.8
3,303.5
28,390.3
2010-II
23,584.1
2,823.5
26,407.6
151.5
16.9
168.5
1,558.8
463.1
2,021.9
25,294.4
3,303.5
28,597.9
2010-III
23,801.5
2,823.5
26,625.1
153.9
16.9
170.8
1,513.5
463.1
1,976.6
25,468.9
3,303.5
28,772.4
2010-IV
24,037.6
2,823.5
26,861.1
155.8
16.9
172.7
1,529.7
463.1
1,992.8
25,723.1
3,303.5
29,026.6
2011-I
24,945.0
2,649.5
27,594.5
161.3
15.9
177.2
1,602.7
434.5
2,037.2
26,709.1
3,099.9
29,809.0
2011-II
25,132.0
2,649.5
27,781.5
162.8
15.9
178.7
1,630.8
434.5
2,065.3
26,925.6
3,099.9
30,025.5
2011-III
25,359.4
2,649.5
28,008.9
164.7
15.9
180.6
1,582.8
434.5
2,017.3
27,107.0
3,099.9
30,206.9
2011-IV
25,604.1
2,649.5
28,253.6
166.3
15.9
182.2
1,599.3
434.5
2,033.8
27,369.7
3,099.9
30,469.6
2012-I
26,551.3
2,899.3
29,450.6
172.0
17.4
189.3
1,676.0
475.5
2,151.4
28,399.2
3,392.2
31,791.4
2012-II
26,715.4
2,899.3
29,614.7
173.4
17.4
190.8
1,707.6
475.5
2,183.1
28,596.4
3,392.2
31,988.6
2012-III
26,923.5
2,899.3
29,822.8
175.4
17.4
192.8
1,658.5
475.5
2,134.0
28,757.4
3,392.2
32,149.6
2012-IV
27,148.1
2,899.3
30,047.4
177.0
17.4
194.4
1,677.1
475.5
2,152.5
29,002.2
3,392.2
32,394.4
2013-I
28,118.0
3,006.9
31,124.9
182.9
18.0
200.9
1,758.5
493.1
2,251.6
30,059.3
3,518.0
33,577.4
2013-II
28,267.0
3,006.9
31,273.9
184.3
18.0
202.3
1,792.0
493.1
2,285.1
30,243.3
3,518.0
33,761.3
2013-III
28,463.9
3,006.9
31,470.8
186.2
18.0
204.3
1,739.8
493.1
2,232.9
30,389.9
3,518.0
33,907.9
2013-IV
28,679.3
3,006.9
31,686.1
187.7
18.0
205.8
1,759.1
493.1
2,252.2
30,626.1
3,518.0
34,144.1
2014-I
29,692.9
3,165.3
32,858.2
193.9
19.0
212.9
1,844.9
519.1
2,364.1
31,731.7
3,703.4
35,435.1
2014-II
29,857.9
3,165.3
33,023.2
195.3
19.0
214.3
1,881.3
519.1
2,400.4
31,934.5
3,703.4
35,637.9
2014-III
30,072.9
3,165.3
33,238.2
197.3
19.0
216.3
1,826.8
519.1
2,345.9
32,096.9
3,703.4
35,800.3
2014-IV
30,306.9
3,165.3
33,472.1
198.8
19.0
217.8
1,847.7
519.1
2,366.9
32,353.4
3,703.4
36,056.8

Source: Total amounts computed by addition of corresponding detail shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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