Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.D20.—DI Current-Payment, Non-Current-Payment, and Total Benefits for Disabled Workers
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Male disabled workers
Female disabled workers
Current-payment
Non-current-payment
Total
Current-payment
Non-current-payment
Total
1980
$8,804.1
$676.1
$9,480.2
$3,098.4
$237.9
$3,336.4
1981
9,863.7
780.6
10,644.3
3,460.6
273.9
3,734.5
1982
10,232.6
724.0
10,956.6
3,598.8
254.7
3,853.6
1983
10,103.3
1,143.5
11,246.8
3,547.2
401.6
3,948.9
1984
10,447.2
1,152.4
11,599.6
3,623.4
399.7
4,023.1
1985
10,983.3
1,245.6
12,228.9
3,820.5
433.2
4,253.7
1986
11,537.6
1,357.7
12,895.3
4,038.5
475.3
4,513.8
1987
11,904.8
1,436.7
13,341.5
4,204.7
507.3
4,712.0
1988
12,609.0
1,506.6
14,115.6
4,510.3
538.8
5,049.1
1989
13,317.7
1,577.3
14,895.0
4,845.6
573.9
5,419.5
1990
14,312.0
1,799.9
16,111.9
5,331.1
670.5
6,001.6
1991
15,730.2
2,156.8
17,887.0
6,024.6
826.1
6,850.7
1992
17,357.1
2,596.1
19,953.2
6,875.3
1,027.3
7,902.5
1993
19,072.6
2,845.5
21,918.1
7,827.8
1,166.9
8,994.7
1994
20,690.8
2,932.5
23,623.3
8,834.7
1,252.5
10,087.3
1995
22,316.8
2,984.5
25,301.3
9,975.3
1,333.6
11,308.9
1996
23,840.8
3,123.2
26,963.9
11,194.5
1,466.8
12,661.4
1997
25,018.6
2,456.2
27,474.8
12,391.7
1,216.3
13,608.0
1998
26,224.8
2,424.9
28,649.6
13,563.7
1,253.7
14,817.4
1999
27,340.2
2,835.1
30,175.4
14,752.5
1,530.9
16,283.3
2000
28,769.6
3,153.7
31,923.3
16,154.5
1,769.8
17,924.3
2001
30,740.9
3,553.8
34,294.7
17,883.5
2,068.2
19,951.7
2002
33,039.3
4,369.1
37,408.4
19,852.4
2,625.3
22,477.7
2003
35,531.8
4,560.6
40,092.4
21,907.8
2,811.0
24,718.8
2004
38,410.5
5,545.5
43,956.0
24,231.5
3,497.9
27,729.4
2005-I
10,174.1
1,355.1
11,529.3
6,514.9
872.3
7,387.2
2005-II
10,275.7
1,327.3
11,603.0
6,618.3
861.9
7,480.2
2005-III
10,399.0
1,310.9
11,709.9
6,733.4
855.8
7,589.2
2005-IV
10,518.9
1,308.5
11,827.4
6,846.6
855.0
7,701.6
2006-I
10,834.3
1,323.6
12,157.9
7,087.9
868.2
7,956.1
2006-II
10,929.1
1,323.6
12,252.8
7,188.9
868.2
8,057.1
2006-III
11,041.0
1,323.6
12,364.7
7,298.0
868.2
8,166.2
2006-IV
11,155.3
1,323.6
12,478.9
7,408.5
868.2
8,276.7
2007-I
11,506.4
1,391.4
12,897.8
7,677.4
919.9
8,597.3
2007-II
11,596.0
1,391.4
12,987.4
7,776.5
919.9
8,696.4
2007-III
11,704.2
1,391.4
13,095.7
7,884.9
919.9
8,804.8
2007-IV
11,814.3
1,391.4
13,205.8
7,994.6
919.9
8,914.5
2008-I
12,235.8
1,475.6
13,711.4
8,315.9
980.9
9,296.8
2008-II
12,327.2
1,475.6
13,802.8
8,417.4
980.9
9,398.3
2008-III
12,439.3
1,475.6
13,914.9
8,529.6
980.9
9,510.5
2008-IV
12,552.7
1,475.6
14,028.3
8,642.8
980.9
9,623.7
2009-I
13,003.4
1,779.8
14,783.2
8,989.9
1,189.1
10,179.0
2009-II
13,083.5
1,779.8
14,863.3
9,085.9
1,189.1
10,275.1
2009-III
13,187.0
1,779.8
14,966.8
9,194.4
1,189.1
10,383.6
2009-IV
13,288.0
1,779.8
15,067.8
9,301.7
1,189.1
10,490.9
2010-I
13,745.7
1,689.4
15,435.0
9,660.0
1,134.2
10,794.1
2010-II
13,826.5
1,689.4
15,515.9
9,757.6
1,134.2
10,891.7
2010-III
13,932.8
1,689.4
15,622.2
9,868.7
1,134.2
11,002.9
2010-IV
14,049.8
1,689.4
15,739.1
9,987.8
1,134.2
11,121.9
2011-I
14,558.3
1,581.5
16,139.8
10,386.7
1,068.0
11,454.7
2011-II
14,643.5
1,581.5
16,225.1
10,488.5
1,068.0
11,556.5
2011-III
14,754.9
1,581.5
16,336.4
10,604.5
1,068.0
11,672.5
2011-IV
14,876.1
1,581.5
16,457.6
10,728.0
1,068.0
11,796.0
2012-I
15,404.1
1,724.5
17,128.6
11,147.2
1,174.8
12,322.0
2012-II
15,474.0
1,724.5
17,198.5
11,241.4
1,174.8
12,416.2
2012-III
15,572.1
1,724.5
17,296.7
11,351.3
1,174.8
12,526.1
2012-IV
15,679.4
1,724.5
17,403.9
11,468.7
1,174.8
12,643.5
2013-I
16,215.7
1,781.5
17,997.3
11,902.3
1,225.3
13,127.6
2013-II
16,275.1
1,781.5
18,056.7
11,991.9
1,225.3
13,217.2
2013-III
16,365.1
1,781.5
18,146.7
12,098.8
1,225.3
13,324.1
2013-IV
16,465.2
1,781.5
18,246.7
12,214.1
1,225.3
13,439.4
2014-I
17,022.6
1,868.8
18,891.4
12,670.3
1,296.5
13,966.8
2014-II
17,090.9
1,868.8
18,959.7
12,767.0
1,296.5
14,063.5
2014-III
17,191.0
1,868.8
19,059.8
12,881.9
1,296.5
14,178.4
2014-IV
17,301.3
1,868.8
19,170.1
13,005.6
1,296.5
14,302.1

Source: Total amounts computed by addition of corresponding detail shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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