Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.D22.—DI Current-Payment, Non-Current-Payment, and Total Benefits for Children of Disabled Workers
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Minor children of disabled workers
Disabled children of disabled workers
Student children of disabled workers
Current-
payment
Non-current-
payment
Total
Current-
payment
Non-current-
payment
Total
Current-
payment
Non-current-
payment
Total
1980
$1,418.9
$205.2
$1,624.1
$49.4
$7.1
$56.6
$264.0
$38.3
$302.2
1981
1,513.1
208.4
1,721.5
56.8
7.8
64.6
307.8
42.3
350.1
1982
1,422.4
167.3
1,589.7
59.7
7.0
66.7
195.1
23.4
218.5
1983
1,315.5
216.6
1,532.2
59.1
9.7
68.8
108.4
18.5
126.9
1984
1,359.4
218.2
1,577.6
63.3
10.2
73.4
77.6
12.6
90.2
1985
1,423.0
236.4
1,659.4
68.6
11.4
80.0
59.2
9.9
69.2
1986
1,489.5
244.6
1,734.1
74.5
12.2
86.7
59.6
9.8
69.4
1987
1,508.3
252.4
1,760.7
78.6
13.1
91.7
63.2
10.9
74.0
1988
1,551.2
268.1
1,819.3
83.9
14.5
98.4
68.9
12.0
80.8
1989
1,576.8
268.9
1,845.7
89.0
15.2
104.2
73.3
12.5
85.9
1990
1,653.6
298.1
1,951.6
95.9
17.3
113.1
79.8
14.6
94.4
1991
1,802.2
348.7
2,150.9
105.1
20.3
125.4
82.0
15.9
98.0
1992
1,996.1
420.2
2,416.3
115.5
24.3
139.8
88.0
18.9
106.8
1993
2,221.4
601.5
2,822.9
129.1
35.0
164.1
98.8
26.7
125.5
1994
2,455.6
658.8
3,114.4
142.3
38.2
180.5
104.5
28.2
132.8
1995
2,688.9
683.4
3,372.3
155.4
39.5
194.9
114.4
29.1
143.6
1996
2,942.8
722.8
3,665.6
168.6
41.4
210.0
126.8
31.5
158.2
1997
3,086.5
641.0
3,727.5
178.9
37.2
216.1
127.8
26.5
154.3
1998
3,202.7
659.5
3,862.2
189.2
39.0
228.2
131.7
27.4
159.1
1999
3,329.9
700.4
4,030.3
199.2
41.9
241.1
139.1
29.0
168.1
2000
3,483.8
752.9
4,236.6
210.6
45.5
256.1
145.6
31.5
177.1
2001
3,680.0
781.5
4,461.5
225.6
47.9
273.5
150.4
31.9
182.3
2002
3,902.8
929.9
4,832.7
240.0
57.2
297.2
167.2
39.4
206.6
2003
4,132.5
980.2
5,112.7
256.8
60.9
317.7
187.9
45.3
233.2
2004
4,379.2
1,085.3
5,464.5
277.2
68.7
345.9
201.3
50.6
251.9
2005-I
1,142.0
312.3
1,454.3
72.7
19.8
92.5
58.5
13.5
72.0
2005-II
1,138.0
326.3
1,464.4
72.1
20.7
92.8
71.2
13.8
84.9
2005-III
1,146.2
331.5
1,477.8
72.9
21.1
94.0
29.1
13.8
42.9
2005-IV
1,151.3
327.1
1,478.5
73.4
20.9
94.3
34.2
13.6
47.8
2006-I
1,171.6
325.1
1,496.6
75.0
21.0
96.0
56.4
13.4
69.8
2006-II
1,172.5
325.1
1,497.6
75.6
21.0
96.6
71.8
13.4
85.2
2006-III
1,178.7
325.1
1,503.8
76.3
21.0
97.3
30.0
13.4
43.4
2006-IV
1,182.1
325.1
1,507.2
76.7
21.0
97.7
35.7
13.4
49.1
2007-I
1,204.4
342.1
1,546.5
78.6
22.5
101.1
59.3
14.5
73.8
2007-II
1,206.3
342.1
1,548.4
79.2
22.5
101.7
75.9
14.5
90.4
2007-III
1,213.5
342.1
1,555.6
79.9
22.5
102.4
31.8
14.5
46.3
2007-IV
1,217.9
342.1
1,560.0
80.4
22.5
102.9
37.9
14.5
52.4
2008-I
1,247.7
362.6
1,610.3
82.8
24.2
107.0
63.7
16.0
79.7
2008-II
1,250.6
362.6
1,613.2
83.5
24.2
107.8
82.2
16.0
98.3
2008-III
1,259.0
362.6
1,621.6
84.4
24.2
108.6
34.6
16.0
50.7
2008-IV
1,264.5
362.6
1,627.1
85.0
24.2
109.2
41.6
16.0
57.6
2009-I
1,298.4
436.8
1,735.2
87.6
29.7
117.3
70.1
20.5
90.6
2009-II
1,304.4
436.8
1,741.2
88.5
29.7
118.2
91.1
20.5
111.6
2009-III
1,316.1
436.8
1,752.9
89.5
29.7
119.2
38.5
20.5
58.9
2009-IV
1,324.5
436.8
1,761.3
90.3
29.7
119.9
46.2
20.5
66.7
2010-I
1,361.3
414.4
1,775.7
93.2
28.6
121.7
77.0
20.1
97.1
2010-II
1,366.2
414.4
1,780.6
94.1
28.6
122.7
98.5
20.1
118.6
2010-III
1,377.2
414.4
1,791.6
95.2
28.6
123.7
41.2
20.1
61.2
2010-IV
1,384.9
414.4
1,799.3
95.9
28.6
124.5
48.9
20.1
69.0
2011-I
1,422.6
388.4
1,811.0
99.0
27.2
126.2
81.2
18.9
100.0
2011-II
1,427.4
388.4
1,815.9
99.9
27.2
127.1
103.4
18.9
122.3
2011-III
1,438.7
388.4
1,827.2
101.0
27.2
128.2
43.1
18.9
61.9
2011-IV
1,446.5
388.4
1,835.0
101.8
27.2
129.0
50.9
18.9
69.8
2012-I
1,486.3
424.6
1,910.9
105.0
30.2
135.2
84.7
20.7
105.4
2012-II
1,492.8
424.6
1,917.4
106.0
30.2
136.2
108.8
20.7
129.5
2012-III
1,505.8
424.6
1,930.4
107.2
30.2
137.4
45.5
20.7
66.2
2012-IV
1,515.1
424.6
1,939.7
108.1
30.2
138.3
53.9
20.7
74.6
2013-I
1,557.4
439.8
1,997.2
111.5
31.7
143.2
89.6
21.7
111.2
2013-II
1,564.1
439.8
2,003.9
112.6
31.7
144.3
115.3
21.7
136.9
2013-III
1,577.7
439.8
2,017.5
113.9
31.7
145.6
48.2
21.7
69.8
2013-IV
1,587.4
439.8
2,027.1
114.8
31.7
146.5
56.9
21.7
78.6
2014-I
1,631.9
462.4
2,094.2
118.5
33.7
152.2
94.6
23.0
117.6
2014-II
1,639.8
462.4
2,102.1
119.6
33.7
153.4
121.9
23.0
144.9
2014-III
1,654.8
462.4
2,117.2
121.0
33.7
154.8
50.9
23.0
73.9
2014-IV
1,665.6
462.4
2,128.0
122.0
33.7
155.7
60.1
23.0
83.1

Source: Total amounts computed by addition of corresponding detail shown earlier.

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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