Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Calendar
period |
Young wives
of disabled workers |
Young husbands1
of disabled workers |
Aged wives
of disabled workers |
Aged husbands
of disabled workers |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current-
payment |
Non-
current- payment |
Total
|
Current-
payment |
Non-
current- payment |
Total
|
Current-
payment |
Non-
current- payment |
Total
|
Current-
payment |
Non-
current- payment |
Total
|
|
1980
|
$473.4
|
$46.5
|
$519.9
|
...
|
...
|
...
|
$105.3
|
$10.3
|
$115.6
|
$2.3
|
$0.2
|
$2.5
|
1981
|
505.4
|
47.8
|
553.3
|
...
|
...
|
...
|
117.4
|
11.1
|
128.5
|
2.4
|
.2
|
2.6
|
1982
|
470.4
|
40.9
|
511.3
|
...
|
...
|
...
|
127.5
|
11.1
|
138.6
|
2.3
|
.2
|
2.5
|
1983
|
399.2
|
56.6
|
455.9
|
...
|
...
|
...
|
129.8
|
18.5
|
148.2
|
2.1
|
.3
|
2.4
|
1984
|
327.1
|
47.5
|
374.6
|
$2.5
|
$0.4
|
$2.9
|
136.6
|
19.8
|
156.4
|
2.0
|
.3
|
2.2
|
1985
|
328.2
|
49.2
|
377.4
|
3.2
|
.5
|
3.7
|
140.5
|
21.1
|
161.5
|
1.9
|
.3
|
2.2
|
1986
|
326.0
|
48.0
|
374.0
|
3.8
|
.6
|
4.3
|
145.6
|
21.5
|
167.1
|
1.8
|
.3
|
2.1
|
1987
|
308.9
|
46.6
|
355.5
|
4.2
|
.6
|
4.8
|
147.1
|
22.2
|
169.3
|
1.8
|
.3
|
2.0
|
1988
|
302.6
|
45.5
|
348.1
|
4.6
|
.7
|
5.3
|
150.8
|
22.7
|
173.5
|
1.8
|
.3
|
2.1
|
1989
|
299.2
|
43.2
|
342.4
|
4.9
|
.7
|
5.6
|
151.3
|
21.8
|
173.2
|
1.8
|
.3
|
2.1
|
1990
|
302.1
|
45.2
|
347.3
|
5.2
|
.8
|
6.0
|
152.4
|
22.8
|
175.2
|
1.8
|
.3
|
2.1
|
1991
|
313.0
|
50.2
|
363.2
|
5.8
|
.9
|
6.8
|
152.9
|
24.5
|
177.5
|
1.9
|
.3
|
2.3
|
1992
|
325.4
|
55.4
|
380.8
|
6.7
|
1.1
|
7.8
|
154.9
|
26.4
|
181.3
|
2.1
|
.4
|
2.5
|
1993
|
334.7
|
48.0
|
382.8
|
7.2
|
1.0
|
8.3
|
156.3
|
22.4
|
178.7
|
2.3
|
.3
|
2.7
|
1994
|
340.5
|
47.6
|
388.1
|
7.6
|
1.1
|
8.7
|
156.8
|
21.9
|
178.7
|
2.6
|
.4
|
2.9
|
1995
|
343.6
|
43.8
|
387.4
|
7.9
|
1.0
|
8.9
|
157.8
|
20.1
|
177.9
|
2.8
|
.4
|
3.1
|
1996
|
295.8
|
34.6
|
330.4
|
5.2
|
.6
|
5.8
|
156.9
|
18.4
|
175.3
|
3.1
|
.4
|
3.4
|
1997
|
276.8
|
23.5
|
300.3
|
4.6
|
.4
|
5.0
|
156.6
|
13.3
|
169.8
|
3.3
|
.3
|
3.5
|
1998
|
257.6
|
20.6
|
278.2
|
4.2
|
.3
|
4.5
|
158.0
|
12.6
|
170.6
|
3.4
|
.3
|
3.7
|
1999
|
234.5
|
20.1
|
254.6
|
3.5
|
.3
|
3.8
|
157.0
|
13.5
|
170.4
|
3.6
|
.3
|
4.0
|
2000
|
221.0
|
19.7
|
240.7
|
3.3
|
.3
|
3.6
|
158.2
|
14.1
|
172.3
|
4.0
|
.4
|
4.3
|
2001
|
214.7
|
18.1
|
232.8
|
3.2
|
.3
|
3.4
|
161.1
|
13.6
|
174.7
|
4.4
|
.4
|
4.8
|
2002
|
209.4
|
22.2
|
231.6
|
3.2
|
.3
|
3.5
|
164.9
|
17.5
|
182.3
|
4.9
|
.5
|
5.4
|
2003
|
204.3
|
21.3
|
225.6
|
3.2
|
.3
|
3.6
|
177.3
|
18.5
|
195.7
|
5.4
|
.6
|
6.0
|
2004
|
201.8
|
24.0
|
225.8
|
3.3
|
.4
|
3.7
|
194.9
|
23.2
|
218.1
|
6.2
|
.7
|
7.0
|
2005-I
|
51.2
|
6.2
|
57.4
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
53.0
|
6.4
|
59.4
|
1.7
|
.2
|
1.9
|
2005-II
|
51.1
|
6.2
|
57.4
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
54.4
|
6.6
|
61.0
|
1.7
|
.2
|
1.9
|
2005-III
|
51.1
|
6.2
|
57.3
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
55.5
|
6.7
|
62.2
|
1.7
|
.2
|
1.9
|
2005-IV
|
50.9
|
6.1
|
57.0
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
56.5
|
6.8
|
63.2
|
1.7
|
.2
|
1.9
|
2006-I
|
51.2
|
5.8
|
57.1
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
58.6
|
7.0
|
65.6
|
1.8
|
.2
|
2.0
|
2006-II
|
50.5
|
5.8
|
56.4
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
60.0
|
7.0
|
67.0
|
1.8
|
.2
|
2.1
|
2006-III
|
50.5
|
5.8
|
56.3
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
61.2
|
7.0
|
68.2
|
1.9
|
.2
|
2.1
|
2006-IV
|
50.3
|
5.8
|
56.2
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.0
|
62.2
|
7.0
|
69.2
|
1.9
|
.2
|
2.1
|
2007-I
|
50.8
|
5.8
|
56.6
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.1
|
64.6
|
7.7
|
72.3
|
2.0
|
.2
|
2.2
|
2007-II
|
50.2
|
5.8
|
56.0
|
.9
|
.1
|
1.1
|
66.2
|
7.7
|
73.9
|
2.1
|
.2
|
2.3
|
2007-III
|
50.3
|
5.8
|
56.1
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
67.6
|
7.7
|
75.3
|
2.1
|
.2
|
2.3
|
2007-IV
|
50.2
|
5.8
|
56.0
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
68.8
|
7.7
|
76.5
|
2.2
|
.2
|
2.4
|
2008-I
|
51.0
|
5.8
|
56.8
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
72.0
|
8.6
|
80.6
|
2.3
|
.3
|
2.5
|
2008-II
|
50.5
|
5.8
|
56.3
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
74.0
|
8.6
|
82.6
|
2.3
|
.3
|
2.6
|
2008-III
|
50.7
|
5.8
|
56.5
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
75.8
|
8.6
|
84.4
|
2.4
|
.3
|
2.7
|
2008-IV
|
50.8
|
5.8
|
56.6
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.1
|
77.4
|
8.6
|
85.9
|
2.5
|
.3
|
2.7
|
2009-I
|
51.8
|
6.6
|
58.3
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.2
|
81.3
|
10.8
|
92.1
|
2.6
|
.3
|
2.9
|
2009-II
|
51.4
|
6.6
|
58.0
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.2
|
83.9
|
10.8
|
94.6
|
2.7
|
.3
|
3.0
|
2009-III
|
51.8
|
6.6
|
58.3
|
1.0
|
.1
|
1.2
|
86.2
|
10.8
|
96.9
|
2.8
|
.3
|
3.1
|
2009-IV
|
52.0
|
6.6
|
58.6
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
88.1
|
10.8
|
98.9
|
2.9
|
.3
|
3.2
|
2010-I
|
53.1
|
5.9
|
59.0
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
92.4
|
10.6
|
103.0
|
3.0
|
.3
|
3.4
|
2010-II
|
52.8
|
5.9
|
58.7
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
94.5
|
10.6
|
105.1
|
3.1
|
.3
|
3.5
|
2010-III
|
53.2
|
5.9
|
59.1
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
96.4
|
10.6
|
107.0
|
3.2
|
.3
|
3.5
|
2010-IV
|
53.4
|
5.9
|
59.3
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
98.0
|
10.6
|
108.6
|
3.3
|
.3
|
3.6
|
2011-I
|
54.6
|
5.3
|
59.9
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
102.2
|
10.1
|
112.3
|
3.4
|
.3
|
3.7
|
2011-II
|
54.3
|
5.3
|
59.6
|
1.1
|
.1
|
1.2
|
103.9
|
10.1
|
114.0
|
3.5
|
.3
|
3.8
|
2011-III
|
54.7
|
5.3
|
60.0
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
105.3
|
10.1
|
115.5
|
3.6
|
.3
|
3.9
|
2011-IV
|
55.0
|
5.3
|
60.3
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
106.5
|
10.1
|
116.7
|
3.6
|
.3
|
3.9
|
2012-I
|
56.3
|
5.6
|
61.9
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
110.7
|
11.3
|
122.0
|
3.8
|
.4
|
4.1
|
2012-II
|
56.1
|
5.6
|
61.7
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
112.3
|
11.3
|
123.6
|
3.8
|
.4
|
4.2
|
2012-III
|
56.6
|
5.6
|
62.2
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
113.7
|
11.3
|
124.9
|
3.9
|
.4
|
4.3
|
2012-IV
|
57.0
|
5.6
|
62.6
|
1.2
|
.1
|
1.3
|
114.8
|
11.3
|
126.1
|
4.0
|
.4
|
4.3
|
2013-I
|
58.4
|
5.7
|
64.1
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.4
|
119.1
|
11.8
|
130.9
|
4.1
|
.4
|
4.5
|
2013-II
|
58.2
|
5.7
|
63.9
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.4
|
120.6
|
11.8
|
132.4
|
4.2
|
.4
|
4.6
|
2013-III
|
58.8
|
5.7
|
64.5
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.4
|
121.9
|
11.8
|
133.7
|
4.3
|
.4
|
4.7
|
2013-IV
|
59.2
|
5.7
|
64.9
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.4
|
122.9
|
11.8
|
134.7
|
4.3
|
.4
|
4.7
|
2014-I
|
60.7
|
5.9
|
66.6
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.5
|
127.4
|
12.5
|
139.9
|
4.5
|
.4
|
4.9
|
2014-II
|
60.5
|
5.9
|
66.5
|
1.3
|
.1
|
1.5
|
128.9
|
12.5
|
141.4
|
4.5
|
.4
|
5.0
|
2014-III
|
61.2
|
5.9
|
67.1
|
1.4
|
.1
|
1.5
|
130.1
|
12.5
|
142.6
|
4.6
|
.4
|
5.1
|
2014-IV
|
61.7
|
5.9
|
67.7
|
1.4
|
.1
|
1.5
|
131.0
|
12.5
|
143.6
|
4.7
|
.4
|
5.1
|
1This benefit became available on October 17, 1980, but was not paid in significant numbers until November 1983. |
Source: Total amounts computed by addition of corresponding detail shown earlier.
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.