Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Year
|
Retired
workers |
Total
dual entitlements |
Dual entitlement by type
|
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spouses of retired workers
|
Widow(er)s of deceased workers
|
Parents of deceased workers
|
|||||||
Number
|
Ratio to
retired workers |
Number
|
Ratio to
total |
Number
|
Ratio to
total |
Number
|
Ratio
to total |
||
Male
|
|||||||||
1980
|
10,462.8
|
63.3
|
0.0060
|
21.0
|
0.3322
|
41.9
|
0.6618
|
0.4
|
0.0060
|
1985
|
11,819.9
|
89.0
|
.0075
|
25.1
|
.2820
|
63.7
|
.7157
|
.2
|
.0024
|
1990
|
12,986.8
|
103.7
|
.0080
|
26.2
|
.2532
|
77.3
|
.7457
|
.1
|
.0011
|
1995
|
13,918.4
|
111.5
|
.0080
|
25.6
|
.2299
|
85.8
|
.7695
|
.1
|
.0006
|
1996
|
14,016.6
|
111.1
|
.0079
|
24.8
|
.2231
|
86.3
|
.7763
|
.1
|
.0006
|
1997
|
14,122.7
|
111.1
|
.0079
|
23.6
|
.2124
|
87.5
|
.7871
|
.1
|
.0005
|
1998
|
14,206.6
|
110.3
|
.0078
|
22.8
|
.2067
|
87.5
|
.7928
|
.1
|
.0005
|
1999
|
14,328.2
|
110.2
|
.0077
|
22.2
|
.2012
|
87.9
|
.7984
|
1/
|
.0004
|
2000
|
14,771.4
|
113.0
|
.0076
|
23.3
|
.2058
|
89.7
|
.7938
|
.0004
|
|
2001
|
14,933.9
|
115.0
|
.0077
|
23.9
|
.2078
|
91.1
|
.7919
|
.0004
|
|
2002
|
15,103.3
|
117.3
|
.0078
|
24.5
|
.2090
|
92.8
|
.7907
|
.0003
|
|
2003
|
15,251.1
|
116.3
|
.0076
|
25.1
|
.2159
|
91.1
|
.7837
|
.0003
|
|
2004
|
15,430.1
|
118.7
|
.0077
|
25.4
|
.2143
|
93.2
|
.7854
|
.0003
|
|
2005
|
15,630.5
|
120.2
|
.0077
|
25.8
|
.2143
|
94.4
|
.7854
|
.0003
|
|
2006
|
15,883.5
|
122.2
|
.0077
|
26.2
|
.2143
|
96.0
|
.7854
|
.0003
|
|
2007
|
16,199.0
|
124.6
|
.0077
|
26.7
|
.2143
|
97.9
|
.7854
|
.0003
|
|
2008
|
16,580.6
|
127.5
|
.0077
|
27.3
|
.2143
|
100.2
|
.7854
|
.0003
|
|
2009
|
17,040.2
|
131.1
|
.0077
|
28.1
|
.2143
|
103.0
|
.7854
|
.0002
|
|
2010
|
17,535.2
|
134.9
|
.0077
|
28.9
|
.2143
|
105.9
|
.7854
|
.0002
|
|
2011
|
18,064.2
|
139.0
|
.0077
|
29.8
|
.2143
|
109.1
|
.7855
|
.0002
|
|
2012
|
18,674.6
|
143.7
|
.0077
|
30.8
|
.2143
|
112.8
|
.7855
|
.0002
|
|
2013
|
19,331.6
|
148.7
|
.0077
|
31.9
|
.2143
|
116.8
|
.7855
|
.0002
|
|
2014
|
20,002.3
|
153.9
|
.0077
|
33.0
|
.2143
|
120.9
|
.7855
|
.0002
|
|
Female
|
|||||||||
1980
|
9,101.6
|
2,506.4
|
.2754
|
952.1
|
.3799
|
1,550.6
|
.6187
|
3.6
|
.0014
|
1985
|
10,615.4
|
3,573.8
|
.3367
|
1,505.1
|
.4211
|
2,066.3
|
.5782
|
2.4
|
.0007
|
1990
|
11,854.3
|
4,588.9
|
.3871
|
2,008.3
|
.4376
|
2,579.3
|
.5621
|
1.4
|
.0003
|
1995
|
12,760.1
|
5,358.1
|
.4199
|
2,346.5
|
.4379
|
3,010.7
|
.5619
|
.8
|
.0002
|
1996
|
12,888.5
|
5,468.2
|
.4243
|
2,382.5
|
.4357
|
3,085.0
|
.5642
|
.7
|
.0001
|
1997
|
13,158.9
|
5,562.4
|
.4227
|
2,409.8
|
.4332
|
3,151.9
|
.5667
|
.7
|
.0001
|
1998
|
13,310.9
|
5,642.7
|
.4239
|
2,429.1
|
.4305
|
3,213.0
|
.5694
|
.6
|
.0001
|
1999
|
13,455.3
|
5,709.3
|
.4243
|
2,439.8
|
.4273
|
3,268.9
|
.5726
|
.6
|
.0001
|
2000
|
13,733.8
|
5,825.7
|
.4242
|
2,504.3
|
.4299
|
3,320.9
|
.5700
|
.5
|
.0001
|
2001
|
13,908.8
|
5,891.8
|
.4236
|
2,518.6
|
.4275
|
3,372.7
|
.5724
|
.5
|
.0001
|
2002
|
14,091.4
|
5,950.6
|
.4223
|
2,529.6
|
.4251
|
3,420.6
|
.5748
|
.5
|
.0001
|
2003
|
14,285.6
|
5,993.0
|
.4195
|
2,537.4
|
.4234
|
3,455.1
|
.5765
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2004
|
14,521.9
|
5,943.3
|
.4093
|
2,518.5
|
.4237
|
3,424.4
|
.5762
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2005
|
14,770.4
|
6,045.0
|
.4093
|
2,546.3
|
.4212
|
3,498.3
|
.5787
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2006
|
15,070.9
|
6,168.0
|
.4093
|
2,580.4
|
.4184
|
3,587.2
|
.5816
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2007
|
15,418.1
|
6,310.1
|
.4093
|
2,619.6
|
.4151
|
3,690.2
|
.5848
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2008
|
15,823.5
|
6,476.0
|
.4093
|
2,665.4
|
.4116
|
3,810.3
|
.5884
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2009
|
16,312.8
|
6,676.3
|
.4093
|
2,721.6
|
.4077
|
3,954.3
|
.5923
|
.4
|
.0001
|
2010
|
16,838.9
|
6,891.6
|
.4093
|
2,779.8
|
.4034
|
4,111.5
|
.5966
|
.3
|
2/
|
2011
|
17,403.0
|
7,122.5
|
.4093
|
2,839.7
|
.3987
|
4,282.4
|
.6013
|
.3
|
|
2012
|
18,043.5
|
7,384.6
|
.4093
|
2,906.9
|
.3936
|
4,477.3
|
.6063
|
.3
|
|
2013
|
18,731.5
|
7,666.2
|
.4093
|
2,976.1
|
.3882
|
4,689.8
|
.6117
|
.3
|
|
2014
|
19,447.3
|
7,959.1
|
.4093
|
3,043.4
|
.3824
|
4,915.4
|
.6176
|
.3
|
1Fewer than 50. 2Less than 0.00005. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.