Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Calendar
period |
Total
|
Retired workers and auxiliaries
|
Survivors of deceased workers
|
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
|
Special
age-72 beneficiaries |
Lump-sum
payments |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total
|
Retired
workers |
Dependents
|
Total
|
Children
|
Widowed
mothers and fathers |
Aged
widows and widowers and aged parents |
Disabled
widows and widowers |
Total
|
Disabled
workers |
Dependents
|
||||
2005-I
|
$128,705.3
|
$85,153.8
|
$79,326.4
|
$5,827.4
|
$22,441.3
|
$3,746.3
|
$385.2
|
$17,908.7
|
$401.0
|
$21,054.4
|
$19,259.0
|
$1,795.4
|
1/
|
$55.9
|
2005-II
|
129,753.3
|
85,606.7
|
79,750.6
|
5,856.1
|
22,588.4
|
3,794.7
|
383.1
|
18,002.6
|
407.9
|
21,505.7
|
19,651.6
|
1,854.0
|
52.6
|
|
2005-III
|
130,419.2
|
85,924.2
|
80,078.0
|
5,846.2
|
22,563.7
|
3,709.8
|
389.0
|
18,057.4
|
407.5
|
21,881.8
|
20,035.9
|
1,845.9
|
49.5
|
|
2005-IV
|
131,700.2
|
86,804.9
|
80,905.4
|
5,899.5
|
22,622.7
|
3,741.1
|
392.6
|
18,084.2
|
404.8
|
22,226.7
|
20,364.3
|
1,862.4
|
45.9
|
|
2006-I
|
135,398.4
|
88,946.4
|
82,968.0
|
5,978.5
|
23,239.2
|
3,894.9
|
391.9
|
18,533.2
|
419.2
|
23,157.1
|
21,219.9
|
1,937.3
|
55.6
|
|
2006-II
|
136,493.4
|
89,522.9
|
83,510.1
|
6,012.8
|
23,410.2
|
3,941.0
|
390.2
|
18,652.3
|
426.7
|
23,508.0
|
21,539.3
|
1,968.6
|
52.3
|
|
2006-III
|
137,229.9
|
89,965.6
|
83,958.4
|
6,007.2
|
23,393.5
|
3,842.7
|
396.3
|
18,728.3
|
426.3
|
23,821.6
|
21,883.6
|
1,938.0
|
49.2
|
|
2006-IV
|
138,742.3
|
91,030.0
|
84,959.8
|
6,070.3
|
23,479.0
|
3,875.5
|
400.7
|
18,779.2
|
423.6
|
24,187.6
|
22,228.5
|
1,959.1
|
45.7
|
|
2007-I
|
142,989.2
|
93,427.0
|
87,266.7
|
6,160.3
|
24,128.3
|
4,025.2
|
399.2
|
19,265.3
|
438.6
|
25,378.6
|
23,306.9
|
2,071.7
|
55.3
|
|
2007-II
|
144,242.5
|
94,119.6
|
87,916.7
|
6,202.9
|
24,326.5
|
4,071.2
|
398.0
|
19,411.0
|
446.3
|
25,744.3
|
23,637.1
|
2,107.2
|
52.0
|
|
2007-III
|
145,083.6
|
94,642.3
|
88,443.9
|
6,198.5
|
24,323.7
|
3,963.7
|
404.2
|
19,510.1
|
445.7
|
26,068.6
|
23,994.7
|
2,073.9
|
49.0
|
|
2007-IV
|
146,799.4
|
95,871.9
|
89,601.3
|
6,270.6
|
24,433.4
|
3,996.7
|
408.9
|
19,585.2
|
442.6
|
26,448.8
|
24,351.1
|
2,097.6
|
45.4
|
|
2008-I
|
151,710.5
|
98,771.0
|
92,391.3
|
6,379.7
|
25,200.2
|
4,161.1
|
408.4
|
20,171.1
|
459.6
|
27,684.3
|
25,475.6
|
2,208.7
|
54.9
|
|
2008-II
|
153,118.1
|
99,592.3
|
93,159.9
|
6,432.4
|
25,424.0
|
4,207.9
|
407.6
|
20,340.5
|
468.0
|
28,050.1
|
25,804.1
|
2,246.0
|
51.7
|
|
2008-III
|
154,064.2
|
100,211.6
|
93,781.5
|
6,430.1
|
25,432.1
|
4,091.1
|
414.1
|
20,459.6
|
467.3
|
28,371.8
|
26,163.8
|
2,208.0
|
48.7
|
|
2008-IV
|
156,010.9
|
101,647.1
|
95,133.8
|
6,513.3
|
25,564.6
|
4,125.4
|
419.0
|
20,556.1
|
464.1
|
28,754.1
|
26,521.6
|
2,232.5
|
45.1
|
|
2009-I
|
164,498.7
|
106,575.7
|
99,840.5
|
6,735.2
|
26,804.1
|
4,358.0
|
424.5
|
21,532.8
|
488.7
|
31,064.3
|
28,599.0
|
2,465.3
|
54.6
|
|
2009-II
|
166,151.0
|
107,628.4
|
100,824.3
|
6,804.1
|
27,054.7
|
4,407.5
|
423.7
|
21,725.5
|
497.9
|
31,416.5
|
28,907.3
|
2,509.2
|
51.4
|
|
2009-III
|
167,300.3
|
108,451.1
|
101,641.4
|
6,809.7
|
27,078.4
|
4,283.1
|
430.4
|
21,867.4
|
497.5
|
31,722.4
|
29,254.1
|
2,468.3
|
48.4
|
|
2009-IV
|
169,593.4
|
110,217.8
|
103,307.0
|
6,910.9
|
27,240.0
|
4,320.9
|
435.6
|
21,989.0
|
494.5
|
32,090.7
|
29,593.4
|
2,497.4
|
44.9
|
|
2010-I
|
179,742.7
|
116,920.6
|
109,698.3
|
7,222.4
|
28,898.5
|
4,614.0
|
446.0
|
23,311.8
|
526.7
|
33,869.2
|
31,245.8
|
2,623.4
|
54.3
|
|
2010-II
|
181,505.3
|
118,072.7
|
110,778.4
|
7,294.3
|
29,173.9
|
4,665.9
|
445.3
|
23,525.7
|
536.9
|
34,207.5
|
31,543.5
|
2,664.0
|
51.2
|
|
2010-III
|
182,779.9
|
119,026.1
|
111,725.1
|
7,301.1
|
29,210.4
|
4,533.5
|
452.3
|
23,687.7
|
536.9
|
34,495.3
|
31,882.8
|
2,612.5
|
48.1
|
|
2010-IV
|
185,396.7
|
121,078.6
|
113,666.9
|
7,411.7
|
29,396.5
|
4,574.6
|
458.0
|
23,829.7
|
534.2
|
34,876.9
|
32,239.0
|
2,637.9
|
44.6
|
|
2011-I
|
196,176.5
|
128,320.0
|
120,584.2
|
7,735.8
|
31,108.7
|
4,870.8
|
467.6
|
25,203.5
|
566.8
|
36,693.8
|
33,940.7
|
2,753.1
|
54.1
|
|
2011-II
|
198,122.7
|
129,643.3
|
121,820.3
|
7,823.0
|
31,413.4
|
4,926.4
|
467.0
|
25,445.5
|
574.5
|
37,015.1
|
34,224.2
|
2,790.8
|
50.9
|
|
2011-III
|
199,499.0
|
130,700.7
|
122,871.0
|
7,829.8
|
31,466.7
|
4,787.3
|
474.3
|
25,633.8
|
571.3
|
37,283.7
|
34,551.1
|
2,732.5
|
47.9
|
|
2011-IV
|
202,387.9
|
133,013.6
|
125,059.7
|
7,953.9
|
31,681.6
|
4,833.1
|
480.6
|
25,802.7
|
565.3
|
37,648.2
|
34,893.5
|
2,754.7
|
44.4
|
|
2012-I
|
212,988.4
|
139,798.8
|
131,582.5
|
8,216.2
|
33,255.3
|
5,102.0
|
486.3
|
27,074.9
|
592.2
|
39,880.5
|
36,938.4
|
2,942.1
|
53.8
|
|
2012-II
|
215,141.1
|
141,344.9
|
133,031.5
|
8,313.4
|
33,601.3
|
5,161.6
|
486.0
|
27,354.3
|
599.4
|
40,144.2
|
37,163.6
|
2,980.6
|
50.6
|
|
2012-III
|
216,692.5
|
142,600.1
|
134,278.5
|
8,321.6
|
33,684.4
|
5,016.2
|
493.7
|
27,579.5
|
594.9
|
40,360.3
|
37,440.8
|
2,919.6
|
47.6
|
|
2012-IV
|
219,936.4
|
145,269.8
|
136,810.2
|
8,459.6
|
33,943.9
|
5,067.5
|
500.5
|
27,788.3
|
587.6
|
40,678.4
|
37,736.4
|
2,942.1
|
44.2
|
|
2013-I
|
229,549.4
|
151,575.4
|
142,909.5
|
8,665.9
|
35,377.2
|
5,307.3
|
502.3
|
28,957.9
|
609.8
|
42,543.2
|
39,447.8
|
3,095.4
|
53.5
|
|
2013-II
|
231,829.9
|
153,243.7
|
144,475.7
|
8,768.0
|
35,759.4
|
5,370.8
|
502.4
|
29,269.7
|
616.6
|
42,776.4
|
39,641.0
|
3,135.3
|
50.4
|
|
2013-III
|
233,491.6
|
154,610.9
|
145,837.5
|
8,773.4
|
35,868.3
|
5,219.6
|
510.4
|
29,527.2
|
611.1
|
42,965.0
|
39,894.2
|
3,070.8
|
47.4
|
|
2013-IV
|
237,062.7
|
157,585.5
|
148,664.4
|
8,921.1
|
36,167.8
|
5,277.0
|
517.9
|
29,770.2
|
602.6
|
43,265.4
|
40,171.3
|
3,094.1
|
44.0
|
|
2014-I
|
247,453.9
|
164,389.9
|
155,261.7
|
9,128.3
|
37,707.7
|
5,524.7
|
519.4
|
31,038.6
|
625.0
|
45,303.0
|
42,036.1
|
3,266.9
|
53.3
|
|
2014-II
|
249,874.0
|
166,146.1
|
156,912.1
|
9,234.1
|
38,125.7
|
5,592.7
|
519.8
|
31,380.6
|
632.7
|
45,551.9
|
42,241.8
|
3,310.2
|
50.2
|
|
2014-III
|
251,655.9
|
167,595.5
|
158,359.4
|
9,236.1
|
38,260.3
|
5,436.5
|
528.2
|
31,668.0
|
627.5
|
45,752.9
|
42,510.4
|
3,242.4
|
47.2
|
|
2014-IV
|
255,569.4
|
170,854.7
|
161,461.2
|
9,393.5
|
38,599.5
|
5,501.1
|
536.5
|
31,942.5
|
619.4
|
46,071.5
|
42,803.8
|
3,267.6
|
43.8
|
1Less than $50,000. |
Sources:
Note: Estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report high cost set of assumptions.