Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
|
Year
|
15-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
30-34
|
35-39
|
40-44
|
45-49
|
50-54
|
55-59
|
60-64
|
65-NRA 1
|
Total
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Male
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
3,700.4
|
10,223.0
|
10,197.9
|
9,312.2
|
7,118.6
|
5,788.4
|
5,247.3
|
5,338.1
|
5,212.9
|
4,567.5
|
...
|
66,706.3
|
|
1985
|
2,324.7
|
9,402.1
|
10,871.9
|
10,231.5
|
9,229.1
|
7,026.6
|
5,680.0
|
5,073.7
|
5,050.2
|
4,844.8
|
...
|
69,734.6
|
|
1990
|
2,568.3
|
8,652.8
|
10,721.9
|
11,052.2
|
10,176.5
|
9,128.0
|
6,885.5
|
5,518.2
|
4,851.0
|
4,783.2
|
...
|
74,337.6
|
|
1995
|
2,077.9
|
7,680.2
|
9,685.0
|
10,928.3
|
11,120.8
|
10,111.5
|
8,966.3
|
6,694.2
|
5,284.9
|
4,631.3
|
...
|
77,180.4
|
|
1996
|
2,177.4
|
7,544.4
|
9,633.7
|
10,660.4
|
11,200.9
|
10,350.3
|
9,066.7
|
7,216.4
|
5,485.4
|
4,626.6
|
...
|
77,962.2
|
|
1997
|
2,255.0
|
7,588.6
|
9,533.3
|
10,362.7
|
11,216.3
|
10,608.3
|
9,201.8
|
7,567.0
|
5,801.5
|
4,747.7
|
...
|
78,882.2
|
|
1998
|
2,387.1
|
7,707.0
|
9,373.8
|
10,099.8
|
11,263.9
|
10,771.8
|
9,443.6
|
7,899.1
|
6,056.5
|
4,874.0
|
...
|
79,876.6
|
|
1999
|
2,503.4
|
7,860.0
|
9,175.4
|
9,944.5
|
11,195.9
|
10,940.0
|
9,711.5
|
8,297.5
|
6,292.3
|
4,934.9
|
...
|
80,855.4
|
|
2000
|
2,536.5
|
8,135.7
|
8,926.4
|
10,023.7
|
11,036.4
|
11,087.1
|
9,971.4
|
8,723.7
|
6,487.3
|
5,067.3
|
...
|
81,995.5
|
|
2001
|
2,474.5
|
8,348.3
|
8,784.0
|
9,988.5
|
10,805.4
|
11,187.1
|
10,207.6
|
8,869.9
|
6,898.7
|
5,287.3
|
...
|
82,851.3
|
|
2002
|
2,250.3
|
8,500.6
|
8,793.1
|
9,909.5
|
10,532.3
|
11,228.3
|
10,436.8
|
9,022.1
|
7,247.7
|
5,539.1
|
...
|
83,459.8
|
|
2003
|
2,218.7
|
8,544.9
|
8,907.8
|
9,767.6
|
10,314.2
|
11,243.5
|
10,645.0
|
9,223.3
|
7,609.2
|
5,794.1
|
166.0
|
84,434.3
|
|
2004
|
2,209.6
|
8,488.7
|
9,106.1
|
9,537.2
|
10,182.0
|
11,199.9
|
10,821.1
|
9,473.9
|
8,003.6
|
5,992.9
|
338.9
|
85,353.9
|
|
2005
|
2,223.6
|
8,360.2
|
9,349.6
|
9,296.6
|
10,147.0
|
11,055.3
|
10,961.5
|
9,742.8
|
8,362.1
|
6,250.8
|
522.5
|
86,272.0
|
|
2006
|
2,274.9
|
8,228.9
|
9,584.5
|
9,146.6
|
10,136.2
|
10,827.2
|
11,064.3
|
10,010.9
|
8,572.4
|
6,574.2
|
738.1
|
87,158.2
|
|
2007
|
2,339.9
|
8,148.6
|
9,742.6
|
9,133.8
|
10,068.1
|
10,566.3
|
11,114.5
|
10,254.4
|
8,729.5
|
6,929.9
|
982.0
|
88,009.6
|
|
2008
|
2,411.7
|
8,136.7
|
9,798.5
|
9,229.3
|
9,920.6
|
10,335.8
|
11,134.2
|
10,457.2
|
8,936.9
|
7,287.0
|
1,211.8
|
88,859.7
|
|
2009
|
2,463.6
|
8,195.1
|
9,741.7
|
9,403.3
|
9,690.6
|
10,191.3
|
11,093.4
|
10,628.7
|
9,197.3
|
7,670.4
|
1,221.5
|
89,496.9
|
|
2010
|
2,473.2
|
8,316.7
|
9,627.7
|
9,627.9
|
9,447.9
|
10,145.2
|
10,954.2
|
10,769.6
|
9,466.8
|
8,014.3
|
1,279.5
|
90,123.0
|
|
2011
|
2,460.4
|
8,478.8
|
9,516.1
|
9,855.0
|
9,299.2
|
10,134.8
|
10,728.4
|
10,870.1
|
9,730.3
|
8,194.1
|
1,424.3
|
90,691.5
|
|
2012
|
2,443.1
|
8,652.6
|
9,442.7
|
10,025.3
|
9,311.9
|
10,082.0
|
10,473.0
|
10,920.3
|
9,966.0
|
8,348.3
|
1,528.3
|
91,193.5
|
|
2013
|
2,432.1
|
8,765.6
|
9,448.1
|
10,111.7
|
9,446.0
|
9,952.7
|
10,247.7
|
10,940.1
|
10,165.4
|
8,539.0
|
1,542.4
|
91,590.8
|
|
2014
|
2,419.5
|
8,794.7
|
9,557.1
|
10,129.3
|
9,645.4
|
9,756.8
|
10,105.1
|
10,905.1
|
10,337.4
|
8,784.3
|
1,576.7
|
92,011.4
|
|
Female
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
2,857.7
|
8,930.9
|
9,071.3
|
7,889.1
|
5,665.6
|
4,452.4
|
3,963.4
|
4,064.8
|
4,056.8
|
3,676.2
|
...
|
54,628.2
|
|
1985
|
1,976.3
|
8,324.1
|
9,901.3
|
9,065.4
|
7,882.9
|
5,750.1
|
4,533.0
|
3,970.5
|
3,967.5
|
3,993.5
|
...
|
59,364.6
|
|
1990
|
2,237.1
|
7,796.0
|
9,736.2
|
10,049.6
|
9,135.7
|
8,018.3
|
5,827.3
|
4,536.8
|
3,903.6
|
3,945.0
|
...
|
65,185.6
|
|
1995
|
1,904.7
|
7,130.4
|
8,915.3
|
9,920.1
|
10,139.0
|
9,217.1
|
8,060.6
|
5,811.5
|
4,456.0
|
3,882.4
|
...
|
69,437.1
|
|
1996
|
2,048.2
|
7,041.1
|
8,920.5
|
9,694.8
|
10,237.9
|
9,449.3
|
8,245.3
|
6,315.1
|
4,679.0
|
3,918.2
|
...
|
70,549.4
|
|
1997
|
2,122.1
|
7,135.9
|
8,898.4
|
9,461.3
|
10,276.6
|
9,704.4
|
8,439.5
|
6,695.8
|
4,987.8
|
4,072.5
|
...
|
71,794.3
|
|
1998
|
2,253.5
|
7,311.4
|
8,794.9
|
9,272.0
|
10,332.5
|
9,888.7
|
8,702.2
|
7,075.8
|
5,265.8
|
4,219.0
|
...
|
73,115.8
|
|
1999
|
2,356.2
|
7,538.7
|
8,668.4
|
9,177.7
|
10,293.2
|
10,081.2
|
8,971.4
|
7,513.9
|
5,516.2
|
4,310.0
|
...
|
74,426.9
|
|
2000
|
2,393.6
|
7,752.7
|
8,444.2
|
9,180.5
|
10,125.5
|
10,241.1
|
9,241.1
|
7,976.5
|
5,723.1
|
4,472.8
|
...
|
75,551.1
|
|
2001
|
2,353.5
|
7,957.8
|
8,367.4
|
9,211.7
|
9,900.2
|
10,365.6
|
9,493.6
|
8,198.8
|
6,138.6
|
4,708.5
|
...
|
76,695.7
|
|
2002
|
2,158.2
|
8,102.7
|
8,387.7
|
9,210.2
|
9,658.0
|
10,427.9
|
9,737.0
|
8,415.7
|
6,530.2
|
4,970.1
|
...
|
77,597.7
|
|
2003
|
2,064.0
|
7,933.2
|
8,400.6
|
9,106.9
|
9,459.6
|
10,457.7
|
9,943.1
|
8,645.5
|
6,924.1
|
5,275.0
|
155.7
|
78,365.4
|
|
2004
|
2,075.5
|
7,877.9
|
8,581.7
|
8,938.2
|
9,349.9
|
10,425.3
|
10,132.3
|
8,918.5
|
7,347.7
|
5,492.1
|
319.5
|
79,458.6
|
|
2005
|
2,092.9
|
7,778.2
|
8,805.6
|
8,758.0
|
9,352.7
|
10,273.0
|
10,308.1
|
9,196.0
|
7,750.2
|
5,731.1
|
492.9
|
80,538.7
|
|
2006
|
2,138.6
|
7,697.3
|
9,013.8
|
8,631.9
|
9,399.5
|
10,038.1
|
10,438.4
|
9,465.9
|
8,025.6
|
6,057.6
|
694.9
|
81,601.6
|
|
2007
|
2,196.1
|
7,691.2
|
9,129.3
|
8,631.8
|
9,397.0
|
9,800.6
|
10,496.6
|
9,719.6
|
8,242.1
|
6,433.2
|
922.3
|
82,659.8
|
|
2008
|
2,262.0
|
7,748.6
|
9,151.8
|
8,740.4
|
9,297.7
|
9,595.0
|
10,532.6
|
9,934.4
|
8,500.1
|
6,803.1
|
1,137.8
|
83,703.5
|
|
2009
|
2,313.4
|
7,842.3
|
9,098.0
|
8,929.4
|
9,133.6
|
9,480.8
|
10,506.8
|
10,132.3
|
8,798.0
|
7,199.4
|
1,148.4
|
84,582.4
|
|
2010
|
2,325.4
|
7,967.5
|
9,018.3
|
9,155.3
|
8,949.0
|
9,486.2
|
10,359.5
|
10,314.5
|
9,090.0
|
7,576.2
|
1,206.1
|
85,448.0
|
|
2011
|
2,314.0
|
8,121.0
|
8,963.1
|
9,357.9
|
8,843.4
|
9,538.2
|
10,129.1
|
10,450.7
|
9,365.6
|
7,839.8
|
1,349.4
|
86,272.2
|
|
2012
|
2,296.5
|
8,284.8
|
8,966.5
|
9,483.9
|
8,845.4
|
9,538.3
|
9,890.1
|
10,518.4
|
9,624.2
|
8,048.1
|
1,463.1
|
86,959.3
|
|
2013
|
2,285.0
|
8,392.1
|
9,038.4
|
9,534.1
|
8,967.3
|
9,447.8
|
9,688.9
|
10,559.6
|
9,849.4
|
8,302.9
|
1,490.3
|
87,555.8
|
|
2014
|
2,274.4
|
8,421.9
|
9,188.9
|
9,550.7
|
9,161.1
|
9,282.4
|
9,575.5
|
10,536.9
|
10,054.9
|
8,564.1
|
1,529.6
|
88,140.4
|
|
Total
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
6,558.1
|
19,153.9
|
19,269.2
|
17,201.3
|
12,784.2
|
10,240.8
|
9,210.7
|
9,402.9
|
9,269.7
|
8,243.7
|
...
|
121,334.5
|
|
1985
|
4,301.0
|
17,726.2
|
20,773.2
|
19,296.9
|
17,112.0
|
12,776.7
|
10,213.0
|
9,044.2
|
9,017.7
|
8,838.3
|
...
|
129,099.2
|
|
1990
|
4,805.4
|
16,448.8
|
20,458.1
|
21,101.8
|
19,312.2
|
17,146.3
|
12,712.8
|
10,055.0
|
8,754.6
|
8,728.2
|
...
|
139,523.2
|
|
1995
|
3,982.6
|
14,810.6
|
18,600.3
|
20,848.4
|
21,259.8
|
19,328.6
|
17,026.9
|
12,505.7
|
9,740.9
|
8,513.7
|
...
|
146,617.5
|
|
1996
|
4,225.6
|
14,585.5
|
18,554.2
|
20,355.2
|
21,438.8
|
19,799.6
|
17,312.0
|
13,531.5
|
10,164.4
|
8,544.8
|
...
|
148,511.6
|
|
1997
|
4,377.1
|
14,724.5
|
18,431.7
|
19,824.0
|
21,492.9
|
20,312.7
|
17,641.3
|
14,262.8
|
10,789.3
|
8,820.2
|
...
|
150,676.5
|
|
1998
|
4,640.6
|
15,018.4
|
18,168.7
|
19,371.8
|
21,596.4
|
20,660.5
|
18,145.8
|
14,974.9
|
11,322.3
|
9,093.0
|
...
|
152,992.4
|
|
1999
|
4,859.6
|
15,398.7
|
17,843.8
|
19,122.2
|
21,489.1
|
21,021.2
|
18,682.9
|
15,811.4
|
11,808.5
|
9,244.9
|
...
|
155,282.3
|
|
2000
|
4,930.1
|
15,888.4
|
17,370.6
|
19,204.2
|
21,161.9
|
21,328.2
|
19,212.5
|
16,700.2
|
12,210.4
|
9,540.1
|
...
|
157,546.6
|
|
2001
|
4,828.0
|
16,306.1
|
17,151.4
|
19,200.2
|
20,705.6
|
21,552.7
|
19,701.2
|
17,068.7
|
13,037.3
|
9,995.8
|
...
|
159,547.0
|
|
2002
|
4,408.5
|
16,603.3
|
17,180.8
|
19,119.7
|
20,190.3
|
21,656.2
|
20,173.8
|
17,437.8
|
13,777.9
|
10,509.2
|
...
|
161,057.5
|
|
2003
|
4,282.7
|
16,478.1
|
17,308.4
|
18,874.5
|
19,773.8
|
21,701.2
|
20,588.1
|
17,868.8
|
14,533.3
|
11,069.1
|
321.7
|
162,799.7
|
|
2004
|
4,285.1
|
16,366.6
|
17,687.8
|
18,475.4
|
19,531.9
|
21,625.2
|
20,953.4
|
18,392.4
|
15,351.3
|
11,485.0
|
658.4
|
164,812.5
|
|
2005
|
4,316.5
|
16,138.4
|
18,155.2
|
18,054.6
|
19,499.7
|
21,328.3
|
21,269.6
|
18,938.8
|
16,112.3
|
11,981.9
|
1,015.4
|
166,810.7
|
|
2006
|
4,413.5
|
15,926.2
|
18,598.3
|
17,778.5
|
19,535.7
|
20,865.3
|
21,502.7
|
19,476.8
|
16,598.0
|
12,631.8
|
1,433.1
|
168,759.9
|
|
2007
|
4,536.0
|
15,839.8
|
18,871.9
|
17,765.6
|
19,465.1
|
20,366.9
|
21,611.1
|
19,974.0
|
16,971.6
|
13,363.1
|
1,904.3
|
170,669.4
|
|
2008
|
4,673.7
|
15,885.3
|
18,950.3
|
17,969.7
|
19,218.3
|
19,930.8
|
21,666.8
|
20,391.6
|
17,437.0
|
14,090.1
|
2,349.6
|
172,563.2
|
|
2009
|
4,777.0
|
16,037.4
|
18,839.7
|
18,332.7
|
18,824.2
|
19,672.1
|
21,600.2
|
20,761.0
|
17,995.3
|
14,869.8
|
2,369.9
|
174,079.3
|
|
2010
|
4,798.6
|
16,284.2
|
18,646.0
|
18,783.2
|
18,396.9
|
19,631.4
|
21,313.7
|
21,084.1
|
18,556.8
|
15,590.5
|
2,485.6
|
175,571.0
|
|
2011
|
4,774.4
|
16,599.8
|
18,479.2
|
19,212.9
|
18,142.6
|
19,673.0
|
20,857.5
|
21,320.8
|
19,095.9
|
16,033.9
|
2,773.7
|
176,963.7
|
|
2012
|
4,739.6
|
16,937.4
|
18,409.2
|
19,509.2
|
18,157.3
|
19,620.3
|
20,363.1
|
21,438.7
|
19,590.2
|
16,396.4
|
2,991.4
|
178,152.8
|
|
2013
|
4,717.1
|
17,157.7
|
18,486.5
|
19,645.8
|
18,413.3
|
19,400.5
|
19,936.6
|
21,499.7
|
20,014.8
|
16,841.9
|
3,032.7
|
179,146.6
|
|
2014
|
4,693.9
|
17,216.6
|
18,746.0
|
19,680.0
|
18,806.5
|
19,039.2
|
19,680.6
|
21,442.0
|
20,392.3
|
17,348.4
|
3,106.3
|
180,151.8
|
| 1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA." |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.