Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A4.—Labor Force Participation Rates
(By age and gender, calendar years 1980-2014)
[Percent]
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
 
Male
1980
73.20
87.00
94.70
96.20
96.00
95.10
93.30
89.30
81.90
61.00
...
1981
72.50
86.50
94.30
95.90
96.00
94.90
93.40
89.60
81.30
58.70
...
1982
69.70
86.00
94.20
95.60
95.90
94.70
92.80
89.70
81.90
57.20
...
1983
70.27
85.80
93.87
94.92
95.69
94.86
93.32
89.03
80.74
56.90
...
1984
69.82
86.06
93.90
95.16
95.72
95.14
93.31
88.94
80.22
56.02
...
1985
70.45
86.09
94.16
95.64
95.43
94.75
93.33
88.62
79.58
55.63
...
1986
69.86
86.86
94.40
95.19
95.22
94.45
92.90
88.93
79.04
54.88
...
1987
69.01
86.30
94.23
95.29
95.00
94.34
92.86
88.38
79.73
54.90
...
1988
69.60
86.09
93.99
95.00
94.87
94.28
93.03
88.42
79.33
54.34
...
1989
70.44
86.26
93.99
95.25
94.78
94.37
92.69
89.22
79.47
54.86
...
1990
68.39
85.39
93.96
94.73
94.89
93.99
92.28
88.87
79.88
55.58
...
1991
66.64
84.54
93.58
94.16
94.48
93.91
92.24
88.43
79.09
54.79
...
1992
67.08
84.24
93.36
94.58
94.20
93.32
92.13
88.95
78.99
54.71
...
1993
66.20
84.10
93.20
93.97
93.82
93.12
91.68
88.05
78.24
54.06
...
1994
66.06
83.90
92.21
93.27
92.96
92.74
91.01
86.73
76.94
52.74
...
1995
67.15
83.90
92.55
93.74
92.60
92.11
90.72
86.42
77.37
53.15
...
1996
66.10
83.29
93.14
93.55
92.87
92.05
90.80
86.94
77.86
54.28
...
1997
64.80
83.28
92.70
93.56
93.17
92.07
90.83
87.86
78.67
54.50
...
1998
65.20
82.74
92.96
93.73
93.14
92.26
90.82
87.28
78.40
55.41
...
1999
65.13
82.66
92.94
93.90
93.41
92.33
90.37
86.96
78.38
54.81
...
2000
65.86
83.30
92.73
94.30
93.34
92.18
90.20
86.80
77.05
56.61
...
2001
63.60
82.29
91.92
93.86
92.99
92.28
90.22
86.66
77.25
58.29
...
2002
61.98
81.41
91.62
93.52
92.82
91.68
90.19
86.56
78.01
57.61
...
2003
59.35
80.81
90.90
93.10
92.93
91.48
89.25
85.97
77.60
57.16
57.16
2004
59.32
80.55
90.68
92.96
92.90
91.36
89.44
85.41
77.76
56.70
56.70
2005
62.52
82.12
90.64
92.62
93.18
91.56
89.24
85.19
77.48
57.35
57.35
2006
63.86
82.78
91.50
92.75
93.12
91.27
89.29
85.09
77.55
57.95
57.95
2007
64.19
83.42
92.37
92.87
93.00
91.01
89.37
85.05
77.39
58.56
58.56
2008
64.28
83.52
92.50
92.80
93.08
91.09
89.54
85.01
77.29
59.18
59.18
2009
64.28
83.50
92.48
92.67
93.00
90.99
89.61
84.88
77.12
59.01
59.01
2010
64.25
83.48
92.48
92.54
92.90
90.96
89.67
84.78
76.88
58.97
58.97
2011
64.21
83.46
92.49
92.44
92.76
90.98
89.63
84.73
76.63
58.94
58.94
2012
64.19
83.45
92.49
92.38
92.59
90.93
89.60
84.72
76.50
58.77
58.77
2013
64.19
83.45
92.55
92.47
92.46
90.96
89.58
84.69
76.24
58.21
58.21
2014
64.18
83.45
92.63
92.58
92.43
91.01
89.55
84.71
75.86
57.53
57.53
 
Female
1980
62.30
69.20
66.80
64.10
64.90
66.10
62.10
57.80
48.60
33.30
...
1981
61.30
69.80
67.70
65.90
66.40
67.40
64.20
58.20
49.40
32.70
...
1982
61.40
70.10
69.10
66.90
67.40
68.60
65.30
58.00
49.60
33.40
...
1983
60.94
70.16
69.97
68.09
68.24
69.27
65.33
58.53
48.78
33.80
...
1984
61.98
70.69
70.54
69.16
70.20
70.06
66.25
59.38
49.84
33.37
...
1985
61.93
72.09
71.52
70.40
71.71
71.84
67.76
60.84
50.32
33.41
...
1986
62.47
72.64
72.46
71.01
73.03
73.22
69.53
62.03
51.34
33.18
...
1987
62.44
73.27
73.42
71.61
73.98
75.14
70.66
63.15
52.17
33.16
...
1988
63.09
72.97
73.72
71.98
74.56
75.88
72.55
64.79
53.29
33.81
...
1989
62.67
72.65
74.08
73.17
74.99
77.15
74.34
65.90
54.79
35.63
...
1990
60.45
71.55
73.74
73.43
75.46
77.47
74.72
66.88
55.29
35.51
...
1991
59.63
70.35
73.36
73.06
75.56
77.63
75.35
67.80
55.67
35.10
...
1992
58.92
71.12
74.26
73.73
75.54
78.06
75.75
68.68
56.77
36.43
...
1993
60.37
71.14
73.69
73.35
75.35
77.93
76.42
69.80
57.09
37.03
...
1994
60.26
71.26
74.46
73.76
76.00
78.29
77.64
70.66
59.18
37.81
...
1995
61.74
70.56
74.97
75.08
76.35
78.12
77.24
70.74
59.49
38.00
...
1996
60.15
71.54
75.94
74.76
76.54
78.63
78.03
71.87
59.80
38.16
...
1997
61.41
72.91
77.43
74.94
76.63
78.94
78.08
73.51
60.73
39.50
...
1998
62.79
73.21
77.40
75.46
75.57
78.64
78.81
73.01
61.28
39.13
...
1999
61.12
73.45
77.00
75.97
76.20
78.26
78.93
74.03
61.83
38.83
...
2000
61.52
73.25
76.84
75.56
75.71
78.74
79.12
74.15
61.37
40.68
...
2001
59.38
72.97
75.86
75.45
76.09
78.11
78.46
74.14
61.70
43.54
...
2002
58.77
72.33
75.78
74.71
75.29
77.53
77.79
73.99
63.81
44.07
...
2003
56.54
70.94
74.48
73.92
74.47
77.41
78.56
74.72
65.46
45.33
45.33
2004
56.08
69.80
73.11
74.23
74.37
76.78
78.37
75.00
64.74
45.55
45.55
2005
57.41
69.39
74.29
75.52
74.78
77.22
78.21
74.97
64.46
45.77
45.77
2006
58.79
70.73
76.15
75.27
75.16
77.05
77.73
74.24
63.98
44.59
44.59
2007
59.12
71.85
77.94
74.49
75.52
76.78
77.12
73.65
63.94
44.18
44.18
2008
59.17
72.16
77.92
73.92
75.59
76.64
76.97
73.82
63.87
42.75
42.75
2009
59.09
72.73
77.65
73.53
75.82
76.45
76.91
73.84
63.81
42.40
42.40
2010
59.03
73.12
77.61
74.07
75.97
76.44
76.85
73.58
63.69
41.70
41.70
2011
58.98
73.22
77.83
75.50
75.78
76.67
76.84
73.26
63.51
41.63
41.63
2012
58.94
73.23
78.22
76.65
75.11
76.83
76.67
72.93
63.31
41.53
41.53
2013
58.92
73.29
78.62
77.36
74.58
77.10
76.62
72.75
63.07
41.48
41.48
2014
58.92
73.36
79.01
77.61
74.56
77.39
76.66
72.76
62.82
41.40
41.40

1Participation in the labor force for ages 65-NRA is assumed to be the same as that of ages 60-64. See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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