Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.D12.—DI Current-Payment Benefits to Disabled Workers
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[Numbers in thousands, amounts in millions]
Calendar
period
Male disabled workers
Female disabled workers
Total disabled workers
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
1980
1,931.4
$405.43
11.243
$8,804.1
931.4
$296.07
11.236
$3,098.4
2,862.8
$369.85
11.241
$11,902.5
1981
1,911.5
454.21
11.361
9,863.7
924.0
329.48
11.368
3,460.6
2,835.5
413.57
11.363
13,324.4
1982
1,823.8
487.46
11.510
10,232.6
889.4
351.39
11.515
3,598.8
2,713.2
442.86
11.511
13,831.4
1983
1,740.9
485.48
11.954
10,103.3
850.5
348.59
11.965
3,547.2
2,591.4
440.55
11.957
13,650.5
1984
1,730.1
501.63
12.038
10,447.2
836.8
359.14
12.057
3,623.4
2,566.9
455.18
12.043
14,070.6
1985
1,768.0
518.31
11.986
10,983.3
860.6
370.40
11.985
3,820.5
2,628.6
469.88
11.986
14,803.7
1986
1,807.4
532.76
11.982
11,537.6
888.0
379.88
11.972
4,038.5
2,695.4
482.40
11.979
15,576.0
1987
1,841.2
539.18
11.992
11,904.8
914.1
383.73
11.987
4,204.7
2,755.3
487.61
11.991
16,109.5
1988
1,866.8
563.21
11.992
12,609.0
940.5
400.06
11.988
4,510.3
2,807.3
508.55
11.991
17,119.3
1989
1,888.8
587.72
11.997
13,317.7
968.4
417.30
11.990
4,845.6
2,857.2
529.96
11.995
18,163.3
1990
1,932.8
617.60
11.989
14,312.0
1,014.0
438.92
11.978
5,331.1
2,946.8
556.12
11.986
19,643.1
1991
2,012.4
652.51
11.980
15,730.2
1,081.5
465.30
11.972
6,024.6
3,093.9
587.07
11.977
21,754.8
1992
2,146.0
676.43
11.957
17,357.1
1,188.3
484.43
11.944
6,875.3
3,334.3
608.01
11.953
24,232.4
1993
2,288.1
696.07
11.975
19,072.6
1,306.5
500.70
11.966
7,827.8
3,594.6
625.06
11.973
26,900.3
1994
2,415.4
715.06
11.980
20,690.8
1,427.7
517.04
11.968
8,834.7
3,843.1
641.50
11.976
29,525.5
1995
2,515.8
739.36
11.998
22,316.8
1,551.0
537.04
11.976
9,975.3
4,066.8
662.20
11.991
32,292.0
1996
2,611.1
762.55
11.974
23,840.8
1,681.9
556.94
11.951
11,194.5
4,293.0
682.00
11.966
35,035.3
1997
2,635.5
790.65
12.006
25,018.6
1,787.6
579.05
11.971
12,391.7
4,423.2
705.13
11.995
37,410.3
1998
2,699.1
809.97
11.996
26,224.8
1,897.7
596.62
11.980
13,563.7
4,596.8
721.89
11.990
39,788.4
1999
2,766.3
823.61
12.000
27,340.2
2,016.6
610.48
11.983
14,752.5
4,782.9
733.75
11.994
42,092.7
2000
2,828.1
848.30
11.992
28,769.6
2,131.4
632.82
11.977
16,154.5
4,959.5
755.70
11.986
44,924.0
2001
2,894.1
885.45
11.996
30,740.9
2,245.1
665.01
11.978
17,883.5
5,139.3
789.15
11.989
48,624.4
2002
3,006.3
916.97
11.985
33,039.3
2,394.6
692.53
11.971
19,852.4
5,400.9
817.46
11.980
52,891.7
2003
3,159.0
940.53
11.959
35,531.8
2,570.9
713.18
11.948
21,907.8
5,730.0
838.52
11.955
57,439.6
2004
3,315.3
970.76
11.935
38,410.5
2,747.6
739.01
11.934
24,231.5
6,062.8
865.74
11.934
62,642.0
2005-I
3,384.7
1,001.97
3.000
10,174.1
2,838.1
765.18
3.000
6,514.9
6,222.8
893.98
3.000
16,689.0
2005-II
3,418.2
1,002.06
3.000
10,275.7
2,879.0
766.28
3.000
6,618.3
6,297.2
894.27
3.000
16,894.0
2005-III
3,452.7
1,003.96
3.000
10,399.0
2,920.5
768.52
3.000
6,733.4
6,373.2
896.07
3.000
17,132.4
2005-IV
3,485.3
1,006.02
3.000
10,518.9
2,960.5
770.89
3.000
6,846.6
6,445.8
898.03
3.000
17,365.6
2006-I
3,514.5
1,027.57
3.000
10,834.3
2,997.3
788.24
3.000
7,087.9
6,511.9
917.41
3.000
17,922.2
2006-II
3,544.1
1,027.93
3.000
10,929.1
3,034.8
789.61
3.000
7,188.9
6,578.8
917.99
3.000
18,118.0
2006-III
3,574.6
1,029.58
3.000
11,041.0
3,072.9
791.66
3.000
7,298.0
6,647.5
919.60
3.000
18,339.0
2006-IV
3,603.5
1,031.90
3.000
11,155.3
3,109.5
794.19
3.000
7,408.5
6,712.9
921.79
3.000
18,563.8
2007-I
3,629.3
1,056.80
3.000
11,506.4
3,143.5
814.11
3.000
7,677.4
6,772.8
944.16
3.000
19,183.8
2007-II
3,656.4
1,057.14
3.000
11,596.0
3,179.0
815.41
3.000
7,776.5
6,835.4
944.72
3.000
19,372.5
2007-III
3,684.5
1,058.86
3.000
11,704.2
3,215.3
817.45
3.000
7,884.9
6,899.8
946.37
3.000
19,589.2
2007-IV
3,711.0
1,061.21
3.000
11,814.3
3,250.0
819.97
3.000
7,994.6
6,960.9
948.58
3.000
19,808.9
2008-I
3,734.9
1,092.01
3.000
12,235.8
3,282.4
844.50
3.000
8,315.9
7,017.3
976.24
3.000
20,551.7
2008-II
3,761.2
1,092.50
3.000
12,327.2
3,316.9
845.90
3.000
8,417.4
7,078.1
976.94
3.000
20,744.6
2008-III
3,788.5
1,094.48
3.000
12,439.3
3,352.3
848.14
3.000
8,529.6
7,140.8
978.83
3.000
20,968.9
2008-IV
3,814.1
1,097.05
3.000
12,552.7
3,386.0
850.83
3.000
8,642.8
7,200.1
981.26
3.000
21,195.5
2009-I
3,835.9
1,129.98
3.000
13,003.4
3,416.3
877.16
3.000
8,989.9
7,252.2
1,010.89
3.000
21,993.3
2009-II
3,857.5
1,130.56
3.000
13,083.5
3,446.5
878.76
3.000
9,085.9
7,304.0
1,011.75
3.000
22,169.4
2009-III
3,880.4
1,132.79
3.000
13,187.0
3,477.6
881.29
3.000
9,194.4
7,358.0
1,013.92
3.000
22,381.4
2009-IV
3,901.5
1,135.30
3.000
13,288.0
3,507.1
884.08
3.000
9,301.7
7,408.6
1,016.38
3.000
22,589.7
2010-I
3,919.7
1,168.93
3.000
13,745.7
3,534.0
911.14
3.000
9,660.0
7,453.8
1,046.71
3.000
23,405.7
2010-II
3,940.1
1,169.73
3.000
13,826.5
3,562.9
912.88
3.000
9,757.6
7,503.0
1,047.76
3.000
23,584.1
2010-III
3,961.7
1,172.29
3.000
13,932.8
3,592.8
915.61
3.000
9,868.7
7,554.5
1,050.22
3.000
23,801.5
2010-IV
3,981.5
1,176.24
3.000
14,049.8
3,621.0
919.44
3.000
9,987.8
7,602.5
1,053.93
3.000
24,037.6
2011-I
3,998.7
1,213.59
3.000
14,558.3
3,646.8
949.39
3.000
10,386.7
7,645.5
1,087.57
3.000
24,945.0
2011-II
4,018.2
1,214.76
3.000
14,643.5
3,675.1
951.32
3.000
10,488.5
7,693.3
1,088.92
3.000
25,132.0
2011-III
4,039.0
1,217.71
3.000
14,754.9
3,704.3
954.26
3.000
10,604.5
7,743.3
1,091.68
3.000
25,359.4
2011-IV
4,058.0
1,221.96
3.000
14,876.1
3,731.8
958.24
3.000
10,728.0
7,789.8
1,095.62
3.000
25,604.1
2012-I
4,072.8
1,260.71
3.000
15,404.1
3,755.7
989.36
3.000
11,147.2
7,828.5
1,130.53
3.000
26,551.3
2012-II
4,087.0
1,262.04
3.000
15,474.0
3,779.2
991.51
3.000
11,241.4
7,866.3
1,132.07
3.000
26,715.4
2012-III
4,102.6
1,265.24
3.000
15,572.1
3,803.8
994.73
3.000
11,351.3
7,906.4
1,135.10
3.000
26,923.5
2012-IV
4,116.3
1,269.69
3.000
15,679.4
3,826.8
998.99
3.000
11,468.7
7,943.1
1,139.28
3.000
27,148.1
2013-I
4,126.6
1,309.87
3.000
16,215.7
3,846.5
1,031.45
3.000
11,902.3
7,973.0
1,175.55
3.000
28,118.0
2013-II
4,137.3
1,311.24
3.000
16,275.1
3,866.8
1,033.74
3.000
11,991.9
8,004.2
1,177.18
3.000
28,267.0
2013-III
4,149.5
1,314.62
3.000
16,365.1
3,888.3
1,037.19
3.000
12,098.8
8,037.8
1,180.41
3.000
28,463.9
2013-IV
4,160.0
1,319.34
3.000
16,465.2
3,908.1
1,041.77
3.000
12,214.1
8,068.1
1,184.88
3.000
28,679.3
2014-I
4,168.4
1,361.25
3.000
17,022.6
3,926.0
1,075.77
3.000
12,670.3
8,094.3
1,222.79
3.000
29,692.9
2014-II
4,180.4
1,362.79
3.000
17,090.9
3,947.0
1,078.20
3.000
12,767.0
8,127.4
1,224.58
3.000
29,857.9
2014-III
4,193.8
1,366.40
3.000
17,191.0
3,969.2
1,081.82
3.000
12,881.9
8,163.0
1,228.02
3.000
30,072.9
2014-IV
4,205.4
1,371.36
3.000
17,301.3
3,989.7
1,086.59
3.000
13,005.6
8,195.1
1,232.73
3.000
30,306.9

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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