Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Calendar
period |
Young wives of disabled workers
|
Young husbands of disabled workers 1
|
Young spouses of disabled workers
|
|||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In current-payment
status at midpoint of period |
Total
current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment
status at midpoint of period |
Total
current-payment benefits during period |
In current-payment
status at midpoint of period |
Total
current-payment benefits during period |
|||||||
Number
|
Average
benefit |
Rate
|
Amount
|
Number
|
Average
benefit |
Rate
|
Amount
|
Number
|
Average
benefit |
Rate
|
Amount
|
|
1980
|
390.9
|
$107.68
|
11.247
|
$473.4
|
...
|
...
|
...
|
2/
|
390.9
|
$107.68
|
11.247
|
$473.4
|
1981
|
373.9
|
118.91
|
11.367
|
505.4
|
3/
|
$74.50
|
26.846
|
373.9
|
118.91
|
11.367
|
505.4
|
|
1982
|
320.9
|
126.72
|
11.567
|
470.4
|
7.00
|
...
|
320.9
|
126.72
|
11.567
|
470.4
|
||
1983
|
281.6
|
124.72
|
11.366
|
399.2
|
37.60
|
207.447
|
281.6
|
124.72
|
11.367
|
399.3
|
||
1984
|
225.4
|
119.54
|
12.141
|
327.1
|
2.9
|
73.27
|
11.607
|
$2.5
|
228.3
|
118.95
|
12.137
|
329.6
|
1985
|
225.6
|
120.51
|
12.074
|
328.2
|
3.6
|
74.77
|
11.960
|
3.2
|
229.1
|
119.80
|
12.073
|
331.4
|
1986
|
224.4
|
120.20
|
12.082
|
326.0
|
4.2
|
74.74
|
12.004
|
3.8
|
228.6
|
119.37
|
12.081
|
329.7
|
1987
|
215.9
|
118.04
|
12.119
|
308.9
|
4.6
|
75.97
|
11.957
|
4.2
|
220.5
|
117.16
|
12.116
|
313.1
|
1988
|
208.3
|
120.25
|
12.081
|
302.6
|
4.9
|
77.86
|
11.989
|
4.6
|
213.2
|
119.27
|
12.080
|
307.2
|
1989
|
201.2
|
123.34
|
12.058
|
299.2
|
5.0
|
81.55
|
11.985
|
4.9
|
206.2
|
122.33
|
12.057
|
304.1
|
1990
|
197.6
|
127.00
|
12.041
|
302.1
|
5.0
|
86.05
|
12.042
|
5.2
|
202.6
|
125.98
|
12.041
|
307.3
|
1991
|
197.2
|
131.84
|
12.042
|
313.0
|
5.3
|
90.84
|
12.038
|
5.8
|
202.5
|
130.76
|
12.042
|
318.9
|
1992
|
202.0
|
133.88
|
12.035
|
325.4
|
5.8
|
95.47
|
11.976
|
6.7
|
207.8
|
132.80
|
12.034
|
332.1
|
1993
|
206.0
|
134.80
|
12.053
|
334.7
|
6.1
|
97.71
|
12.122
|
7.2
|
212.1
|
133.73
|
12.054
|
342.0
|
1994
|
207.9
|
136.15
|
12.029
|
340.5
|
6.3
|
101.09
|
12.027
|
7.6
|
214.2
|
135.12
|
12.029
|
348.2
|
1995
|
205.5
|
139.03
|
12.027
|
343.6
|
6.3
|
103.88
|
12.014
|
7.9
|
211.8
|
137.98
|
12.027
|
351.5
|
1996
|
170.7
|
141.29
|
12.266
|
295.8
|
3.9
|
103.15
|
12.785
|
5.2
|
174.6
|
140.43
|
12.274
|
300.9
|
1997
|
157.4
|
146.32
|
12.022
|
276.8
|
3.6
|
106.58
|
12.045
|
4.6
|
160.9
|
145.44
|
12.022
|
281.4
|
1998
|
143.6
|
149.95
|
11.959
|
257.6
|
3.2
|
111.58
|
11.735
|
4.2
|
146.8
|
149.12
|
11.955
|
261.8
|
1999
|
127.3
|
153.23
|
12.017
|
234.5
|
2.5
|
115.87
|
12.007
|
3.5
|
129.9
|
152.50
|
12.017
|
238.0
|
2000
|
116.8
|
158.26
|
11.958
|
221.0
|
2.3
|
120.49
|
11.830
|
3.3
|
119.1
|
157.54
|
11.956
|
224.3
|
2001
|
108.2
|
166.22
|
11.941
|
214.7
|
2.1
|
127.20
|
11.952
|
3.2
|
110.2
|
165.49
|
11.941
|
217.8
|
2002
|
101.7
|
172.24
|
11.959
|
209.4
|
2.0
|
132.14
|
11.950
|
3.2
|
103.7
|
171.46
|
11.959
|
212.6
|
2003
|
97.1
|
176.58
|
11.921
|
204.3
|
2.0
|
135.95
|
11.964
|
3.2
|
99.1
|
175.77
|
11.921
|
207.5
|
2004
|
93.3
|
181.83
|
11.895
|
201.8
|
1.9
|
143.68
|
11.764
|
3.3
|
95.2
|
181.05
|
11.893
|
205.1
|
2005-I
|
89.9
|
189.67
|
3.000
|
51.2
|
1.9
|
151.52
|
3.000
|
.9
|
91.8
|
188.89
|
3.000
|
52.0
|
2005-II
|
89.3
|
190.97
|
3.000
|
51.1
|
1.9
|
155.80
|
3.000
|
.9
|
91.2
|
190.23
|
3.000
|
52.0
|
2005-III
|
88.7
|
192.08
|
3.000
|
51.1
|
1.9
|
156.13
|
3.000
|
.9
|
90.6
|
191.32
|
3.000
|
52.0
|
2005-IV
|
88.0
|
192.95
|
3.000
|
50.9
|
2.0
|
155.84
|
3.000
|
.9
|
90.0
|
192.14
|
3.000
|
51.9
|
2006-I
|
87.3
|
195.65
|
3.000
|
51.2
|
2.0
|
156.83
|
3.000
|
.9
|
89.3
|
194.80
|
3.000
|
52.2
|
2006-II
|
86.7
|
194.23
|
3.000
|
50.5
|
2.0
|
155.66
|
3.000
|
.9
|
88.7
|
193.37
|
3.000
|
51.4
|
2006-III
|
86.1
|
195.38
|
3.000
|
50.5
|
2.0
|
156.13
|
3.000
|
.9
|
88.1
|
194.49
|
3.000
|
51.4
|
2006-IV
|
85.5
|
196.30
|
3.000
|
50.3
|
2.0
|
156.03
|
3.000
|
.9
|
87.5
|
195.38
|
3.000
|
51.3
|
2007-I
|
84.9
|
199.53
|
3.000
|
50.8
|
2.0
|
157.56
|
3.000
|
.9
|
86.9
|
198.56
|
3.000
|
51.7
|
2007-II
|
84.4
|
198.17
|
3.000
|
50.2
|
2.0
|
156.61
|
3.000
|
.9
|
86.4
|
197.20
|
3.000
|
51.1
|
2007-III
|
84.0
|
199.43
|
3.000
|
50.3
|
2.0
|
157.32
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
86.0
|
198.44
|
3.000
|
51.2
|
2007-IV
|
83.5
|
200.47
|
3.000
|
50.2
|
2.0
|
157.42
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
85.6
|
199.45
|
3.000
|
51.2
|
2008-I
|
83.0
|
204.87
|
3.000
|
51.0
|
2.0
|
159.96
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
85.1
|
203.79
|
3.000
|
52.0
|
2008-II
|
82.7
|
203.59
|
3.000
|
50.5
|
2.1
|
159.23
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
84.8
|
202.51
|
3.000
|
51.5
|
2008-III
|
82.4
|
205.00
|
3.000
|
50.7
|
2.1
|
160.16
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
84.5
|
203.91
|
3.000
|
51.7
|
2008-IV
|
82.1
|
206.19
|
3.000
|
50.8
|
2.1
|
160.50
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
84.2
|
205.07
|
3.000
|
51.8
|
2009-I
|
81.8
|
211.05
|
3.000
|
51.8
|
2.1
|
163.48
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
83.8
|
209.86
|
3.000
|
52.8
|
2009-II
|
81.7
|
209.86
|
3.000
|
51.4
|
2.1
|
162.96
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
83.8
|
208.68
|
3.000
|
52.5
|
2009-III
|
81.6
|
211.45
|
3.000
|
51.8
|
2.1
|
164.14
|
3.000
|
1.0
|
83.7
|
210.25
|
3.000
|
52.8
|
2009-IV
|
81.5
|
212.79
|
3.000
|
52.0
|
2.1
|
164.70
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
83.6
|
211.57
|
3.000
|
53.1
|
2010-I
|
81.3
|
217.90
|
3.000
|
53.1
|
2.1
|
167.95
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
83.4
|
216.62
|
3.000
|
54.2
|
2010-II
|
81.2
|
216.78
|
3.000
|
52.8
|
2.2
|
167.57
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
83.3
|
215.51
|
3.000
|
53.9
|
2010-III
|
81.1
|
218.53
|
3.000
|
53.2
|
2.2
|
168.93
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
83.3
|
217.25
|
3.000
|
54.3
|
2010-IV
|
81.0
|
220.05
|
3.000
|
53.4
|
2.2
|
169.64
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
83.1
|
218.73
|
3.000
|
54.5
|
2011-I
|
80.7
|
225.46
|
3.000
|
54.6
|
2.2
|
173.11
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
82.9
|
224.09
|
3.000
|
55.7
|
2011-II
|
80.6
|
224.44
|
3.000
|
54.3
|
2.2
|
172.89
|
3.000
|
1.1
|
82.8
|
223.08
|
3.000
|
55.4
|
2011-III
|
80.6
|
226.39
|
3.000
|
54.7
|
2.2
|
174.46
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.8
|
225.01
|
3.000
|
55.9
|
2011-IV
|
80.4
|
228.08
|
3.000
|
55.0
|
2.2
|
175.36
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.6
|
226.67
|
3.000
|
56.2
|
2012-I
|
80.2
|
233.81
|
3.000
|
56.3
|
2.2
|
179.13
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.5
|
232.34
|
3.000
|
57.5
|
2012-II
|
80.3
|
232.87
|
3.000
|
56.1
|
2.2
|
179.04
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.5
|
231.41
|
3.000
|
57.3
|
2012-III
|
80.3
|
234.98
|
3.000
|
56.6
|
2.2
|
180.81
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.5
|
233.51
|
3.000
|
57.8
|
2012-IV
|
80.2
|
236.81
|
3.000
|
57.0
|
2.2
|
181.85
|
3.000
|
1.2
|
82.5
|
235.31
|
3.000
|
58.2
|
2013-I
|
80.1
|
242.82
|
3.000
|
58.4
|
2.3
|
185.81
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.4
|
241.26
|
3.000
|
59.6
|
2013-II
|
80.2
|
241.88
|
3.000
|
58.2
|
2.3
|
185.77
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.4
|
240.34
|
3.000
|
59.4
|
2013-III
|
80.2
|
244.12
|
3.000
|
58.8
|
2.3
|
187.66
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.5
|
242.56
|
3.000
|
60.0
|
2013-IV
|
80.2
|
246.05
|
3.000
|
59.2
|
2.3
|
188.79
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.5
|
244.47
|
3.000
|
60.5
|
2014-I
|
80.2
|
252.32
|
3.000
|
60.7
|
2.3
|
192.98
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.4
|
250.68
|
3.000
|
62.0
|
2014-II
|
80.3
|
251.39
|
3.000
|
60.5
|
2.3
|
193.02
|
3.000
|
1.3
|
82.6
|
249.76
|
3.000
|
61.9
|
2014-III
|
80.4
|
253.74
|
3.000
|
61.2
|
2.3
|
195.03
|
3.000
|
1.4
|
82.7
|
252.11
|
3.000
|
62.6
|
2014-IV
|
80.5
|
255.78
|
3.000
|
61.7
|
2.3
|
196.26
|
3.000
|
1.4
|
82.8
|
254.11
|
3.000
|
63.1
|
1This benefit was not paid until October 17, 1980. 2Less than $50,000. 3Fewer than 50. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.