Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Calendar year
|
Average wage2
|
Retirement earnings test exempt amounts
|
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under normal
retirement age 5 |
Normal
retirement age 6 |
|||||
1975
|
8.0
|
$8,630.92
|
7.5
|
$14,100
|
$2,520
|
$2,520
|
1976
|
6.4
|
9,226.48
|
6.9
|
15,300
|
2,760
|
2,760
|
1977
|
5.9
|
9,779.44
|
6.0
|
16,500
|
3,000
|
3,000
|
1978
|
6.5
|
10,556.03
|
7.9
|
17,700
|
3,240
|
4,000
|
1979
|
9.9
|
11,479.46
|
8.7
|
22,900
|
3,480
|
4,500
|
1980
|
14.3
|
12,513.46
|
9.0
|
25,900
|
3,720
|
5,000
|
1981
|
11.2
|
13,773.10
|
10.1
|
29,700
|
4,080
|
5,500
|
1982
|
7.4
|
14,531.34
|
5.5
|
32,400
|
4,440
|
6,000
|
1983
|
3.5
|
15,239.24
|
4.9
|
35,700
|
4,920
|
6,600
|
1984
|
3.5
|
16,135.07
|
5.9
|
37,800
|
5,160
|
6,960
|
1985
|
3.1
|
16,822.51
|
4.3
|
39,600
|
5,400
|
7,320
|
1986
|
1.3
|
17,321.82
|
3.0
|
42,000
|
5,760
|
7,800
|
1987
|
4.2
|
18,426.51
|
6.4
|
43,800
|
6,000
|
8,160
|
1988
|
4.0
|
19,334.04
|
4.9
|
45,000
|
6,120
|
8,400
|
1989
|
4.7
|
20,099.55
|
4.0
|
48,000
|
6,480
|
8,880
|
1990
|
5.4
|
21,027.98
|
4.6
|
51,300
|
6,840
|
9,360
|
1991
|
3.7
|
21,811.60
|
3.7
|
53,400
|
7,080
|
9,720
|
1992
|
3.0
|
22,935.42
|
5.2
|
55,500
|
7,440
|
10,200
|
1993
|
2.6
|
23,132.67
|
.9
|
57,600
|
7,680
|
10,560
|
1994
|
2.8
|
23,753.53
|
2.7
|
60,600
|
8,040
|
11,160
|
1995
|
2.6
|
24,705.66
|
4.0
|
61,200
|
8,160
|
11,280
|
1996
|
2.9
|
25,913.90
|
4.9
|
62,700
|
8,280
|
712,500
|
1997
|
2.1
|
27,426.00
|
5.8
|
65,400
|
8,640
|
713,500
|
1998
|
1.3
|
28,861.44
|
5.2
|
68,400
|
9,120
|
714,500
|
1999
|
82.5
|
30,469.84
|
5.6
|
72,600
|
9,600
|
715,500
|
2000
|
3.5
|
32,154.82
|
5.5
|
76,200
|
10,080
|
717,000
|
2001
|
2.6
|
32,921.92
|
2.4
|
80,400
|
10,680
|
725,000
|
2002
|
1.4
|
33,252.09
|
1.0
|
84,900
|
11,280
|
730,000
|
2003
|
2.1
|
34,064.95
|
2.4
|
87,000
|
11,520
|
30,720
|
2004
|
2.7
|
35,157.10
|
3.2
|
87,900
|
11,640
|
31,080
|
2005
|
2.0
|
36,599.68
|
4.1
|
90,000
|
12,000
|
31,800
|
2006
|
2.2
|
38,137.06
|
4.2
|
93,000
|
12,360
|
32,760
|
2007
|
2.7
|
39,793.49
|
4.3
|
96,600
|
12,840
|
34,200
|
2008
|
2.8
|
41,463.08
|
4.2
|
100,800
|
13,320
|
35,640
|
2009
|
2.8
|
43,155.26
|
4.1
|
105,000
|
13,920
|
37,080
|
2010
|
2.8
|
44,893.85
|
4.0
|
109,500
|
14,520
|
38,640
|
2011
|
2.8
|
46,702.32
|
4.0
|
114,000
|
15,120
|
40,320
|
2012
|
2.8
|
48,631.78
|
4.1
|
118,500
|
15,720
|
41,880
|
2013
|
2.8
|
50,572.35
|
4.0
|
123,300
|
16,320
|
43,560
|
2014
|
2.8
|
52,532.90
|
3.9
|
128,400
|
17,040
|
45,360
|
1Effective with benefits payable for June in each year 1975-82, and for December in each year after 1982. 2Average wages used for Social Security indexing purposes. 3Increase in the average wage index over the prior year. 4The bases for years after 1989 were increased slightly by changes to the indexing procedure, as required by Public Law 101-239. Prior to 1991, the Hospital Insurance (HI) contribution base was the same as the OASDI contribution and benefit base. Higher HI bases of $125,000, $130,200, and $135,000 applied for 1991-93, respectively. Public Law 103-66 repealed the HI contribution base. 5See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement ageNRA". 6During the period 1955-82, the retirement earnings test did not apply at ages 72 or older; during 1983-99, it did not apply at ages 70 or older. Public Law 106-182 eliminated the earnings test for workers attaining normal retirement age through age 69 in 2000 or later. Exception: the test still applies to all months prior to attainment of the full retirement age in the calendar year the beneficiary attains full retirement age. 7Amount specified by Public Law 104-121. 8Benefit increase for 1999 was originally determined as 2.4 percent, but pursuant to Public Law 106-554 is effectively now 2.5 percent. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions. See tables V.A4 and V.B4 for low cost and high cost alternatives, respectively.