Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
|||||
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
Calendar year
|
AIME "bend points" in PIA formula
|
PIA "bend points" in maximum-family-benefit formula
|
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First
|
Second
|
First
|
Second
|
Third
|
|||
1978
|
3/
|
4 $250
|
|||||
1979
|
4 $180
|
4 $1,085
|
4 $230
|
4 $332
|
4 $433
|
260
|
$18,900
|
1980
|
194
|
1,171
|
248
|
358
|
467
|
290
|
20,400
|
1981
|
211
|
1,274
|
270
|
390
|
508
|
310
|
22,200
|
1982
|
230
|
1,388
|
294
|
425
|
554
|
340
|
24,300
|
1983
|
254
|
1,528
|
324
|
468
|
610
|
370
|
26,700
|
1984
|
267
|
1,612
|
342
|
493
|
643
|
390
|
28,200
|
1985
|
280
|
1,691
|
358
|
517
|
675
|
410
|
29,700
|
1986
|
297
|
1,790
|
379
|
548
|
714
|
440
|
31,500
|
1987
|
310
|
1,866
|
396
|
571
|
745
|
460
|
32,700
|
1988
|
319
|
1,922
|
407
|
588
|
767
|
470
|
33,600
|
1989
|
339
|
2,044
|
433
|
626
|
816
|
500
|
35,700
|
1990
|
356
|
2,145
|
455
|
656
|
856
|
520
|
38,100
|
1991
|
370
|
2,230
|
473
|
682
|
890
|
540
|
39,600
|
1992
|
387
|
2,333
|
495
|
714
|
931
|
570
|
41,400
|
1993
|
401
|
2,420
|
513
|
740
|
966
|
590
|
42,900
|
1994
|
422
|
2,545
|
539
|
779
|
1,016
|
620
|
45,000
|
1995
|
426
|
2,567
|
544
|
785
|
1,024
|
630
|
45,300
|
1996
|
437
|
2,635
|
559
|
806
|
1,052
|
640
|
46,500
|
1997
|
455
|
2,741
|
581
|
839
|
1,094
|
670
|
48,600
|
1998
|
477
|
2,875
|
609
|
880
|
1,147
|
700
|
50,700
|
1999
|
505
|
3,043
|
645
|
931
|
1,214
|
740
|
53,700
|
2000
|
531
|
3,202
|
679
|
980
|
1,278
|
780
|
56,700
|
2001
|
561
|
3,381
|
717
|
1,034
|
1,349
|
830
|
59,700
|
2002
|
592
|
3,567
|
756
|
1,092
|
1,424
|
870
|
63,000
|
2003
|
606
|
3,653
|
774
|
1,118
|
1,458
|
890
|
64,500
|
2004
|
612
|
3,689
|
782
|
1,129
|
1,472
|
900
|
65,100
|
2005
|
627
|
3,779
|
801
|
1,156
|
1,508
|
920
|
66,900
|
2006
|
647
|
3,901
|
827
|
1,194
|
1,557
|
950
|
69,000
|
2007
|
674
|
4,061
|
861
|
1,243
|
1,621
|
990
|
71,700
|
2008
|
702
|
4,231
|
897
|
1,295
|
1,689
|
1,030
|
74,700
|
2009
|
732
|
4,415
|
936
|
1,351
|
1,762
|
1,080
|
78,000
|
2010
|
763
|
4,600
|
975
|
1,408
|
1,836
|
1,120
|
81,300
|
2011
|
794
|
4,788
|
1,015
|
1,465
|
1,911
|
1,170
|
84,600
|
2012
|
826
|
4,981
|
1,056
|
1,524
|
1,988
|
1,220
|
88,200
|
2013
|
860
|
5,181
|
1,098
|
1,585
|
2,068
|
1,270
|
91,500
|
2014
|
895
|
5,396
|
1,144
|
1,651
|
2,153
|
1,320
|
95,400
|
1See Glossary for a description of quarter-of-coverage requirements prior to 1978. 2Contribution and benefit base that would have been determined automatically under the law in effect prior to enactment of the Social Security Amendments of 1977. The bases for years after 1989 were increased slightly through the effect of a new procedure to determine the base, as required by Public Law 101-239. 3No provision in law for this amount in this year. 4Amount specified for first year by Social Security Amendments of 1977; amounts for subsequent years subject to automatic-adjustment provisions. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions. See tables V.A5 and V.B5 for low cost and high cost alternatives, respectively.