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Summary of Provisions That Would Change the Social Security Program |
Description of Proposed Provisions:
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Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report
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Change from present law [percent of payroll] |
Shortfall eliminated | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
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Present law shortfall in long-range actuarial balance is 2.66 percent of payroll and in annual balance for the 75th year is 4.35 percent of payroll. | ||||||
A1 |
Starting December 2017, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.75 | 2.31 | 66% | 53% | |
A2 |
Starting December 2017, reduce the annual COLA by 0.5 percentage point.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.91 | 1.21 | 34% | 28% | |
A3 |
Starting December 2017, compute the COLA using a chained version of the
consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate
this new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage
point, on average.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ribble) | memo (FY 2014 Budget) | memo (Chaffetz) | memo (Becerra) | memo (Fiscal Commission) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center 2010) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.55 | 0.74 | 21% | 17% | |
A4 |
Starting December 2019, compute the COLA using a chained version of the
consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this
new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point,
on average. The new COLA will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to
OASI benefits, except for those of formerly disabled-workers who converted
to retired-worker status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.41 | 0.55 | 15% | 13% | |
A5 |
Starting December 2017, add 1 percentage point to the annual COLA for beneficiaries
who have lived past a "specified age". The "specified age" is the sum of: (1) 65 and
(2) the unisex cohort life expectancy at age 65.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Senate Special Committee on Aging) |
-0.09 | -0.11 | -3% | -2% | |
A6 |
Starting December 2018, compute the COLA using the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly
(CPI-E). We estimate this new computation will increase the annual COLA by about 0.2
percentage point, on average.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Sanders, DeFazio) | memo (Sanchez) | memo (Sanders 2016) | memo (Schatz) | memo (Deutch 2015) | memo (DeFazio 2015) | memo (Sanders 2015) | memo (Larson 2015) | memo (Larson 2014) | memo (Harkin 2013) | memo (Harkin 2012) | memo (Becerra) | memo (Deutch 2010) |
-0.38 | -0.52 | -14% | -12% | |
A7 |
Starting December 2017, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point, but not to less than
zero. In cases where the unreduced COLA is less than 1 percentage point, do not carry over
the unused reduction into future years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
1.64 | 2.18 | 62% | 50% | |
A8 |
Starting December 2017, for OASI beneficiaries only (DI beneficiaries would only be
affected when their benefit converts to OASI at NRA), the annual COLA would be based
on the chain-weighted version of the CPI-U.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center October 2016) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center June 2016) |
0.47 | 0.61 | 18% | 14% | |
A9 |
For single/head-of-household/married-filing-separate taxpayers with modified adjusted
gross income (MAGI) below $85,000 and for joint filers with MAGI below $170,000 for
the prior tax year, use the chain-weighted version of the Consumer Price Index for All
Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) to calculate the cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), beginning
with the December 2018 COLA. For those beneficiaries whose MAGI is above the
$85,000/$170,000 for the prior tax year, provide no COLA. Index the eligibility income
threshold amounts to the CPI-U after December 2018.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson 2016) |
1.25 | 2.31 | 47% | 53% |
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