Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A14.—DI Disabled Worker Total Terminations
(By calendar age terminated and gender, calendar years 1980-2014)
[In thousands]
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA1
Conversion at NRA
Total
 
Male
1980
0.1
1.8
4.9
7.3
9.6
12.4
17.6
25.9
38.8
45.6
4.8
135.7
304.5
1985
2/
1.0
3.3
4.6
5.2
6.2
8.5
14.2
26.1
42.9
5.5
124.0
241.5
1990
2/
.9
4.4
7.8
9.6
10.2
11.0
14.5
23.4
39.6
4.7
115.1
241.2
1995
2/
1.3
5.3
11.9
15.9
17.1
17.4
19.1
24.8
37.4
5.9
117.5
273.7
1996
2/
1.2
4.9
10.5
14.6
16.1
17.6
18.9
24.5
37.7
5.6
116.8
268.4
1997
2/
1.2
5.9
12.0
19.6
24.5
25.8
24.7
27.6
37.6
6.1
120.4
305.4
1998
2/
1.0
3.9
7.0
10.8
13.9
16.3
19.0
25.3
36.6
5.6
117.5
257.1
1999
2/
.9
3.9
7.1
11.0
14.9
17.8
21.2
27.3
37.5
5.9
124.0
271.6
2000
2/
.9
4.0
7.8
12.6
16.7
19.7
23.4
27.9
37.4
6.4
125.6
282.6
2001
2/
.9
3.2
6.7
10.7
15.3
19.3
23.3
28.7
37.6
5.6
125.6
276.9
2002
2/
1.0
3.4
6.8
10.6
15.6
20.3
24.4
30.1
39.3
5.8
129.0
286.5
2003
2/
1.0
3.2
5.8
9.3
14.5
19.8
23.9
30.5
40.0
7.0
113.9
268.7
2004
2/
1.1
3.4
5.5
8.8
14.6
20.1
25.3
32.0
40.9
8.0
114.5
274.3
2005
2/
1.1
3.7
5.5
8.8
14.4
20.4
26.0
33.6
41.8
13.8
118.2
287.3
2006
2/
1.1
4.1
5.7
9.0
14.2
20.8
27.0
34.7
43.7
16.6
122.0
299.0
2007
2/
1.1
4.3
6.0
9.1
14.0
21.0
27.8
34.9
45.7
20.2
128.4
312.5
2008
2/
1.1
4.6
6.6
9.4
14.0
21.5
29.0
36.2
48.4
23.3
136.8
331.0
2009
.1
1.2
4.7
7.0
9.3
13.7
21.3
29.2
36.6
50.3
25.7
171.4
370.5
2010
.1
1.2
4.8
7.6
9.4
14.0
21.4
30.3
38.5
53.9
25.7
170.7
377.5
2011
2/
1.2
4.6
7.6
9.0
13.3
19.8
28.8
37.1
52.0
27.9
174.6
375.9
2012
2/
1.2
4.6
7.9
9.2
13.3
19.3
28.8
37.9
52.3
30.6
198.7
403.8
2013
2/
1.2
4.5
7.9
9.4
13.0
18.5
28.4
38.2
52.8
31.2
218.1
423.3
2014
2/
1.2
4.5
7.8
9.6
12.6
17.9
27.9
38.4
53.6
31.4
219.7
424.6
 
Female
1980
2/
.6
1.7
2.7
3.7
4.9
7.5
9.9
14.5
15.0
1.8
67.8
130.1
1985
2/
.5
1.5
2.0
2.5
2.9
3.8
5.8
10.0
15.3
1.8
65.3
111.4
1990
2/
.4
1.5
2.5
3.3
4.3
5.2
6.7
9.8
15.0
1.7
62.3
112.9
1995
2/
.7
2.3
4.1
5.7
7.3
8.7
9.9
12.2
16.2
2.4
68.1
137.6
1996
2/
.6
2.4
4.2
6.1
7.6
9.3
10.6
12.7
16.6
2.3
69.7
142.1
1997
2/
.7
2.6
5.2
8.1
10.2
11.5
12.5
14.0
17.1
2.5
73.8
158.2
1998
2/
.6
2.1
3.9
6.1
8.6
10.4
12.3
14.4
17.7
2.6
74.2
153.0
1999
2/
.6
2.2
3.8
6.4
8.9
11.3
13.5
15.6
18.7
2.7
81.0
164.8
2000
2/
.5
2.3
4.5
7.2
10.3
12.6
15.1
16.7
19.4
3.0
84.5
176.1
2001
2/
.6
2.0
4.0
6.5
9.8
12.4
14.9
17.6
20.1
2.8
87.6
178.2
2002
2/
.6
2.2
4.2
6.8
10.4
13.7
15.9
18.9
21.6
3.2
93.3
190.8
2003
2/
.6
2.3
4.0
6.1
9.7
13.1
15.7
19.4
22.9
3.8
84.5
182.0
2004
2/
.7
2.3
3.9
5.9
10.1
13.6
16.7
20.6
23.6
4.1
87.2
188.7
2005
2/
.7
2.5
4.0
6.1
10.2
14.2
17.6
22.0
24.7
7.2
92.7
201.7
2006
2/
.7
2.7
4.2
6.4
10.4
14.8
18.6
23.1
26.3
8.9
98.2
214.4
2007
2/
.7
2.9
4.5
6.7
10.5
15.3
19.4
23.8
27.9
11.1
105.4
228.1
2008
2/
.7
3.1
5.0
7.0
10.8
16.1
20.7
25.3
30.2
13.1
114.9
246.9
2009
2/
.8
3.2
5.3
7.2
10.7
16.3
21.1
26.0
31.6
14.6
147.0
283.9
2010
2/
.8
3.3
5.8
7.4
11.2
16.8
22.4
28.0
34.6
14.7
147.3
292.3
2011
2/
.8
3.1
5.8
7.1
10.8
15.6
21.3
26.9
33.3
16.2
151.8
292.6
2012
2/
.8
3.1
6.0
7.3
11.0
15.5
21.6
27.7
34.1
17.9
175.0
320.2
2013
2/
.8
3.1
6.0
7.5
11.0
15.1
21.7
28.2
34.9
18.5
194.1
340.9
2014
2/
.8
3.1
5.9
7.7
10.8
14.8
21.6
28.6
35.8
18.8
198.2
346.2
 
Total
1980
.1
2.4
6.6
10.1
13.2
17.3
25.1
35.9
53.3
60.6
6.6
203.5
434.6
1985
2/
1.5
4.7
6.6
7.6
9.0
12.4
20.0
36.1
58.3
7.2
189.3
352.9
1990
2/
1.3
5.9
10.3
12.9
14.5
16.3
21.2
33.2
54.6
6.4
177.3
354.1
1995
2/
1.9
7.6
16.0
21.6
24.4
26.1
29.0
37.1
53.6
8.4
185.6
411.4
1996
.1
1.8
7.2
14.7
20.7
23.8
26.9
29.5
37.2
54.3
7.9
186.4
410.5
1997
2/
1.9
8.5
17.2
27.8
34.7
37.2
37.2
41.5
54.7
8.6
194.2
463.7
1998
2/
1.6
6.0
10.9
17.0
22.4
26.8
31.3
39.7
54.4
8.2
191.7
410.0
1999
2/
1.5
6.1
10.9
17.5
23.7
29.1
34.7
42.9
56.2
8.7
205.1
436.4
2000
2/
1.4
6.3
12.4
19.8
26.9
32.3
38.5
44.7
56.9
9.4
210.1
458.7
2001
.1
1.5
5.2
10.7
17.2
25.1
31.7
38.2
46.4
57.7
8.4
213.1
455.1
2002
2/
1.6
5.6
11.0
17.4
26.1
34.0
40.3
49.1
60.9
9.0
222.4
477.3
2003
2/
1.6
5.4
9.7
15.4
24.2
32.8
39.6
49.9
62.9
10.8
198.3
450.8
2004
2/
1.8
5.6
9.4
14.7
24.7
33.7
42.1
52.5
64.5
12.1
201.7
462.9
2005
2/
1.8
6.2
9.5
14.9
24.6
34.6
43.6
55.6
66.5
21.0
210.9
489.0
2006
2/
1.8
6.8
10.0
15.4
24.6
35.7
45.5
57.8
70.0
25.6
220.2
513.4
2007
2/
1.8
7.2
10.6
15.8
24.5
36.3
47.2
58.8
73.6
31.2
233.7
540.6
2008
.1
1.9
7.7
11.6
16.4
24.8
37.6
49.6
61.5
78.6
36.4
251.7
577.9
2009
.1
1.9
7.9
12.4
16.5
24.5
37.6
50.4
62.6
81.9
40.3
318.4
654.4
2010
.1
2.1
8.1
13.3
16.8
25.2
38.2
52.7
66.5
88.5
40.4
318.0
669.8
2011
.1
2.0
7.7
13.4
16.1
24.1
35.4
50.1
64.0
85.4
44.1
326.3
668.5
2012
2/
2.0
7.7
13.9
16.6
24.3
34.8
50.4
65.6
86.4
48.6
373.7
724.1
2013
2/
2.0
7.7
13.9
16.8
23.9
33.7
50.0
66.5
87.7
49.7
412.2
764.2
2014
2/
2.0
7.6
13.7
17.2
23.4
32.7
49.4
67.1
89.4
50.2
417.9
770.7

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

2Fewer than 50.

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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