Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
|
Calendar
period |
Total
|
Retired workers and auxiliaries
|
Survivors of deceased workers
|
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
|
Special
age-72 beneficiaries |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Total
|
Retired
workers |
Dependents
|
Total
|
Children
|
Widowed
mothers and fathers |
Aged
widows and widowers and aged parents |
Disabled
widows and widowers |
Total
|
Disabled
workers |
Dependents
|
|||
|
1980
|
$118,004.0
|
$77,440.7
|
$70,094.9
|
$7,345.8
|
$26,227.7
|
$7,123.8
|
$1,543.0
|
$17,265.2
|
$295.8
|
$14,215.7
|
$11,902.5
|
$2,313.3
|
$119.9
|
|
1981
|
137,474.8
|
91,239.9
|
82,670.6
|
8,569.3
|
30,296.3
|
7,992.8
|
1,723.7
|
20,257.7
|
322.1
|
15,827.3
|
13,324.4
|
2,502.9
|
111.4
|
|
1982
|
152,798.3
|
103,489.6
|
93,999.6
|
9,490.0
|
33,099.5
|
7,921.5
|
1,834.1
|
23,009.8
|
334.0
|
16,108.7
|
13,831.4
|
2,277.3
|
100.5
|
|
1983
|
161,843.1
|
111,639.3
|
101,542.9
|
10,096.4
|
34,454.0
|
7,615.8
|
1,732.9
|
24,782.3
|
323.0
|
15,664.7
|
13,650.5
|
2,014.2
|
85.1
|
|
1984
|
171,701.3
|
119,529.6
|
108,788.7
|
10,740.9
|
36,061.4
|
7,517.8
|
1,444.2
|
26,730.8
|
368.6
|
16,039.1
|
14,070.6
|
1,968.4
|
71.2
|
|
1985
|
182,482.6
|
127,475.4
|
116,042.9
|
11,432.5
|
38,121.1
|
7,518.3
|
1,445.0
|
28,766.2
|
391.6
|
16,828.3
|
14,803.7
|
2,024.5
|
57.8
|
|
1986
|
193,151.3
|
135,154.4
|
123,034.7
|
12,119.7
|
40,273.5
|
7,608.7
|
1,431.7
|
30,832.0
|
401.0
|
17,676.8
|
15,576.0
|
2,100.8
|
46.7
|
|
1987
|
200,723.9
|
140,751.4
|
128,148.6
|
12,602.8
|
41,714.5
|
7,613.0
|
1,363.7
|
32,332.2
|
405.6
|
18,221.4
|
16,109.5
|
2,111.9
|
36.6
|
|
1988
|
213,550.0
|
149,925.9
|
136,571.7
|
13,354.2
|
44,312.3
|
7,804.8
|
1,358.5
|
34,730.9
|
418.0
|
19,283.2
|
17,119.3
|
2,163.8
|
28.7
|
|
1989
|
226,656.2
|
159,326.2
|
145,214.2
|
14,112.1
|
46,948.4
|
7,960.3
|
1,370.0
|
37,189.9
|
428.2
|
20,359.6
|
18,163.3
|
2,196.3
|
22.0
|
|
1990
|
243,196.7
|
171,015.9
|
155,939.6
|
15,076.3
|
50,230.3
|
8,261.8
|
1,406.4
|
40,115.8
|
446.3
|
21,933.8
|
19,643.1
|
2,290.7
|
16.7
|
|
1991
|
262,958.5
|
184,597.3
|
168,394.7
|
16,202.5
|
54,130.8
|
8,711.1
|
1,457.2
|
43,465.5
|
496.9
|
24,217.8
|
21,754.8
|
2,463.0
|
12.7
|
|
1992
|
280,115.7
|
195,712.7
|
178,604.8
|
17,107.9
|
57,472.7
|
9,114.2
|
1,489.2
|
46,268.9
|
600.6
|
26,921.1
|
24,232.4
|
2,688.8
|
9.2
|
|
1993
|
296,016.4
|
205,651.1
|
187,784.9
|
17,866.2
|
60,508.5
|
9,500.7
|
1,502.1
|
48,802.2
|
703.6
|
29,850.3
|
26,900.3
|
2,949.9
|
6.5
|
|
1994
|
310,313.2
|
214,283.2
|
195,834.1
|
18,449.1
|
63,290.1
|
9,902.4
|
1,502.8
|
51,086.6
|
798.3
|
32,735.5
|
29,525.5
|
3,210.0
|
4.4
|
|
1995
|
325,578.2
|
223,576.7
|
204,548.9
|
19,027.8
|
66,235.7
|
10,326.5
|
1,528.4
|
53,488.6
|
892.2
|
35,762.8
|
32,292.0
|
3,470.8
|
3.0
|
|
1996
|
339,820.1
|
232,102.6
|
212,625.8
|
19,476.8
|
68,981.2
|
10,819.8
|
1,447.0
|
55,739.2
|
975.2
|
38,734.3
|
35,035.3
|
3,699.0
|
1.9
|
|
1997
|
354,640.1
|
241,904.0
|
221,961.4
|
19,942.6
|
71,490.0
|
11,187.5
|
1,416.4
|
57,842.3
|
1,043.9
|
41,244.8
|
37,410.3
|
3,834.5
|
1.2
|
|
1998
|
367,321.9
|
250,733.9
|
230,521.3
|
20,212.6
|
72,852.1
|
11,441.1
|
1,389.4
|
58,919.4
|
1,102.1
|
43,735.2
|
39,788.4
|
3,946.8
|
.8
|
|
1999
|
377,730.7
|
257,265.4
|
236,963.1
|
20,302.3
|
74,305.4
|
11,622.0
|
1,363.5
|
60,170.9
|
1,149.0
|
46,159.5
|
42,092.7
|
4,066.8
|
.5
|
|
2000
|
396,979.3
|
271,090.6
|
250,191.2
|
20,899.4
|
76,737.9
|
11,985.5
|
1,351.1
|
62,199.1
|
1,202.1
|
49,150.5
|
44,924.0
|
4,226.4
|
.3
|
|
2001
|
422,196.5
|
289,129.0
|
267,341.2
|
21,787.8
|
80,003.6
|
12,521.1
|
1,375.0
|
64,840.5
|
1,267.1
|
53,063.7
|
48,624.4
|
4,439.3
|
.2
|
|
2002
|
442,645.8
|
302,361.4
|
280,123.1
|
22,238.3
|
82,700.3
|
13,078.9
|
1,406.7
|
66,887.6
|
1,327.1
|
57,584.0
|
52,891.7
|
4,692.3
|
.1
|
|
2003
|
458,956.8
|
312,211.5
|
289,814.8
|
22,396.7
|
84,338.3
|
13,477.7
|
1,421.1
|
68,064.5
|
1,374.9
|
62,407.0
|
57,439.6
|
4,967.4
|
1/
|
|
2004
|
479,514.8
|
325,277.5
|
302,565.4
|
22,712.1
|
86,331.4
|
13,890.1
|
1,442.1
|
69,579.0
|
1,420.2
|
67,905.9
|
62,642.0
|
5,263.9
|
|
|
2005-I
|
124,735.2
|
84,541.7
|
78,748.1
|
5,793.6
|
22,124.6
|
3,586.1
|
370.5
|
17,799.2
|
368.8
|
18,068.9
|
16,689.0
|
1,379.8
|
|
|
2005-II
|
125,335.4
|
84,864.3
|
79,075.0
|
5,789.3
|
22,187.6
|
3,626.0
|
363.1
|
17,828.2
|
370.3
|
18,283.5
|
16,894.0
|
1,389.4
|
|
|
2005-III
|
126,110.1
|
85,413.8
|
79,623.6
|
5,790.2
|
22,206.4
|
3,558.9
|
369.3
|
17,905.7
|
372.6
|
18,489.8
|
17,132.4
|
1,357.4
|
|
|
2005-IV
|
126,924.9
|
85,902.9
|
80,100.7
|
5,802.2
|
22,287.4
|
3,578.2
|
374.8
|
17,959.8
|
374.5
|
18,734.6
|
17,365.6
|
1,369.0
|
...
|
|
2006-I
|
129,906.5
|
87,811.1
|
81,902.6
|
5,908.6
|
22,757.6
|
3,701.5
|
373.9
|
18,299.8
|
382.4
|
19,337.8
|
17,922.2
|
1,415.6
|
...
|
|
2006-II
|
130,625.6
|
88,240.5
|
82,330.8
|
5,909.6
|
22,834.0
|
3,738.0
|
366.6
|
18,345.4
|
383.9
|
19,551.1
|
18,118.0
|
1,433.1
|
...
|
|
2006-III
|
131,503.6
|
88,904.0
|
82,989.4
|
5,914.6
|
22,861.1
|
3,659.7
|
373.0
|
18,442.0
|
386.4
|
19,738.5
|
18,339.0
|
1,399.5
|
...
|
|
2006-IV
|
132,436.2
|
89,504.0
|
83,571.5
|
5,932.6
|
22,958.4
|
3,674.7
|
378.8
|
18,516.5
|
388.5
|
19,973.8
|
18,563.8
|
1,410.0
|
...
|
|
2007-I
|
135,908.2
|
91,759.7
|
85,701.5
|
6,058.2
|
23,504.0
|
3,805.4
|
378.8
|
18,922.5
|
397.4
|
20,644.4
|
19,183.8
|
1,460.7
|
...
|
|
2007-II
|
136,738.3
|
92,287.1
|
86,224.5
|
6,062.7
|
23,598.0
|
3,841.7
|
371.6
|
18,985.8
|
398.9
|
20,853.2
|
19,372.5
|
1,480.7
|
...
|
|
2007-III
|
137,739.5
|
93,065.5
|
86,994.7
|
6,070.8
|
23,638.7
|
3,756.2
|
378.3
|
19,102.8
|
401.3
|
21,035.3
|
19,589.2
|
1,446.2
|
...
|
|
2007-IV
|
138,813.2
|
93,789.6
|
87,696.7
|
6,092.8
|
23,756.3
|
3,769.8
|
384.5
|
19,198.7
|
403.4
|
21,267.3
|
19,808.9
|
1,458.4
|
...
|
|
2008-I
|
143,245.2
|
96,715.9
|
90,459.5
|
6,256.4
|
24,457.2
|
3,922.8
|
386.6
|
19,733.2
|
414.6
|
22,072.2
|
20,551.7
|
1,520.5
|
...
|
|
2008-II
|
144,208.9
|
97,352.0
|
91,086.6
|
6,265.4
|
24,568.1
|
3,959.6
|
379.4
|
19,812.8
|
416.3
|
22,288.8
|
20,744.6
|
1,544.2
|
...
|
|
2008-III
|
145,365.1
|
98,266.5
|
91,988.7
|
6,277.8
|
24,621.7
|
3,866.8
|
386.5
|
19,949.4
|
419.0
|
22,476.9
|
20,968.9
|
1,508.0
|
...
|
|
2008-IV
|
146,629.6
|
99,151.3
|
92,845.9
|
6,305.4
|
24,760.1
|
3,879.8
|
392.9
|
20,066.2
|
421.2
|
22,718.2
|
21,195.5
|
1,522.7
|
...
|
|
2009-I
|
151,598.7
|
102,481.1
|
95,993.5
|
6,487.7
|
25,531.4
|
4,041.9
|
395.6
|
20,660.4
|
433.6
|
23,586.2
|
21,993.3
|
1,592.8
|
...
|
|
2009-II
|
152,772.3
|
103,319.5
|
96,812.5
|
6,507.0
|
25,660.4
|
4,081.2
|
388.3
|
20,755.2
|
435.7
|
23,792.4
|
22,169.4
|
1,623.0
|
...
|
|
2009-III
|
154,170.2
|
104,472.6
|
97,942.7
|
6,529.8
|
25,730.4
|
3,984.6
|
395.6
|
20,911.4
|
438.8
|
23,967.3
|
22,381.4
|
1,585.9
|
...
|
|
2009-IV
|
155,718.4
|
105,631.0
|
99,061.6
|
6,569.4
|
25,892.7
|
3,999.2
|
402.3
|
21,049.6
|
441.6
|
24,194.8
|
22,589.7
|
1,605.1
|
...
|
|
2010-I
|
161,143.4
|
109,342.6
|
102,575.2
|
6,767.4
|
26,714.0
|
4,167.7
|
405.2
|
21,686.2
|
454.9
|
25,086.8
|
23,405.7
|
1,681.2
|
...
|
|
2010-II
|
162,435.0
|
110,283.4
|
103,493.4
|
6,790.1
|
26,857.1
|
4,209.6
|
398.0
|
21,791.9
|
457.7
|
25,294.4
|
23,584.1
|
1,710.3
|
...
|
|
2010-III
|
163,994.8
|
111,585.4
|
104,768.5
|
6,816.9
|
26,940.5
|
4,110.8
|
405.7
|
21,962.6
|
461.5
|
25,468.9
|
23,801.5
|
1,667.4
|
...
|
|
2010-IV
|
165,784.5
|
112,940.8
|
106,079.8
|
6,861.1
|
27,120.6
|
4,127.2
|
412.7
|
22,115.8
|
464.9
|
25,723.1
|
24,037.6
|
1,685.5
|
...
|
|
2011-I
|
171,705.2
|
117,005.2
|
109,934.7
|
7,070.4
|
27,991.0
|
4,302.5
|
416.0
|
22,794.2
|
478.3
|
26,709.1
|
24,945.0
|
1,764.1
|
...
|
|
2011-II
|
173,134.0
|
118,057.7
|
110,961.4
|
7,096.3
|
28,150.7
|
4,347.3
|
408.7
|
22,916.3
|
478.4
|
26,925.6
|
25,132.0
|
1,793.6
|
...
|
|
2011-III
|
174,871.0
|
119,513.4
|
112,386.6
|
7,126.8
|
28,250.6
|
4,246.7
|
416.8
|
23,107.5
|
479.6
|
27,107.0
|
25,359.4
|
1,747.6
|
...
|
|
2011-IV
|
176,878.6
|
121,057.3
|
113,881.7
|
7,175.5
|
28,451.7
|
4,265.2
|
424.3
|
23,281.9
|
480.3
|
27,369.7
|
25,604.1
|
1,765.6
|
...
|
|
2012-I
|
183,285.9
|
125,507.7
|
118,110.9
|
7,396.8
|
29,379.0
|
4,447.8
|
427.8
|
24,011.5
|
491.9
|
28,399.2
|
26,551.3
|
1,847.9
|
...
|
|
2012-II
|
184,892.0
|
126,730.6
|
119,305.0
|
7,425.6
|
29,565.0
|
4,495.3
|
420.5
|
24,158.1
|
491.1
|
28,596.4
|
26,715.4
|
1,881.0
|
...
|
|
2012-III
|
186,847.0
|
128,397.7
|
120,937.8
|
7,459.9
|
29,691.9
|
4,392.4
|
429.0
|
24,379.1
|
491.4
|
28,757.4
|
26,923.5
|
1,833.9
|
...
|
|
2012-IV
|
189,107.8
|
130,179.4
|
122,665.9
|
7,513.5
|
29,926.2
|
4,412.7
|
436.8
|
24,585.5
|
491.2
|
29,002.2
|
27,148.1
|
1,854.0
|
...
|
|
2013-I
|
196,033.5
|
135,052.8
|
127,306.2
|
7,746.6
|
30,921.4
|
4,602.9
|
440.5
|
25,375.6
|
502.3
|
30,059.3
|
28,118.0
|
1,941.3
|
...
|
|
2013-II
|
197,753.3
|
136,380.3
|
128,604.5
|
7,775.8
|
31,129.7
|
4,653.4
|
433.2
|
25,542.4
|
500.7
|
30,243.3
|
28,267.0
|
1,976.3
|
...
|
|
2013-III
|
199,874.0
|
138,204.5
|
130,393.4
|
7,811.1
|
31,279.6
|
4,548.5
|
442.1
|
25,788.8
|
500.3
|
30,389.9
|
28,463.9
|
1,926.0
|
...
|
|
2013-IV
|
202,355.3
|
140,187.0
|
132,320.3
|
7,866.7
|
31,542.2
|
4,570.9
|
450.3
|
26,021.6
|
499.4
|
30,626.1
|
28,679.3
|
1,946.8
|
...
|
|
2014-I
|
209,800.0
|
145,463.3
|
137,353.9
|
8,109.4
|
32,605.0
|
4,769.4
|
454.3
|
26,870.9
|
510.3
|
31,731.7
|
29,692.9
|
2,038.8
|
...
|
|
2014-II
|
211,616.3
|
146,846.3
|
138,709.3
|
8,137.1
|
32,835.4
|
4,823.7
|
446.9
|
27,055.5
|
509.3
|
31,934.5
|
29,857.9
|
2,076.6
|
...
|
|
2014-III
|
213,882.8
|
148,777.7
|
140,606.0
|
8,171.7
|
33,008.3
|
4,717.6
|
456.3
|
27,324.9
|
509.4
|
32,096.9
|
30,072.9
|
2,024.0
|
...
|
|
2014-IV
|
216,555.2
|
150,903.8
|
142,676.5
|
8,227.3
|
33,297.9
|
4,743.0
|
465.0
|
27,580.9
|
509.1
|
32,353.4
|
30,306.9
|
2,046.6
|
...
|
| 1Less than $50,000. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.