Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.E34.—Summary of OASDI Non-Current-Payment Benefits
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-ciaries
Lump-
sum
death
pay-ments
Total
Retired
workers
Dependents
Total
Children
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Dependents
1980
$2,507.9
$562.9
$389.8
$173.1
$329.5
$265.7
$29.2
$17.9
$16.7
$1,221.7
$914.0
$307.7
-$0.7
$394.4
1981
3,520.0
1,330.6
1,068.6
262.0
486.0
314.4
36.5
117.6
17.6
1,372.2
1,054.5
317.7
-1.2
332.5
1982
3,339.0
1,487.5
1,250.7
236.8
420.5
282.4
26.7
95.9
15.5
1,228.8
978.8
250.0
-.9
203.3
1983
5,189.5
2,489.2
2,154.1
335.0
629.8
295.4
38.2
274.6
21.6
1,865.5
1,545.2
320.3
-.4
205.4
1984
4,060.8
1,516.4
1,303.9
212.5
472.5
257.3
29.8
156.9
28.5
1,861.0
1,552.1
309.0
-.6
211.5
1985
3,712.9
1,001.2
776.7
224.5
497.5
243.5
28.6
196.7
28.7
2,007.6
1,678.9
328.7
-.9
207.5
1986
3,539.8
747.7
549.0
198.7
419.0
234.2
25.5
127.0
32.4
2,170.0
1,833.0
336.9
.2
202.9
1987
3,431.7
542.0
364.4
177.6
397.4
233.1
24.2
111.6
28.4
2,290.1
1,944.0
346.1
-.8
203.1
1988
3,663.8
571.6
415.2
156.4
475.2
315.3
33.8
97.7
28.4
2,409.0
2,045.4
363.6
-.2
208.1
1989
4,194.1
1,004.5
812.7
191.7
470.1
293.6
30.7
115.0
30.7
2,513.8
2,151.2
362.6
-.7
206.5
1990
4,599.4
1,009.5
816.5
193.1
515.5
302.2
30.9
148.7
33.7
2,869.4
2,470.4
399.1
-.6
205.6
1991
5,139.5
936.0
747.4
188.6
558.1
310.6
32.4
142.4
72.7
3,443.9
2,982.9
461.0
-.5
202.0
1992
5,914.9
963.8
767.6
196.2
576.1
317.2
31.5
142.7
84.6
4,170.1
3,623.4
546.7
-.6
205.5
1993
6,385.7
707.6
655.1
52.5
716.7
396.1
44.5
159.2
117.0
4,747.4
4,012.4
735.0
-.5
214.5
1994
6,521.3
608.1
566.1
42.0
712.4
390.8
48.2
159.2
114.3
4,981.3
4,185.0
796.3
-.6
220.0
1995
7,002.3
801.5
766.4
35.1
847.4
390.2
45.1
297.6
114.5
5,135.4
4,318.2
817.3
-.4
218.5
1996
7,268.2
834.1
797.1
37.0
777.4
397.4
39.2
232.1
108.8
5,439.7
4,590.0
849.7
-.5
217.5
1997
7,330.3
1,685.8
1,592.5
93.3
1,014.8
472.4
49.3
379.0
114.2
4,414.5
3,672.5
742.0
-.7
215.8
1998
7,668.8
1,925.0
1,802.5
122.5
1,088.3
494.8
45.7
427.3
120.5
4,438.3
3,678.6
759.7
-.5
217.7
1999
8,037.4
1,619.9
1,515.4
104.5
1,030.8
503.5
51.2
357.4
118.7
5,171.5
4,366.0
805.5
-.7
215.9
2000
10,665.5
3,553.9
3,351.2
202.7
1,110.5
546.2
55.0
393.0
116.3
5,787.8
4,923.5
864.3
-.8
214.1
2001
9,752.5
1,670.1
1,634.9
35.2
1,355.6
613.2
66.0
551.0
125.5
6,515.6
5,622.0
893.6
-.7
211.9
2002
11,169.7
1,622.1
1,501.4
120.7
1,273.9
611.4
69.8
459.1
133.6
8,061.4
6,994.4
1,067.0
-.3
212.6
2003
11,840.8
1,839.5
1,702.8
136.6
1,296.7
594.3
65.2
500.2
137.1
8,498.6
7,371.6
1,127.1
1/
206.0
2004
13,769.4
1,862.4
1,695.6
166.8
1,405.7
648.2
72.7
549.3
135.5
10,296.4
9,043.4
1,252.9
-.2
205.1
2005-I
3,532.3
581.7
549.6
32.1
308.3
156.3
14.3
106.3
31.4
2,586.1
2,227.5
358.6
1/
56.2
2005-II
3,708.4
703.6
640.6
63.1
388.7
164.5
19.5
167.9
36.7
2,563.2
2,189.2
374.0
1/
53.0
2005-III
3,422.5
481.6
429.0
52.6
344.7
147.4
19.3
144.0
34.0
2,546.3
2,166.7
379.7
1/
49.8
2005-IV
3,760.2
854.7
763.2
91.6
321.0
158.7
17.3
115.6
29.4
2,538.2
2,163.4
374.7
1/
46.2
2006-I
3,497.3
554.8
524.2
30.6
321.7
163.1
15.0
110.9
32.7
2,564.5
2,191.8
372.6
1/
56.3
2006-II
3,700.4
676.8
616.3
60.5
406.1
172.1
20.4
175.3
38.3
2,564.5
2,191.8
372.6
1/
53.0
2006-III
3,433.5
459.6
409.4
50.2
359.6
153.8
20.1
150.2
35.5
2,564.5
2,191.8
372.6
1/
49.9
2006-IV
3,842.6
889.2
797.2
91.9
342.8
170.7
18.8
122.3
30.9
2,564.5
2,191.8
372.6
1/
46.2
2007-I
3,716.0
619.3
585.1
34.1
336.2
170.4
15.6
115.9
34.2
2,704.3
2,311.4
392.9
1/
56.3
2007-II
3,936.5
754.6
687.1
67.5
424.5
179.9
21.4
183.3
40.0
2,704.3
2,311.4
392.9
1/
53.0
2007-III
3,642.8
512.9
456.9
56.0
375.8
160.7
21.0
157.0
37.1
2,704.3
2,311.4
392.9
1/
49.9
2007-IV
4,092.8
982.3
880.4
102.0
359.9
179.6
19.8
128.2
32.3
2,704.3
2,311.4
392.9
1/
46.2
2008-I
3,968.4
687.2
649.3
37.9
350.9
177.9
16.3
121.0
35.7
2,874.1
2,456.5
417.6
1/
56.2
2008-II
4,207.1
836.8
761.9
74.8
443.3
187.9
22.3
191.3
41.7
2,874.1
2,456.5
417.6
1/
53.0
2008-III
3,885.3
569.0
506.9
62.1
392.3
167.8
21.9
163.9
38.7
2,874.1
2,456.5
417.6
1/
49.8
2008-IV
4,381.2
1,083.2
970.5
112.7
377.7
188.8
20.8
134.3
33.8
2,874.1
2,456.5
417.6
1/
46.2
2009-I
4,682.6
786.2
742.8
43.3
366.6
185.8
17.1
126.4
37.3
3,473.7
2,968.9
504.7
1/
56.2
2009-II
4,944.7
954.8
869.4
85.5
463.3
196.5
23.3
199.9
43.6
3,473.7
2,968.9
504.7
1/
52.9
2009-III
4,584.2
650.9
579.9
71.1
409.8
175.3
22.9
171.2
40.4
3,473.7
2,968.9
504.7
1/
49.8
2009-IV
5,123.4
1,206.9
1,079.9
127.0
396.7
198.6
22.0
140.8
35.3
3,473.7
2,968.9
504.7
1/
46.2
2010-I
4,543.6
803.6
759.3
44.3
380.4
192.9
17.7
131.1
38.7
3,303.5
2,823.5
480.0
1/
56.2
2010-II
4,817.9
980.6
893.0
87.6
480.9
204.0
24.2
207.5
45.3
3,303.5
2,823.5
480.0
1/
52.9
2010-III
4,443.9
665.4
592.8
72.6
425.2
181.9
23.8
177.6
41.9
3,303.5
2,823.5
480.0
1/
49.8
2010-IV
5,058.9
1,295.0
1,161.4
133.6
414.3
207.9
23.0
146.7
36.7
3,303.5
2,823.5
480.0
1/
46.1
2011-I
4,531.3
978.2
924.3
53.9
397.1
201.3
18.5
136.9
40.4
3,099.9
2,649.5
450.4
1/
56.1
2011-II
4,840.8
1,185.8
1,079.5
106.2
502.2
213.1
25.3
216.6
47.2
3,099.9
2,649.5
450.4
1/
52.9
2011-III
4,403.3
809.7
721.3
88.4
443.9
189.9
24.8
185.4
43.8
3,099.9
2,649.5
450.4
1/
49.7
2011-IV
5,054.2
1,473.2
1,317.0
156.2
435.0
218.7
24.3
153.7
38.3
3,099.9
2,649.5
450.4
1/
46.1
2012-I
4,932.2
1,069.3
1,010.3
58.9
414.6
210.2
19.3
142.9
42.2
3,392.2
2,899.3
492.9
1/
56.1
2012-II
5,266.2
1,296.6
1,180.4
116.1
524.6
222.7
26.4
226.2
49.3
3,392.2
2,899.3
492.9
1/
52.8
2012-III
4,790.4
885.1
788.4
96.7
463.5
198.3
25.9
193.6
45.7
3,392.2
2,899.3
492.9
1/
49.7
2012-IV
5,511.7
1,616.3
1,445.2
171.1
457.1
230.3
25.6
161.2
40.1
3,392.2
2,899.3
492.9
1/
46.1
2013-I
5,170.4
1,164.5
1,100.3
64.2
431.9
219.0
20.1
148.8
43.9
3,518.0
3,006.9
511.2
1/
56.0
2013-II
5,530.3
1,412.8
1,286.3
126.5
546.7
232.1
27.6
235.6
51.4
3,518.0
3,006.9
511.2
1/
52.8
2013-III
5,014.3
963.8
858.6
105.3
482.7
206.5
27.0
201.6
47.6
3,518.0
3,006.9
511.2
1/
49.7
2013-IV
5,814.5
1,771.0
1,584.0
187.0
479.4
242.0
26.9
168.6
41.8
3,518.0
3,006.9
511.2
1/
46.1
2014-I
5,448.9
1,239.8
1,171.4
68.4
449.7
228.0
20.9
155.0
45.7
3,703.4
3,165.3
538.1
1/
56.0
2014-II
5,832.8
1,507.1
1,372.3
134.8
569.5
241.8
28.7
245.4
53.5
3,703.4
3,165.3
538.1
1/
52.8
2014-III
5,281.8
1,026.1
914.1
112.1
502.6
215.1
28.1
209.9
49.5
3,703.4
3,165.3
538.1
1/
49.7
2014-IV
6,178.0
1,925.8
1,724.2
201.6
502.7
254.4
28.4
176.4
43.6
3,703.4
3,165.3
538.1
1/
46.0

1Less than $50,000.

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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