www.socialsecurity.gov
|
Skip to content Social Security Online |
Actuarial Publications | |
|
www.socialsecurity.gov
|
| Actuarial Publications |
Summary of Provisions That Would Change the Social Security Program |
|
Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report
| Printer-friendly Version (PDF) |
| Description of proposed provisions | Change from present law | Results with this provision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
|||
| Category: Cost-of-Living Adjustment (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| A1 |
Starting December 2012, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.64 | 2.23 | -0.59 | -2.02 | |
| A2 |
Starting December 2012, reduce the annual COLA by 0.5 percentage point. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.85 | 1.17 | -1.37 | -3.08 | |
| A3 |
Starting December 2012, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer
price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation
will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) | memo (Becerra) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | memo (Chaffetz) | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
0.52 | 0.71 | -1.70 | -3.53 | |
| A4 |
Starting December 2014, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer
price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation
will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. The new COLA
will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to OASI benefits, except for those of
formerly disabled workers who converted to retired worker status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.38 | 0.52 | -1.84 | -3.72 | |
| A5 |
Starting December 2012, add 1 percentage point to the annual COLA for beneficiaries
who have lived past a "specified age". The "specified age" is the sum of: (1) 65 and
(2) the unisex cohort life expectancy at age 65.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Senate Special Committee on Aging) |
-0.08 | -0.10 | -2.31 | -4.35 | |
| A6 |
Starting December 2013, compute the COLA using the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly
(CPI-E). We estimate this new computation will increase the annual COLA by about 0.2
percentage point, on average.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Harkin) | memo (Becerra) | memo (Deutch) |
-0.35 | -0.50 | -2.58 | -4.74 | |
| A7 |
Starting December 2012, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point, but not to less than zero.
In cases where the unreduced COLA is less than 1 percentage point, do not carry over the unused reduction
into future years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
1.56 | 2.10 | -0.66 | -2.15 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Level of Monthly Benefits (PIA) (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| B1.1 |
Price indexing of PIA formula factors beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI
benefits in 2018: Reduce PIA formula factors so that initial benefits grow by
inflation rather than by increases in real wages. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
2.60 | 7.61 | 0.38 | 3.36 | |
| B1.2 |
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals
newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of
the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the
30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th percentile
such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation
rather than the growth in average wages. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.42 | 4.14 | -0.80 | -0.11 | |
| B1.3 |
Progressive price indexing (40th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals
newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018: Create a new bend point at the 40th percentile of
the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the
40th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 40th percentile
such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation
rather than the growth in average wages. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.18 | 3.41 | -1.04 | -0.83 | |
| B1.4 |
Progressive price indexing (50th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly
eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018: Create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME
distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 50th percentile
and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 50th percentile such that the initial
benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in average wages. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.94 | 2.49 | -1.29 | -1.75 | |
| B1.5 |
Progressive price indexing (60th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly
eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018: Create a new bend point at the 60th percentile of the AIME
distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 60th percentile
and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 60th percentile such that the initial
benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in
average wages. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.65 | 1.53 | -1.57 | -2.71 | |
| B1.6 (2015) |
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly
eligible for OASI benefits in 2015: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME
distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile
and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial
benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in
average wages. Young survivors (children and spouses under normal retirement age with a child in care) are
not affected by this proposal. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and
(b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon
conversion to retired worker beneficiary status. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bennett) |
1.49 | 3.89 | -0.74 | -0.35 | |
| B1.6 (2020) |
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly
eligible for OASI benefits in 2020: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME
distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile
and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial
benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in
average wages. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to
a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired
worker beneficiary status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ryan 2010) |
1.10 | 3.50 | -1.12 | -0.74 | |
| B1.7 |
Progressive price indexing (40th percentile) of PIA formula factors for individuals newly eligible for
OASI benefits in 2019 through 2056: Create a new bend point at the 40th percentile of the AIME distribution
of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefit credit for earners at the 40th percentile and below.
Reduce the 32 and 15 formula factors above the 40th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with
AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in average wages. Disabled workers
are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits,
based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status. Young survivors
(children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Graham, Paul, Lee) |
0.92 | 2.40 | -1.31 | -1.85 | |
| B1.8 |
Progressive price indexing (50th percentile) of PIA formula factors for individuals newly eligible for
OASI benefits in 2016 through 2055: Create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME
distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefit credit for earners at the 50th percentile
and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 formula factors above the 50th percentile such that the initial benefit for a
worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in average wages.
Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional
reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary
status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) |
0.92 | 2.14 | -1.30 | -2.10 | |
| B2.1 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2021, multiply the PIA factors by the ratio of
life expectancy at 67 for 2016 to the life expectancy at age 67 for the 4th year prior to the year of
benefit eligibility. Unisex life expectancies, based on period life tables as computed by SSA's Office
of the Chief Actuary, are used to determine the ratio. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to
normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's
years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | memo (Bennett) |
0.57 | 1.89 | -1.65 | -2.35 | |
| B3.1 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2012, multiply the 32 and 15 percent formula
factors each year by 0.987. Stop reductions in 2042, when the formula factors reach 21 percent and 10
percent, respectively. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.49 | 2.89 | -0.73 | -1.36 | |
| B3.2 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2019, multiply the 90 and 32 percent PIA
factors each year by 0.9925 and 0.982, respectively. Stop reductions in 2056. Beginning with those
newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2014, multiply the 15 factor by 0.982. Stop reduction of the 15
factor in 2051. Child beneficiaries and spouses with a child in care under the OASI program are not
affected by this proposal. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age;
and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability,
upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Liebman, MacGuineas, Samwick) |
1.97 | 5.19 | -0.26 | 0.95 | |
| B3.3 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2012, use a modified primary insurance amount
(PIA) formula. The modified formula: (1) increases the first bend point to the equivalent of $800 in 2009;
(2) places a new bend point 75 percent of the way between the reset first bend point and the current-law
second bend point; (3) lowers the PIA factor between the new bend point and the upper bend point from 32%
to 20%; and (4) lowers the factor above the upper bend point from 15% to 10%.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
0.22 | 0.26 | -2.01 | -3.98 | |
| B3.4 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2015, multiply all PIA formula factors each year
by 0.991. Stop reductions after 2043. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age;
and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon
conversion to retired worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving
spouses with a child in care) are not affected.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
1.46 | 3.10 | -0.76 | -1.14 | |
| B3.5 |
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly eligible
for OASI benefits in 2014, continuing through 2051, and resuming in 2072: Create a new bend point at
the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for
earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th
percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by
1.2 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled
workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in
benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
1.28 | 3.01 | -0.95 | -1.23 | |
| B3.6 |
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly eligible
for OASI benefits in 2014, continuing through 2063: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of
the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th
percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th percentile such that the
initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.2 percent per year as
compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not
affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on
the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
1.36 | 3.46 | -0.87 | -0.78 | |
| B3.7 |
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly eligible
for OASI benefits in 2014, continuing through 2023, and then resuming in 2062: Create a new bend point
at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for
earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th
percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by
1.2 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled
workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in
benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired worker beneficiary status.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.61 | 1.59 | -1.62 | -2.66 | |
| B3.8 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018, create a new bend point at the 50th
percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers and gradually reduce all PIA formula
factors except for the 90 percent factor. By 2051: a) the 32 percent PIA formula factor below the
new bend point reduces to 30 percent; b) the 32 percent PIA factor above the new bend point reduces
to 10 percent; and c) the 15 percent factor reduces to 5 percent.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
0.85 | 2.12 | -1.38 | -2.12 | |
| B3.9 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2024, gradually reduce the 15 percent PIA
formula factor in each year so that it reaches 10 percent for those newly eligible in 2053 and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
0.07 | 0.21 | -2.15 | -4.04 | |
| B3.10 |
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2013, gradually increase the first
PIA bend point in each year so that it is 15 percent higher for those newly eligible in 2022
and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Harkin) |
-0.44 | -0.70 | -2.67 | -4.94 | |
| B4.1 |
Increase the number of years used to calculate benefits for retirees and survivors (but not for
disabled workers) from 35 to 38, phased in over the years 2012-2016.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.29 | 0.43 | -1.93 | -3.82 | |
| B4.2 |
Increase the number of years used to calculate benefits for retirees and survivors (but not for
disabled workers) from 35 to 40, phased in over the years 2012-2020.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.47 | 0.72 | -1.76 | -3.53 | |
| B4.3 |
For the OASI and DI computation of the PIA, gradually reduce the maximum number of drop-out years
from 5 to 0, phased in over the years 2013-2021.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.63 | 1.00 | -1.60 | -3.24 | |
| B5.1 |
Increase the PIA to a level such that a worker with 30 years of earnings at the minimum wage level
receives an adjusted PIA equal to 120 percent of the Federal poverty level for an aged individual.
This provision takes full effect for all newly eligible OASDI workers in 2029, and is phased in for
new eligibles in 2020 through 2028. The percentage increase in PIA is lowered proportionately for
those with fewer than 30 years of earnings, down to no enhancement for workers with 20 or fewer years
of earnings. (Year-of-work requirements are "scaled" for disabled workers based on their years of
potential work from age 22 to benefit eligibility). The benefit enhancement percentage is reduced
proportionately for workers with higher average indexed monthly earnings (AIME), down to no enhancement
for those with AIME at least twice that of a 35-year steady minimum wage earner.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ryan 2010) |
-0.01 | 0.00 | -2.24 | -4.24 | |
| B5.2 |
Beginning in 2012, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined as a
year in which 4 quarters of coverage are earned. (b) At implementation, set the PIA for 30 years
of coverage equal to 125 percent of the monthly poverty level (about $1,128 in 2010). For those
with under 30 years of coverage, the PIA per year of coverage over 10 years is $1,128/20 = $56.40.
(c) Index the initial PIA per year of coverage by wage growth for successive cohorts.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.19 | -0.27 | -2.41 | -4.51 | |
| B5.3 |
Beginning in 2012, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined to
be either a year in which 4 quarters of coverage are earned or a child is in care. Childcare years
are granted to parents who have a child under 5, with a limit of 8 such years. (b) At implementation,
set the PIA for 30 years of coverage equal to 125 percent of the monthly poverty level (about $1,128
in 2010). For those with under 30 years of coverage, the PIA per year of coverage over 10 years is
$1,128/20 = $56.40. (c) Index the initial PIA per year of coverage by wage growth for successive cohorts.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.28 | -0.41 | -2.50 | -4.66 | |
| B5.4 |
Beginning in 2018, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined as a year
in which 4 quarters of coverage are earned. (b) At implementation, set the PIA for 30 years of coverage
equal to 125 percent of the monthly poverty level (about $1,128 in 2010). For those with under 30 years
of coverage, the PIA per year of coverage over 10 years is $1,128/20 = $56.40. (c) From 2010 to the year
of implementation, 2018, index the PIA per year of coverage using the chain-CPI index. Then, for later
years, index the PIA per year of coverage by wage growth for successive cohorts. (d) Scale work requirements
for disabled workers, based on the number of years of non-disabled potential work.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
-0.12 | -0.21 | -2.35 | -4.45 | |
| B5.5 |
Beginning in 2013, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined as a year in
which either 20% of the "old law maximum" is earned or a child is in care. Childcare years are granted to
parents who have a child under 6, with a limit of 8 such years. (b) At implementation, set the PIA for 30
years of coverage equal to 133 percent of the poverty level. For those with under 30 years of coverage, the
PIA per year of coverage over 19 is 12.09 percent of poverty. (c) Use the 2010 Aged Federal poverty level,
increased by the average wage index to 2 years prior to benefit eligibility. (d) Scale work requirements for
disabled workers, based on the number of years of non-disabled potential work.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
-0.10 | -0.15 | -2.32 | -4.39 | |
| B5.6 |
Beginning in 2012, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined to be either a
year in which 4 quarters of coverage are earned or a child is in care. Childcare years are granted to parents
who have a child under 6, with a limit of 5 such years. (b) At implementation, set the PIA for 30 years of
coverage equal to 100 percent of the monthly poverty level (about $908 in 2011). For those with under 30 years
of coverage, the PIA per year of coverage over 10 years is $908/20 = $45.40. (c) From 2011 to the year of
implementation, 2012, index the PIA per year of coverage using the CPI index. Then, for later years, index the
PIA per year of coverage by wage growth for successive cohorts. (d) Scale work requirements for disabled workers,
based on the number of years of non-disabled potential work.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) |
-0.11 | -0.17 | -2.33 | -4.42 | |
| B6.1 |
Provide a 5 percent increase to the monthly benefit amount (MBA) of any beneficiary who is 85 or older at
the beginning of 2012 or who reaches their 85th birthday after the beginning of 2012.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.10 | -0.14 | -2.32 | -4.39 | |
| B6.2 |
Provide the same dollar amount increase to the monthly benefit amount (MBA) of any beneficiary who is 85 or
older at the beginning of 2012 or who reaches their 85th birthday after the beginning of 2012. The dollar
amount of increase equals 5 percent of the average retired worker MBA in the prior year.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.10 | -0.15 | -2.33 | -4.39 | |
| B6.3 |
Provide an increase in the benefit level of any beneficiary who is 85 or older at the beginning of 2013 or
who reaches their 85th birthday after the beginning of 2013. Increase the beneficiary’s PIA based on an
Amount equal to the average retired worker PIA at the end of 2012, or at the end of the year age 80 if later.
Increase the beneficiary’s PIA by 5 percent of this amount for those older than 85 at the beginning of 2013
and by 5 percent of this amount at age 85 for others, phased in at 1 percent per year for ages 81-85.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
-0.13 | -0.19 | -2.36 | -4.43 | |
| B6.4 |
Starting in 2012, provide a 5 percent uniform benefit increase 24 years after initial benefit eligibility.
Phase in the benefit increase at 1 percent per year from the 20th through 24th years after eligibility.
For disabled workers, the eligibility age is the initial entitlement year to the benefit. The benefit
increase is equal to 5 percent of the PIA of a worker assumed to have career-average
earnings equal to SSA’s average wage index. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
-0.14 | -0.20 | -2.36 | -4.44 | |
| B7.1 |
Reduce benefits by 3 percent for those newly eligible for benefits in 2012 and later. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.37 | 0.50 | -1.86 | -3.75 | |
| B7.2 |
Reduce benefits by 5 percent for those newly eligible for benefits in 2012 and later. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.61 | 0.83 | -1.61 | -3.42 | |
| B7.3 |
Give credit to parents with a child under 6 for earnings for up to five years. The earnings
credited for a childcare year equal one half of the Social Security average-wage index (about
$20,922 in 2010). The credits are available for all past years to newly eligible retired-worker
and disabled-worker beneficiaries starting in 2012. The 5 years are chosen to yield the largest
increase in AIME.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.24 | -0.37 | -2.47 | -4.61 | |
| B7.4 |
Increase benefits by 2 percent for all beneficiaries as of the beginning of 2012 and for those
newly eligible for benefits after the beginning of 2012.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.30 | -0.33 | -2.53 | -4.58 | |
| B7.5 |
Increase benefits by 5 percent for all beneficiaries as of the beginning of 2012 and for those
newly eligible for benefits after the beginning of 2012.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.75 | -0.83 | -2.98 | -5.07 | |
| B7.6 |
Increase benefits by 20 percent for all beneficiaries as of the beginning of 2012 and for those
newly eligible for benefits after the beginning of 2012.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-3.02 | -3.31 | -5.24 | -7.56 | |
| B7.7 |
Reduce individual Social Security benefits if modified adjusted gross income, or MAGI (AGI less
taxable Social Security benefits plus nontaxable interest income) is above $60,000 for single
taxpayers or $120,000 for taxpayers filing jointly. This provision is effective for individuals
newly eligible for benefits in 2019 or later. The percentage reduction increases linearly up to
50 percent for single/joint filers with MAGI of $180,000/$360,000 or above. Index the MAGI
thresholds for years after 2019, based on changes in the average wage index (AWI).
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) |
0.24 | 0.36 | -1.98 | -3.88 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Retirement Age (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| C1.1 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, increase the
NRA 1 month every 2 years until the NRA reaches 68.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.32 | 0.74 | -1.90 | -3.51 | |
| C1.2 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, increase the
NRA 2 months every year until the NRA reaches 68.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Liebman, MacGuineas, Samwick) |
0.41 | 0.74 | -1.81 | -3.51 | |
| C1.3 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to
maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential
work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ryan 2010) | memo (AARP) | memo (Ryan 2008) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.44 | 1.51 | -1.78 | -2.73 | |
| C1.4 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, increase the NRA
2 months per year until it reaches 69 for individuals attaining age 62 in 2034. Thereafter,
increase the NRA 1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Chaffetz) |
0.98 | 2.30 | -1.24 | -1.94 | |
| C1.5 |
Starting in 2012, allow workers to choose whether to have their payroll tax rate reduced
by 2 percentage points. For each calendar year that a worker chooses to have their payroll
tax reduced, their NRA increases 1 month. We assume 2/3 of workers each year will choose this
payroll reduction. The General Fund of the Treasury reimburses the OASI and DI Trust Funds for
the reduction in payroll tax revenue.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Landry) |
0.66 | 1.53 | -1.57 | -2.71 | |
| C2.1 |
Increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by two months every year for those age 62 starting in
2013 and ending in 2030 (EEA reaches 65 for those age 62 in 2030).
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
-0.05 | -0.41 | -2.27 | -4.65 | |
| C2.2 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain
a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years
(NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, raise the earliest
eligibility age (EEA) for retired workers, aged widow(er)s, and disabled widow(er)s by the same
amount as the NRA starting for those attaining EEA in 2017.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.45 | 1.43 | -1.77 | -2.81 | |
| C2.3 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a
constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20).
We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by
the same amount as the NRA starting for those age 62 in 2022 so as to maintain a 5 year difference between
the two ages. Include a "hardship exemption" with no EEA/NRA change for a worker with 25 years of earnings
(with 4 quarters of coverage each), and average indexed monthly earnings (AIME) less than 250% of the poverty
level (wage-indexed from 2010). The hardship exemption is phased out for those with AIME above 400% of the
poverty level.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
0.37 | 1.22 | -1.85 | -3.03 | |
| C2.4 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, increase both the NRA and the earliest
eligibility age (EEA) by 36/47 of a month per year until the NRA and EEA reach 65 and 70 respectively. For each
year, the computed EEA and NRA rounds down to the next lower full month.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Lummis) |
0.66 | 2.03 | -1.57 | -2.22 | |
| C2.5 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 3 months per year starting for those age 62 in 2017 until the
NRA reaches 70 in 2032. Thereafter, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement
years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase
1 month every 2 years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) from 62 to 64 at the same time
the NRA increases from 67 to 69; that is, for those attaining age 62 in 2021 through 2028. Keep EEA at
64 thereafter.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Graham, Paul, Lee) |
1.38 | 2.86 | -0.84 | -1.38 | |
| C2.6 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility age (EEA) for those age 62 in
2020-21 to 68 and 63, respectively and then by 3 months per year in 2022-25 to 69 and 64, respectively.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
0.88 | 1.24 | -1.35 | -3.00 | |
| C2.7 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility age (EEA) for those age 62 starting
in 2016 by 3 months per year until EEA reaches 64 in 2023 and NRA reaches 69 in 2027.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
0.85 | 1.24 | -1.37 | -3.00 | |
| C2.8 |
Starting in 2014, convert all disabled worker beneficiaries to retired worker status upon attainment
of their earliest eligibility age (EEA) rather than their normal retirement age (NRA). After conversion,
apply the early retirement reduction for retirement at EEA (currently 25% for those age 62 in 2014)
phased in over 40 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.40 | 0.79 | -1.83 | -3.45 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Family Member Benefits (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| D1 |
Beginning in 2012, continue benefits for children of disabled or deceased workers
until age 22 if the child is in high school, college or vocational school.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
-0.07 | -0.06 | -2.29 | -4.31 | |
| D2 |
The current spouse benefit is based on 50 percent of the PIA of the other spouse.
Reduce this percent each year by 1 percentage point beginning with newly eligible
spouses in 2012, until the percent reaches 33 in 2028.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
0.12 | 0.18 | -2.10 | -4.06 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Payroll Tax Rates or Taxable Maximum (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| E1.1 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 14.8 percent in
2012 and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
2.28 | 2.38 | 0.06 | -1.86 | |
| E1.2 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 14.6 percent in
2024-2053, and to 16.8 percent in years 2054 and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
2.30 | 4.30 | 0.08 | 0.06 | |
| E1.3 |
Reduce the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 11.4 percent in
2012 and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
-0.96 | -1.01 | -3.19 | -5.25 | |
| E1.4 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) by 0.1 percentage
point each year from 2017-2036, until the rate reaches 14.4 percent in
2036 and later.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
1.41 | 1.98 | -0.82 | -2.26 | |
| E1.5 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 12.6 percent in 2014,
12.9 percent in 2022, 13.1 in percent in 2032, 13.9 percent in 2042, 13.5 percent
in 2052, and 13.3 percent in 2062.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.74 | 0.90 | -1.49 | -3.34 | |
| E1.6 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 12.6 percent in 2014,
12.9 percent in 2022, 13.3 in percent in 2032, 13.8 percent in 2042, 14.4 percent
in 2062, and 14.5 percent in 2077.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
1.03 | 2.06 | -1.19 | -2.18 | |
| E1.7 |
Increase the payroll tax rate (currently 12.4 percent) to 12.7 percent in 2014, 13.0
percent in 2027, 13.3 in percent in 2042, 14.0 percent in 2062, 14.5 percent in 2072,
and 14.7 percent in 2082.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.84 | 2.24 | -1.38 | -2.00 | |
| E2.1 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2012 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent
payroll tax rate to all earnings. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above
the current-law taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
2.34 | 2.48 | 0.11 | -1.77 | |
| E2.2 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2012 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent
payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the
current-law taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
1.91 | 1.64 | -0.32 | -2.60 | |
| E2.3 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2012 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent
payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the
current-law taxable maximum, adding a bend point at the current-law taxable maximum
and applying a formula factor of 3 percent for AIME above this new bend point.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
2.18 | 2.17 | -0.04 | -2.07 | |
| E2.4 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum for years 2018 and later (phased in 2012-2017), and
apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for
earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that were taxed after 2011, using a
secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula uses: (1) an “AIME+” derived from
annual earnings from each year after 2011 that were in excess of that year’s
current-law taxable maximum; (2) a bend point equal to 134 percent higher of the
monthly current-law taxable maximum; and (3) formula factors of 3 percent and 0.25
percent, respectively.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Deutch) |
2.16 | 2.37 | -0.06 | -1.88 | |
| E2.5 |
Apply 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $250,000 starting in 2012, and
tax all earnings once the current-law taxable maximum exceeds $250,000. Do not provide
benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Sanders) | memo (DeFazio) |
2.09 | 2.47 | -0.13 | -1.77 | |
| E2.6 |
Apply a 3 percent payroll tax on earnings above the current-law taxable maximum
starting in 2012. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law
taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
0.57 | 0.61 | -1.65 | -3.64 | |
| E2.7 |
Apply a 6 percent payroll tax on earnings above the current-law taxable maximum starting
in 2012. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Wexler) |
1.14 | 1.21 | -1.09 | -3.04 | |
| E2.8 |
Apply a 2 percent payroll tax on earnings above the current-law taxable maximum for years
2014-2061, and a 3 percent rate for years 2062 and later. Do not provide benefit credit for
earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.41 | 0.60 | -1.81 | -3.65 | |
| E2.9 |
Apply the following payroll tax rates above the current-law taxable maximum: 2.0 percent
in 2014, 3.0 percent in 2027, 3.5 percent in 2042, 4.5 percent in 2052, and 5.5 percent in
2062 and later. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.66 | 1.10 | -1.56 | -3.15 | |
| E2.10 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2022 and later (phase in by applying a portion of
the payroll tax rate to earnings above the current-law taxable maximum: 1.24 percent in
2013; 2.48 percent in 2014; …; 11.16 percent in 2021). Provide benefit credit for earnings
above the current-law taxable maximum (phased in at the same proportion as the payroll tax
rate during 2013-2021). Revise the benefit formula by adding a bend point at the current-law
taxable maximum and applying a formula factor of 5 percent for AIME above this new bend point.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Harkin) |
1.90 | 2.10 | -0.32 | -2.14 | |
| E3.1 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll
tax (phased in 2012-2021). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable
maximum levels.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.80 | 0.71 | -1.42 | -3.53 | |
| E3.2 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll
tax (phased in 2012-2021). Do not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Liebman, MacGuineas, Samwick) |
1.01 | 1.18 | -1.21 | -3.06 | |
| E3.3 |
Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll
tax (phased in 2013-2018). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum
levels.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
0.81 | 0.71 | -1.41 | -3.53 | |
| E3.4 |
Increase the taxable maximum from $106,800 to $115,200 (in 2009 AWI-indexed dollars), phased in
2012-2014. Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum levels.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.12 | 0.09 | -2.11 | -4.16 | |
| E3.5 |
Increase the taxable maximum each year by an additional 2 percent beginning in 2012 until
taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings
up to the revised taxable maximum levels.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
0.65 | 0.74 | -1.58 | -3.50 | |
| E3.6 |
Increase the taxable maximum each year by an additional 2 percent beginning in 2014 until
taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered earnings. Do not provide benefit credit for
additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) |
0.75 | 1.18 | -1.47 | -3.07 | |
| E3.7 |
Increase the taxable maximum by an additional 2 percent per year beginning in 2013
until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered earnings. Provide benefit credit
for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum levels. Create a new bend point equal
to the current-law taxable maximum with a 5 percent formula factor applying above the
new bend point.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
0.71 | 0.98 | -1.51 | -3.26 | |
| E3.8 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $200,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Provide
proportional benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.19 | 0.16 | -2.04 | -4.09 | |
| E3.9 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $200,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Do not
provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.24 | 0.29 | -1.99 | -3.96 | |
| E3.10 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $300,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Provide
proportional benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.14 | 0.11 | -2.09 | -4.13 | |
| E3.11 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $300,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Do not
provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.17 | 0.21 | -2.05 | -4.03 | |
| E3.12 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $400,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Provide
proportional benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.11 | 0.09 | -2.11 | -4.15 | |
| E3.13 |
Beginning in 2019, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed
equivalent of $400,000 in 2017, with the threshold wage-indexed after 2019. Do not
provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson, Brady, Ryan) (similar provisions with 3 percent and 4 percent payroll tax rates are also available) |
0.14 | 0.17 | -2.08 | -4.07 | |
| E3.14 |
Eliminate the taxable maximum for the employer payroll tax (6.2 percent)
beginning in 2012. For the employee payroll tax (6.2 percent) and for benefit
calculation purposes, beginning in 2012, increase the taxable maximum by an additional
2 percent per year until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered earnings.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (National Academy of Social Insurance) |
1.44 | 1.43 | -0.78 | -2.82 | |
| E3.15 |
Increase the taxable maximum until taxable earnings equal 90 percent of covered
earnings (phased in 2012-2021). In addition, apply a tax rate of 6.2 percent for
earnings above the revised taxable maximum (phased in from 2012-2021). Provide benefit
credit on earnings taxed up to the revised taxable maximum.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Senate Special Committee on Aging) |
1.41 | 1.39 | -0.82 | -2.86 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Coverage of Employment (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| F1 |
Starting in 2012, cover newly hired State and local government employees. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | memo (Warshawsky) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.17 | -0.16 | -2.06 | -4.41 | |
| F2 |
Starting in 2012, exempt individuals with more than 180 quarters of coverage from
the OASDI payroll tax.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
-0.24 | -0.35 | -2.46 | -4.59 | |
| F3 |
Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for employer-sponsored
group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2018, phase out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion
for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in
2018, with amounts above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each
year by 10 percent of the 2018 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 2028. Eliminate
the excise tax on ESI premiums scheduled to begin in 2018.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
0.98 | 0.94 | -1.24 | -3.30 | |
| F4 |
Expand covered earnings to include contributions to voluntary salary reduction plans
(such as Cafeteria 125 plans and Flexible Spending Accounts). Starting in 2012, subject
these contributions to the OASDI payroll tax, making the payroll tax treatment of these
contributions like 401(k) contributions.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
0.22 | 0.14 | -2.00 | -4.10 | |
| F5 |
Tax Reform for Business: Establish a value added tax of 3.0 percent for 2013
and 6.5 percent for 2014 and later. Starting in 2013, reduce the corporate income tax
rate from 35 to 27 percent.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
-0.02 | 0.16 | -2.24 | -4.08 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Trust Fund Investment in Equities (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| G1 |
Invest 40 percent of the Trust Funds in equities (phased in 2012-2026),
assuming an ultimate 6.4 percent real rate of return on equities. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.62 | 0.00 | -1.61 | -4.24 | |
| G2 |
Invest 40 percent of the Trust Funds in equities (phased in 2012-2026),
assuming an ultimate 5.4 percent real rate of return on equities. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.45 | 0.00 | -1.78 | -4.24 | |
| G3 |
Invest 40 percent of the Trust Funds in equities (phased in 2012-2026),
assuming an ultimate 2.9 percent real rate of return on equities. Thus, the
ultimate rate of return on equities is the same as that assumed for Trust Fund bonds. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.00 | 0.00 | -2.22 | -4.24 | |
| G4 |
Invest 15 percent of the Trust Fund in equities (phased in 2012-2021), assuming
an ultimate 6.4 percent annual real rate of return on equities.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
0.25 | 0.00 | -1.97 | -4.24 | |
| G5 |
Invest 15 percent of the Trust Funds in equities (phased in 2012-2021), assuming an
ultimate 2.9 percent annual real rate of return on equities. Thus, the ultimate rate
of return on equities is the same as that assumed for Trust Fund bonds.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
0.00 | 0.00 | -2.22 | -4.24 | |
| Category: Provisions Affecting Taxation of Benefits (2011 Trustees Report intermediate assumptions) | ||||||
| Present Law, Alternative II. |
-2.22 | -4.24 | ||||
| H1 |
Starting in 2012, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private pension income.
Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2012-2021. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.28 | 0.17 | -1.94 | -4.07 | |
| H2 |
Starting in 2012, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private pension income.
Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2012-2031.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.25 | 0.17 | -1.97 | -4.07 | |
| H3 |
Tax Reform for Individuals: Starting in 2013, modify personal income tax by: (a)
establishing two-brackets with marginal rates of 15 and 27 percent separated at $51,000
(CPI indexed); (b) creating a non-refundable credit for low-income tax filers age 65 and
older; and (c) treating capital gains as regular income. Tax all Social Security benefits
at the applicable marginal rate (15 or 27 percent) less a non-refundable credit of 7.5
percent. Base revenue to OASDHI on the net marginal rates of 7.5 and 19.5 percent, with 40
percent of revenue dedicated to HI.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) |
-0.02 | -0.06 | -2.24 | -4.30 | |
 |
Privacy Policy
| Website Policies
& Other Important Information
| Site Map Last reviewed or modified February 22, 2013 |